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“Your ‘Equity’ Is Fake” – Robinhood Faces Backlash After OpenAI Denounces Tokenized Shares

“Your ‘Equity’ Is Fake” – Robinhood Faces Backlash After OpenAI Denounces Tokenized Shares

Authored by Kathleen Kinder via CoinLaw.io,

OpenAI has publicly rejected Robinhood’s new “OpenAI tokens,” clarifying they do not represent actual equity in the company.

Key Takeaways

  1. OpenAI disavowed Robinhood’s tokenized equity products, stating they do not grant real ownership in OpenAI.

  2. The tokens offer indirect exposure through a Special Purpose Vehicle, not direct shares.

  3. Elon Musk and others have criticized Robinhood’s efforts as misleading.

  4. The move highlights growing tensions between crypto innovation and traditional private equity rules.

In a clash that is drawing widespread attention across finance and tech circles, OpenAI has forcefully rejected Robinhood’s latest effort to sell “OpenAI tokens” to retail investors. The controversy erupted after Robinhood announced it would distribute these tokens to European Union users, promoting them as a way for everyday people to gain exposure to private company equity using blockchain technology. While Robinhood framed the move as a step toward democratizing finance, OpenAI and key industry voices have condemned the tokens as misleading and lacking in substance.

OpenAI’s Public Statement: No Equity, No Endorsement

OpenAI, the well-known artificial intelligence company, issued a rare public statement from its official newsroom account, clearly distancing itself from Robinhood’s offering.
“These ‘OpenAI tokens’ are not OpenAI equity. We did not partner with Robinhood, were not involved in this, and do not endorse it. Any transfer of OpenAI equity requires our approval—we did not approve any transfer. Please be careful,” the company wrote on X.

OpenAI’s response was triggered by Robinhood’s announcement earlier in the week, in which the fintech platform rolled out tokenized shares of OpenAI, SpaceX, and other major private firms. These digital assets were distributed to select users in the EU as part of a promotional giveaway.

Robinhood’s Defense: Democratizing Private Assets

Robinhood’s leadership responded by defending the program, emphasizing that the tokens are designed to give retail investors indirect access to previously exclusive markets. A spokesperson for Robinhood clarified, “These tokens give retail investors indirect exposure to private markets, opening up access, and are enabled by Robinhood’s ownership stake in a special purpose vehicle.”

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev echoed this sentiment, stating, “While it is true that they are not technically ‘equity,’ the tokens effectively give retail investors exposure to these private assets. Our giveaway plants a seed for something much bigger, and since our announcement we have been hearing from many private companies that are eager to join us in the tokenization revolution.”

The company rolled out the tokens as part of a broader effort to introduce tokenized stocks and real-world asset trading for European customers, building on a newly launched layer two blockchain network for settling tokenized equity trades.

What Are Investors Actually Buying?

Despite Robinhood’s promotional messaging, the underlying structure of the tokens is complex and layered.

  • Investors are not purchasing actual shares of OpenAI or direct stakes in the company.

  • The tokens represent contracts linked to Robinhood’s ownership interest in an SPV, which itself holds shares of private companies.

  • This means buyers are two steps removed from actual equity, and the value of the tokens may diverge significantly from the true value of the underlying shares.

  • According to Robinhood’s help center, users buying these tokens are acquiring “tokenized contracts that follow the price” of the underlying assets, recorded on blockchain.

Industry Pushback and Criticism

The move by Robinhood has attracted strong criticism, both from within the industry and from high-profile figures.

  • Elon Musk, co-founder of OpenAI and SpaceX, took to X to call the equity claims “fake,” highlighting his broader concerns about OpenAI’s shift toward a for-profit model.

  • Industry analysts note that private companies typically guard their cap tables and limit share sales to selected investors, making Robinhood’s approach unusual and controversial.

  • In similar instances, other startups like Figure AI have sent cease-and-desist letters to brokers marketing unauthorized share sales, underlining how sensitive private companies are about third parties trading or referencing their equity.

Broader Context: Tokenization and Financial Inclusion

Robinhood’s foray into tokenized private equity reflects a larger trend in finance, where crypto exchanges and platforms seek to offer access to previously inaccessible asset classes such as private equity, private credit, and commercial real estate.

  • Traditionally, these assets are reserved for accredited investors with significant wealth or credentials, limiting opportunities for the average retail customer.
  • Robinhood argues that tokenization and asset fractionalization can help break down these barriers, though critics warn that regulatory and ethical questions remain unresolved.

CoinLaw’s Takeaway

This episode is a clear signal of the growing friction between fast-moving crypto innovation and the strict, carefully controlled world of private company finance. While Robinhood presents tokenization as a breakthrough for retail investors, OpenAI’s sharp rebuke makes it clear that not all stakeholders see it that way. Investors should scrutinize exactly what is being offered and recognize that buying a token does not always mean owning a share in the world’s biggest private companies.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 12:00

Trump Sparks Domestic Labor Renaissance: Native-Born Workers Surge To Record High As Foreign-Born Plunge

Trump Sparks Domestic Labor Renaissance: Native-Born Workers Surge To Record High As Foreign-Born Plunge

There were plenty of good details to report in today’s jobs report: the unexpected surge in monthly jobs (which came almost above the top of the forecast range), the drop in unemployment, the moderation in hourly earnings, the continued loss of federal workers, the jump in full-time jobs and the drop in part-time jobs.

There were also several not so good aspects: first and foremost, the narrow breadth in hiring, with most job growth in June the result of Education and Health services (+51K), and Government (+73), which are government, or government-linked, sectors. 

As Soutbay Research put it, the June Payrolls were derived from two sources: Healthcare (+59K) and Public Schools (+64K).  

  • Public Schools: Summer break layoffs were understated in the June release.  Either the July revision brings them down OR the July Public Education payrolls go deeply negative.  
    • July Best Case: June comes down ~40K and Public Education is flat in July
    • July Worst Case: July Public Education payrolls are -40K

On the other end, private sector payrolls were soft: excluding healthcare, Southbay says to expect the Private Sector to be flat or possibly  negative.

Meanwhile, even though it was not yet captured by the jobs report, there has been plenty of firing, with the best examples being Intel and Microsoft just announcing a combined 18K in layoffs.

As SouthBay concludes, “only another Hail Mary Seasonal Adjustment can prevent a negative print.”

Another less then stellar aspect of today’s report is that the number of multiple job holders actually soared by 282K, one of the biggest monthly increases on record, and one which pushed the total just shy of a new all time high. 

But while no jobs report is without blemishes, the positives far outweighed the negatives, maybe not so much quantitatively then certainly qualitatively, because as we noted earlier, the most important metric of today’s jobs report is arguably what got Trump elected in the first place.

Recall back in January 2024 we first asked how is it not the biggest political talking point that since 2019, the US had only added foreign-born workers (which as we subsequently showed were primarily illegal aliens) while native workers remained flat or declined.

Less than a year later, illegal immigration in general, and its impact on the labor market indeed had become the biggest political talking point and one which one can argue got Trump elected. 

So in retrospect, we can report today that Trump has certainly been working hard to resolve the situation and according to today’s job report, the number of native-born workers has taken a decisive step higher, rising to a new all time high while foreign-born workers have been plunging ever since the election. 

Here are the details:

  • In June, the US added 830K native-born workers, pushing the total to a new record high of 132.652 million, hopefully ending the stagnant period which started in 2019 which saw zero native-born workers be added to the US labor force.
  • At the same time, the US saw 348K foreign-born workers leave, sending the total to a 2025 low of 31.231 million.

Extending the observation window since the start of Trump’s admin (i.e., since March which covers the end of the first full month of the Trump admin), we find an even more impressive result: the number of native born workers has surged by 1.5 million while foreign-born (primarily illegals) have tumbled by 1 million. 

So while one can certainly find warts in the broader jobs report – and with the economy 5 years into its post-covid expansion there better be weaknesses – the one thing that matters more than anything to most Americans, not having to compete with illegal aliens for jobs which not only pushes demand higher but also wages, is one where Trump can certainly say mission accomplished, for now.

 

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 11:45

Democrat Civil War Intensifies As Obamaworld Opposes Mamdani

Democrat Civil War Intensifies As Obamaworld Opposes Mamdani

The Democrat Party is grappling with internal divisions following Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani’s upset victory in New York City’s Democrat mayoral primary election this week. Mamdani, a 33-year-old New York State Assembly member, decisively defeated disgraced former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo with 56% to 44% in the final ranked-choice voting results.

Two prominent Obama-era officials, former Treasury Secretary Jack Lew and former Office of Management and Budget Director Peter Orszag, have publicly opposed Mamdani’s candidacy, warning that his progressive economic policies could harm New York City.

Jack Lew

In a CNBC interview on Wednesday, Lew expressed deep concern about Mamdani’s platform. “The policies that he outlines are not policies that would be good for New York,” Lew said. “I worry deeply, having spent most of my life in New York, about a city I call home.” He further cautioned against populist-driven policies from both political extremes, stating, “I see a similarity between policies solutions to the left and the right that satisfy populist sentiment, don’t always go through the filter of ‘do they work? I don’t think they work. I think that’s a problem,” Lew added.

Orszag, now Chairman and CEO of Lazard, shared similar apprehensions in a separate CNBC interview last week, describing Mamdani’s victory as indicative of troubling trends within the Democratic Party. “Let me step back and just say that I am saddened to say that I think the Democratic Party is becoming increasingly antisemitic and anti-capitalism,” Orszag said. “And the thing about it is turning … towards socialism and turning away from your moral principles through antisemitism never works. So there is a fundamental concern that I have and I think many people have about the direction of the Democratic Party along those two dimensions.

Orszag pointed to specific examples, noting, “The Democratic candidate for mayor has embraced the ‘global intifada’ idea.” He also criticized the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee for distributing fundraising emails from a senior operative who suggested Jewish donors are primarily motivated by tax cuts.

Peter Orszag

I am hopeful that the Democratic Party will change course and, again, history shows that neither being anti-capitalism nor being antisemitic is the pathway to any sort of good outcome,” Orszag added.

Mamdani’s win is just one example of growing tensions within the Democrat Party. Similar concerns about the party’s direction have surfaced elsewhere. In June, David Hogg, the 25-year-old Parkland shooting survivor and gun control activist, resigned as vice chair of the Democrat National Committee (DNC) amid internal turmoil. Hogg faced backlash for his controversial plan to intervene in primary races against incumbent Democrats, which many viewed as divisive and a breach of DNC neutrality.

After the DNC called for a new election for his position citing procedural issues, Hogg chose not to run again. In his departure, he sharply criticized the party, calling its leadership a “government of old people” fixated on “attention and reputation” rather than addressing critical issues like the economy.

Meanwhile, Randi Weingarten – longtime head of the 1.8 million-member American Federation of Teachers have also quit the DNC. 

Sen. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) has also voiced frustration with the party’s lack of cohesion during a speech at the Center for American Progress on Thursday. We’re like a solar system with no sun … We don’t act as a team, and when we don’t work as a team, we turn our guns on each other, and it’s so, so, so, fruitless,” she said.

Slotkin emphasized the need for unified leadership, saying, “They are the leaders of the House and Senate. I work with them every single day. I push on them every day, especially in the Senate. I think they would attest to that. And we need to work as a team, and we need wartime generals who are gonna get us there because of what’s going on in the country.”

The lawmaker also acknowledged internal and grassroots pressure for change but offered no specific solutions, noting, “I have no big announcement to make. I would just say the pressure is there from inside the caucus, but also from the grassroots.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 11:30

Supreme Court To Hear Challenges To State Laws Keeping Males Out Of Female Sports

Supreme Court To Hear Challenges To State Laws Keeping Males Out Of Female Sports

Authored by Matthew Vadum via The Epoch Times,

The Supreme Court agreed on July 3 to consider whether states can ban male athletes who don’t identify with their sex from competing on school sports teams intended for females.

The decisions to grant the petitions for certiorari, or review, in two separate cases were published on a list of orders.

No justices dissented.

The court did not explain the decisions.

The first case, Little v. Hecox, is about Idaho’s Fairness in Women’s Sports Act, “which ensures that women and girls do not have to compete against men and boys no matter how those men and boys identify,” according to the petition filed in the case.

The second case, West Virginia v. B.P.J., is about a similar law in West Virginia.

State lawmakers voted to keep the sexes separate in sports because of the “inherent physical differences between biological males and biological females,” according to the petition filed in the case.

The two cases are expected to be argued separately.

The Supreme Court is expected to hold oral arguments for the cases in its new term that begins in October.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 11:10

On The Cusp: House Democrats Stall ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ For Hours After GOP Votes To Advance

On The Cusp: House Democrats Stall ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ For Hours After GOP Votes To Advance

Overnight, most of the Republican holdouts on the ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ relented, flipping their support to advance the legislation to a final vote on the House floor after several deals were cut with President Trump. Earlier in the morning, Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) kept the procedural vote open for almost six hours – which once passed would kick off debate before final passage. 

House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY), however, decided to throw a massive tantrum that’s been going on for more than five hours in what’s known as the “magic minute,” a privilege for party leaders in the chamber that allows them to speak for as long as they want. According to Fox News, Jeffries was seen arriving with multiple binders – one of which he read from for around three hours. If the rest of the binders also contain portions of his speech, we could be waiting for a while.

If Jeffries speaks until at least 1:26 p.m. he’ll break the record for the longest floor speech held by former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who spoke for 8 hours and 32 minutes, according to Punchbowl News‘ Jake Sherman.

The move comes after the House burned the midnight oil to advance the $3.3 trillion ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ to its final phase in Congress.

The GOP holdouts were convinced to flip after President Trump promised them that he would use his executive powers to vigorously enforce certain provisions for green energy tax credits.

Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) was a one-man rollercoaster for the GOP leadership. Massie railed against the bill all week. He initially voted for the rule. But then at 11:30 p.m., Massie entered a mostly empty House chamber and switched his vote from yes to no.

However, Massie – who Trump has personally targeted for defeat in 2026 – switched again back to yes when all the hardliners flipped. The GOP leadership hopes that Massie will vote for final passage later this morning. And he has made clear that he would like Trump to stop attacking him. –Punchbowl

“He did a masterful job of laying out how we could improve it, how he could use his chief executive office, use things to make the bill better,” Rep. Ralph Norman of South Carolina told CNBC

This comes after multiple Republicans were seen in the West Wing on Wednesday to cut deals as Trump pressed them into voting yes on the bill. 

Norman said he would be a ‘nay’ on the Senate-passed version of the bill, only to flip and support it after his meeting with Trump – who promised to use his office to stringently enforce energy tax credit phase-outs.

President Trump is going to use his powers to — like on the subsidies, to make sure that it’s a lot of these subsidies won’t remain in effect, you know, from here on out,” said Norman. 

Trump, meanwhile, says he plans to sign his signature tax and spending bill tomorrow morning at a White House ceremony, Punchbowl’s Sherman posted on X.

In response to the GOP’s advancing the bill, Trump said on Truth Social that it was a “great night.” 

“What a great night it was. One of the most consequential Bills ever,” he wrote, adding “The USA is the ‘HOTTEST’ Country in the World, by far!!!

The core of the BBB permanently extends and expands the 2017 Trump tax cuts, introducing new deductions for tip income and overtime pay, while providing significant tax relief for Social Security recipients.

It reinstates full and immediate expensing for business equipment and R&D, delivers new construction write-offs for manufacturers, and boosts incentives for domestic semiconductor production. High-income Americans and owners of pass-through entities also stand to benefit from expanded deductions, and the bill raises the state and local tax deduction cap for upper-middle-class households. But these tax changes are offset by historic spending cuts—chiefly, nearly $1 trillion in reductions to Medicaid and SNAP.

The legislation also scales back Affordable Care Act subsidies and imposes stricter eligibility checks, drawing ire from hospitals and health advocates. Meanwhile, clean energy and EV sectors face deep setbacks as tax credits are repealed and renewable subsidies curtailed. 

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 10:15

Services Surveys Signal ‘Expansion’ In June, Inflation Fears Remain High

Services Surveys Signal ‘Expansion’ In June, Inflation Fears Remain High

On the heels of strong Manufacturing survey data this week, US Services data expectations were more mixed for June (PMI exp down, ISM exp up) amid a sudden plunge in ‘hard’ data.

  • S&P Global US Services PMI fell from 53.7 to 52.9 in June (below the 53.1 expectations) – still above 50 (expansion).

  • ISM Services rose from 49.9 to 50.8 in June (above the 50.6 expectations) – back above 50 (expansion)

Baffle ’em with bullshit…

Source: Bloomberg

Under the hood, the picture was more mixed with new orders rising back into expansion territory but employment falling further and prices paid dipping modestly (from two year highs)…

Source: Bloomberg

Positive responses:

  • “After several slow months, business is starting to increase. New requests are going out to suppliers.” [Other Services]

  • “Business seems to be picking up. Many of the macroeconomic factors that were concerning look to be playing out in our favor. High interest rates are still a problem. Supplies are ample for current business levels.” [Wholesale Trade]

  • “Restaurant sales and traffic remain flat to prior year. Staffing is adequate for our current needs, and no supply chain concerns this month.” [Accommodation & Food Services]

  • “Prices have gone up from tariff recovery fees — separate line items — but the supply chain, deliveries and inventories have remained mostly stable after the initial disruption. Costs continue to increase across the board, so our goal is to mitigate that.” [Health Care & Social Assistance]

Negative responses:

  • “Confidence in a predictable economic environment has eroded to a point where capital investments are being severely curtailed.” [Professional, Scientific & Technical Services]

  • “Increased cost from tariffs and the potential for tariffs is impacting cost increases. Higher cost of high-dollar items like 150-horsepower farm tractors are forcing farmers to delay purchasing or purchase used equipment. Tension in the Middle East is creating great concern and uncertainty.” [Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting]

  • “Sales remain stubbornly slow due to affordability issues with higher mortgage rates and high property values. Residential construction has embarked on cost-cutting measures through value engineering, supplier margin reductions and layoffs.” [Construction]

  • “General uncertainty around the economy continues to drive increases in prices. Also, lots of SaaS (software-as-a-service) vendors are using the AI (artificial intelligence) boom to restructure pricing and products, resulting in massive increases.” [Information]

  • “Business growth is slow. Global economic conditions impacted by U.S. tariffs are creating significant uncertainty, which is holding businesses back from making short- to medium-term business decisions.” [Real Estate, Rental & Leasing]

  • “General uncertainty around the economy continues to drive increases in prices. Also, lots of SaaS (software-as-a-service) vendors are using the AI (artificial intelligence) boom to restructure pricing and products, resulting in massive increases.” [Information]

Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence:

The US service sector reported a welcome combination of sustained growth and increased hiring in June, but also reported elevated price pressures, all of which could add to pressure on policymakers to remain cautious with regard to any further loosening of monetary policy.

Viewed alongside an improvement in manufacturing growth reported in June, the services PMI indicates that the economy grew at a reasonable annualized rate approaching 1.5% in the second quarter, with momentum having improved since the lull seen in April. Rising demand for services has meanwhile encouraged firms to take on additional staff at a rate not seen since January.

However, Williamson notes that “we are seeing some worrying signs of weakness below the headline numbers.”

“…notably in respect to exports and falling activity among consumer-facing service providers, which has curbed the overall pace of economic expansion. Concerns over government policies have meanwhile created uncertainty and dampened spending on services more broadly, while also ensuring confidence in the outlook remains subdued compared to the optimism seen at the start of the year.

The continued expansion of business activity in the coming months along the lines seen in June is therefore by no means assured.

Price pressures have remained elevated in June. Although weak demand and intense competition were reported to have helped moderate the overall rate of increase compared to May, the overall rate of prices charged inflation for services remains the second-highest for over two years, thanks to widelyreported tariff-related cost increases, and will likely contribute to higher consumer price inflation in the near-term.”

So take your pick… did the Services sector improve in June (ISM) or deteriorate (PMI)?

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 10:06

NATO Chief ‘Totally Understands’ US Halting Weapons For Ukraine As Russia Celebrates

NATO Chief ‘Totally Understands’ US Halting Weapons For Ukraine As Russia Celebrates

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte spoke to Fox News in a Wednesday interview, reacting to the ‘shock’ White House announcement halting many arms and ammo transfers to Ukraine. Rutte said that he understands the United States’ need to safeguard its own defense stockpiles, however, still made an appeal for ongoing urgent support from Washington.

“I totally understand that the US always has to make sure its interests are covered,” Rutte told Fox. “When it comes to Ukraine, in the short term, Ukraine cannot do without all the support it can get.”

Via Shutterstock

The White House had earlier described that in the context of the Russia-Ukraine war the “decision was made to put America’s interests first following” a Defense Department “review of our nation’s military support and assistance to other countries across the globe.”

Many reports over the last couple years have sounded the alarm that US military stockpiles are falling dangerously low, and that they will continue to be depleted based on past Ukraine policy and pledged future transfers.

The items being halted were key weapons systems previously promised to Ukraine’s military, ranging from Hellfire missiles to Patriot missiles to precision-guided artillery shells and munitions for F-16 fighter jets. Newsweek says that Russia is ‘celebrating’ the development:

Peskov referred to “empty warehouses” housing the American arms and said that the fewer weapons given to Ukraine “the closer the end of the special military operation,” referring to the official Kremlin term for its full-scale invasion. Peskov expressed the same sentiment to reporters on Thursday, according to state news agency Tass.

The ISW said the U.S. suspension will reinforce Putin’s plan, expressed in June 2024 and repeated since then, to win a war of attrition with slow advances as he waits for Western support for Ukraine to dry up.

Presidents Trump and Zelensky are expected to discuss the stoppage of these deliveries to Kiev in a call on Friday. Financial Times says they are expected to discuss deal-making to keep the arms flowing, though obviously Zelensky has had very rocky relations with the US leader of late:

Ukrainians were alarmed by the pause in deliveries of weapons including some now being held in Poland while Russia intensifies a summer offensive that involved its largest aerial attack of the war last weekend. Zelenskyy has said he wants to buy 10 Patriot systems for $15bn to defend against Russian drones and missiles.

Trump suggested during the Nato summit that he would consider selling Patriot interceptors to Kyiv, but said supplies were low. Defence department spokesman Sean Parnell said on Wednesday the halt in deliveries came after a “capability review” conducted “to ensure US military aid aligns with our defense priorities”.

The question of an acceptable amount of hardware in the Pentagon’s own stockpiles isn’t expected to be of much concern to Ukraine and its closest European supporters.

Pro-Ukraine hawks in Congress are also angry and looking for answers…

They are already lashing out, angry that the arms pipeline is dwindling further. Ukrainian foreign minister Andriy Sybiha has informed the US Embassy in Kiev that “any delay or hesitation in supporting Ukraine’s defense capabilities only encourages the aggressor to continue the war and acts of terror.”

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 10:00

“June Looks Strong”: Boeing Monthly Aircraft Delivery Tracker Signals Recovery

“June Looks Strong”: Boeing Monthly Aircraft Delivery Tracker Signals Recovery

Goldman analysts led by Noah Poponak maintain a “Buy” rating on Boeing, citing new Planespotters data that suggests the embattled planemaker may finally be emerging from its manufacturing slump. A series of mid-air incidents and quality control issues had previously forced 737 Max production caps, but June’s stronger delivery figures point to a potential turnaround.

Poponak told clients that Planespotters’ aircraft delivery tracker for Boeing planes is trending around 58 deliveries for June (57 excluding 1 KC-46A delivery), including 42 737 MAX and 9 787.

“Of the 42 MAX deliveries, we estimate 37 were new production, with 5 from inventory. 58 deliveries is a step function improvement over the mid-40 delivery rate BA has been holding for the last 5 months,” the analyst said. 

Poponak noted the uptick in deliveries, calling June “strong” and “another month of progress,” as well as the highest in quite some time, adding that it “indicates to us that product quality improvements are holding, enabling higher production rates, and therefore allowing for more deliveries.”

We think BA will stabilize MAX production at ~38/month over the next several months, request a move to 42/month late in 2025, and raise production in increments of 5/month thereafter,” he said. 

Here’s a breakdown of Boeing’s June deliveries by aircraft variant.

Poponak is Buy rated on the stock with a 12-month price target of $226. He said this is derived from targeting a 3.8% free cash flow yield on 2026E free cash. 

Boeing shares are consolidating, a sign that direction could, at some point, be coming. 

Related:

Spoiler alert: Boeing is not on the ‘must-own’ defense stocks… 

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 09:20

My Wray Or The Highway: New Report Raises Troubling Questions Over The FBI Spiking Report Contradicting Director

My Wray Or The Highway: New Report Raises Troubling Questions Over The FBI Spiking Report Contradicting Director

Authored by Jonathan Turley,

Newly declassified FBI documents obtained by Fox raise troubling questions over the FBI allegedly spiking findings that contradicted the testimony of  then-FBI Director Christopher Wray.

The FBI had uncovered a Chinese conspiracy to influence the election in favor of then-President Joe Biden, including the creation of false driver’s licenses.

Wray denied that such efforts were occurring and the FBI reportedly proceeded to effectively bury the report.

Agents had found that the Chinese manufactured fake driver’s licenses and shipped them to the U.S. in a scheme to help Biden. That not only contradicted the narrative of the election, but Wray’s testimony.

Wray testified before Congress that the FBI had not seen any coordinated voter fraud ahead of the 2020 election:

“We have not seen historically any kind of coordinated national voter fraud effort in a major election, whether it is by mail or otherwise.”

However, that does not appear to be true.

The FBI “recalled” the reporting after his testimony “in order to re-interview the source.” It also directed “recipients” of the original report to “destroy all copies of the original report and remove the original report from all computer holdings.”

In a letter to Sen. Chuck Grassley (R, Iowa), Assistant FBI Director Marshall Yates stated that “Although the source was reengaged and provided additional context to support the initial IIR, FBI Headquarters maintained its position not to republish the report.”

Of course, there is little interest in most of the media on this foreign interference story despite the allegations of a cover up before the election.

Critics are alleging a cover up with FBI agents effectively told that it is my Wray or the highway when it came to Chinese interference with the election.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 09:00

Trade Thaw: US Lifts Curbs On Ethane & Chip Design Software Exports To China

Trade Thaw: US Lifts Curbs On Ethane & Chip Design Software Exports To China

With just six days until President Trump’s ‘reciprocal’ tariff pause ends worldwide, the Trump administration is accelerating efforts to secure trade deals with key countries. On Wednesday, Trump signed a new trade agreement with Vietnam, and emerging headlines in financial corporate media only suggest negotiations with China may also be gaining traction. 

The first encouraging sign comes from a Bloomberg report stating that the Trump administration rescinded license requirements for ethane exports to China, allowing companies like Enterprise Products Partners and Energy Transfer LP to resume direct shipments without seeking additional approval.

The restrictions, introduced a few months ago, had disrupted US-China petrochemical trade, forcing tankers to reroute or idle. With the rollback, exports are expected to rebound to seasonal levels of 240,000 barrels per day in July. 

In a series of notes, we’ve outlined how American petrochemicals—particularly ethane—are critical to Chinese plastics manufacturers, and how the Trump administration’s export restrictions, used as leverage in the trade war, risked triggering supply shocks (read here) and mass factory shutdowns across China’s industrial base.

With ethane flows set to rebound, another encouraging sign materialized overnight, as reported by Bloomberg in a separate article, the Trump administration lifted export license requirements for U.S. chip design software sales to China. 

The Commerce Department notified top electronic design automation (EDA) software companies — Synopsys, Cadence, and Siemens — that licenses are no longer needed to sell to Chinese clients. Siemens has resumed full service, while Synopsys and Cadence are restarting operations.

The rollback reverses May’s crackdown, which came in response to China’s curbs on rare earth exports. Under the new trade agreement, finalized in London, the U.S. agreed to ease restrictions on EDA software, ethane, and jet engines, contingent on China accelerating export approvals for critical rare earth minerals. 

All of this suggests that the U.S. and China are making progress in trade talks ahead of the July 9 deadline, when Trump’s suspended “reciprocal” tariffs are set to take effect. Hopefully, the Chinese export channel of rare earths can finally reopen for U.S. companies plagued with shortages. 

Tyler Durden
Thu, 07/03/2025 – 07:20