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After Billion-Dollar Bullion Gain, Meet The Chinese Trader Betting Big On Copper

After Billion-Dollar Bullion Gain, Meet The Chinese Trader Betting Big On Copper

Following Moody’s late-Friday downgrade of the U.S. government’s top credit rating, gold futures were bid Sunday evening into early Monday morning as investors sought safe-haven trades. However, we shift our attention to a Chinese trader whose highly profitable precious metals trade has recently pivoted toward copper, where he has established a sizable long position.

Bloomberg reports that Chinese billionaire Bian Ximing—who netted $1.5 billion from gold futures trades driven by his de-dollarization and inflation-hedging thesis—has now emerged as China’s largest copper bull.

People familiar with Shanghai Futures Exchange data say Ximing has amassed the largest net long position in copper contracts. Bourse data shows the billionaire has built a massive position totaling around 90,000 tons in copper futures over the past ten months.

It’s a quite unique copper position that is worth following,” said Li Yiyao, a vice president of Cofco Futures Co.’s Shanghai North Bund division, adding, “It reflects a very long-term, bullish sentiment on the metal based on fundamentals — which differs from the usual mid or short-term strategies we see in the market.”

Yiyao added that Ximing’s trades during the trade war turmoil stood firm while others exited long copper trades.

Ximing, an industrialist-turned-investor who now lives in Gibraltar, worked with his brokerage, Zhongcai Futures Co., to acquire the long copper position before the November U.S. presidential elections. His bullish view was on a Trump win and Chinese stimulus would produce tailwinds for industrial metal. So far, the bet has returned $200 million in profits.

Ximing’s position “is not big enough to distort the market, but it does provide a rare insight into Bian’s strategy,” said Jia Zheng, head of trading at Shanghai Soochow Jiuying Investment Management Co.

Zheng noted, “People in the market have been tracking his gold and copper trades closely.”

Visibility on Ximing’s copper bet comes after U.S. imports of Chinese goods plunged from 145% to 30% last week, while Chinese imports of U.S. goods dropped from 125% to just 10%. A 90-day cooling-off period is now in effect as trade negotiations between the two economic superpowers have begun. For now, it appears the peak of trade war turmoil has subsided.

Not long ago, Kostas Bintas—Trafigura Group’s former co-head of metals and now with Mercuria Energy Group Ltd.—spoke with Bloomberg in an exclusive interview, expressing an incredibly bullish outlook on copper prices, primarily due to forecasts that global demand will outstrip supply this year.

Former Goldman metals strategist Nick Snowdon, also at Mercuria and head of metals research at the commodity trading firm, forecasted earlier this year that copper prices would average $15,000 a ton for 2025. 

Also, Carlyle Group’s Jeff Currie (the former Goldman commodities boss) has voiced his bullish view on copper. 

Earlier this month, Goldman analyst Eoin Dinsmore noted to clients, “The deescalation in trade tensions and resilient Chinese copper demand will likely continue to support the copper price in the coming months, and we upgrade our 2Q/3Q price forecast to $9,330/$9,150/t from $8,620/$8,370 previously.” 

We’ve diligently detailed in multiple notes that the Powering Up America’ theme and the Next AI Trade have been key demand drivers behind the copper trade.

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/20/2025 – 05:45

Third Arrest Made After Ukrainian National Charged With Firebombing PM Starmer’s Home

Third Arrest Made After Ukrainian National Charged With Firebombing PM Starmer’s Home

A third man has been arrested in connection with a series fires at properties linked to Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer, after earlier this month there were a series of blazes which appeared to target him or assets owned by him. 

The Metropolitan Police’s Counter Terrorism Command has been leading the investigation, after starting May 8, emergency services responded to three consecutive nights of blazes targeting Starmer’s properties and a vehicle. The attacks began with a firebombing of the front of Starmer’s private residence he lived in before becoming prime minister.

Via Reuters

The arson attacks first targeted the Kentish Town home where Sir Keir lived before becoming prime minister. This left damage at the property, but no injuries to anyone. A car was also set on fire.

The arson attacks continued, next at the front door of a house in Islington, also linked to the prime minister. One bystander had to be rescued by responding firefighters.

On Monday, Sky News reported the following development

A third man has been arrested in connection with fires at two properties and a car linked to Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer.

The Metropolitan Police said a 34-year-old was arrested this morning in the Chelsea area of west London on suspicion of conspiracy to commit arson with intent to endanger life.

The identities and nationalities of both the latest individual arrested and the second arrest have not been immediately forthcoming by authorities.

Roman Lavrynovych, social media video stillframe, via The Telegraph 

The first arrest was of a 26-year-old man and Ukrainian national, identified in court as Roman Lavrynovych. He’s been charged with setting fire to Starmer’s personal home and a vehicle.

As of yet, the prosecutor has not identified a motive for the crimes and has given no explanation, while Lavrynovych has denied setting the fires. He’s been formally charged with three counts of arson with intent to endanger life.

According to some of the interesting details to emerge in local reporting:

Neighbor Charles Grant said that police searched his yard on Monday and “said they were looking for a projectile.”

“From what other people have told me today, I gather someone threw a firebomb at Keir Starmer’s house,” he said.

Starmer’s house has attracted protesters in the past. Last year, three pro-Palestinian activists were arrested and charged with public order offenses after unfurling a banner covered in red handprints outside the building.

Via BBC

Starmer didn’t at any point appear to be be in danger during the incidents, given he and his family have long been living in the prime minister’s official Downing Street residence, since his July election.

Lavrynovych’s family told UK media that he ‘loves’ Britain. Naturally, there will be speculation over whether this may have had some connection to the Russia-Ukraine war, given also Starmer’s deep involvement in ongoing meetings with Zelensky and Kiev officials.

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/20/2025 – 04:15

British School Kids Are Being Taught Black People Built Stonehenge

British School Kids Are Being Taught Black People Built Stonehenge

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,

British schoolchildren are being taught that Stonehenge was built by Black people.

Yes, really.

Research by the think tank Policy Exchange uncovered one book that makes this claim, Brilliant Black British History is being used widely in schools.

The book, written by Nigerian-born author Atinuke, has sparked outrage among historians, parents, and anyone with a passing interest in, you know, facts.

Nevertheless, it was still given an British Book award for best ‘non-fiction’ book for children last year.

The teaching material, part of a broader push to “decolonize” history, insists that the iconic Wiltshire monument wasn’t just the work of pasty, bearded locals dragging stones across a field. Instead, it suggests a diverse coalition of ancient builders, including Black communities, were the masterminds behind the 5,000-year-old structure.

The book also claims “Britain was a black country for more than 7,000 years before white people came”.

As we have previous covered, there is no actual evidence of any of this, aside from shady accounts of the odd darker skinned person being present, and some scattered bone finds, including the much debunked ‘Cheddar man’, that are claimed to be of ancient black people.

Policy Exchange notes “in too many cases, this process has gone too far, leading to the teaching of radical and contested interpretations of the past as fact, or with anecdotes of interesting lives replacing a deeper understanding of the core drivers of history.”

“Numerous cases of poor-quality resources being used to teach contested narratives as fact have been identified,” the group continues, noting “For example, one book used in classrooms claims black people built Stonehenge, whilst free resources produced by a subject organisation celebrate the genital mutilation of a slave as a form of ‘gender transition’.”

The research also revealed that some schools have stopped teaching core aspects of British history, including the Battle of Agincourt, which less than one in five schools now cover, and the Battles of Trafalgar and Waterloo, which only 11 per cent include in the curriculum.

The data revealed that 83 per cent of schools claim to have ‘decolonised’ or ‘diversified’ their history teaching.

British historian Lord Roberts urged “it is vital pupils are taught the history of their own nation in a manner that seeks to do more than simply inculcate shame about our past.”

*  *  *

Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/20/2025 – 03:30

Atlanta Remains The World ‘s Busiest Airport

Atlanta Remains The World ‘s Busiest Airport

In 2024, global air travel hit 9.5 billion passengers— a five billion increase since 2021.

Together, the 10 busiest airports transported 855 million passengers, or 9% of traffic globally. While air traffic has finally surged past pre-pandemic levels, it is not without its challenges of staffing crises, tech outages, and aircraft incidents.

This graphic, via Visual Capitalist’s Dorothy Neufeld, shows the busiest airports in the world, based on data from the Airports Council International.

The Top 10 Busiest Airports in the World in 2024

Below, we show the airports with the highest number of passengers globally as air travel increased 9% over the year:

Represents total passengers enplaned and deplaned, with passengers in transit counted once.

As we can see, four of the top 10 busiest airports in the world are in the U.S.—led by the Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport

Notably, Atlanta serves as a connecting hub to domestic and international travelers, owing to its position between North America, Europe, and Latin America. Adding to this, it has 150 non-stop destinations in six continents.

Ranking in second is the Dubai International Airport, with a record 92 million passengers in 2024. Overall, 106 international airlines fly into this hub, reflecting Dubai’s growing prominence as a center for business and investment.

Meanwhile, Shanghai’s Pudong International Airport saw the largest rise in the rankings, up from 21st in 2023 to 10th overall. Driving its 41% surge in passengers was the resumption of international flights and visa policy expansion.

To learn more about this topic from a travel perspective, check out this graphic on the cheapest and most expensive places to visit in 2025.

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/20/2025 – 02:45

‘De-Brexit’? UK PM Starmer Accused Of “Surrender” As Britain Pens New Agreement With Brussels

‘De-Brexit’? UK PM Starmer Accused Of “Surrender” As Britain Pens New Agreement With Brussels

Authored by Thomas Brooke via Remix News,

The United Kingdom and the European Union have reached a wide-ranging agreement aimed at expanding cooperation across key areas such as defense, energy, migration, law enforcement, and youth mobility — a deal that critics argue is a flagrant rowback on Brexit.

Announced following the U.K.–EU summit on Monday, the so-called Common Understanding outlines both sides’ intention to build on existing post-Brexit frameworks, including the Withdrawal Agreement and the Trade and Cooperation Agreement.

While the agreement does not constitute a new treaty, it signals a shift toward closer integration in several sectors that effectively bring the U.K. back into alignment with EU rules and institutions, undermining national sovereignty.

The agreement reconfirms reciprocal access to fishing waters until June 2038 and extends bilateral cooperation on energy. It also launches a new Security and Defense Partnership covering topics such as support for Ukraine, cyber defense, military mobility, peacekeeping, and space security. Dialogue is also planned in areas like maritime safety and international disaster response.

Access to fishing waters has been a bone of contention since the 2016 Brexit vote and is seen as a major concession by the U.K. Ahead of the news breaking, rumors had been swirling in Westminster that fishing rights were on the table, leading Reform UK leader Nigel Farage to warn, “If true, that will be the end of the fishing industry.”

Leader of the Opposition Kemi Badenoch also remarked, “Twelve years’ access to British waters is three times longer than the government wanted. We’re becoming a rule-taker from Brussels once again. And with no details on any cap or time limits on Youth Mobility, fears of free movement returning will only increase. This is very concerning.

The new mobility framework proposed is for young people, allowing limited-duration travel between the U.K. and EU for work, study, volunteering, and other cultural purposes. In parallel, the U.K. and EU will begin discussions about associating the UK with the EU’s Erasmus+ program, including negotiation over financial terms. These discussions are framed as promoting “people-to-people” ties, especially among younger generations.

In the area of internal security, both sides committed to strengthening cooperation under the Trade and Cooperation Agreement. This includes information-sharing with Europol, improved coordination on terrorism and serious crime, and the potential expansion of biometric and vehicle data exchange. There is also intent to address difficulties faced by law enforcement in accessing electronic communications data across jurisdictions.

In economic and environmental matters, the agreement outlines plans to explore U.K. participation in the EU’s internal electricity market and to establish a link between the U.K. and EU emissions trading systems. Both initiatives would require the U.K. to align with EU rules in relevant areas, such as state aid, environmental protections, and trading mechanisms. This alignment would be monitored through dispute mechanisms, with the European Court of Justice acting as the final authority on EU law. The move effectively reintroduces the ECJ as the supreme arbiter in such areas.

On agri-food trade, the two sides agreed to work toward a Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) Agreement that would remove many current barriers to the movement of animals and plants between Great Britain and the EU. However, this too would involve dynamic alignment with EU regulations and limited exceptions subject to EU approval. The agreement specifies that the U.K. would be consulted during the EU policy-making process but would have no vote or participation in formal decision-making bodies. Again, issues of sovereignty arise, with the United Kingdom signing up to align with regulations without having a seat at the table.

The deal also includes plans to deepen cooperation on illegal migration. Areas of focus include upstream control efforts, information-sharing on visa abuse and migrant smuggling, and coordination with EU agencies such as Frontex and the EU Agency for Asylum. Practical measures to prevent Channel crossings and improve return mechanisms are also under discussion.

Though the agreement repeatedly emphasizes mutual benefit and respect for each side’s legal framework, many of its proposals rely on U.K. adherence to EU rules and oversight structures. The European Commission is explicit in its expectation that the U.K. will align dynamically with changing EU legislation in areas covered by the agreements, while contributing financially to relevant EU programs and databases.

Former Conservative Home Secretary Suella Braverman called the deal a surrender. “The government has let down our fishing community. This capitulation is unforgivable for our coastal communities and fishermen. The British people won’t forget this. The beginning of the end for Brexit.”

Starmer, however, took to social media to defend the deal, telling Brits they “deserve better than the last government’s deal. It wasn’t working for anyone.”

He claimed that while previous governments had “dithered and delayed,” his was “getting on with the job and delivering in the national interest.”

Read more here…

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/20/2025 – 02:00

The 3 Pillars Of The American Idea

The 3 Pillars Of The American Idea

Authored by Robert Curry via RealClearWire.com,

Unalienable rights and self-evident truths are the two core ideas of the American founding.  

Expand the number of core ideas under consideration to three and you get unalienable rights, self-evident truths, and free market economics.

You could call them the three pillars of the American Idea.

These three pillars are the direct gifts to America of three great thinkers of the Scottish Enlightenment: Francis Hutcheson, Adam Smith, and Thomas Reid.

Their thinking — known today as “common sense realism” — took America by storm at precisely the right time to shape America fundamentally.

Francis Hutcheson

Francis Hutcheson: “Our rights are either alienable or unalienable …”                     

A revolution in thinking about our rights preceded the American Revolution. In the words of George Washington, America’s founding took place during a time “when the rights of mankind were better understood and more clearly defined than at any former period.” Hutcheson’s analysis of our rights showed the way.

The meaning of Hutcheson’s distinction was sharp and clear in the founders’ time but to understand it today you and I must first be clear about the meaning of “alienable.” Here is its complete definition in my dictionary: “adj. Law. Capable of being transferred to the ownership of another.” Your right to your car is an alienable right; because your car is your property, you can sell your car or give it away — but our rights to our lives and our liberty are unalienable, that is, not property, not capable of being transferred to the ownership of another.

Hutcheson was challenging John Locke’s account of our rights — and in so doing he helped ignite the American Revolution. Locke, you see, had defined our rights in terms of property. Locke: “Man … hath by nature a power … to preserve his property — that is, his life, liberty and estate.” According to Hutcheson and the founders, our rights to our lives and our liberty are not property; those rights are unalienable, inherent, essential, and not transferrable.

Hutcheson’s distinction provided the intellectual foundation for two of the greatest achievements in world history, Adam Smith’s “The Wealth of Nations” and the Declaration of Independence. Adam Smith’s focus was our alienable rights; the American founders focused on our unalienable rights.

The Declaration and “Wealth” both entered the world they were to transform in the same year, 1776.

1776 marks the economic and political boundary between the world in which you and I live and all that had gone before.

Adam Smith

Francis Hutcheson mentored Adam Smith. Upon Hutcheson’s death, Smith was appointed to the prestigious professorship at the University of Glasgow Hutcheson had held.  

Smith’s epoch-making “Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations” is the foundation of free market economics. Hutcheson’s analysis of our rights set the direction Smith took. In “Wealth” Smith famously demonstrated that the division of labor is the source of the wealth of nations. In one of the most frequently quoted passages from “Wealth,” Smith makes clear the source in human nature of the all-important division of labor: “This division of labour … is the necessary … consequence of a certain propensity in human nature … ; the propensity to truck, barter, and exchange one thing for another.” The division of labor depends on the right to exchange (alienate) our property and labor. We can “truck, barter, and exchange” because our right to our property is, as Hutcheson had shown, “naturally alienable.”

The social order that resulted from the new thinking of the Scottish and the American Enlightenments was a far cry from the world that assigned supremacy to hereditary monarchs and hereditary aristocrats. The great economist Ludwig von Mises described that new social order like this: It “assigned supremacy to the common man. In his capacity as a consumer, the ‘regular fellow’ was called upon to determine ultimately what should be produced, in what quantity, and of what quality, by whom, how, and where; in his capacity as a voter, he was sovereign in directing the nation’s policies.”

Thomas Reid

When Jefferson wrote “We hold these truths to be self-evident …” he was relying on the thinking of Thomas Reid.

Reid’s “An Inquiry Into the Human Mind on the Principles of Common Sense” was published in 1764, the same year he was awarded the prestigious professorship formerly occupied by Francis Hutcheson and Adam Smith.

As I write in my book “Reclaiming Common Sense”:Reid’s philosophical purpose was to provide a foundation for morality and for knowledge. He argued that there is an endowment of human nature that makes both morality and knowledge possible, and he called it common sense … With it we are able to make rational judgments and moral judgments. Common sense is the human attribute that makes it possible for us to be rational creatures and moral agents.  

Reid’s fundamental insight was that our ability to make sense of our experience presupposes certain first principles. Because these principles are implicit in our conduct and our thought, they cannot be proved; there are no other truths from which they can be derived. However, to deny or even to doubt any of them is to involve ourselves in absurdity. Consequently, the principles of common sense have the special authority of first principles: we cannot operate without them.

The Progressives

From their beginning, the purpose of the Progressives has been the step-by-step — that is, the progressive — undoing of the America of the founders. Their relentless campaign has done tremendous damage. If you and I are to do our part in helping to restore America, we need to go into action armed with a clear understanding of the American Idea.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 05/19/2025 – 23:25

Bribery Charges Sink Retired Admiral In Navy Ethics Scandal

Bribery Charges Sink Retired Admiral In Navy Ethics Scandal

Retired Adm. Robert P. Burke, once the Navy’s second-highest-ranking officer, was convicted Monday on bribery and related charges, marking the first time in history that a four-star U.S. military officer has been found guilty of committing a federal crime while on active duty.

Retired Adm. Robert P. Burke, 62, of Coconut Creek, Florida

Burke, 63, of Coconut Creek, Fla., was found guilty by a Washington jury after a five-day trial and three days of deliberation. Prosecutors said he steered a Navy training contract in 2021 to a New York-based company, Next Jump, in exchange for a $500,000-per-year job he was to begin after his retirement in 2022.

This is the man who issued the standards of conduct for the entire Navy,” Assistant U.S. Attorney Trevor C. Wilmot told jurors during closing arguments. Quoting Burke’s own words from 2020, Wilmot added, “In May 2020 what he said about ethics was: We have to get it right every time. We’ve got to be better than these standards. And a single act or omission can destroy a lifetime of achievement,” the Washington Post reports.

Burke was convicted of bribery, conspiracy to commit bribery, acts affecting a personal financial interest, and concealing material facts – charges that carry a combined maximum of 50 years in prison, though legal experts expect far lower penalties given his status as a first-time offender. Sentencing is scheduled for August.

The jury heard excerpts of a recorded October 2023 interview with Navy investigators in which Burke acknowledged impropriety. “I was allowing myself to be influenced in ways that were inappropriate,” he said. “I put myself in positions that allowed [Next Jump] to influence me, and I didn’t fully disclose everything.

Burke, who served as chief of naval personnel from 2016 to 2019 and then as vice chief of naval operations through 2020, held top leadership roles during a turbulent era for the Navy. His tenure overlapped with the aftermath of the “Fat Leonard” scandal, which exposed widespread bribery involving Navy officers and defense contractors, as well as deadly 2017 ship collisions that killed 17 sailors and spurred renewed scrutiny over Navy readiness and ethics.

Prosecutors argued that Burke’s conduct ran counter to the leadership principles he had long championed. According to government evidence, after a July 2021 lunch at Belga Café in Washington, Burke agreed to help Next Jump secure contracts with the Navy and promote its services in the U.S. and U.K. militaries in exchange for a future executive position.

The contract – valued at $355,000, with Next Jump receiving about $250,000 as a subcontractor – funded leadership training for sailors in Spain and Italy. Testimony showed Burke overrode objections from subordinates to fast-track the pilot program, which was poorly reviewed and not renewed.

Burke joined Next Jump after his retirement, working there for four months and receiving a prorated salary of approximately $167,000 before parting ways. Prosecutors highlighted a message from co-CEO Meghan Messenger to co-CEO Charlie Kim after Burke’s hiring: “no contract no job.”

Defense attorney Timothy C. Parlatore said Burke never agreed to a “quid pro quo” and had followed required ethics reviews before accepting the post-retirement job. He called the verdict “very surprising and disappointing,” criticizing what he described as the prosecution’s narrow presentation of evidence.

The government was trying to present a very narrow sliver of the evidence to the jury,” Parlatore said, adding that key witnesses, including a Pentagon investigator and a former romantic partner of Burke’s, were excluded from testimony.

Burke’s defense sought to cast doubt on the credibility of both individuals. The former Pentagon official, described by the defense as a “jilted ex-lover,” had initiated an inspector general investigation that later became criminal. She was also found in a separate 2013 Virginia court ruling to have made false allegations during her divorce.

The lead Defense Criminal Investigative Service agent on the case, Cordell “Trey” DeLaPena, has also come under scrutiny.

That agent, Cordell “Trey” DeLaPena, came under fire in a Fat Leonard-related case in which felony charges were dropped against four former Navy officers because of prosecutorial misconduct. The Justice Department also retreated from initial allegations that Rafaraci led a wider multimillion-dollar fraud scheme in the global industry that provides services to navy ships in ports overseas, which Parlatore alleged during Burke’s trial came after DeLaPena submitted a false affidavit in Rafaraci’s case in Washington.

Rafaraci’s attorney has said that investigators were headhunting for the next Fat Leonard scandal, an investigation that rocked the Navy for years after 2013 when Malaysian defense contractor Leonard Glenn Francis pleaded guilty to bribing scores of Navy officials so he could overcharge the Navy for port services in Asia. -WaPo

Meanwhile, Kim and Messenger – Next Jump’s co-CEOs – are scheduled to go on trial in August. Both have pleaded not guilty and questioned the logic of offering Burke a lucrative salary for a relatively small training contract. “I expect the evidence will show that Burke and others at the Navy misled Charlie and Meghan,” said Reed Brodsky, an attorney for Next Jump, adding, “I think it’ll be embarrassing for the Navy.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 05/19/2025 – 23:00

How Long Can Lies & Control Supplant Reality & Free Markets?

How Long Can Lies & Control Supplant Reality & Free Markets?

Authored by Matthew Piepenburg via VonGreyerz.gold,

The facts of a surreal yet broken (and hence increasingly controlled and desperate) financial system are becoming harder to deny and ignore. 

Below, we look at the evidence of control rather than the words of dishonest policy makers and ask a simple question: How long can lies supplant reality?

The Great Disconnect: Tanking Growth vs. Supported Markets

It’s becoming harder to keep up with the increasingly downgraded GDP growth estimations from the Atlanta Fed.

As recently as August, its GDPNow 3q21 estimates for the quarterly percentage change were as high as 6%.

But within a matter of weeks, this otherwise optimistic figure was cut embarrassingly in half.

Last month, their GDP forecast sank much further to 0.5%, and as of this writing, it has been downgraded yet again to 0.2%.

Needless to say, 6% estimated growth falling to effectively 0% growth is hardly a bullish indicator for the kind of strengthening economic conditions which one might otherwise associate with risk asset prices reaching all-time highs for the same period.

The growing yet steady disconnect between market highs and economic lows is getting harder to explain, ignore or deny by the architects of the most artificial, rigged and dishonest market cycle in modern history.

In short, it is no longer even worth pretending that stock markets are correlated to such natural measurements as a nation’s economic productivity.

After all, who needs GDP in the New Abnormal?

By now, even Fed doublespeak can’t hide the fact that the only market force which the post-08 markets require is an accommodative central bank—i.e., a firehose of multi-trillion liquidity on demand.

But as for this most recent GDP downgrade, it is being blamed on tanking US export data.

More Fantasy: Bogus or Real Taper?

The question facing investors heading into year-end is whether any of the foregoing realities will place pressure on the Fed to continue the now normalized fantasy of unlimited QE or stick to its equally fantastical “taper-talk.”

Toward this end, Powell could delay the planned “taper” or, as is likely, simply move ahead with what is essentially a bogus taper involving a nominally insignificant reduction in money printing offset by ongoing yet deliberately hidden liquidity from the Standard Repo Facility and FIMA swap lines.

Thus, whether we see a delayed taper or a bogus taper, the net result is still more fiat liquidity flooding the always dollar-thirsty (and QE-addicted) financial system.

This, of course, translates to increased currency debasement and thus rising tailwinds for gold, BTC, industrials and commodities.

Should, however, the FOMC announce a genuine taper, the net result for gold is still positive.

Yes, a real taper means slightly higher rates and increased volatility (bad for risk assets) along with a stronger dollar, but inflation rates will still supersede interest rates, favouring gold anyway you look at it.

Again, and as discussed in prior reports, gold can and will rise if rates rise, so long as inflation rises faster, which for all the reasons we’ve addressed elsewhere, convinces us that a future of negative real rates is the only future central banks can allow.

More Inflationary Tricks (i.e., Fantasy)

Why?

Because short of default, the only and time-tested trick left up the sleeves of debt-soaked policy makers to dig their way out of a nightmarish and historically unprecedented debt hole (which they alone created) is by pursuing policies of deeply negative real rates.

This twisted inflationary playbook, so familiar to rigged insiders yet unknown to the vast majority of retail investors, boils down to a policy play by which our “experts” solve debt with more debt and hide the truth behind more complex policy adjectives (i.e., lies).

Specifically, this means the “experts” will:  1) deliberately seek more inflation while 2) lying about true inflation levels and then 3) repress interest rates in order to partially inflate their way out of debt with 4) increasingly debased currencies.

Take the U.S. Dollar’s purchasing power, for example…

Keeping the Serfs Down—The Policy of the New Feudalism

Needless to say, more inflation is a direct tax on the increasingly poorer middle class.

Sadly, too many are too busy trying to make sense of months of lockdowns, vaccine mandates, movement restrictions, crime waves and inflating rent payments to notice that they have been made into serfs in a Brave New World where greater than 80% of the stock market wealth is held by the top 10% of the population.

Let’s be clear: I’m a screaming capitalist, but a pandemic world in which Bezos, Musk and other billionaire wealth has increased by 70% while 89 million Americans have lost their jobs is NOT capitalism, but a symptom of a rigged system in which the anti-trust rules I learned in law school, or the social and economic principles I learned in economics are simply gone.

Then again, when I was in school, we were once taught how to think, not what to think.

With each passing day, we see increased evidence of what I wrote (and described) elsewhere as a new feudalism marked by grotesquely distorted notions of truth, reporting, data, natural market forces and political/financial accountability.

In order to keep this report objective rather than an op-ed, let’s just consider the facts and case studies right before us.

Yellen & Dimon—Two Classic Lords Spinning Familiar Yarns

Take, for example, the aforementioned tanking of GDP, now being attributed to openly tanking export data out of the U.S. and the undeniable supply chain disruptions impacting the global economy.

To address this, none other than two of the most media prolific “lords” of the new feudalism, Fed Chairwoman-turned-Treasury-Secretary Janet Yellen and current JP Morgan CEO and 2008 bailout-beneficiary-turned-Fed-Crony, Jamie Dimon, assure us not to worry.

How nice.

Yellen, for her part, has recently said:

“I don’t think we’re about to lose control of inflation.”

 “As we make further progress on the pandemic, I expect these bottlenecks to subside. Americans will return to the labor force as conditions improve.”

Again: How nice.

But let’s not let warm words get in the way of cold facts.

Yellen, like every Fed Chair since Greenspan, has a long history of buying time with comforting words that have nothing to do with hard reality:

“You will never see another financial crisis in your lifetime.”
– Janet Yellen, spring 2018

“I do worry that we could have another financial crisis. ″
– Janet Yellen, fall 2018

Despite a long and well-documented history of outright dishonesty spewing from the mouths of financial media darlings and policymakers like Yellen and Dimon, both are now pushing a bullish “be calm and carry on while we profit and control” meme.

They recently seized upon Biden’s move to run the Ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach on a 24/7 schedule to alleviate bottlenecks, which increased throughput by roughly 15% (3,500 containers/week v. 950,000 containers per month.)

That’s nice, and sure, it helps.

But despite such band-aid measures, supply chains won’t normalize until early 2023, at the earliest…and that assumes no further disruptions, which frankly, is a naive assumption.

Folks, it’s not up to Yellen or Dimon to give us honest guidance as to whether supply chains will normalise in 2021. It is up to China and Biden’s entirely Orwellian vaccine mandate.

Speaking of Yellen, Dimon et al, aren’t we all a bit curious about the now undeniable marriage of the Federal Reserve (an illegal private bank) and the U.S. Treasury Department?

And as for bank CEO’s like Dimon, have we not forgotten other bank CEOs like Goldman’s Hank Paulson, who made a similar “marriage” to the Treasury Department just in time to bail his former bank out of the Great Financial Crisis that it helped create?

Are these the honest brokers we want deciding our economic fates or signaling/controlling our economic future?

Vaccine Passes and Mandates—The Great Smokescreen

And as to the mandate… Note Yellen’s careful yet semantic magic of hiding autocracy behind humanitarian lingo.

Her comment above regarding bottlenecks “subsiding” once “we make further progress on the pandemic” is very comforting, no?

But it’s just another veiled way (i.e., smokescreen) of pushing a vaccine mandate which defies every principle of the social contract our founding fathers achieved in that silly document I revered as a 1L and known otherwise as the U.S. Constitution.

As I’ve said many times before, I’m no source for medical advice, and my circle includes many who are vaccinated and un-vaccinated alike—with equal respect for the choices we’ve made and equal disgust for the notion that such choices should be imposed rather than voluntary.

Simple Questions, Cold Math, Global Control

But should we not at least be asking ourselves if the pandemic discussion is less about global health and more about global control?

Without seeking to offend anyone’s COVID stance, can we nevertheless agree that C.J. Hopkins makes an undeniably clear and common-sensical point by simply asking a few basic questions?

For example, why has so much political, social and economic power been given to a minority of policy makers to scare/distract the world into ignoring a now obvious global power-shift justified by a virus which causes mild-to-moderate symptoms in 95% of the infected and whose case fatality rate is quantifiably somewhere in the range of 0.1% to 0.5%?

Yet despite such simple math, tens of thousands of firemen, police officers, nurses and military personnel—the very heroes who have placed themselves on the front lines of our increasingly criminalized, sick and psychologically damaged population– are now being forced out of work for not agreeing to a forced jab imposed by anti-heroes?

One has to at least wonder why so much effort has been made by a government-influenced/co-conspired media to spend its time criminalising the unvaccinated rather than making front-page noise pointing out the obvious criminalisation of our global financial system?

The Real Criminals

By that, I’m thinking of the years of recently revealed insider trading at the Fed, the anti-trust violations of the non-tax-paying Amazon robber-baron or the open media-censorship and just plain shady that occurs daily at Facebook—an entity so blatantly shameful that it thinks a name-change can hide its dark past?

Or how about years of open price manipulation by bullion banks, the BIS and other dark corners of the OTCto deliberately force the natural price of gold and silver to the floor in order to illegally price-fix and protect globally debased currencies from the embarrassment of what a natural gold price would otherwise confirm, namely: Your currency has died, thanks to the white-collar criminals otherwise touted as experts.

In case you think this is mere sensationalism or speculation, I’ve written hundreds of pages and countless reports of graphical/mathematical/objective evidence of the same, and even an entire book on the rigged-to-fail system otherwise passing as normal to make this clear distortion of economic rules and political laws objective rather than pejorative.

Nor am I/we alone in pointing out the obvious. From the honest minority in markets to an honest minority in politics, plain-spoken truth is fighting for free expression.

More Honest Voices

Take, for example, the recent press conference (ignored, of course, by the main/muddy stream media) held by key members of the European Parliament to openly defy the insanely autocratic notion of a health pass to distinguish the compliant from the free or the “safe” from the “unsafe”.

As one brave parliamentary member from Germany, Christine Anderson, candidly observed, if you think the vaccine pass was made because the government cares about you, you are clearly ignoring its real motive, which is to control you.

And this is straight from the European Parliament.

Control, of course, only works if enough people are scared, tired or uninformed enough to be controlled.

As for the financial system, signs of its increasingly obvious attempt at more controls to mask increasingly shameful policies are literally everywhere.

And yet… and yet…the media, the masses and the majority of investors continue to follow their murky and shady lead.

Again, just keep it simple and factual rather than partisan or medically controversial.

Criminal Evidence

In the last 20 years, for example, policy makers have tripled the global debt levels yet made no commensurate progress with global GDP, which is literally 1/3 of this embarrassing debt pile.

That is shameful. Debt like this always destroys economies. Always.

Instead, those same “experts” have mouse-clicked more instant money out of thin air in the last decade than all the money ever created by all the combined central banks since their inception.

They actually want you to believe that a debt crisis can be solved with alas…more debt.

Such staggering money creation has led unequivocally and directly to the greatest and most inflated risk asset bubble in the history of capital markets.

Yet rather than admit to the open failure of such monetary expansion, which has simply crushed the natural purchasing power of fiat currencies…

…the architects of this failed experiment will now try to blame such excessive debt and currency destruction on a pandemic rather than years of their own pre-COVID policy crimes.

Today, politicians and their central bank masters are literally comparing the Pandemic’s 4.9M death toll to the unthinkable disaster which was the +75M killed in World War 2.

They then employ this pandemic narrative to justify another Bretton Woods-like reset.

To those who have studied, or far worse, experienced the Second World War, do you think it’s even remotely fair to compare it to the “war on Covid”?

The Carefully Telegraphed “Reset”

And what is this “needed” reset?

In a nutshell, it’s more fake money in the form of CBDC or even digital SDR’s from that shameless control center of failed monetarism otherwise known as the IMF and a central bank near you.

Those Who Control Money & Information

In an open and free system, rather than criminalising police officers, nurses, or even athletes who refuse a jab, should we not be pointing our headlines, adjectives and subpoenas at the bankers, experts and policy makers who put the global financial system at this horrific, debt-soaked and socially destructive turning point?

Are you waiting for Mark Zuckerberg, Don Lemon, Wolf Blitzer or the censorship boards at YouTube or Google to guide you?

Sadly, those who control money as well as information have immense and undeniable power.

Thus, a media that controls deliberate COVID distraction, supported by the lords who created this financial serfdom, continues.

That is, the feudalists responsible for such grossly mismanaged financial markets are all too aware (and nervous) that they have equally created the greatest wealth transfer and wealth disparity ever witnessed, akin to the pre-revolutionary era of Bourbon France, Romanov Russia, Batista Cuba or Weimar Germany.

Such otherwise immoral and corrupt wealth disparity, wealth transfer and wealth creation explain why the very architects of the same would rather have the masses fighting about jabs, school boards, and “woke” SJWs gone wild rather than at themselves–the root cause of the fracturing we see all around us.

Why?

Because controlling serfs with lies, fear, and division is better than letting those serfs replace you with truths.

Truth Still Matters – Fundamentals, Too

For that select yet blunt and independent-thinking minority who thankfully prefer candor over propaganda, reality over fantasy and genuine rather than hyped solutions to the problems and problem-makers all around us, al l we can do is trust history, truth, natural market forces and each other.

As for us, our candid solution to the foregoing string cite of distortions, controls and historical tipping points remains the same.

Regardless of the tricks, resets, and digital new bluffs of the new feudalism, enough free-thinkers, nations, informed investors, and wealth managers understand that they hold a better (and golden) hand to combat the dirty hands and dirty currencies unravelling all around us.

If there’s one thing history and free market forces have taught us it’s this: In the end, broken systems die and real money returns.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 05/19/2025 – 22:35

Iran Clarifies That Nuclear Talks Will Fail If US Pushes Zero Enrichment

Iran Clarifies That Nuclear Talks Will Fail If US Pushes Zero Enrichment

Last week, a top Iranian nuclear official floated the possibility that the Islamic Republic would be willing to given up enriching uranium in return for full sanctions relief from Washington.

But amid ongoing negotiations, the Iranian Foreign Ministry has produced something more official, firing back at Washington on Monday for recent Trump admin statements insisting that Tehran abandon uranium enrichment as part of any future nuclear deal.

Foreign Ministry spokesman Ismail Baqaei said in a statement that the US taking such “contradictory positions” will only “prolong the talks and lead to a loss of trust.” It’s clear that Iranian leadership doesn’t want to be seen as quickly cowering before American pressure.

At this point Tehran is vowing that enrichment will continue “with or without a deal” and that this is its right to do so as a matter of national sovereignty. 

“This track of talks cannot be brought to a conclusion given the shifting and contradictory positions. Under such circumstances, we do not expect an atmosphere of mutual trust,” Baqaei added.

And separately, Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Takht-Ravanchi said that the nuclear talks will “lead nowhere” with the current White House stance that enrichment must be taken to zero.

“Our position on enrichment is clear and we have repeatedly stated that it is a national achievement from which we will not back down,” he said.

President Trump during his Gulf tour last week said largely optimistic things concerning a possible future new deal with the Iranians.

He said an agreement was very close but that Iran needed to move quickly, and that serious consequences await if Tehran doesn’t. He’s previously gone so far as to say it’s a matter of either signing a deal or being bombed – something Iranian leaders balked at.

But Steve Witkoff on the Sunday news shows made clear that the issue of abandoning enrichment is a “red line” from the US administration…

Last week the Trump White House indicated it sent Iran a written proposal toward forging a new nuclear deal. White House envoy Witkoff has led several rounds of talks, and Axios has revealed that the communication was issued to Tehran last Sunday.

“Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi took the proposal back to Tehran for consultations with Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, President Masoud Pezeshkian and other top officials,” wrote Axios.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 05/19/2025 – 22:10

What Joe Biden’s Cancer Can (And Should) Teach Us About The Media

What Joe Biden’s Cancer Can (And Should) Teach Us About The Media

Authored by Kit Knightly via Off-Guardian.org,

Last night the news broke that former President Joe Biden has been diagnosed with stage 4 prostate cancer, which has already metastasized to his bones.

The conversation has gone in two predictable directions.

On the one hand you have the predictable “out pouring of support” from fans of Team Blue, “liberal” journalists and celebrities.

On the other hand you have cynical commentary from Team Red, questioning the timing of the announcement and wondering how someone with such a high profile and (presumably) first class medical care could have cancer missed until such a late stage.

A third, quieter, option is to suggest a connection between this cancer and the Covid “vaccine”.

(A possibility I reject out of hand, because I don’t believe there is any chance at all he was really given the experimental shot.)

But all of these conversations miss the point.

The question is not “what caused Biden’s cancer?” or “why did they cover up Biden’s cancer?” it’s “why are they telling us Biden has cancer?”

Remember, the same media reporting “Biden has cancer” spent months reporting “Biden doesn’t have dementia” and “Biden’s as sharp as ever”, despite plain evidence to the contrary.

They lied. Over and and over again, for years. 

They quite literally told you to disregard the evidence of your eyes and ears.

Until they stopped, and suddenly Joe Biden’s “mental decline” was no longer a conspiracy theory, but totally real and the reason to put Kamala Harris on the ballot.

Joe Biden’s mental acuity did not change, all that changed was the requirement of the narrative.

Media reportage has no correlation with the truth. 

Not negative correlation, no correlation. They are unrelated.

If Joe Biden had cancer, and it was narratively convenient that he did not, they would say he did not.

If Joe Biden didn’t have cancer, and it was narratively convenient that he did, they would say he did.

If it becomes narratively convenient that Biden no longer has cancer, they will just say it went away – and that will have no bearing or relation on whether or not it did go away, or ever existed in the first place.

If Joe Biden died tomorrow, and it was narratively convenient he was alive, they would pretend he was alive. 

And with current video and photo editing software it wouldn’t even be that hard.

The news cycle has a purpose that is not related to facts or truth – again, not “opposed to” but “not related” – and as such our conversations about “the news” must be had, almost entirely, on the meta level.

Why this? Why now?

I really feel like I have said this a lot.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 05/19/2025 – 21:45