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London Copper Surges Back Above $10,000 On US Tariff-Driven Fears

London Copper Surges Back Above $10,000 On US Tariff-Driven Fears

Copper prices on the London Metal Exchange surpassed $10,000 per ton on Thursday, driven by concerns over President Trump’s potential tariff expansion on the crucial industrial metal used in everything from electric vehicles to power grids. Traders are rushing to deliver copper into the US before potential tariffs later this year. 

On Feb. 25, President Trump signed an executive order directing the US Department of Commerce to investigate the potential national security risks of copper imports, which could lead to tariffs on all copper imports—including raw mined copper, copper concentrates, refined copper, copper alloys, scrap copper, and certain derivative products. Since then, US prices have surged, and traders have been rushing to send their metal to the US ahead of tariffs, thereby tightening global supplies. The Secretary of Commerce will submit a report to the president 270 days from when the executive order was signed. 

According to BMO analysts, while the destination of copper exiting LME warehouses remains unknown, US trade data shows copper imports are increasing. 

“This is a round of cross-regional repricing triggered by potential US tariffs,” said Wei Lai, deputy trading head at Zijin Mining Investment Shanghai, adding, “Cargoes are lured to the US, leaving other places in shortfall. Buying sentiment is very strong.”

On Thursday, LME copper prices increased by a half percentage point to $10,046 a ton — the highest level since October — while prices on New York’s Comex inched closer to record highs. 

The spread between the copper Comex futures and LME futures widened to more than $1,254 per ton this week, surpassing its February peak of around $1,149. 

“Copper just keeps grinding as it takes out $10k, we said it will overshoot, and its overshooting! Nothing more to my eye than this is when GIR expect refined metal tightness to deliver deficits (2Q25 onwards) and US is dragging metal in that will be stranded,” Goldman analyst James McGeoch penned in a note to clients earlier. 

Last month, Goldman’s Eoin Dinsmore and others reinitiated their coverage of copper with a new medium-run $10,500-11,500/t range forecast. This call was based on three drivers:

  1. Strong Electrification Demand. We believe the electrification megatrend will continue to reshape copper demand. That became clear in 2024, when despite a 10% drop in copper demand from the China construction sector, electrification drove a solid 4% YoY increase in China refined copper demand. Electrification will account for all copper demand growth to 2030. And the grid alone makes up over 50% of the growth, adding the equivalent of another US to global copper demand.

  2. China Copper Stimulus. Copper demand is set to disproportionately benefit from China stimulus in sectors such as appliances and EVs. We estimate China stimulus will add 2pp to China copper demand growth, while tariffs knock off only 0.8pp. We forecast China refined copper demand to grow by 4% in 2025, as the boost from structural electrification and stimulus well outweigh the drags from weakness in construction and tariffs. However, several stimulus programs pull forward demand, with copper demand growth slowing markedly from 2027.

  3. Ali Cap and Chile Floor. Copper demand will rise by 4Mt by 2030, requiring substantial growth in mine and scrap supply. We believe that substitution away from copper (when the copper price trades >4x the aluminium price) will cap the copper price at $10,500/t in 2025 and $11,500t in 2026. Mine supply growth will primarily come from short lead-time, low capex mines in DR Congo, but maintaining stable supply from Chile remains crucial. A price of $10,500/t will be needed by 2026 for enough new mine capacity to be developed and to avoid large deficits by the early 2030s. We think the scrap share of total demand will remain flat, offering little relief to future market tightness.

The Commerce Department’s investigation into copper imports is unlikely to deliver recommendations for the president until the end of the year. In the meantime, copper supplies flow into the US while global supplies tighten. 

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 09:50

Trump Admin Pauses $175 Million In UPenn Funding Over Men In Women’s Sports

Trump Admin Pauses $175 Million In UPenn Funding Over Men In Women’s Sports

Authored by Gabrielle Temaat via The College Fix,

UPenn under investigation for allowing male on women’s swim team…

President Donald Trump’s administration is withholding $175 million from the University of Pennsylvania due to the school’s failure to ban men from women’s sports.

The White House announced the decision in a post on X Wednesday, citing the university’s “policies forcing women to compete with men in sports.”

The $175 million makes up approximately 20 percent of the total federal funds the university received last year, with the payments coming from the Department of Defense and the Department of Health and Human Services, a White House official told The New York Post.

However, the White House has not officially notified the school of the funding freeze.

A UPenn spokesperson told Fox News the school is “aware of media reports suggesting a suspension of $175 million in federal funding to Penn, but have not yet received any official notification or any details.”

“It is important to note, however, that Penn has always followed NCAA and Ivy League policies regarding student participation on athletic teams. We have been in the past, and remain today, in full compliance with the regulations that apply to not only Penn, but all of our NCAA and Ivy League peer institutions,” the spokesperson stated.

The funding pause follows a recent executive order signed by Trump titled “Keeping Men Out of Women’s Sports.”

The president said the order will protect women from being bullied, injured, and treated unfairly, and “there will be no federal funding” for schools and universities that do not follow the order, The College Fix previously reported.

UPenn is currently under investigation by the U.S. Department of Education for potential Title IX violations and risks losing all federal funding, Fox News reported.

The university allowed trans-identifying male swimmer William “Lia” Thomas to represent the women’s swim team during the 2021-22 season.

“UPenn infamously permitted a male to compete on its women’s swimming team, overturning multiple records hard-earned by women, and granting the fully intact male access to the locker room,” a White House official told The Post.

Three former UPenn athletes who competed alongside Thomas that season have filed a lawsuit, alleging Title IX violations, The Daily Pennsylvanian reported.

In addition, the Department of Education recently sent a letter to the National Collegiate Athletic Association urging it to revoke titles and records previously earned by Thomas and all other trans-identifying men who competed against women.

The federal department is also investigating San Jose State University for allowing transgender athlete Blaire Fleming to compete on the women’s volleyball team, Fox News reported.

Five teams forfeited their matches rather than competing against the male player, The College Fix previously reported.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 09:30

White House Hails Recent Drops In Egg And Gas Prices

White House Hails Recent Drops In Egg And Gas Prices

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The White House on March 17 announced a drop in egg and gasoline prices, calling it a win for the Trump administration’s economic agenda.

A woman shops for eggs at a store in New York City on Feb. 17, 2025. Samira Bouaou/The Epoch Times

“Americans are continuing to see the benefits as the economic agenda of President Donald J. Trump and his administration comes into focus,” the White House press office said in a statement.

The average wholesale price per dozen of eggs has dropped to $3.10, down 47 percent from $6.55 per dozen from Jan. 21, 2025, the White House said.

Egg prices soared in recent months, reaching an average high of $4.95 per dozen in January, according to the Department of Labor. From January 2024 to January 2025, egg prices increased by 54 percent, data show.

A primary reason for the skyrocketing prices is avian influenza, which has led to the culling of tens of millions of egg-laying hens in recent months.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) said last month that more than 23 million birds were culled in January to contain the virus, which followed the winnowing of more than 18 million in December 2024.

Several weeks ago, the USDA warned that egg prices could jump by more than 40 percent in 2025, with Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins noting that it would take some time before consumers would see an effect at the checkout counter.

It takes months for infected farms to dispose of the carcasses, sanitize their farms, and raise new birds, she said, while expressing optimism that the plan will help prices.

“It’s going to take a while to get through, I think in the next month or two, but hopefully by summer,” Rollins said.

The USDA has enough staff to respond to bird flu despite the recent cuts to the federal workforce, Rollins said.

“Will we have the resources needed to address the plan I just laid out? We are convinced that we will,” she said, “as we realign and evaluate where USDA has been spending money, where our employees are spending their time.”

Aside from egg prices, the Trump administration on Monday said that gasoline prices have also dropped in recent weeks.

“The nationwide average for gas has declined for four straight weeks—down ten cents from one month ago and 42 cents from one year ago,” the statement said, pointing to data showing that the average for a gallon of gas is $2.99 or less at more than two-thirds of all stations.

The Trump administration has faced some blowback in recent days over its economic polices, particularly tariffs, and declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq.

When asked about the stock market index declines and tariffs, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in an interview over the weekend that the markets are entering correction territory. He also said that the administration’s policies are designed to stave off a broader economic decline, but he did not rule out a recession.

“There’s no reason that it has to [go into a recession],“ he said in response to an NBC News moderator’s question. ”But I can tell you that if we’d kept on this track, what I could guarantee is we would have had a financial crisis. I’ve studied it. I’ve taught it.

“And if we had kept up at these spending levels, that everything was unsustainable. We are resetting and we are putting things on a sustainable path.”

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 07:20

“Sounds Serious”: Buzz Grows Around Apple’s First Foldable iPhone

“Sounds Serious”: Buzz Grows Around Apple’s First Foldable iPhone

Apple is now 6.5 years behind the foldable smartphone trend, which first emerged in late 2018 with the Royole FlexPai, a folable handset from the Chinese phone company Royole. The first widely recognized foldable phone, Samsung Galaxy Fold, debuted in 2019 but required a redesign due to durability concerns.

Since then, the foldable market has expanded with major handset manufacturers—including Huawei, Motorola, Xiaomi, Google, OnePlus, Vivo, and Microsoft—releasing their own models. 

MacRumors senior analyst Joe Rossignol wrote in a note on Tuesday that several sources have informed him about a potential foldable iPhone in the works. 

Here’s more:

There are now several sources who agree that Apple’s first foldable iPhone will feature a 7.8-inch inner display when unfolded, along with a 5.5-inch outer display. Those sources include analysts Ming-Chi Kuo and Jeff Pu, along with the Weibo account Digital Chat Station. The fact that these display sizes are now agreed upon and have been leaked indicates that Apple may have finalized at least some of the device’s specifications.

The foldable iPhone will open up like a book, according to Kuo, rather than have a clamshell design like Samsung’s Galaxy Z Flip.

Pu said the foldable iPhone recently entered the New Product Introduction (NPI) stage at manufacturer Foxconn, suggesting that Apple is moving forward with plans to release the device. Pu and Kuo both believe that the foldable iPhone will enter mass production in the fourth quarter of 2026, which means the device could launch as soon as next year in limited quantities, but a release at some point in 2027 seems more likely.

As funny as it might sound, the foldable iPhone seems to be two years away for real this time.

Barclays analyst Tim Long recently estimated that Apple’s first foldable iPhone could start at around $2,299 in the U.S., meaning it would cost nearly twice as much as the iPhone 16 Pro Max, which starts at $1,199 there.

In addition to the 7.8-inch inner display and 5.5-inch outer display, Kuo said the foldable iPhone will feature two rear cameras, one front camera, a Touch ID power button instead of Face ID, and a high-density battery. He expects the device to be as thin as 4.5mm when unfolded, and between 9mm and 9.5mm when folded. He also said the device will have a titanium exterior, but the hinge will use a mix of titanium and stainless steel.

In a separate note, Goldman analysts Allen Chang and others plotted price points of the various foldable handsets on the market. 

2024 to 2025 smartphone model launch pipeline

A detailed infographic illustrating Apple’s iPhone supply chain in China.

Apple might be late to the foldable handset market, but the real question is whether consumers actually want another unaffordable device from Tim Cook. Additionally, Cook’s AI-powered Siri iPhone was a flop, and the Vision Pro was an epic disaster. Apple needs to reinvent itself.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 06:55

CDC Warns About Elevated Risk Of Dengue Fever

CDC Warns About Elevated Risk Of Dengue Fever

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Tuesday sent an alert to health officials and providers about relatively elevated levels of dengue fever cases.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention headquarters in Atlanta on April 23, 2020. (Tami Chappell/AFP via Getty Images

“Dengue activity remains high in some parts of the United States and globally, with many countries reporting higher-than-usual numbers of dengue cases in 2024 and 2025,” the CDC warned in a bulletin.

The agency urged health care providers and state and local health agencies, along with the public, to take steps to detect and prevent dengue.

Transmission remains high in North America and South America, including in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, both territories of the United States, the CDC said.

“Spring and summer travel coincides with the peak season for dengue in many countries, increasing the risk of both travel-associated and locally acquired cases in the United States,” the CDC said in an alert.

The federal health agency pointed to data, updated as of March 10, that shows more than 13 million cases of dengue reported in North America, Central America, and South America, as well as the Caribbean region. It noted that local transmission of the virus was reported in Florida, California, and Texas last year.

Also known as “break-bone fever” because it can be so painful, dengue is transmitted by the Aedes aegypti mosquito. Four different but related viruses cause the disease: dengue virus 1, 2, 3, and 4, according to health officials.

The World Health Organization says that about half the world’s population is at risk of getting the disease and that there are 100 million to 400 million infections every year. Symptoms can include fever, severe headaches, and pain in muscles and joints. There is no widely available medicine for treating dengue infections.

Last year, the CDC sent out a similar health alert about an increased risk of dengue infections across the United States.

“Global incidence of dengue in 2024 has been the highest on record for this calendar year; many countries are reporting higher-than-usual dengue case numbers,” the CDC said in its June 2024 advisory.

Some people can experience no signs or symptoms of a dengue infection. But when symptoms do occur, they can be mistaken for another illness such as influenza. Symptoms usually start between four and 10 days after being bitten by a dengue-infected mosquito, according to the Mayo Clinic. The virus generally causes a high fever of 104 degrees Fahrenheit and can include several other symptoms.

These include muscle, bone, or joint pain; vomiting; nausea; pain behind the eyes; swollen glands; and a rash. In some cases, the symptoms can become life-threatening in what is known as “severe dengue,” dengue hemorrhagic fever, or dengue shock syndrome, the clinic says on its website.

The severe symptoms often can occur after the fever goes away and can include persistent vomiting, abdominal pain, fatigue, rapid breathing, bleeding gums or nose, blood in stool or vomit, restlessness, thirst, pale and cold skin, and weakness.

Complications from severe forms of the disease can lead to organ damage, severe bleeding, and breathing problems, according to the Johns Hopkins Medical School.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 06:30

Morgan Stanley Prepares To Cut 2,000 Jobs & “Water Down” DEI Initiatives

Morgan Stanley Prepares To Cut 2,000 Jobs & “Water Down” DEI Initiatives

Morgan Stanley is set to cut around 2,000 jobs by the end of the month as part of a broader effort to enhance operational efficiency, according to a report from Bloomberg. At the same time, The Wall Street Journal reported that the investment bank is scaling back or restructuring its diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives in response to internal backlash.

A source familiar with the upcoming layoffs told Bloomberg that cuts are companywide except for its 15,000 financial advisers. Workforce reductions at the 80,000-person bank were implemented before market turmoil sent the Nasdaq 100 Index down 7.3% on the year. 

A spokesperson for the New York-based bank declined to comment on the cuts. However, the source said the reduction is based on “keeping a lid on costs as executives grapple with minimal attrition in their ranks.” 

The source said that some cuts are based on performance, while others result from changes in where MS bases some of its workers. Additionally, some reductions are attributed to increased efficiencies around artificial intelligence and automation within the firm.

At a conference earlier this week, Morgan Stanley Co-President Dan Simkowitz said that merger and acquisition announcements and new equity issuance are “certainly on pause.”

Simkowitz said the firm is “adding real headcount” at senior levels of the investment banking unit ahead of a possible recovery in capital markets. 

In addition to an imminent workforce reduction, a WSJ report states that MS’ DEI obsession is now being “watered down” after internal turmoil, lawsuits, and backlash. 

DEI created a mess at MS. 

More from WSJ:

Today, the bank faces discrimination accusations and lawsuits, including several in recent months, from both white and Black workers, and criticism from staff who say the efforts either fell short or were unduly heavy-handed.

…

The workplace tensions at Morgan Stanley have flared as companies scrambled to respond to a national reckoning over race relations — and then tried to temper the approach once the legal climate shifted.

While outside pressure has been the focus of the growing political and legal war against DEI, employees and executives have also clashed inside offices, as business leaders brought on consultants, training sessions and race-specific hiring targets.

Morgan Stanley is now watering down diversity initiatives it put in place, including after 2020.

Meritocracy > DEI.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 05:45

Key Coca-Cola & Pepsi Ingredient ‘Controlled By RSF Paramilitary In Sudan’

Key Coca-Cola & Pepsi Ingredient ‘Controlled By RSF Paramilitary In Sudan’

Via Middle East Eye

Sudan’s paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) is currently controlling access to a vital ingredient used in Coca-Cola and Pepsi across vast swathes of the country, according to a new report.

Gum arabic, an organic emulsifier derived from the sap of the acacia trees, is a major ingredient in a range of products, including the gigantic soft drink brands as well as soap, medicine, sweets and cosmetics. Around 70 percent of the world’s supply comes from Sudan, where the trees grow in a 200,000 square mile belt across the south of the country that is largely controlled by the RSF, according to Bloomberg.

Hisham Salih Yagoub, whose company Afritec is one of Sudan’s biggest international suppliers, told the news outlet that he regularly pays the RSF $2,500 per truck to allow transport of the product to the country’s ports.

“They stop the trucks and you have to pay for the trucks to move,” he said. “They either steal some of it or they make you pay.”

Since April 2023, Sudan has been embroiled in a brutal civil war between the RSF and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF). The country has fallen into a humanitarian crisis, with 12.5 million Sudanese displaced from their homes, according to UNHCR. Thousands are estimated to have been killed.

The RSF has been accused of widespread sexual assault, looting, torture and the summary execution of civilians, while the SAF has also been censured for indiscriminate bombing campaigns.

According to documents acquired by Bloomberg, the SAF has also introduced a range of fees that amount to roughly $155 per 100kg of gum arabic being sent out of Port Sudan, meaning any transportation of gum arabic out of the country likely involves payment to groups accused of war crimes.

Bloomberg said it did not receive a response to inquires put to Coca-Cola, PepsiCo and Danone over the gum arabic controversy. 

Nestle said it was “committed to sourcing all our commodities in a responsible way, and in line with applicable regulatory requirements,” while Mars said it did it not tolerate bribery or corruption and was “actively engaging with our suppliers regarding the deeply concerning situation in Sudan and we remain prepared to take any appropriate action if we find any violation of our policies.”

Sudan’s gum arabic belt covers hundreds of thousands of square kilometers…

Coca-Cola and Pepsi have recently also faced a widespread boycott in the Middle East over the US role in supporting Israel’s assault on the Gaza Strip, as well as the former’s reported factory in the illegal West Bank settlement of Atarot.

According to market researcher NielsenIQ, western soft drink brands suffered a 7 percent sales decline in the first half of 2024 across the Middle East.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 05:00

Sleek New Chinese EVs Are “Taking Over” In Emerging Markets

Sleek New Chinese EVs Are “Taking Over” In Emerging Markets

Chinese EVs like Great Wall, BYD, Chery, and SAIC are flooding the streets in places other than the U.S., according to a new report from Bloomberg.

While the U.S., Canada, and the EU impose tariffs to protect domestic automakers, emerging markets are embracing Chinese vehicles, creating fresh competition for global carmakers.

Places like “Bangkok to Johannesburg to Sao Paulo” are being dominated by the new low cost, sleek EVs that China has been churning out en masse over the last half decade. 

Bloomberg writes that China now leads global vehicle exports, shipping 4.9 million passenger cars in 2024—up from less than 1 million in 2020, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers.

“Chinese automakers have pushed into lots of global markets with high quality and competitively priced vehicles,” said Abby Chun Tu of S&P Global Mobility, comparing their strategy to past successes of South Korean and Japanese brands. Unlike their predecessors, they also offer advanced software and feature-rich models, even at lower price points.

Despite concerns in the U.S. and Europe over China’s EV dominance, most Chinese car exports remain gas-powered, as many developing nations lack EV infrastructure.

With a growing foothold, China’s global auto market share could rise from 3% today to 13% by 2030—hitting 39% in Africa and the Middle East, according to AlixPartners.

Ford CEO Jim Farley acknowledged the competitive threat, saying, “In emerging markets like India, especially South America, they’re being dominated by the Chinese.”

Ford has exited Brazil, where BYD took over its former plant, but aims to hold ground in South Africa and Thailand. “We have to think about future-proofing that,” Farley said.

The article concludes, stating GM and Stellantis see Chinese automakers as a threat but partner with them to stay competitive. 

Chinese brands gain ground with marketing and low prices. In Brazil, BYD featured Pelé in ads, and Luiz Palladino compared his Haval H6 EV to BMW, saying, “It has everything I want.”

Tax breaks helped China’s foothold in Brazil, with BYD and Great Wall building plants. “The Chinese found a great opportunity,” said Ricardo Roa of KPMG.

In Thailand, Chinese brands now hold 13.3% of the market and 71% of EV sales. As Japanese automakers retreat, Chinese rivals take over.

At Bangkok’s Motor Expo, Wiyawit Petra, a longtime Toyota and Honda driver, considered a BYD hybrid. “I want to open my heart to something new now,” he said. “It’s also affordable, so it’s worth the risk.”

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 04:15

UK Taxpayers Funded £7.6 Billion In Welfare For Migrants In Just One Year

UK Taxpayers Funded £7.6 Billion In Welfare For Migrants In Just One Year

Authored by Steve Watson via Modernity.news,

In just one year, over a million migrants in Britain received more than £7.6 billion in welfare, an analysis of government data has found.

The Centre for Migration Control (CMC) estimates  that around 1,158,000 foreign nationals received universal credit for low income individuals, after collating Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) data.

The figures are from 2023 when a supposedly conservative government was in power, and before the current far left Labour government was elected.

The CMC notes that the numbers will continue to increase given the ever increasing record numbers of foreigners being allowed into the UK.

Migrants in the UK become eligible for universal credit, and the same benefits as natives, when they are either granted refugee status or indefinite leave to remain in the country.

The £7.6 billion figure doesn’t even include support payments and accommodation given to migrants awaiting to hear back on their asylum claims, which totalled another £5.4 billion.

As we’ve highlighted, these ‘refugees’ get to spend their time in lavish hotels at taxpayer expense.

Or they’re sent to quaint villages where residents don’t know what has hit them.

The Centre for Migration Control also found that 40 nationalities were more likely to receive universal credit than British citizens, with migrants from the Congo most likely to be on benefits, with 445 claims per 1,000 people.

Other nationalities most likely to be on benefits included Iraqis at 434 per 1,000, Afghans at 414, Algerians at 361, Eritreans at 355, Syrians at 352, Somalians at 336, and Iranians at 334, while only 100 in 1000 actual British people claimed universal credit in 2023.

Karl Williams, research director at the Centre for Policy Studies, urged that the figures reveal the government need to have a “much more selective immigration system that prioritises migrants likely to be substantial net contributors.”

Shadow Home Secretary Chris Philp called the benefits figures “unacceptable” adding athat it “is immoral that British taxpayers are subsidising nationals of other countries on an industrial scale. No wonder our taxes are so high.”

Philip further stated, “Research shows low-wage migrants actually cost other taxpayers money. This is why the era of mass migration has to end.”

Previous stats compiled by the CMC have revealed that almost 1.7 million foreigners residing in the UK are out of work or “economically inactive,” costing taxpayers an estimated £8.5 billion per year.

The £8.5 billion estimate doesn’t even include the costs of asylum seekers, as well as foreign students, meaning the actual cost to a British taxpayers is probably much higher.

In addition, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has revealed that the Home Office spent a staggering £7.9 billion in just three years on asylum, border, and visa management when its budget was just £320 million.

In addition, the CMC found that foreign nationals are twice as likely to be arrested for crimes compared to British citizens, and 3.5 times more likely to be arrested for sexual offences.

* * *

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Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 03:30

War Is A Racket…

War Is A Racket…

The United States was the world’s largest arms exporter between 2020 and 2024, delivering weapons to 107 states. 

As Statista’s Anna Fleck shows in the chart below, it accounted for 43 percent of global exports in that time period, up from 35 percent of all international arms sales between 2015 and 2019. 

Infographic: Who Sells the Most Weapons? | Statista 

You will find more infographics at Statista

France was in second place, accounting for 9.6 percent of arms exports in 2020-2024, up from 8.6 percent in the five year period before. 

This is according to the latest release of weapons transfer data by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).

Russia, the third biggest major arms exporter between 2020-2024, has seen a decline in arms exports over recent years. The trend started before its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and as this chart shows, continued to fall from a global share of 21 percent in 2015-19 to 7.8 percent in 2020-24. According to the report, this ongoing decline is partly due to a decrease in demand from China and India as the two nations boost their own production domestically, and more recently, is likely also a result of the country doubling down on arms production for its own forces. 

Other factors cited include the impacts of trade sanctions on Russia and pressure from the U.S. and its allies to stop buying Russian arms. The three main destinations for Russian weapons were India (38 percent), China (17 percent) and Kazakhstan (11 percent).

Where the U.S., France and Italy were among the countries to grow their arms exports in 2020-24, Russia, China, Germany the United Kingdom and Israel were among those to record decreases in the time period. 

The five largest importers in 2020-24 were Ukraine, India, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan.

Tyler Durden
Thu, 03/20/2025 – 02:45