Iran is dominating headlines, but Washington’s favorite bipartisan monster abroad is never too far from the sights of the hawks. Just days ago, and while the U.S. is fighting a war, Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell scolded Marco Rubio for pausing a weapons shipment to Taiwan.
Last night, ZeroHedge hosted opposing think tankers to answer the question that DC likes to keep ambiguous: Should the U.S. defend Taiwan if China invades?
In the “no” corner was Doug Bandow, senior fellow at the Cato Institute, who once served as special assistant to President Ronald Reagan. Arguing “yes”, we should intervene, is the Heritage Foundation’s Steve Yates, a former deputy national security advisor to the Vice President Dick Cheney.
Below were the highlights for those who missed it:
Are We Prepared?
Bandow argued that the Taiwan debate often understates both the depth of Chinese nationalism and the possibility that a U.S.-China conflict could escalate beyond anyone’s control. He said his interactions with Chinese students while teaching summer programs convinced him that the issue is not simply the ambition of Xi Jinping but a broadly shared belief that Taiwan is part of China.
“Chinese students are very nationalistic. They all believe that Taiwan’s part of China. So this is a sentiment that is not just the folks in Zhang Nanhai. I mean, it’s not just President Xi.”
Bandow’s central warning was that threatening war requires being prepared to follow through even if events spiral. He questioned whether the United States has fully grappled with the consequences of escalation, particularly if China began losing and faced attacks on mainland targets.
“If we’re going to threaten to go to war, it’s very hard to back down… If the Chinese find themselves losing, if the Chinese find that we are attacking mainland bases, what are they likely to do? They are likely to escalate… How do we control that?”
Bandow said Taiwan is “a wonderful place” but asked whether Americans are prepared to risk their own society (and life, civilization… really everything). The key question, according to him, is not whether Taiwan deserves sympathy, but whether the United States is prepared for what could become a full-scale war with another major nuclear power.
“Are we prepared to risk our own society?… We cannot assume it would turn out well… Are we prepared for a full-scale war?”
— ZeroHedge Debates (@zerohedgeDebate) June 12, 2026
Fentanyl!
Yates said Beijing’s role in the fentanyl crisis is not accidental, arguing that China’s extensive surveillance apparatus makes it implausible that authorities are unaware of the scale of the trade flowing through Chinese manufacturers and financial networks.
“It’s the world’s most advanced surveillance state to the point where they literally will find images of Winnie the Pooh on Hong Kong protesters’ phones… completely implausible that they can have illicit precursors manufactured at a scale sufficient to result in half a million American fatalities counted conservatively over ten years without them knowing.”
The issue, he said, has been raised repeatedly at the highest levels of diplomacy and can no longer be dismissed as something that escaped Beijing’s attention.
“It’s not something that snuck up on them… There really is no ambiguity of where it’s coming from and at what scale.”
While Yates acknowledged he cannot prove that Chinese leaders explicitly intended to kill Americans, he argued that intent becomes harder to dismiss when the trade continues after years of warnings and mounting casualties.
“Did they say, ‘I want to do this in order to have this effect?’ Maybe, maybe not. I don’t think we’ll ever get to know… But once it is in train and moving and three presidents have raised it and the casualty numbers reached what would be considered a weapon of mass destruction level, it’s kind of hard to say that they have clean hands, or there’s no intent to allow it to happen.”
— ZeroHedge Debates (@zerohedgeDebate) June 12, 2026
Full Debate
Watch the full debate below or listen on Spotify.
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) June 11, 2026
Tyler Durden
Fri, 06/12/2026 – 19:40
