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US Defense Secretary Brings Military Discipline Back As Recruitment Surges

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US Defense Secretary Brings Military Discipline Back As Recruitment Surges

One of the enduring embarrassments for the US under Joe Biden was his administration’s handling of the military, from the poorly planned exit from Afghanistan, to forced covid vaccination, to their bizarre recruitment and training policies.  Democrats sought to fundamentally change the fabric of every vital American institution and the Department of Defense was no different.  

Military recruitment imploded and public interest in the services plunged during the rampant degeneracy of progressive rule.  Woke infiltration of the Pentagon and the Department of Defense was rampant.  Top generals were spouting Critical Race Theory propaganda, the US Army was trying to integrate 90 pound women into the Rangers in the name of “equity” and transgender cross-dressers were making TikToks in uniform with the blessing of the Navy while getting sex-change surgeries on the taxpayer’s dime. 

Military recruitment ads went full woke.  An utter humiliation on the world stage that promoted DEI activism over security readiness in the form of childish cartoons.  Noticeably absent from these ads was young white men, the one demographic that traditionally joins in the name of patriotism and is largely responsible for filling recruitment quotas every year.

Is it any wonder that average Americans were less than inspired to volunteer?  Who wants to go to war for a government that wants to destroy western civilization?

Another disturbing trend during Biden’s reign was the general wimpification of troops during basic training due to bans on traditional discipline standards.  This included the removal of harsh drilling methods like the “bay toss” and the “shark attack”.

But the restrictions were not limited to training regiments.  Profanity was also banned in multiple battalions, with threats of a “4 strike” response should anyone, including drill instructors, insult or offend another soldier.  One such ban was initiated at Fort Leonard Wood, Missouri after Trump took office and word apparently reached Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who has made it his personal mission to eliminate the weakness left behind by Biden.

The order was immediately reversed, and Hegseth is talking about bringing back original discipline methods.  

“It starts at basic training. It starts at our military academies,” Hegseth said during an appearance on “The Will Cain Show.”

“We are going back to basics. Drill sergeants will be drill sergeants with knife hands who ensure, who maintain good order and discipline and train up great recruits who will make great formations. Just like we need military officers with that same rigorous discipline and background. So, we’re going back to the basics, and it’s bearing fruit.”

The explanation for getting rid of these standards was less than logical.  Taking a large group of 18-year-olds, most of them living a first-world life of ease, rarely dealing with any discipline during their childhoods under helicopter parents that protected them from every potential scrape and scratch, and then trying to get them ready for war in 10 weeks?  This is an impossible task without using some extreme training methods.

DoD shills like the Sergeant Major in the interview above seem to miss the entire purpose of building mental toughness.  Enduring combat conditions requires emotional control and the ability to shut off panic reactions at will.  Many young recruits have never in their lives dealt with struggle or crisis, mental or physical.  Recreating these conditions in a safe environment requires that instructors “act mean” so that those same trainees don’t lose their composure and die easily in the field if they are ever deployed. 

Furthermore, most current serving personnel and veterans treat the “shark attacks” of basic training as a right of passage and few if any have anything negative to say about the experience.  The erasure of these long respected standards suggests that the Biden Admin and their lackeys were actively attempting to sabotage the training process. 

With Biden’s exit, recruitment has surged.  The US Army met its quotas 4 months ahead of schedule.  The Navy met its active duty goal and the Air Force increased its quotas as volunteers flooded in.  The media tried to dismiss this trend back in April, claiming that it was Biden’s funding incentives that led to the jump in volunteers and that Trump was trying to take credit. 

This is nonsense.  Biden’s presidency sunk recruitment levels to dangerous lows.  Democrat DEI policies were a cancer; their covid mandates and hostility against conservatives didn’t help.  It’s not hard to figure out why Americans are suddenly lining up to join the military – The cancer is gone.          

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 23:00

Trump Vows ‘Movement’ To Eliminate Mail-In Ballots Before 2026 Midterms

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Trump Vows ‘Movement’ To Eliminate Mail-In Ballots Before 2026 Midterms

President Donald Trump on Monday vowed to eliminate mail-in voting, and has vowed to “lead a movement” to do so before the 2026 midterms.

ELECTIONS CAN NEVER BE HONEST WITH MAIL IN BALLOTS/VOTING, and everybody, IN PARTICULAR THE DEMOCRATS, KNOWS THIS,” Trump wrote on Truth Social. “I, AND THE REPUBLICAN PARTY, WILL FIGHT LIKE HELL TO BRING HONESTY AND INTEGRITY BACK TO OUR ELECTIONS.”

The announcement followed Trump’s meeting in Alaska with Russian President Vladimir Putin last weekend, where Putin allegedly told Trump that the 2020 election “was rigged because you have mail-in voting,” according to Trump’s subsequent interview with Fox News‘ Sean Hannity.

Later in the day during a presser with Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelensky, Trump called mail-in ballots a “fraud.”

Trump also indicated on Monday that he would sign an executive order assisting with the effort to roll back mail-in voting (which will be immediately overturned by a Democrat judge), and would target voting machines – instead favoring watermark paper for ballots. 

“Now they need that money in order to have the Post Office work so it can take all of these millions and millions of ballots,” Trump told Fox Business in a 2020 interview. “By the way, those are just two items, but if they don’t get those two items that means you can’t have universal mail-in voting.”

The use of mail-in ballots skyrocketed during the COVID-19 pandemic, and has remained high in subsequent elections. 

Trump also said that Democrats are “virtually Unelectable” without mail-in ballots, and that early voting had given Democrats an advantage. 

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 22:48

Mamdani’s “Affordability” Agenda Could Be Extremely Costly

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Mamdani’s “Affordability” Agenda Could Be Extremely Costly

Submitted by Open The Books

Zohran Mamdani, the 33-year-old democratic socialist likely to be the next mayor of New York City, won the June democratic primary with the promise of making the city more affordable. His plans include more free or low-cost services, including creating city-owned grocery stores, making all city buses free, freezing rents on stabilized apartments, providing free childcare and raising taxes on the wealthy.

While that’s worrisome enough in a city facing potential annual budget gaps of $13 billion, a far more insidious threat to a Mamdani-run city are his anti-law enforcement and pro-offender stances and policy prescriptions.

The shooting rampage in midtown – which left an office dead — put those positions back in the spotlight, even spurring a press conference in which Mamdani downplayed old comments. He chalked them up to frustration over the death of George Floyd.

Detractors say his views could flip the country’s largest city from being one of the safest for gun violence and return it to the early 1990s era when there were 2,245 murders. His supporters counter that the mayor isn’t unilaterally powerful; additional sanctuary policies and major changes to police budgets and operations require approval from the City County or the State Assembly.

But the truth is, if elected, Mamdani would only be joining a large group of city and state politicians who have taken the radical left road of supporting those under arrest more than those who are victims of crimes.

And New Yorkers are already paying them handsomely.

While they support elements of critical legal theory and so-called racial justice, they are pulling in six-figure public salaries from the Assembly to the City Council to the comptroller’s office.

Expanding Sanctuary City Status

Mamdani is inherently anti-law enforcement, be it the NYPD, corrections officers or federal agents like Immigration and Customs Enforcement. His social media posts and comments while running for and holding the office of state assembly member made it clear that he dislikes police and wants to defund them. Now he claims he won’t.

But in fact, Mamdani sees NYC’s sanctuary city laws as too weak. Under current policy no one is asked their immigration status; homeless migrants are given free housing, food and pre-paid debit cards; and police are forbidden to cooperate with ICE on immigration matters.

Currently the NYPD still works with federal law enforcement like FBI and Homeland Security in cases where noncitizens have been convicted of serious or violent crimes. But Mamdani has said he would further restrict cooperation with federal authorities.

“The Trump administration is waging war on the First Amendment and our constitutional rights as it continues to abduct New Yorkers from across our city, “ he said in a candidate survey leading up to the primary. “Any effort to cooperate with these efforts is a moral stain on our city. We should strengthen our sanctuary city laws.”

Restricting — and Defunding? — Police

The NYPD is understaffed — it has 6,000 fewer cops than it did in 2000 when the force peaked at 40,000.

And it’s losing more every day.

Scott Munro, president of the Detectives’ Endowment Association, said there were 7,200 detectives before 9/11, but now there are fewer than 5,000. As of March, almost 400 had filed for retirement this year.

Michael Alcazar, a former NYPD detective who now teaches criminal justice at John Jay College, said the average detective is now handling more than 500 cases a year while also working patrol shifts.

Police officers continue to leave in droves, attracted by better pay elsewhere or frustrated by anti-police sentiment. The police commissioner has called it a “hiring crisis.”

The shrunken police force is also hampered by the new “How Many Stops Act” that mandates they collect and report data on all investigative encounters with the public. That includes low-level encounters not previously recorded, like helping a tourist with directions or helping a sick train passenger. Good Samaritanism now requires paperwork.

Unsurprisingly, the understaffed police department, forced into busy work, now have a record high response time of over 16 minutes for 911 calls, the highest times found in records dating back to the mid-1990s.

That’s as police work mandatory overtime; taxpayers have spent an unprecedented $1.2 billion on it so far in FY 2025. That’s more than twice what was budgeted for the year.

While Mamdani has walked back his years-long call to defund the police, claiming he won’t make workforce cuts, but he does plan to cut the police overtime budget. That’s tantamount to cutting the force when billions of dollars in enforcement happen beyond normal shift hours.

Instead, he wants to fund a Department of Community Safety that will have expanded “violence interrupter” programs and mental health teams, to the tune of $1.1 billion.

The budget would consist of $605 million transferred from existing city programs, and $455 million in new funding. He plans to raise it through increased property taxes in areas Mamdani has described as “richer and whiter.”

The democratic socialist also plans to eliminate the NYPD’s unit known as the Strategic Response Group that responds to protests.

Mamdani’s public safety plan claims the new Department of Community Safety will alleviate police workload so they can “do their actual jobs” and have the new department “fill the gaps of our programs and services.”

If he was interested in police doing their jobs, he’d alter his plan to cut their overtime and transfer some calls to social workers.

The police rank-and-file have said they will resign en masse if Mamdani is elected.

Releasing the Prisoners

Plans to close the Rikers Island jail complex and open borough-based jails have been in the works since the administration of Bill de Blasio, and with it has come the need to trim the jail population.

As of March, 7,067 people were incarcerated at Rikers, while the four yet-to-be-built jails (planned for all boroughs except Staten Island) are expected to hold 4,160 people beginning in 2027, at a cost of $16 billion.

This spring, NYC jails were turned over to a federal receiver — or independent manager — since jail officials effectively ignored a 2015 settlement that a court-appointed federal monitor team address issues like excessive force and violence in jails.

Jails have not become any less violent, and the Mayor Eric Adams administration has seen an uptick in arrests, bolstering a jail population that liberal leaders hoped would be dwindling by now.

But more arrests doesn’t mean more people staying in jail.

Since 2020, New York State ended the use of cash bail and pre-trial detention for most cases involving misdemeanors and lower-level felonies.

The law made release rather than detention the default in these cases, and those arrested for anything from assault, to burglary, robbery, arson, and many drug offenses, are back on the streets the next day.

In the first full year no cash bail was implemented, 3,460 adults were rearrested on violent felony charges — assault, rape and attempted murder — while their initial cases were still pending.

Of the 98,145 cases where individuals were released in that first year, nearly one-third led to a new arrest (mostly misdemeanors and nonviolent felonies) while their initial cases were still pending.

State legislators have amended the law since it passed in 2019 to give judges some discretion, although most crimes are still not eligible for bail.

Mamdani argues, it isn’t lenient enough.

To slim down the number of incarcerated, he’s said he would work with district attorneys to release more people pretrial or divert others from prosecution, according to the candidate survey.

He said there’s a need to invest in alternatives for incarceration, including supportive housing.

Other Leaders Failing NYC Residents

Mamdani’s blunt, candid policy comments in past years – paired with his proud declaration that he’s a democratic socialist – have made him a lightning rod. But plenty of current elect leaders are also radicals – out of touch with regular New Yorkers who want their streets clean and safe.

Their progressive policies, including those that make it harder for police to do their jobs, have paved the way for Mamdani to be attractive to enough voters to get him into City Hall.

When the City Council voted to pass the “How Many Stops Act,” Mayor Eric Adams, a former cop, vetoed it. But the council overrode his veto, implementing a law designed to tie the hands of police and make them think twice about engaging someone they see on the street.

Public Advocate Jumaane Williams, a progressive activist who runs the watchdog arm of the city government, backed that bill, not at all shocking given his history of stoking anti-cop sentiment during 2020 Black Lives Matter protests in the city. Willaims raked in $184,800 from taxpayers last year.

When police do make arrests, oftentimes a District Attorney won’t prosecute if they’re anywhere other than Staten Island. DAs in the Bronx, Manhattan, Queens and Brooklyn have effectively rewritten the city’s laws on their own.

“If you’re interested in stealing a car, the absolute best place to do it in New York City is in the Bronx,” Police Commissioner Jessica Tisch said recently, referring to Bronx DA Darcel Clark. “Why? Because chances are good that you’ll only be charged with misdemeanor criminal possession of stolen property and then sent on your way.”

Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg decided in 2022 to no longer charge people for marijuana misdemeanors, including selling more than three ounces. He also stopped charging for not paying public transportation fare, trespassing except a fourth degree stalking charge, resisting arrest, obstructing governmental administration in certain cases, and prostitution. Bragg, who gained brief fame in his attempt to prosecute President Trump, collects $232,600 from taxpayers.

Queens DA Melinda Katz and Brooklyn DA Eric Gonzalez stopped prosecuting prostitution and Gonzalez stopped prosecuting possession of excessive amounts of cannabis. Like Bragg, they each make $232,600 per year.

NYC Comptroller Brad Lander, who ran against Mamdani, former Gov. Andrew Cuomo and eight others in the June democratic primary for mayor, received 11% of votes. His latest attempt to get some good press with progressives included purposely getting arrested by ICE agents while trying to help an immigrant escape arrest at a courthouse — with lots of reporters present.

He and Mamdani brokered a cross-endorsement agreement that had Lander on the election-night stage with Mamdani as he celebrated his primary win.

Lander, as formal a Mamdani backer as can be, makes $209,050 from taxpayers. But in overseeing the city’s budget and pension funds, he’s made ideology a priority and come up relatively short for retirees.

According to City Journal:

Since Lander took on the role in 2022, the pension funds have returned less than 3 percent annually—during one of the strongest bull markets in living memory.

He moved more funds into investments that fulfilled ESG standards, divested from fossil fuels, diverted money into local affordable-housing projects, and has chosen not to reinvest in Israeli bonds. No clear economic justification exists for any of these decisions.

It’s not just in New York City where radical policies take hold.

Statewide, members of the New York State Legislature not only voted in 2019 for ending the use of cash bail and pre-trial detention for many cases, they gave themselves a 29% pay raise in December 2022.

For comparison, NYPD recruits start at just over $60,000, working in a city filled with elected officials who keep making the job less and less attractive. While cops can retire on much higher pay, many never get there, leaving for greener pastures with better pay and where officials have the backs of police officers.

The $1.2 billion spent on mandatory overtime last fiscal year represents 17% of the total police payroll. “Other” pay represents another 12%.

So while Mamdani says he won’t cut the police budget, all his proposals look an awful lot like cuts: slashing overtime and refusing to add to the police headcount means a force already stretched thin will have to do more with less.

Salaries Of Radical NY Officials

*Was $110,000 in 2019 when they passed the bail reform bill. Members gave themselves a 29% pay raise in December 2022.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 22:35

Syria’s Sharaa Government Preps 50,000 Troops For Large Anti-Kurd Offensive In Northeast

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Syria’s Sharaa Government Preps 50,000 Troops For Large Anti-Kurd Offensive In Northeast

Authored by Jason Ditz via AntiWar.com,

The Islamist Syrian government is trying to give the impression they support peaceful unity in Syria, with President Ahmed al-Sharaa saying he believed Syria should be unified by some sort of understanding instead of by military force, because the Syrian people are tired of war.

His government’s actions tell a different story though, as after spurning Kurdish integration talks last week and refusing to allow any Druze to attend talks on the violence in Druze territory a few days later, the government is preparing a massive offensive against the Kurds.

Syrian female Kurdish fighter (YPJ), via AFP

Seeking to capture the Raqqa and Deir Ezzor Governorates from the Kurdish SDF’s control, the military is preparing some 50,000 troops for an offensive. The plan is to mass the troops at the city of Palmyra and sweep into Kurdish-controlled areas.

The SDF has an agreement in principle to integrate into the Syrian military, though it has been slowed by disagreements over the process.

The US has been critical of the SDF for delays, and envoy Tom Barrack has warned the Kurds that federalism “doesn’t work” and they must accept integration.

For the past decade the US has repeatedly backed the SDF against ISIS. Now, it seems they are increasingly aligned with Sharaa, with President Trump praising him as strong and attractive.

The US has also drawn down most of its forces from Kurdish territory, with their last substantial presence now far south at al-Tanf. The offensive against the SDF is expected some time before October, but it reportedly won’t happen without a US green light.

Map: the height of the Rojava project prior to fuller Turkish military cross-border intervention of the past years…

That would’ve been unthinkable in the past, though the administration’s current priority of uniting Syria behind the Islamist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) may have changed things, and the narrative that the Kurds are delaying the process may lead the US to quietly give Syria the go-ahead to attack their long-standing allies.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 21:45

What Happened? DC Restaurant Activity Suddenly Collapses

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What Happened? DC Restaurant Activity Suddenly Collapses

Reading over the “Fast Casual Not Immune to Industry Pressures” note this morning via UBS analyst Dennis Geiger, the view is that restaurant demand is uneven, and while casual dining showed resilience with solid results, fast casual players like CAVA have revised outlooks this year and remain cautious on diners, reflecting broader macroeconomic pressures.

But our focus on Geiger’s note is the reservation and diner activity data collected by research firm OpenTable. Because millions of people book tables through OpenTable across the U.S., the data is a high-frequency proxy for restaurant demand and dining trends. 

That leaves us with a state-by-state analysis of the latest OpenTable trends for the first half of August, which show solid restaurant activity across the U.S., but a massive outlier in Washington, D.C

The sharp drop in restaurant activity across D.C. last week is puzzling. Maybe the elites in the nation’s capital slipped away for one last vacation before the school year starts, whether to Ocean City, Maryland, Rehoboth Beach, or the mountains of Western Maryland. 

But what if the slowdown wasn’t driven by outbound travel at all – but by something else?

We suspect that President Trump’s deployment of 800 National Guard troops, along with hundreds of federal law enforcement officers, to crack down on years of out-of-control violent crime, homelessness, the drug and overdose crisis, and other signs of decay in a city run by far-left Democrats, may have contributed to the decline in restaurant activity.

Or maybe those DOGE-driven layoffs are finally starting to bite… definitely something to keep an eye on.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 21:20

How Much Energy Does ChatGPT’s Newest Model Consume?

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How Much Energy Does ChatGPT’s Newest Model Consume?

Authored by Haley Zaremba via OilPrice.com,

  • The energy consumption of the newest version of ChatGPT is significantly higher than previous models, with estimates suggesting it could be up to 20 times more energy-intensive than the first version.

  • There is a severe lack of transparency regarding the energy use and environmental impact of AI models, as there are no mandates forcing AI companies to disclose this information.

  • The increasing energy demands of AI are contributing to rising electricity costs for consumers and raising concerns about the broader environmental impact of the tech industry.

How much energy does the newest version of ChatGPT consume? No one knows for sure, but one thing is certain – it’s a whole lot. OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, hasn’t released any official figures for the large language model’s energy footprints, but academics are working to quantify the energy use for query – and it’s considerably higher than for previous models. 

There are no mandates forcing AI companies to disclose their energy use or environmental impact, so most do not offer up those kinds of statistics publicly. As of May of this year, 84 percent of all large language model traffic was conducted on AI models with zero environmental disclosures. 

“It blows my mind that you can buy a car and know how many miles per gallon it consumes, yet we use all these AI tools every day and we have absolutely no efficiency metrics, emissions factors, nothing,” says Sasha Luccioni, climate lead at an AI company called Hugging Face.

“It’s not mandated, it’s not regulatory. Given where we are with the climate crisis, it should be top of the agenda for regulators everywhere,” she continued.

Sam Altman, the Chief Executive Officer of OpenAI, has thrown out some figures into the public sphere – saying that ChatGPT consumes 0.34 watt-hours of energy and 0.000085 gallons of water per query – but has left out key details like what model these numbers refer to, and has offered no backup or corroboration for his statements. 

Experts from outside the OpenAI fold have estimated that ChatGPT-5 may use as much as 20 times more energy as the first version of ChatGPT, and at the very least uses several times more.

“A more complex model like GPT-5 consumes more power both during training and during inference. It’s also targeted at long thinking … I can safely say that it’s going to consume a lot more power than GPT-4,” Rakesh Kumar, a professor at the University of Illinois, recently told The Guardian. Kumar’s current work focuses on AI’s energy consumption. 

While a query to ChatGPT in 2023 would have consumed about 2 watt-hours, researchers at the University of Rhode Island’s AI lab found that ChatGPT-5 can use up to 40 watt-hours of electricity to configure a medium-length response (around 1,000 tokens).

On average, they estimate that the model uses slightly over 18 watt-hours for such a response.

This places ChatGPT-5 at a higher energy consumption rate than any other of the AI models they track save for two: OpenAI’s o3 reasoning model and Deepseek’s R1.

Calculating these estimated energy consumption rates was no easy feat, considering the severe lack of transparency in the sector, in spite of increasing scrutiny.

“It’s more critical than ever to address AI’s true environmental cost,” University of Rhode Island professor Marwan Abdelatti told The Guardian.

“We call on OpenAI and other developers to use this moment to commit to full transparency by publicly disclosing GPT-5’s environmental impact.”

While tech companies consume more and more energy each year to power their AI ambitions, common consumers are suffering the consequences. It’s consumers who are footing the bill for skyrocketing energy usage. The New York Times warns that “electricity rates for individuals and small businesses could rise sharply as Amazon, Google, Microsoft and other technology companies build data centers and expand into the energy business.”

“We are witnessing a massive transfer of wealth from residential utility customers to large corporations—data centers and large utilities and their corporate parents, which profit from building additional energy infrastructure,” Maryland People’s Counsel David Lapp recently told Business Insider.

“Utility regulation is failing to protect residential customers, contributing to an energy affordability crisis.”

Moreover, Silicon Valley’s backtracking on climate pledges will directly impact global communities, whether or not they ever use AI.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 20:55

Explosion Rocks Cargo Ship Departing Baltimore Harbor

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Explosion Rocks Cargo Ship Departing Baltimore Harbor

An explosion has been reported on a cargo ship traveling through the outbound shipping lane of Baltimore’s Inner Harbor near the collapsed Francis Scott Key Bridge.

According to shipping expert Sal Mercogliano, the cargo ship MV W Sapphire “suffered an explosion in its forward hold” and was “fully loaded” at the time of the incident.

Mercogliano said the W Sapphire “had just departed from the CSX Curtis Bay coal piers in Baltimore” and suggested “this may have been a coal explosion in the forward hold.”

Shipping expert John Konrad notes, “Coal can create methane and is subject to self-heating and liquefication. Bulkers can explode…” 

Baltimore City Fire spokesperson John Marsh told local station WBAL-TV that the explosion occurred around 6:28 p.m. local time. No details were provided about the source of the blast.

*Developing… 

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 20:37

Restoring Law & Order In Crime-Ridden Cities May Be Key To Resolving Affordability Crisis

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Restoring Law & Order In Crime-Ridden Cities May Be Key To Resolving Affordability Crisis

President Trump ordered “emergency price relief” for Americans on housing costs in an executive order earlier this year to address the housing affordability crisis

“Many Americans are unable to purchase homes due to historically high prices, in part due to regulatory requirements that alone account for 25 percent of the cost of constructing a new home, according to recent analysis,” an executive action signed by President Trump in January read. 

But what if the administration had another option?

One far quicker than reducing regulatory requirements to expand housing stock, which could take months if not years… What if the fastest solution wasn’t simply deporting millions of criminal illegal aliens, but restoring law and order in major cities run by far-left politicians who push disastrous woke policies that only backfired and resulted in continued violent crime waves over the last decade?   

The fastest way to lower average housing prices in American cities is to enforce the law/reduce criminal activity.  Huge chunks of high-density housing are trapped in Bad Neighborhoods, no-go zones depressed well below nearby prices.  Nobody with options even considers them,” Anduril co-founder Palmer Luckey wrote on X. 

Take Baltimore City, Maryland, as a prime example: the metro area just north of Washington, D.C., has more than 14,000 vacant homes, many of them located in neighborhoods plagued by violent crime and controlled by far-left radicals of the Democratic Party for over 50 years.

These areas resemble war zones, left in ruins by toxic progressive policies and decades of de-industrialization

Let’s assume Palmer is correct. If the crime-ridden neighborhoods of Baltimore, the same ones made infamous by HBO’s The Wire, could finally see law and order restored, families and communities would naturally begin to rebuild. Until then, decades of failed Democratic policies have allowed inner cities to rot into war zones, disenfranchising working-class residents most of all. Restoring law and order in America’s metro areas will be key to unlocking vacant homes and expanding the housing stock.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 20:30

Beijing Lab Builds Pocket-Sized Air And Missile Defense Powerhouse

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Beijing Lab Builds Pocket-Sized Air And Missile Defense Powerhouse

In Beijing, defence scientists have built a miniaturised travelling-wave tube (TWT) – a device about the size of a pistol that can amplify microwave pulses between 8 and 18 gigahertz at more than 500 watts, according to the South China Morning Post.

Once bulky and difficult to integrate into aircraft, satellites and stealth systems, this downsized TWT is now powering China’s latest radar and electronic warfare platforms.

“With technological advancements, domestically produced miniaturised travelling-wave tubes have seen significant improvements in bandwidth, power output, and efficiency,” wrote lead scientist Shi Xuechun of the China Electronics Technology Group Corporation.

Shi noted that when combined with broadband phased array antennas, the tubes “greatly enhance the detection range and accuracy of air defense and missile defense radar systems, while also boosting the jamming effectiveness and operational reach of multi-beam electronic warfare systems.”

SCMP writes that Shi’s team reduced the TWT’s height to just 20mm — less than half that of Western models — by redesigning the magnetic focusing system, compressing the electron gun, and preventing vacuum arcing through precision engineering.

They also replaced aluminium with beryllium oxide ceramic in the collector, which absorbs heat. “The heat transfer efficiency increases nine to 10 times,” the researchers said.

The result is a tube measuring only 185 by 30 by 20mm, with over 549 watts of output power and efficiency above 97 percent. Packaged into a microwave power module, the entire unit is about the size of an iPad.

Chinese engineers describe this progress as the cumulative effect of many small refinements. “It is like drops filling a reservoir, these changes accumulate,” said a Beijing-based defence tech expert. “By filling one cup at a time, eventually it will be full.”

At this year’s World Radar Expo, China displayed more than 100 advanced systems, from airborne and naval radars to quantum and cognitive warfare platforms. Reports suggest Chinese-supplied radars also played a role in a recent India-Pakistan conflict, helping J-10 fighters down Indian Rafale jets before they could respond.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 18:50

Trump Says Putin, Zelensky To Soon Meet, ‘Everyone Very Happy’ About Chances For Peace

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Trump Says Putin, Zelensky To Soon Meet, ‘Everyone Very Happy’ About Chances For Peace

Update1835ETPresident Trump has issued a major statement following the high stakes afternoon meetings with Ukraine’s Zelensky, who finally put on a suit this time, and seven EU leaders.

Trump announced that he spoke with Russian President Vladimir Putin by phone and initiated plans for a meeting between Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. There is further after that a trilateral meeting coming, at an as yet undisclosed time and place. He called the development “very good” and said “everyone is very happy about the possibility of PEACE”. So far, Russian state media has reacted only vaguely with the following via TASS:

US President Donald Trump interrupted his talks with Vladimir Zelensky and European leaders to call Russian President Vladimir Putin, Germany’s Bild newspaper reports, citing its Deputy Editor-in-Chief Paul Ronzheimer.

According to Bild, the White House consultations are expected to continue after the call.

TASS futher noted that “Trump said on Monday that making a peace agreement did not require a ceasefire for Ukraine because hostilities could not prevent the parties from working on a deal.”

Trump seems to be presenting this as a breakthrough, but much will be determined in the coming hours and days based on the Kremlin’s interpretation of all of this.

Earlier, some visible tensions in the room…

* * *

Update(1545ET): A big talking point from today has been security guarantees – with European leaders and the US appearing to be on the same page so far, and of course Zelensky is welcoming this as well. 

As a reminder, the Kremlin has said over and over again that it would never accept Western troops enforcing anything inside Ukraine…

Update(1320ET): President Trump clearly appreciated that Zelensky actually showed up at the White House in a suit, in all black, after the Ukrainian delegation pulled up and quickly was welcomed into the White House.

Here’s how RT presented one somewhat wild exchange during the opening press Q&A inside the Oval Office:

Reporter: Are you open to holding elections in your country?

Zelensky: Of course… *then lists every reason not to hold one*

Trump: So if we’re at war 3.5 years from now — no more elections? Room bursts into laughter

Clearly Zelensky didn’t want to risk offending Trump before the high-stakes meeting – which also involves seven EU leaders – before it even started.

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Ukraine’s President Zelensky has arrived in Washington with an entourage of European leaders sizeable enough that one wonders where they will all fit within the Oval Office for the highly anticipated meeting with President Trump to talk Ukraine peace, after Friday’s big – and controversial – Putin summit in Alaska.

No less than seven EU leaders are traveling to be there, including French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni, Finnish President Alexander Stubb and NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte.

“We all share a strong desire to end this war quickly and reliably. And peace must be lasting,” Zelensky stated while en route to Washington. “I am confident that we will defend Ukraine, effectively guarantee security, and that our people will always be grateful to President Trump, everyone in America, and every partner and ally for their support and invaluable assistance. Russia must end this war, which it itself started.”

The European leaders will no doubt show up wearing the appropriate attire, but will Zelensky be in a suit this time? The White House has actually requested it. “The White House asked Ukrainian officials if President Volodymyr Zelensky will wear a suit to his meeting with President Trump in the Oval Office on Monday, two sources with direct knowledge tell Axios,” Axios reports. If he doesn’t this could possibly create subtle tensions from the beginning, and we know that the last Oval meeting involving Zelensky didn’t go so well.

The Institute for the Study of War

The hightly ‘constructive’ and positive meeting in Alaska resulted in Putin suggesting a tentative agreement had been reached after meeting with the US president, while Trump downplayed the outcome by reminding, “There’s no deal until there’s a deal.” In a subsequent interview, Trump noted that any agreement would require Ukraine’s approval and said he would advise the Zelensky government to consider making a deal – and no doubt this caused the Europeans a sigh of relief.

Currently there remain mixed messages coming from within the Trump administration about how much progress is being made, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio indicating that a ceasefire is still on the table – and that compromises will have to be made by both sides, including on the area of territory.

Bloomberg in fresh analysis has pointed out that jumping straight into peace negotiations could benefit Putin by giving him time to improve his position on the battlefield and the ability to shift the blame to Zelensky if talks fall through. Sanctions would also be delayed, and the chances of new sanctions currently appear low. Zelensky and European leaders are expected to push back against this possibility – which would leave Putin in the driver’s seat with little consequences – in their discussions with Trump.

Below are some likely outcome scenarios and fresh analysis via Bloomberg:

  • Zelenkiy’s key aims are securing a lasting ceasefire, NATO-like security guarantees, and sustained sanctions on Russia if Moscow rejects peace terms. He will also insist on participation in all talks, stressing that decisions about Ukraine’s future require Ukrainian input.

  • Ukraine has signaled some flexibility on de facto control along current frontlines, but refuses to formally cede territory, including Crimea, seeing this as unconstitutional and a prelude to further Russian aggression. Kyiv also rejects any limits on its military or European Union aspirations, as well as Russian demands on domestic issues such as language rights.

  • Ukraine is likely to reject any Russian proposal to withdraw from the fortified 25% of Donetsk it controls in exchange for Russia leaving small pockets in Kharkiv and Sumy. Kyiv sees Donetsk as vital to its defense and a barrier to further offensives, while Russia’s presence in Kharkiv and Sumy carries little strategic value, making such a deal unattractive.

  • Zelenskiy also remains wary of deals without enforceable security guarantees, given Moscow’s record of treaty violations. Ukraine’s strategy is to resist pressure for unfavorable terms while preserving unity with European allies.

  • Meanwhile, European leaders will seek to ensure Kyiv’s interests are fully reflected in any settlement. They will also likely press Washington to support a credible, European-led framework to deter Russia from future offensives, while urging Trump that economic pressure on Moscow must intensify unless Putin shows genuine readiness to end the war.

Bloomberg Trump-Zelensky meeting matrix on each side’s desired outcomes:

The bottom line is that a swift peace deal remains unlikely, given the gulf between Kyiv and Moscow,” concludes Bloomberg. “The challenge for Zelenskiy and European leaders is to accommodate Trump’s push for a quick win, while avoiding a settlement deeply unfavorable to Ukraine and Europe’s security.”

Delegations are expected arrive around midday, and several hours of meetings will follow. The schedule:

  • Noon (16:00 GMT): European leaders arrive at the White House.
  • 1pm (17:00 GMT): Zelenskyy arrives at the White House.
  • 1:15pm (17:15 GMT): Meeting held between Trump and Zelenskyy in the Oval Office.
  • 2:15pm (18:15 GMT): Trump greets the European leaders in the State Dining Room.
  • 2:30pm (18:30 GMT): A “family photo” taken in Cross Hall.
  • 3pm (19:00 GMT): A multilateral meeting held in the East Room.

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Below are more details and headline news stories related to Ukraine and Russia, and what to watch out for today, via Newsquawk:

MONDAY

  • White House said US President Trump will greet Ukrainian President Zelensky at 13:00EDT/18:00BST on Monday and will participate in a bilateral meeting with Zelensky at 13:15EDT/18:15BST, while European leaders will arrive at the White House on Monday at 12:00EDT/17:00BST and President Trump will greet European leaders at 14:15EDT/19:15BST with a multilateral meeting to take place at 15:00EDT/20:00BST.

  • “European leaders have 3 main goals in DC today 1) pin down more details on poss US security guarantees; 2) work on preparations for the poss trilateral Putin, Zelensky & Trump meeting, and 3) push back forcefully on the idea of “land swaps”, via Eurasia.

  • Click here for the Newsquawk multilateral meeting.

US

  • US President Trump said they made great progress in the meeting with Russian President Putin which he said was “a 10” and there are just a few points left to agree upon and a few things left to resolve, but added there is no deal until there is a deal and there are one or two significant items left to agree on and it is ultimately up to NATO and Ukraine to agree. Trump said they negotiated on NATO, security and land, while he also stated that he could meet Putin again soon and could see a Moscow meeting possibly happening, as well as noted that Putin wants to see an end to the killing like he does.

  • US President Trump commented on Truth Social that it was a great and very successful day in Alaska and that the meeting with Russian President Putin went very well, as did a late-night phone call with Ukrainian President Zelensky and various European leaders. Trump added it was determined by all that the best way to end the Russia-Ukraine war is to go directly to a peace agreement and not a mere ceasefire agreement which often does not hold. Furthermore, he said Zelensky will visit the Oval Office on Monday afternoon, and if all works out, they will then schedule a meeting with Putin.

  • US President Trump posted “President Zelenskyy of Ukraine can end the war with Russia almost immediately, if he wants to, or he can continue to fight. Remember how it started. No getting back Obama given Crimea (12 years ago, without a shot being fired!), and NO GOING INTO NATO BY UKRAINE. Some things never change!!!”

  • US Special Envoy Witkoff said US President Trump and Russian President Putin agreed at their summit that the US would be able to offer security guarantees to Ukraine.

  • US Secretary of State Rubio said both Ukraine and Russia will have to make concessions to get a peace deal and there were things discussed in the Trump-Putin meeting that have potential for breakthroughs to end the war. Rubio suggested that to end the war, there are things Russia and Ukraine want but cannot get and it may not be possible for the US to create a scenario to end the war in Ukraine. Furthermore, he said security guarantees will be discussed in Monday’s meeting with Ukrainian President Zelensky and others, while Rubio added that he is not saying they are on the verge of a Russia-Ukraine peace deal, but they saw enough movement to justify a follow-up meeting with Zelensky.

  • US President Trump said in a pre-recorded interview with Fox that if they have to do sanctions, they will do it and the next meeting will have both Ukrainian President Zelensky and Russian President Putin.

UKRAINE

  • Ukrainian President Zelensky said Ukraine is ready for constructive cooperation and will travel to Washington D.C. on Monday, while he added that Ukraine reaffirms its readiness to work with maximum effort to achieve peace and the call with US President Trump and Europeans discussed positive signals and lasted for more than 90 minutes. Furthermore, he said Ukraine supports President Trump’s proposal for a trilateral meeting between Ukraine, the US and Russia. It was separately reported that Zelensky said he emphasised to Trump that pressure on Russia should be stepped up and noted that security must be guaranteed reliably and in the long term.

  • Ukrainian President Zelensky announced he arrived in the US and is grateful to President Trump for the invitation, while he added that they all equally want to end this war swiftly and securely, as well as hopes their shared strength with America and European friends will compel Russia to real peace.

  • Ukrainian President Zelensky said Ukrainian forces saw a success for a second day in a row repelling a Russian assault near Dobropillya and Russia might step up frontline attacks in the coming days. It was separately reported that Ukraine’s military said its forces advanced up to two kilometres on the Sumy front.

RUSSIA

  • Russian President Putin said he is sincerely interested in ending the conflict, but all ‘root causes’ must be eliminated and all Russia’s concerns must be taken into account. Putin said negotiations were productive and useful. Putin said the personal meeting has been overdue and was necessary to rectify the situation, while he hopes that a mutual understanding will bring peace to Ukraine and he agrees with US President Trump on the need for Ukraine’s security. Furthermore, he said the agreements should be a starting point and that a Russia-US Investment partnership has huge potential. It was also reported that Putin told Trump that if Ukraine fully withdraws from eastern Donetsk and Luhansk regions, Russia would freeze the front line in the southern regions of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia. It was also reported that the Kremlin said a trilateral summit with Ukraine was not discussed yet and there is no date set for another Trump-Putin meeting.

  • Senior Russian diplomat said Russia agrees any future peace agreement on Ukraine must provide security guarantees to Kyiv, but Moscow also needs guarantees, while the official said the West has not been thinking about security guarantees for Russia, and this needs to be corrected with Moscow ready to assist.

  • Russia said its air defence systems intercepted and destroyed 300 Ukrainian drones, while it announced it hit a storage site for Ukrainian Sapsan operational-tactical missiles, according to IFAX. It was also reported that Russia’s FSB security service said it prevented a Ukrainian drone attack on the Smolensky nuclear power plant.

EUROPE

  • European leaders have been invited to join US President Trump’s meeting with Ukrainian President Zelensky at the White House on Monday and it was reported that UK PM Starmer, German Chancellor Merz, French President Macron, Italian PM Meloni, Finland’s President Stubb, European Commission President von der Leyen and NATO Secretary General Rutte will join the Trump-Zelensky meeting on Monday.

  • European leaders issued a joint statement on the Trump-Putin summit in which they stated that they welcome US President Trump’s efforts and support for providing security guarantees, while they added that Russia cannot have a veto on Ukraine’s pathway to the EU and NATO.

  • EU Council President Costa said transatlantic unity is paramount at this moment to achieve a lasting peace in Ukraine and if no ceasefire is agreed, the EU and the US must increase pressure on Russia, while he added that Ukraine’s sovereign right to determine its conditions for peace must be respected.

  • EU Commission spokesperson said Ukraine’s allies held a positive exchange ahead of Monday’s meeting with US President Trump and the video conference focused on key matters such as the need to stop the killing in Ukraine and the commitment to maintain full pressure on Russia via sanctions.

  • German Chancellor Merz said the US is ready to take part in security guarantees for Ukraine, while he added they would have liked there to have been an agreement on a ceasefire and stated there are no territorial negotiations on Ukraine that are going over the heads of the Europeans. It was separately reported that Germany’s Foreign Minister said any Ukraine peace agreement requires security guarantees for Ukraine, and that Europe is ready to provide them together with the US.

  • French President Macron said the situation ahead of talks in Washington is extremely serious for Ukraine and Europe, while he added they want Ukraine’s territorial integrity to be respected and want a strong and lasting peace for Ukraine. Macron said their goal for talks on Monday is to present a united front between Ukraine and its European allies, as well as warned that if they show weakness today in front of Russia, they are laying the ground for future conflicts. Furthermore, Macron said he thinks the answer is no to the question of whether he thinks Russian President Putin wants peace.

  • Statement from the Nordic Baltic eight leaders noted that they will continue to arm Ukraine and enhance Europe’s defences to deter further Russian aggression, while they will continue to strengthen sanctions and wider economic measures to put pressure on Russia’s war economy.

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And below is John Mearsheimer on the aftermath of the Alaska Summit:

The desired next step for Trump is to see Presidents Putin and Zelensky in the same room, to settle on a final deal to end the war in Ukraine, and reports have suggested Trump wants to make this happen as soon as Friday, but what happens Monday could be a large determining factor.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 08/18/2025 – 18:35