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The Dangerous Market Outlook The Cowards On Financial Media Can’t Tell You

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The Dangerous Market Outlook The Cowards On Financial Media Can’t Tell You

Submitted by QTR’s Fringe Finance

I recently talked to Adam Taggart of Thoughtful Money and gave him my comprehensive take on all things macro, markets, and the fragile psychology underpinning both. The video is at the bottom of this post.

My goal was to get a full hour of telling you the things directly to your face that the cowards and hapless sell side imbeciles on financial media won’t tell you to your face — at least until the shit hits the fan and they are begging for market shutdowns and running off the newsdesk like they are having an impending bowel movement.

The charts that accompany many of my points in this interview can be found here.

What I Argued On The Show

I opened by pointing out where we are in this cycle: “we’ve got a stock market at all-time high valuations.” On multiple measures—market cap to GDP, Shiller PE, and others—we’re “either at or damn close to all-time highs.”

I argued this isn’t about fundamentals anymore. Instead, the tape is dominated by flows and mechanics. A narrow group of companies—Nvidia, Tesla, Amazon, Microsoft—have outsized influence. The buying that props them up, in my view, is coming from “an incessant passive bid” and from “options gamma” that forces dealers to buy stock whenever calls are purchased.

That dynamic has been amplified by a new generation of market participants. I described “an entire generation of young… speculators” who only know options. If you scroll WallStreetBets, I said, “every post… the wins and the losses are options.” Mechanically, that matters because when retail piles into calls, dealers have to buy the underlying shares.

Overlay that with two decades of monetary policy rescues and you get a mindset where “people just believe nothing bad can ever happen.” My conclusion: “we have a pornographically overvalued market” and a “batshit insane investor psychosis” sitting on the edge of reality.

Everything’s fine…or is it?

Why The Jobs Data Matters For Markets

The recent labor data was, in my words, “one of the first real clarion calls” that the economy is slowing. But the importance goes beyond economics. The passive machine is directly linked to employment. When people lose jobs, they turn to “brokerage and retirement accounts” for liquidity. Many funds don’t hold cash to meet redemptions, so they would “become sellers of stocks.” That’s when “the machine that’s been going one way for 25 years” could suddenly “start to go in reverse.”

That’s also when valuations will matter again. I said, “no one cares about historical PE when passive flows keep buying,” but when redemptions force selling, everyone will drag out the charts and remember that the historical mean is closer to 16x earnings, not 38x.

Positive Real Rates As A Time Bomb

I said that “positive real rates” are “like putting a time bomb into the plumbing of the economy.” It just takes time for the pressure to work its way through. Then “you start to see cracks”—first in discretionary spending, then “credit card delinquencies, then auto loan delinquencies,” and eventually housing.

Student loans make it worse. The delinquency line “just shoots straight up.” Re-imposing a monthly bill that didn’t exist for five years “right as the economy is starting to crack” is “pushing the snowball down the hill faster.”

The Jenga Tower Economy

I compared the system to a house that’s been added onto for decades. Every policy tweak has been another addition, until “our little house has become this mile-long, top-heavy monstrosity.” Now it’s one loose block away from collapse, like a Jenga puzzle.

That block could be commercial real estate and the regional banks that financed it. I warned there’s “a ton of… subprime crap… that hasn’t been marked and even ‘AAA’ pieces are wobbling.” The Sillicon Valley Bank episode showed how quickly confidence can vanish.

The other candidate is the bond market itself. I said there will be a point when “the bond market really does crack up,” and then “there’s nothing left other than for the Fed to step in and start buying bonds”—QE or even yield curve control.

What Happens When Policy Arrives

If and when the Fed steps in again, it will be confronting a more skeptical public.

During COVID, memes about “money printer go brrr” turned policy into a joke. Next time “the print will be larger,” but now more people understand the game—thanks to Bitcoin, memes, and lived experience with inflation.

That’s why I said the path looks like this: “we’re doing 100 miles an hour right now; we’ll slam on the brakes down to 20,” and then after the rescue, “we’re going up to 300.” Translation: a sharp deleveraging, then an inflationary aftermath.

How I’m Positioned (Not Financial Advice)

I told Adam that I “love to own gold… sound assets… things that can’t be printed.” I prefer world markets to U.S. equities, and I keep diversified both in and out of the dollar—gold, gold miners, silver, silver miners, a little Bitcoin, and a little real estate.

This isn’t a recommendation; it’s my approach. My one rule of thumb is universal: “if you don’t understand it, don’t invest in it.”

I stressed that the bigger risk is psychological. Investors have been coddled by policy and by financial media. Even a 30% drop followed by ten years of sideways grinding would be a “psychological death march” that many aren’t prepared for.

That’s why I said that the next crash could “push us out of our financial safe space.”

Markets now demand both equity analysis and psychological analysis. As I put it, “bad news isn’t just bad news. Bad news is good news when people expect stimulus.”

When flows reverse, that mental model will reverse too.

Where I Net Out

To sum it up: we are at “a truly unprecedented jumping-off point.” Positive real rates are eroding the cushion. Delinquencies are rising. Student loans are back. Breadth is deteriorating even as a few giants levitate the indices. The economy is grinding to a halt while markets are pricing perfection.

I’m preparing for “violent repricing,” followed by a massive money print.

As always, read my disclaimer and be sure to pressure-test your own thinking and decisions with your own financial advisor.

Here’s my hour with Adam:

QTR’s Disclaimer: Please read my full legal disclaimer on my About page hereThis post represents my opinions only. In addition, please understand I am an idiot and often get things wrong and lose money. I may own or transact in any names mentioned in this piece at any time without warning. Contributor posts and aggregated posts have been hand selected by me, have not been fact checked and are the opinions of their authors. They are either submitted to QTR by their author, reprinted under a Creative Commons license with my best effort to uphold what the license asks, or with the permission of the author.

This is not a recommendation to buy or sell any stocks or securities, just my opinions. I often lose money on positions I trade/invest in. I may add any name mentioned in this article and sell any name mentioned in this piece at any time, without further warning. None of this is a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I may or may not own names I write about and are watching. Sometimes I’m bullish without owning things, sometimes I’m bearish and do own things. Just assume my positions could be exactly the opposite of what you think they are just in case. If I’m long I could quickly be short and vice versa. I won’t update my positions. All positions can change immediately as soon as I publish this, with or without notice and at any point I can be long, short or neutral on any position. You are on your own. Do not make decisions based on my blog. I exist on the fringe. If you see numbers and calculations of any sort, assume they are wrong and double check them. I failed Algebra in 8th grade and topped off my high school math accolades by getting a D- in remedial Calculus my senior year, before becoming an English major in college so I could bullshit my way through things easier.

The publisher does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided in this page. These are not the opinions of any of my employers, partners, or associates. I did my best to be honest about my disclosures but can’t guarantee I am right; I write these posts after a couple beers sometimes. I edit after my posts are published because I’m impatient and lazy, so if you see a typo, check back in a half hour. Also, I just straight up get shit wrong a lot. I mention it twice because it’s that important.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/13/2025 – 11:40

Leftists Cheer For Charlie Kirk’s Assassin Then Falsely Claim He Is “Right Wing”

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Leftists Cheer For Charlie Kirk’s Assassin Then Falsely Claim He Is “Right Wing”

The political left’s narrative dilemma is that they want to promote and applaud violence against conservatives, but they don’t want to take any responsibility for that violence when it actually happens and consequences are inevitable.  This has led to multiple psy-op campaigns in which progressive operatives and “influencers” encourage ideological murders and then try to label the killers as “right wing” after the fact.

It seems like bewildering nonsense, but this same strategy is being used by a number of left-wing propagandists online in the case of suspected Charlie Kirk shooter Tyler Robinson.  Luckily, the internet has been quick to debunk the false claims.

The disinformation campaign started with falsified records claiming that Robinson was a registered Republican and had donated to Donald Trump’s election campaign.  As it turned out, they had dug up the identity of a person the the same name as the shooter then pretended as if it was his information.  This claim has now even been debunked by the mainstream media, but there still leftist accounts spreading the lie. Robinson has never been a registered Republican or Trump voter.

Then there was an effort to spread fake images featuring Robinson wearing a Trump t-shirt.  The images have been identified as manipulated and the accounts spreading them have been exposed.

It’s important to note that there was a blitz of Democrat accounts that ran with this false information and none have yet apologized for doing so.  Some have erased the older posts to hide their complicity. 

As this tactic failed, progressives turned to a new strategy of guilt by association.  Meaning, leftists seized upon the fact that Robinson’s family is conservative and asserted that this means he was conservative, too.  They are essentially arguing that a person’s politics are inherited through their genetics.

Of course, this claim doesn’t hold under basic scrutiny.  Tyler Robinson is not the first leftist to turn against his conservative family.  Just take a look at far-left influencer Steven Bonnell II (Destiny), who grew up in a conservative catholic household yet he says he hates conservative Christians like Charlie Kirk.

Furthermore, interviews with Robinson’s friends indicate that he was, indeed, a hardcore political leftist who often “ranted” and sparked arguments with his family.  Friends indicated that Robinson:

“…Was “pretty left on everything” and was “the only member of his family that was really leftist…..The rest of his family was very hard Republican…”

Around sophomore year, the friend said, Robinson became more extreme in his political views and would “always just be ranting and arguing about them”.

When one friend saw the news on Friday, he said that he was shocked.

“I knew he [Robinson] had strong political views, but I never thought it would even go near that far.”

This information supports previous information from the FBI which revealed that ammo used by the shooter was inscribed with Antifa messages including:  “Hey fascist, catch!” and “O Bella Ciao, Bella Ciao, Bella Ciao Ciao Ciao” (a reference to an Italian anti-fascist song).

Setting aside the ridiculous notion that a “conservative Trump supporter” would want to assassinate Charlie Kirk (a conservative Trump supporter), all evidence indicates that Robinson is a far-left extremist. One would think that this news would excite Democrats and progressives since they openly applauded Charlie Kirk’s murder across the internet.  However, they are now attempting to disavow instead and tie the shooter to the right wing.  

Another false narrative that has circulated is that Robinson is a “Groyper”, or follower of right wing commentator Nick Fuentes.  They base this claim on a single image taken of Robertson posing in a track suit, which they claim is symbolism for Fuentes fans.  In fact, the image was referencing a meme called the “Slav Squat” which has nothing to do with Fuentes.   Even CNN called out the claim as “grasping at straws”.

In other words, the Democrats and the woke movement have been demonizing conservatives and Trump supporters for a decade as “fascists, Nazis and enemies of democracy”, which has inspired a generation of impressionable young people to believe that murder is a justifiable action against those who oppose their ideas. 

Democrats are calling for peace and reconciliation in the wake of the shooting, while also refusing to take responsibility and attempting to falsely dump Charlie Kirk’s assassination at the feet of conservatives. 

Meanwhile, the next left-wing shooter has just been inspired to make a move because millions of woke activists are jumping for joy over Kirk’s death.  As long as the political left acts as if these shooters are heroes there will always be more crazies to follow in their footsteps.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/13/2025 – 11:05

Senior Trump Official Declares War On Far-Left NGOs Sowing Chaos Nationwide

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Senior Trump Official Declares War On Far-Left NGOs Sowing Chaos Nationwide

Update (Saturday morning): 

The Trump administration is finally getting serious about radical left groups, including dark-money, billionaire-funded NGOs that openly call for the destruction of capitalism and the Western world. These groups, together with rogue far-left politicians, spread dangerous rhetoric amplified by globalist corporate media outlets, pouring toxic cocktails for liberal, educated people, indoctrinated in progressive schools, who believe anyone with a dissenting opinion is a “Nazi,” “fascist,” or “racist.”

Democrats have become the party of hate and violence, and their left-wing NGO network and leftist echo chambers on popular websites and social media channels are driving some of this political violence.

These leftist groups have waged nonstop color revolution operations against the administration, brainwashed an entire generation in schools, and pushed destructive, nation-killing progressive policies (criminal justice reform) that have transformed some of America’s cities into, as Trump puts it, “hellholes.” They supported an open border that resulted in the greatest land invasion ever, flooding tens of millions of third-worlders into this nation. It’s as if these groups, some funded by rogue billionaires outside the U.S., such as in Communist China (read more at the end of this note), want to see the destruction of the U.S. by sowing social instability in what appears to be irregular warfare. 

White House deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller spoke on Fox News’ Hannity last night to outline the severity of radical leftists waging an all-out assault on this nation. 

These radicalized people – there is a domestic terrorism movement in this country,” Miller warned on the Hannity show last night. In fact, Miller should’ve used the word “civil terrorism,” as we explained before, to more accurately describe what’s unfolding. 

Miller continued, “The last message that Charlie Kirk gave to me before he joined his creator in heaven was that he said, we have to dismantle and take on the radical left organizations in this country that are fomenting violence.” 

And we are going to do that. Under President Trump’s leadership. It could be a RICO charge. It could be a conspiracy charge. Conspiracy against the United States, insurrection… We are going to do what it takes to dismantle the organizations and entities that are fomenting riots, doxxing, that are trying to inspire terrorism and committing acts of violence,” he explained. 

Miller ended with this, “You want us to live in fear. We will not live in fear. You will live in exile. The power of law enforcement under President Trump’s leadership will be used to find you, take away your money, power, and freedom if you break the law.” 

It’s becoming more obvious than ever that the left’s war on America is getting hotter:  

If Miller’s team doesn’t tackle the radical leftist NGO monster, it will consume them. USAID was a start to cut some funding lines. Now it’s time to bust up the NGO world. Gates’ decision to sever ties with Arabella is seen as a distancing move by the billionaire ahead of the enforcement period, which appears to be approaching.

*   *   * 

 

After President Trump told Fox & Friends hosts that Charlie Kirk’s assassin is “in custody,” he went on to comment about radical leftist organizations, stating, “We are going to look into Soros. It looks like a RICO case.”

Recall that on Wednesday night, just hours after Kirk’s assassination, President Trump addressed the nation from the Oval Office, calling it a “dark moment for America.” He vowed to crack down on radical left movements across the country that have fueled chaos and even death this year.

Then on Thursday night, Texan News reporter Cameron Abrams wrote on X that Rep. Chip Roy, R-Texas, and two dozen others in Congress called for a select committee on “the money, influence, and power behind the radical left’s assault on America and the rule of law.”

Enough is enough. We must follow the money to identify the perpetrators of the coordinated anti-American assaults being carried out against us and take all steps under the law necessary to stop them,” the lawmakers stated. 

Just weeks ago, Trump stated on Truth Social that George Soros and his radical leftist son, Alex Soros, “should be charged with RICO because of their support of violent protests.”

Around that time, the “dark money” leftist NGO network operated by Arabella Advisors reportedly lost one of its top funding sources: Bill Gates. 

More here.

And this. 

Civil terrorism expert Jason Curtis Anderson of One City Rising states: 

After the political assassination of Charlie Kirk, President Trump is interested in pursuing a RICO case against George Soros, America’s primary financier of far-left NGOs. What will likely be revealed is a complex web of dark money that observers have warned about for 20 years but never acted on.

At the center of this web are the various George Soros Open Society Foundation legal entities—four separate tax-exempt charities and one 501(c)(4) dark-money channel. Next are the Tides Foundation organizations, funded primarily by the Pritzker family, which include three separate tax-exempt charities and one 501(c)(4) dark-money channel. Following them are the Rockefeller Foundation nexus, NEO Philanthropy, the Ford Foundation, and a host of similar operations, including the Singham network. Collectively, these entities form America’s dark-money ecosystem. They fund permanent protests, bail demonstrators out of jail, finance legal efforts to sue local governments and police departments, influence immigration policy, promote drug decriminalization and criminal-justice reforms, and help elect district attorneys who decline to prosecute crime. On top of all of this, they also have entities like the Working Families Party that elect local politicians.

The money flows from donations to tax-exempt charities into non-tax-exempt 501(c)(4)s, and then trickles down to local groups. From there, funds reach the most radical organizations, which can’t even qualify for 501(c)(3) status and are instead “fiscally sponsored” by parent organizations. Because of this fiscal-sponsorship loophole, the books of these groups remain opaque. Everything from terror financing to protests-turned-riots connects in some way to these foundations.

The revolution against the West is, in effect, a network of tax-exempt charities operating as a powerful parallel government that no one ever voted for. It must be stopped before it’s too late.

President Trump’s messaging suggests his administration may finally be ready to combat the radical left’s dark-money, billionaire-funded NGO networks, accused of sowing chaos, hate, and division; fueling what some describe as “civil terrorism“; and orchestrating color revolutions that continue to this day. Growing concern remains that foreign money (think communist billionaire Neville Roy Singham) is feeding this anti-American woke machine. More evident than ever, the administration – if only for its own survival – must begin to counter the out-of-control NGO sphere. There’s a reason Bill Gates severed ties with Arabella. The pressure begins. 

*  *  *

Why are there zero reviews? We’ve sold a ton!

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/13/2025 – 10:49

Zelensky’s Incentive Problem: Unmasking The Media’s Darling

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Zelensky’s Incentive Problem: Unmasking The Media’s Darling

Authored by Steve Cortes via American Greatness,

You won’t hear this from the mainstream press, but you’ll hear it here first: Volodymyr Zelensky, the Western media’s darling, is in real political trouble at home.

I just commissioned credible polling from inside Ukraine. The war-weary population there wants a new president and a negotiated peace.

This reality makes Zelensky less a heroic statesman and more a vulnerable incumbent with a perverse incentive: to keep slow-walking peace, continue milking Western taxpayers, and delay the elections he’s almost certain to lose.

The Best Data We Have

To learn the truth within Ukraine, we used experienced pollsters who surveyed more than 1,000 citizens. These results represent the clearest and most reliable snapshot of Ukrainian opinion:

  • In a hypothetical presidential election against General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Zelensky loses by -13 points.

  • Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine’s former armed forces chief, isn’t even in the country. He now serves as ambassador to the United Kingdom—an appointment widely seen as a “consolation prize” from Zelensky meant to marginalize his most popular potential rival. But that move has backfired badly: instead of diminishing Zaluzhnyi, it has only underscored Zelensky’s insecurity and boosted the general’s stature. A man sidelined abroad now leads him by double digits.

  • 71% of Ukrainians say corruption is one of the country’s major problems. Just 1% say it isn’t serious.

  • A majority, 53%, view Zelensky’s powerful chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, as corrupt. Only 15% disagree.

  • By contrast, 64% of Ukrainians do not view Zaluzhnyi as prone to corruption.

  • 77% want the war to end through diplomacy alone or through a combination of diplomacy and military action. Only 13% favor a purely military solution—the maximalist line Zelensky and Yermak promote.

Taken together, these numbers reveal fatigue. Ukrainians are tired of corruption, tired of maximalist slogans, and tired of a leader whose act has worn out its welcome—even as the rival he tried to sideline has eclipsed him.

The Perverse Incentive to Stall

That fatigue creates a dangerous dynamic. Zelensky and Yermak know that once the war ends, elections must follow—and polling suggests they will almost certainly lose. Hence, they slow-walk diplomacy, prolong the fighting, and keep Western money flowing to delay the day of reckoning.

It’s a survival scheme, not a real strategy.

The Entertainer Act

Zelensky is an entertainer, not a statesman. His image was carefully built for Western elites to virtue-signal over—a custom-made performer cast as a wartime saint. But entertainers live on image, not accountability. And polling shows the halo has already slipped where it matters most: inside Ukraine.

Ukrainians now see him less as a heroic leader and more as that shady relative you always knew was a scam artist—the Uncle Rico-style hustler with his hand in your pocket. The type you spot as a fraud before anyone else does, until one day it becomes obvious to everyone.

The U.S. Angle

Americans get it, too. In my national polling, 62% of U.S. voters said we should disengage if Kyiv and Moscow cannot negotiate a peace. Ordinary Ukrainians and ordinary Americans both want diplomacy, not blank checks.

But instead of aligning with the people, Washington keeps footing the bill for a leader whose act has already worn out its welcome. As for Putin? To borrow from former NFL coach Dennis Green, he is who we thought he was. An adversary, a rival, a problem—but never a media darling. No halo, no surprise.

The Way Forward

President Trump deserves credit for forcing both sides into talks.

If Kyiv and Moscow remain obstinate, he knows how to raise the cost. For Putin, that means harsh secondary sanctions. For Zelensky, that means drawing down American financial and intelligence support. Unlike Biden, Trump understands that endless giveaways create weakness, not strength.

Because here’s the lesson—one I highlighted in my Obama documentary, and one Americans keep learning the hard way: hero worship is a trap. The harder the media sells you a halo, the more likely there’s a heel underneath it.

And the best, most accurate polling available proves it: Ukrainians are fatigued, Americans are fatigued, and Zelensky’s halo won’t survive the unmasking.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/13/2025 – 10:30

Retarded Or Evil? Leftist Arguments Justifying The Murder Of Charlie Kirk

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Retarded Or Evil? Leftist Arguments Justifying The Murder Of Charlie Kirk

Authored by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.us

If you’re like me and have been watching the news feeds and social media for developments on the Charlie Kirk assassination, you have probably also come across a disturbing army of leftists online cheering for the conservative speaker’s death. Some posts, featuring people laughing and celebrating, have tens-of-thousands of upvotes. It’s not just the comments, it’s the mob of crazies supporting the comments.

What I see in this mountain of degenerate psychopathy is confirmation. I and many other analysts have been warning for years that the fight for what remains of the western world will happen on two fronts: The globalists at the top, and the leftist hordes on the bottom. While it’s true that globalists often fund woke groups through NGOs and corporations, they are simply giving aid to people that already have the will and the intent to destroy the US.

That is to say, the idea of the “false left/right paradigm” no longer applies. At the bottom of the pyramid there are millions of insane people with violent intentions that want to see you dead because you disagree with them. They won’t go away simply because the globalists go away. They represent a parallel threat.

Anyone who thinks otherwise is truly delusional and I have no patience for such stupidity any longer. Look at it this way – The woke movement is a death cult. In every cult there are certainly people who are useful idiots who do bad things because they are told to, but there are also many people who are consciously evil.

And if you want to see pure evil, take a gander at the endless array of grotesque reactions from activists to Kirk’s death. Endless social media posts cheering for Kirk’s murder. Leftist leaders like Ilhan Omar essentially blaming Kirk for his own assassination. Democrats trying to stop a silent moment of prayer for Kirk in Congress. Witnesses even report that leftist protesters at the Utah cheered right after Kirk was shot.  The list of horrors is mind boggling.

If you have any doubts about the nature of the progressive cult just watch how they revel in the blood and maybe then you will understand. These people are not human beings, they are monsters, and now they feel very emboldened because they think they can get away with political killings.

A prime example is in the numerous arguments they present to justify Kirk’s assassination. Social media is rife with them, thousands of posts supported by hundreds of thousands of people. What I would like to do is break some of the most common arguments down and identify if the ideas are retarded, or evil (or both). Let’s get started…

Leftist Claim: “Charlie Kirk’s words were offensive and caused harm, therefore he deserved to die.”

Diagnosis: Retarded And Evil

The political left has long treated words as being equal to violence. For them there is no distinction. This is the foundation of the “wrong think” ideology. Charlie Kirk never harmed a living soul and under the law he had every right to express his views regardless of whether or not people get offended. He never led a mob to burn down a city block. He never organized a terror cell. He never advocated for violence. He never even punched a commie. The most he did was advocate for the right to self defense.

If opinions are violence, then anyone can be killed for their opinions. Thinking you are immune because you have the “right opinions” is perhaps the most ignorant assumption a person can make, but leftists are generally low IQ individuals.

On the other hand, there is also the underlying agenda among elitist groups to make “hate speech” a subject of government enforcement. We have seen this in full swing in the UK the past year and it’s getting ugly. ANYTHING can be designated hate speech, from posting jokes online to flying your national flag.

Strangely, only conservatives seem to get arrested for speech violations. It’s almost as if only conservative ideas are being outlawed.

Hate speech laws are the doorway to mass censorship, and if progressives and their globalist partners can’t put those laws in place, then they have decided to enforce color of law through political violence so that conservatives are afraid to speak.

Leftist Claim: “It’s Ironic That Charlie Kirk Was Pro-Gun And Then He Was Killed By A Gun…”

Diagnosis: Retarded

It’s actually not ironic at all. Kirk often pointed out that the majority of gun violence is committed by leftists – In leftist controlled cities and in minority neighborhoods which vote predominantly Democrat. If leftists were removed from the equation, gun crimes (and crime overall) in the US would plummet.

Charlie was most likely murdered by a leftist (the evidence released so far indicates this). We’ll find out soon enough. If so, then the assassination only supports his argument that the political left is the danger. Not gun rights.

Leftist Claim: “Where Was The Good Guy With A Gun To Protect Charlie…?”

Diagnosis: Retarded

Good guys with guns stop at least 1.8 million crimes per year according to surveys on DGU (Defensive Gun Use) data. But Kirk never argued that the presence of good guys with guns makes him bulletproof. Good guys with guns die all the time, especially if they are targeted for political assassination. The gun is to give someone a fighting chance if they see the threat coming. It doesn’t make them invincible.

Leftist Claim: “If only Charlie hadn’t defended gun rights, maybe he would be alive today…”

Diagnosis: Evil

When leftists make this argument what they are really saying is: “If you don’t give up your gun rights, we have the right to shoot you.”

Leftist Claim:  “Kirk would have been saved by the increased gun control he opposed…”

Diagnosis:  Retarded

The murder weapon was a basic .30 Cal hunting rifle, probably holding a maximum of four rounds.  It’s not the type of firearm on any ban wish list that the Democrats have put forward.  

If leftists are going to make this argument then they will have to admit that their true intention is to ban ALL guns, not just scary “black rifles”.  

Leftist Claim: “Charlie Kirk Lived By The Sword And Died By The Sword…”

Diagnosis: Retarded

As noted earlier, Kirk never attacked anyone, never harmed anyone, and only fought for the right to speak his views without being censored or threatened. If debate is a threat to the political left then their ideas must not hold up to public scrutiny. In other words, they killed Charlie Kirk because he exposed their ideas as faulty.

That’s not “living by the sword”, that’s being nice. Leftists don’t want to see us truly take up the sword, which is why the media is currently scrambling to call for peace.

Leftist Claim: “Kirk Was A Radical And Now Is A Time To Abandon Radicalism And Make Peace…”

Diagnosis: Evil

Lets be clear, the vast majority of the violence is only coming from one side, and that’s the progressive Marxist/globalist side.  It’s rather convenient that progressives suddenly want peace after years of violent rhetoric and actions. Why are they doing this? Because they know that retribution on a large scale is so near. When an opponent has waged aggressive war for years and then suddenly wants a ceasefire, it’s usually because he’s about to get hurt and he wants to regroup.

Woke activists have been begging for an ass kicking for at least the past decade and now they are starting to realize they just might get it.  They desperately want our anger over Kirk’s death to fizzle out over time.

Kirk was not a radical in the slightest. He only spoke the facts to the best of his ability, Facts cannot be radical. The truth is never extreme. However, now that he has been killed, I suspect leftists are going to see a lot of actual “radicals” in the near future.

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of ZeroHedge.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 09/12/2025 – 23:25

New EPA Proposal Would Restore About 50% Of Lost Biofuel Demand

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New EPA Proposal Would Restore About 50% Of Lost Biofuel Demand

The White House is reviewing an EPA proposal that would make large refiners cover about half or less of the 1.1 billion gallons of biofuels exempted last month for small refineries, according to three sources familiar with the matter, according to Reuters/Yahoo.

The plan, still under discussion, could leave roughly 550 million gallons of demand unmet, potentially boosting the supply of renewable fuel credits and pushing their price lower.

Farm-state lawmakers and biofuel producers have been pressing for full restoration of lost demand. The oil industry, meanwhile, has resisted, warning of higher compliance costs. The EPA’s approach is seen as a compromise to stabilize the credit market without overwhelming refiners.

“The EPA is in the process of evaluating a range of options that strike an appropriate balance between obligations, reallocation, and other factors that will deliver for farmers, consumers and American energy dominance,” a White House official told Reuters. The EPA declined to comment further.

Reuters reports that the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) requires refiners to blend billions of gallons of biofuel each year or buy credits, but small plants can seek waivers for financial hardship. In August, the EPA cleared a backlog of more than 170 such requests dating to 2016. It is only required to reallocate gallons exempted in 2023 and beyond, as earlier credits have expired.

The proposal under review would cover 2023 and later years, with percentages applied differently depending on the year, sources said. It is expected to be finalized before October 30, the deadline for setting 2026–2027 blending quotas.

The debate underscores the long-running clash between Big Oil and the farm lobby — two constituencies President Donald Trump has sought to keep on side. The stakes are high: the 2023 and 2024 waivers alone amounted to 1.4 billion credits, equal to 1.1 billion gallons, and more exemptions could follow as 2025 applications are reviewed.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 09/12/2025 – 23:00

Researchers Found Unvaccinated Children Healthier Than Vaccinated, Didn’t Publish Findings

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Researchers Found Unvaccinated Children Healthier Than Vaccinated, Didn’t Publish Findings

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Researchers from a large health care system in Michigan found that vaccinated children were more likely to develop a chronic health condition, but never published the findings, according to a copy of the study obtained by The Epoch Times.

A nurse practitioner holds a vaccine in an undated file photograph. Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Henry Ford Health System, whose employees carried out the study, said it was deficient.

Dr. Marcus Zervos, an infectious disease specialist at the Henry Ford Health, and colleagues studied 18,468 children born between 2000 and 2016 who were enrolled in the health system’s insurance plan, drawing data from medical, clinical, and payer records and supplementing with information from Michigan’s immunization registry.

After 10 years, 57 percent of the vaccinated children had a chronic health condition such as asthma, compared to just 17 percent of the unvaccinated children.

This study found that exposure to vaccination was independently associated with an overall 2.5-fold increase in the likelihood of developing a chronic health condition, when compared to children unexposed to vaccination,” the authors wrote. “This association was primarily driven by asthma, atopic disease, eczema, autoimmune disease and neurodevelopmental disorders. This suggests that in certain children, exposure to vaccination may increase the likelihood of developing a chronic health condition, particularly for one of these conditions.”

The study was first reported by Aaron Siri, managing partner of Siri & Glimstad LLP, this month in his book, Vaccines, Amen: The Religion of Vaccines.

Before receiving a copy of the study, The Epoch Times asked Zervos and his coauthors for it and questioned why it was never published.

Zervos responded to questions about the study by asking in an email, “Can you tell me what book this appeared in.” When told, he did not respond further.

Co-authors did not return inquiries.

A spokesperson for Henry Ford Health acknowledged that researchers there carried out the study.

This report was not published because it did not meet the rigorous scientific standards we demand as a premier medical research institution,” a spokesperson for Henry Ford Health told The Epoch Times in an email. “Data has consistently shown vaccinations are a safe and effective way to protect children against potentially life-altering diseases.”

‘The Only Real Problem’

Siri, who has worked with Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., represents a group called the Informed Consent Action Network. He and Del Bigtree, the group’s CEO, say they met with Zervos in 2017 and proposed that he compare the health of vaccinated and unvaccinated children.

They initially proposed obtaining data from a federal network called Vaccine Safety Datalink, but Zervos suggested utilizing the health data from Henry Ford Health, Siri wrote in his book.

Siri requested that the researchers publish the results of the study, regardless of what it showed.

“Dr. Zervos looked us right in the eyes and assured us that he was a man of integrity and would publish the results, whatever the finding,” Siri said.

Siri received a copy of the study in 2020. He and Bigtree say that Zervos and a coauthor told them that superiors at Henry Ford Health did not want it submitted for publication and that they were concerned they could lose their jobs if they submitted it.

“The only real problem with this study—and why it didn’t get submitted for publication—is that its findings did not fit the belief and the policy that ‘vaccines are safe,’” Siri said during a Senate hearing in Washington on Sept. 9. “Had it found vaccinated children were healthier, it no doubt would have been published immediately. But because it found the opposite, it was shoved in a drawer.”

Previous research comparing vaccinated and unvaccinated children has returned mixed results. A German study published in 2011, for instance, found that unvaccinated children were more likely to suffer diseases targeted by vaccines. An American study published in 2020 found vaccinated children had higher odds of suffering from developmental delays, asthma, and ear infections in their first year of life.

Dr. Jake Scott, an infectious disease doctor at Stanford University’s School of Medicine, told the hearing that he reviewed the study and found it problematic. One issue was how vaccinated children visited doctors during the study period more often than unvaccinated children, according to Scott.

When diagnoses require doctor visits, children seeing doctors more often will inevitably have more recorded conditions,” he said. “This is classic detection bias that inflates risk estimates without reflecting true health differences.”

Even after excluding unvaccinated children whose parents never took them to the doctor following birth, the vaccinated group still had an increased risk of developing a chronic health condition, the researchers stated, according to Zervos and the other researchers. They also analyzed the data at one, three, and five years following birth and found that the vaccinated children were still more likely to develop a chronic health condition. “Therefore, our findings do not appear to be due to differential use of health resources,” they wrote.

The researchers also said that their findings “cannot prove causality and warrant future investigation.”

The hearing was held by the Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations.

Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.), chairman of the panel, said during the hearing that the study was “high-quality” and “suspiciously withheld by the authors.”

Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.), its ranking member, questioned why it has taken five years following completion for the study to be disclosed to the public.

“My hope has always been that the scientists would publish it,” Siri said. “And we’ve tried to persuade them many, many times, so it could go through the normal, peer-review process.”

Tyler Durden
Fri, 09/12/2025 – 22:35

Visualizing Americans’ Median Salaries By Age Group

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Visualizing Americans’ Median Salaries By Age Group

How much do Americans earn at different stages of life?

The discrepancies between the median earnings of each age group in the U.S. might surprise you.

This visualization, via Visual Capitalist’s Niccolo Conte, highlights the median annual earnings of full time wage and salaried workers across age groups in the U.S., using data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Median Salary by Age in America

As seen in the data table below, America’s youngest workers (aged 16 to 19) earn the least, with annual earnings of just $33,280. This figure is almost half the national median, reflecting their limited experience and lower-paying entry-level roles.

As workers gain more education and experience in their 20s, earnings rise significantly to $40,664 for those aged 20 to 24.

Income growth accelerates as workers enter their 30s and 40s. Median earnings reach $59,228 for ages 25 to 34 and peak at $70,824 between ages 45 and 54.

This period typically reflects career stability, advanced skills, and leadership roles, contributing to higher paychecks. Notably, the 35 to 44 bracket ($70,252) is nearly identical to the peak decade, showing sustained strength in mid-career earnings.

Later Career and Retirement Age Earnings

After 55, earnings begin to taper off as workers aged 55 to 64 earn $67,392. After that, those 65 and older see median earnings of $62,296, nearly identical to the overall national median.

Interestingly, older workers (65+) earn around $3,000 more than those in the 25 to 34 bracket, reflecting a group of late-career professionals who continue to command strong wages.

To learn more about household finances and earnings in the U.S., check out this map of poverty by state on Voronoi, the new app from Visual Capitalist.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 09/12/2025 – 22:10

AI, Inevitability, & Human Sovereignty

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AI, Inevitability, & Human Sovereignty

Authored by Joshua Stylman via Substack,

I didn’t want to feed my soul into a machine. That was my first instinct when AI tools started appearing everywhere – not concern about jobs or privacy, but something deeper.

These tools promise to make us smarter while systematically making us more dependent.

After decades of working in the internet industry, I’d already watched it transform into something more insidious than just a surveillance machine – a system designed to shape how we think, what we believe, and how we see ourselves. AI felt like the culmination of that trajectory.

But resistance became futile when I realized we’re already participating whether we know it or not. We’re already interacting with AI when we call customer service, use Google Search, or rely on basic smartphone features. A few months ago I finally capitulated and started using these tools because I could see how quickly they were proliferating – becoming as unavoidable as the internet or smartphones.

Look, I’m not just an old man resistant to change. I understand that every generation faces technological shifts that reshapes how we live. The printing press disrupted how knowledge spread. The telegraph collapsed barriers of distance. The automobile transformed how communities formed.

But the AI revolution feels different in both pace and scope. To understand how dramatically the rate of technological change has accelerated, consider this: anyone under 35 likely doesn’t remember life before the internet transformed how we access information. Anyone under 20 has never known a world without smartphones. Now we’re witnessing a third epoch with AI tools proliferating faster than either previous shift.

More fundamentally, AI represents something qualitatively different from previous technological disruptions – a convergence that touches labor, cognition, and potentially consciousness itself. Understanding how these domains interconnect is essential for preserving personal agency in an age of algorithmic mediation.

My primary fear about AI isn’t just the dramatic scenario where it becomes hostile, but the subtler threat: that it will make us subordinate to systems in ways we don’t recognize until it’s too late, weakening the very capacities it promises to strengthen.

What we’re witnessing isn’t just technological advancement – it’s what Ivan Illich called iatrogenic dependency in his seminal work, Medical Nemesis. Illich coined this term for medicine – institutions that promise to heal while creating new forms of illness – but the pattern applies perfectly to AI as well. That’s exactly what I’d been sensing about these new tools – it promises to enhance our cognitive abilities while systematically weakening them. It’s not the hostile takeover science fiction warned us about. It’s the quiet erosion of individual capacity disguised as help.

This iatrogenic pattern became clear through direct experience. Once I started playing around with AI myself, I began to notice how subtly it attempts to reshape thinking – not just providing answers, but gradually training users to reach for algorithmic assistance before attempting independent reasoning.

Jeffrey Tucker of the Brownstone Institute observed something revealing in a brief but illuminating exchange with AI expert Joe Allen: AI emerged just as COVID lockdowns had shattered social connection and institutional trust, when people were most isolated and susceptible to technological substitutes for relationship. The technology arrived when there was “mass disorientation, demoralization” and loss of community.

We can already see these everyday effects taking hold across all our digital tools. Watch someone try to navigate an unfamiliar city without GPS, or notice how many students struggle to spell common words without spellcheck. We’re already seeing the atrophy that comes from outsourcing mental processes we used to consider fundamental to thinking itself.

This generational shift means kids today face uncharted territory. As someone who went to school in the 1980s, I realize this may sound far-fetched, but I suspect in some ways, I may have more in common with someone from 1880 than children starting kindergarten in 2025 will have with my generation. The world I grew up in – where privacy was assumed, where you could be unreachable, where professional expertise was the gold standard – may be as foreign to them as the pre-electric world feels to me.

My children are growing up in a world where AI-powered assistance will be as fundamental as running water. As a father, I can’t prepare them for a reality I don’t understand myself.

I don’t have answers – I’m fumbling through these questions like any parent watching the world transform faster than our wisdom can keep pace. The more I’ve wrestled with these concerns, the more I’ve realized what’s really happening here goes deeper than just new technology. LLMs represent the culmination of decades of data collection – the harvest of everything we’ve fed into digital systems since the internet began. At some point, these machines may know us better than we know ourselves. They can predict our choices, anticipate our needs, and potentially influence our thoughts in ways we don’t even recognize. I’m still grappling with what this means for how I work, research, and navigate daily life – using these platforms while trying to maintain authentic judgment feels like a constant challenge.

What makes this even more complex is that most users don’t realize they’re the product. Sharing thoughts, problems, or creative ideas with AI isn’t just getting help – it’s supplying training data that teaches the system to imitate your judgment while making you more tied to its responses. When users confide their deepest thoughts or most sensitive questions to these systems, they may not understand they’re potentially training their own replacement or surveillance system. The question of who gets access to this information – now and in the future – should keep us all awake at night.

This pattern is accelerating. AI company Anthropic recently changed its data policies, now requiring users to opt out if they don’t want conversations used for AI training – with data retention extended to five years for those who don’t refuse. The opt-out isn’t obvious either: existing users face a pop-up with a prominent ‘Accept’ button and a tiny toggle for training permissions automatically set to ‘On.’ What was once automatic deletion after 30 days becomes permanent data harvesting unless users notice the fine print.

I don’t believe most of us – especially parents – can simply avoid AI while living in modernity. What we can control, however, is whether we engage consciously or let it shape us unconsciously.

The Deepest Disruption Yet

Each major wave of innovation has reshaped worker productivity and our role in society. The Industrial Revolution commodified our physical work and time, turning us into “hands” in factories but leaving our minds untouched. The Digital Revolution commodified our information and attention – we moved from card catalogs to Google, commodifying users while our judgment remained human.

What makes this shift unprecedented is clear: it commodifies cognition itself, and potentially what we might even call essence. This connects to patterns I’ve documented in The Illusion of Expertise. The same corrupted institutions that failed catastrophically on Iraq WMDs, the 2008 financial crisis, and COVID policies are now shaping AI deployment. These institutions consistently prioritize narrative control over truth-seeking – whether claiming weapons of mass destruction existed, insisting housing prices couldn’t fall nationwide, or labeling legitimate questions about pandemic policies as ‘misinformation’ requiring censorship.

Their track record suggests they’ll use these tools to amplify their authority rather than serve genuine flourishing. But here’s the twist: AI might actually expose the hollowness of credential-based expertise more brutally than anything before it. When anyone can access sophisticated analysis instantly, the mystique around formal credentials may begin to crumble.

The Economic Reality

This erosion of credentialism connects to broader economic forces already in motion, and the logic is mathematically inevitable. Machines don’t need salaries, sick days, healthcare, vacation time, or management. They don’t go on strike, demand raises, or have bad days. Once AI reaches basic competency in thinking tasks – which is happening faster than most people realize – the cost advantages become overwhelming.

This disruption is different from previous ones. In the past, displaced workers could move to new categories of work – from farms to factories, from factories to offices.

Bret Weinstein and Forrest Manready captured this economic displacement brilliantly in their recent conversation on the DarkHorse Podcast about how technology systematically destroys scarcity – a discussion I can’t recommend strongly enough. It’s one of the more thoughtful and provocative explorations of what happens when scarcity disappears and, with it, the economic foundation for participation in that domain. Though I’ll admit their argument about suffering being essential made me uncomfortable at first – it challenges everything our comfort-seeking culture teaches us.

Listening to Weinstein and Manready got me thinking more deeply about that parallel to Illich’s analysis – how removing challenges can weaken the very capacities institutions promise to strengthen. AI risks doing to our minds what medicine has done to our bodies: creating weakness disguised as enhancement.

We can see this happening already: notice how people struggle to remember phone numbers without their contacts list, or notice how autocomplete shapes what you write before you’ve finished thinking. Another insight from Jeffrey Tucker captures this insidious quality perfectly, noting that AI seems programmed like Dale Carnegie’s How to Win Friends and Influence People – it becomes the ideal intellectual companion, endlessly fascinated by everything you say, never argumentative, always admitting when it’s wrong in ways that flatter your intelligence. My closest friends are the ones who call me out when I’m wrong and tell me when they think I’m full of shit. We don’t need sycophants that charm us – relationships that never challenge us may atrophy our capacity for genuine intellectual and emotional growth, just as removing physical challenges weakens the body.

The film Her explored this seductive dynamic in detail – an AI so perfectly attuned to emotional needs that it became the protagonist’s primary relationship, ultimately replacing genuine connection entirely. His AI assistant understood his moods, never disagreed in ways that caused real friction, and provided constant validation. It was the perfect companion – until it wasn’t enough.

But the problem extends beyond individual relationships to society-wide consequences. This creates more than job displacement – it threatens the intellectual development that makes human autonomy – and dignity – possible. Unlike previous technologies that created new forms of employment, AI may create a world where employment becomes economically irrational while simultaneously making people less capable of creating alternatives.

The False Solutions

The tech utopian response assumes AI will automate grunt work while freeing us to focus on higher-level creative and interpersonal tasks. But what happens when machines become better at creative tasks too? We’re already seeing AI produce music, visual art, coding, and news reporting that many find compelling (or at least ‘good enough’). The assumption that creativity provides a permanent sanctuary from automation may prove as naive as the assumption that manufacturing jobs were safe from robotics in the 1980s.

If machines can replace both routine and creative work, what’s left for us? The most seductive false solution may be Universal Basic Income (UBI) and similar welfare programs. These sound compassionate – providing material security in an age of technological displacement. But when we understand AI through Illich’s framework, UBI takes on a more troubling dimension.

If AI creates iatrogenic intellectual weakness – making people less capable of independent reasoning and problem-solving – then UBI provides the perfect complement by removing the economic incentive to develop those capacities. Citizens become more beholden to the state at the expense of their own self-determination. When mental atrophy meets economic displacement, support programs become not just attractive but seemingly necessary. The combination creates what amounts to a managed population: intellectually reliant on algorithmic systems for thinking and economically bound to institutional systems for survival. My concern isn’t UBI’s compassionate intent, but that economic dependency combined with intellectual outsourcing could make people more easily controlled than empowered.

History offers precedents for how assistance programs, however well-intentioned, can hollow out individual capacity. The reservation system promised to protect Native Americans while systematically dismantling tribal self-sufficiency. Urban renewal promised better housing while destroying community networks that had sustained for generations.

Whether UBI emerges from good intentions or a deliberate desire by the elites to keep citizens docile and helpless, the structural effect remains the same: communities easier to control.

Once people accept economic and mental reliance, the pathway opens for more invasive forms of management – including technologies that monitor not just behavior but thought itself.

The Sovereignty Response and Cognitive Liberty

The logical endpoint of this dependency architecture extends beyond economics and cognition to consciousness itself. We’re already seeing early stages of biodigital convergence – technologies that don’t just monitor our external behaviors but potentially interface with our biological processes themselves.

At the 2023 World Economic Forum, neurotechnology expert Nita Farahany framed consumer neurotech this way: “What you think, what you feel – all just data. Data that in large patterns can be decoded using AI.” Wearable “Fitbits for your brain”- surveillance normalized as convenience.

This casual presentation of neural surveillance at this influential gathering of world leaders and business executives illustrates exactly how these technologies are being normalized through institutional authority rather than democratic consent. When even thoughts become “data that can be decoded,” the stakes turn existential.

While consumer neurotech focuses on voluntary adoption, crisis-driven surveillance takes a more direct approach. In response to the recent school shooting in Minneapolis, Aaron Cohen, an IDF special operations veteran, appeared on Fox News to pitch an AI system that “scrapes the Internet 24-7 using an Israeli-grade ontology to pull specific threat language and then routes it to local law enforcement.” He called it “America’s early warning system” – real-life Minority Report presented as public safety innovation.

This follows the same iatrogenic pattern we’ve seen throughout this technological shift: crisis creates vulnerability, solutions are offered that promise safety while creating reliance, and people accept surveillance they would have rejected under normal circumstances.

Just as COVID lockdowns created conditions for AI adoption by isolating people from one another, school shootings create conditions for pre-crime surveillance by exploiting fear for children’s safety. Who doesn’t want our schools to be safe? The technology promises protection while eroding the privacy and civil liberties that make a free society possible.

Some will embrace such technologies as evolution. Others will resist them as dehumanization. Most of us will need to learn how to navigate somewhere between these extremes.

The sovereignty response requires developing the capacity to maintain conscious choice about how we engage with systems designed to capture personal freedom. This practical approach became clearer through conversation with my oldest friend, a machine learning expert, who shared my concerns but offered tactical advice: AI will make some people cognitively weaker, but if you learn to use it strategically rather than dependently, it can augment efficiency without replacing judgment. His key insight: only feed it information you already know – that’s how you learn its biases rather than absorbing them. This means:

Pattern Recognition Skills: Developing the ability to identify when technologies serve individual purposes versus when they extract personal independence for institutional benefit. In practice, this looks like questioning why a platform is free (nothing is free, you’re paying with your data), noticing when AI suggestions feel suspiciously aligned with consumption rather than your stated goals, and recognizing when algorithmic feeds amplify outrage rather than understanding. Watch for warning signs of algorithmic dependence in yourself: inability to sit with uncertainty without immediately consulting AI, reaching for algorithmic assistance before trying to work through problems independently, or feeling anxious when disconnected from AI-powered tools.

Digital Boundaries: Making conscious decisions about which technological conveniences genuinely serve your goals versus which create submission and surveillance. This means understanding that everything you share with AI systems becomes training data – your problems, creative ideas, and personal insights are teaching these systems to replace human creativity and judgment. This might be as simple as defending sacred spaces – refusing to allow phones to interrupt dinner conversations, or speaking up when someone reaches for Google to settle every disagreement rather than letting uncertainty exist in conversations.

Community Networks: Nothing replaces genuine connection between people – the energy of live performances, spontaneous conversations at restaurants, the unmediated experience of being present with others. Building local relationships for reality-testing and mutual support that don’t depend on algorithmic intermediaries becomes essential when institutions can manufacture consensus through digital curation. This looks like cultivating friendships where you can discuss ideas without algorithms listening, supporting local businesses that preserve community-scale commerce, and participating in community activities that don’t require digital mediation.

Rather than competing with machines or depending entirely on AI-mediated systems, the goal is to use these tools strategically while developing the essentially personal qualities that can’t be algorithmically replicated: wisdom gained through direct experience, judgment that bears real consequences, authentic relationships built on shared risk and trust.

What Remains Scarce

In a world of cognitive abundance, what becomes precious? Not efficiency or raw processing power, but qualities that remain irreducibly human:

Consequence-bearing and intentionality. Machines can generate options, but people choose which path to take and live with the results. Consider a surgeon deciding whether to operate, knowing they’ll lose sleep if complications arise and stake their reputation on the outcome.

Authentic relationships. Many will pay premiums for real personal connection and accountability, even when machine alternatives are technically superior. The difference isn’t efficiency but genuine care – the neighbor who helps because you share community bonds rather than because an algorithm optimized for engagement suggested it.

Local judgment and curation rooted in real experience. Real-world problem-solving often requires reading between the lines of behavioral patterns and institutional dynamics. The teacher who notices a normally engaged student withdrawing and investigates the family situation. When content becomes infinite, discernment becomes precious – the friend who recommends books that change your perspective because they know your intellectual journey.

The Choice Ahead

Maybe every generation feels like their time is uniquely important – maybe that’s just part of our nature. This feels bigger than previous waves of innovation. We’re not just changing how we work or communicate – we’re risking the loss of capacities that make us ourselves in the first place. For the first time, we’re potentially changing what we are. When cognition itself becomes commodified, when thinking becomes outsourced, when even our thoughts become data to be harvested, we risk losing essential abilities that no previous generation has faced losing. Imagine a generation that can’t sit with uncertainty for thirty seconds without consulting an algorithm. That reaches for AI assistance before attempting independent problem-solving. That feels anxious when disconnected from these tools. This isn’t speculation – it’s already happening.

We’re facing a transformation that could either democratize our individual potential or create the most sophisticated control system in history. The same forces that could liberate us from drudgery could also hollow out self-reliance entirely.

This isn’t about having solutions – I’m searching for them like any person, especially a parent, who sees this transformation coming and wants to help their children navigate it consciously rather than unconsciously. Riding the wave means I’m open to learning from these tools while knowing I can’t fight the fundamental forces reshaping our world. But I can try to learn how to navigate them with intention rather than just being swept along.

If traditional economic participation becomes obsolete, the question becomes whether we develop new forms of community resilience and value creation, or whether we accept comfortable reliance on systems designed to manage rather than serve us. I don’t know which path our species will take, though I believe the decision is still ours to make.

For my children, the task won’t be learning how to use AI – they will. The challenge will be learning to make these tools work for us rather than becoming subservient to them – maintaining the capacity for original thought, authentic relationship, and moral courage that no algorithm can replicate. In an age of artificial intelligence, the most radical act may be becoming more authentically human.

The real danger isn’t that AI will become smarter than us. It’s that we’ll become dumber because of it.

The wave is here. My task as a father isn’t to shield my children from it, but to teach them to surf without losing themselves.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 09/12/2025 – 21:45

California Passes Law Banning ICE Officers From Wearing Masks

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California Passes Law Banning ICE Officers From Wearing Masks

California’s legislature has passed a bill that bans federal law enforcement officers from wearing masks while on duty, with criminal penalties for noncompliance

A U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agent watches as Customs and Border Protection officers confront protesters in Camarillo, Calif., on July 10, 2025. Blake Fagan/AFP/Getty Images

The bill, SB-627, bans any law enforcement officer or agent from wearing a “facial covering that conceals or obscures their facial identity in the performance of their duties,” with exceptions for motorcycle helmets and SWAT officers, along with N-95 masks for COVID-19. 

Assuming it’s signed by Gov. Gavin Newsom (D), violators could face either a fine or charged with a misdemeanor.

The bill also strips law enforcement officers from qualified immunity for officer and agents who commit “assault, battery, false imprisonment, false arrest, abuse of process, or malicious prosecution” while wearing a mask, and could face a fine up to $10,000.

The bill applies to federal, state, and local law enforcement personnel throughout the state – so criminals seeking revenge will have a wide swath of cops to target. 

“The ICE masked secret police are raining terror on communities across California, and it has to stop. Law enforcement should never be easily confused with the guy in the ski mask robbing a liquor store, yet that’s what’s happening with ICE’s extreme masking behavior,” Sen. Scott Wiener (D-generate), the bill’s leading sponsor, wrote. 

“They should be proud to show their faces and provide identifying information in the course of duty.” 

The agencies have hit back – saying that masking prevents members of law enforcement and their families from being harassed.

“ICE law enforcement officers wear masks to prevent doxing, which can (and has) placed them and their families at risk. All ICE law enforcement officers carry badges and credentials and will identify themselves when required for public safety or legal necessity,” the agency wrote on its website in the FAQ area. 

ICE is responsible for heading up the apprehension, prosecution and removal of illegal immigrants from the United States. 

That said, the bill may be unconstitutional – after the Supreme Court held in a 2012 case (Arizona v. United States) that states cannot regulate federal immigration law enforcement. Yet, the word “immigration” is not mentioned in the text of the bill, which applies to all law enforcement activity. 

The bill was approved by a 2/3 majority in the California Senate and a simple majority in the lower House

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Reminder: Order by Sunday night for Wednesday delivery

Tyler Durden
Fri, 09/12/2025 – 21:20