59.1 F
Chicago
Friday, October 2, 2026
Home Blog Page 2309

Tuesday’s Debate Looms Large For Both Candidates

0
Tuesday’s Debate Looms Large For Both Candidates

Authored by Ron Faucheux via RealClearPolitics,

For six weeks, Kamala Harris’ campaign has been running circles around Donald Trump’s efforts. Democrats have raised tons of money, energized their base, and protected Harris from unscripted interviews and political risks. All the while, Trump’s campaigning has been lackluster.

True, Trump has been through a lot over this past year – indictments, trials, contested primaries, and an attempted assassination; the strain is showing. But the time has come for him to make the sale.

Despite Trump’s lack of focus and Harris’ early momentum, polls continue to show a close race. This is why Tuesday’s presidential debate is so important. It could make or break either campaign.

As we’ve learned over the years, debates are more often lost than won. The Biden-Trump showdown in June proved it.

For Trump, the debate is an opportunity to recharge, a chance to unveil a strong, disciplined message. For Harris, it’s an opportunity to broaden her base and reassure skeptical voters. Pundits tell us, incorrectly, that voters have already made up their minds, but the truth is otherwise. Recent polling finds that a sizable part of the electorate (18%) could still swing either way.

Right out of the box, each candidate should lay the predicate for the entire night. Starting aggressively is the best way to take the offense, regardless of questions asked or time limits.

Debate messaging should reflect the campaign’s central theme – assuming a campaign has one. Trump’s central theme has yet to be honed, so the debate is an opportunity for him to do so. Harris’ messaging has been working well, but it’s hollow, mostly a collection of slogans. This debate is a chance for her to tie her themes together.

The first words out of Trump’s mouth should frame the election as a choice between his record and the Biden-Harris record. Polls tell us that most voters prefer the Trump record, especially on the economy, immigration, and national security. This could be Trump’s version of Ronald Reagan’s famous debate line, “Are you better off than you were four years ago?”

Trump also needs to make the case that Harris is too far left by citing specific policies she’s supported. He should end a line of rapid-fire attacks with a pithy summation, something like: “Biden went along with the progressive left, but Harris will be their champion.” 

Harris’ first words should focus on the future, reinforcing her message that “we’re not going back” to the Trump era. From the start, she needs to inoculate herself against likely attacks; that will make it easier to respond when they arise. She should be ready to defend her own views – from Gaza to Ukraine, taxes to fracking, grocery prices to deficit spending. Harris needs to show a depth of knowledge she rarely displays.

At times, the most important thing Trump should do is shut up. Time limits and microphone mute buttons may help him do that. He needs to avoid distractions, such as relitigating the 2020 election. There is no reason for him to bring up his criminal cases. These are potential traps; Harris will have ready-made retorts for all of them.

Unpredictability is Trump’s strength. Harris expects him to be rambling and disruptive. But if, instead, he’s rational and concise, and his attacks are coherent and focused – not his usual word salad of overstatements and distractions – he could force Harris off her game.

Harris should employ two techniques that could throw Trump off stride. One is humor. Neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden effectively used wit against Trump in previous debates, and it was a missed opportunity. The second is for Harris to make her points in the form of questions. As a lawyer and senator, she knows how to do this. Even though debate rules don’t allow cross-questioning, nothing prohibits candidates from posing questions to the audience in the form of statements.

After the endless ads and unremitting smears that often cancel out one another, debates serve as tiebreakers for undecided voters. This may be the only presidential debate left in this election. A bad night for either candidate could be fatal.

Tune in on Tuesday and decide for yourself.

Ron Faucheux is a nonpartisan political analyst, pollster and writer. He edited “The Debate Book” and publishes LunchtimePolitics.com, a nationwide newsletter on polls and public opinion.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 11:40

Russia Takes New Village Near Hub Of Pokrovsk; Drone Debris Hits Outside Ukraine’s Parliament

0
Russia Takes New Village Near Hub Of Pokrovsk; Drone Debris Hits Outside Ukraine’s Parliament

On Saturday Russia’s defense ministry (MoD) has announced the capture of another village in Eastern Ukraine as its forces close in on the key logistics hub of Pokrovsk. 

Moscow forces “have liberated the village of Kalynove” in the Donetsk region, which is about 16 miles southeast of Ukraine-held Pokrovsk.

Via AFP

Pokrovsk is the crossroads city of some 60,000 people seen as vital to Kiev’s defense efforts. The fears in the West are that if it falls, the whole of Donetsk will be easily taken by Russia, and so will all of the Donbass region.

Ukraine authorities have already ordered an evacuation of all children and young people from the city amid the months-long Russian advance. Moscow has recently said it captured a string of villages in the area, and all of these maneuvers are seen as aiding in capturing the ultimate prize of Pokrovsk.

President Putin reiterated Thursday in a talk that capturing and solidifying all of the Donbass under Russian rule remains the “primary objective” of the ‘special military operation’.

But there are conflicting reports over just how fast the Russian advance is occurring. Ukraine has on Saturday said its military recaptured part of nearby Niu-York:

In an interview with CNN, Oleksandr Syrskyi, the commander in chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, confirmed that Russia did not advance in Pokrovsk on Thursday.

“Over the last six days the enemy hasn’t advanced a single meter in the Pokrovsk direction,” he told the outlet.

So once again the competing narratives from the two warring side flatly contradict each other.

Unusual or new drone technologies continue to appear on the Ukraine battlefield…

Overnight there was another Russian aerial onslaught. Ukraine’s Air Force claimed to have intercepted 58 out of 67 long-range drones sent in the new barrage.

Al Jazeera, citing local media, also reported this detail: “Debris from a downed drone was also found next to Ukraine’s parliament building in the capital, Kyiv, the Verkhovna Rada said in a statement on the Telegram messaging app on Saturday.”

There were no reports of casualties from this latest drone attack. Prior Russian ballistic missile attacks from earlier this week, however, have resulted in scores of casualties.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 11:05

US Intel Undercuts DOJ’s “Foreign Interference” Claim Used To Smear Conservative Pundits

0
US Intel Undercuts DOJ’s “Foreign Interference” Claim Used To Smear Conservative Pundits

Authored by Luis Cornelio via HeadlineUSA.com,

The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) announced Friday that it has not “observed” any foreign interference in the 2024 election, seemingly undermining cynical remarks by Attorney General Merrick Garland. 

The ODNI’s Foreign Malign Influence Center (FMIC) stated in a 2-page report that the intelligence community “has not observed any foreign actor seeking to interfere in the conduct of the 2024 elections.” Natalie Winters, a co-host of the Steve Bannon WarRoom podcast, first reported these findings.

While the report stipulated that Russia “poses the most active foreign influence threat” to the election, it found no evidence of meddling. The FMIC’s assertions come just days after Garland issued dire warnings about so-called foreign influence targeting the election. 

On Wednesday, Garland announced actions targeting what he described as Russian-ordered schemes aimed at swaying the upcoming election. 

The leftist attorney general unveiled an indictment against two RT (Russia Today) employees accused of funneling $10 million to “fund and direct” an American company to promote pro-Russia content. 

The company was revealed to be Tenet Media, owned by influencer Lauren Cheng and her husband, Liam Donovan. 

The DOJ claimed the media company used the funds to hire high-profile conservative influencers, including Benny Johnson, Tim Pool, Dave Rubin and Lauren Southern. 

Media outlets and left-wing figures have seized on these DOJ allegations to launch what appears to be a unified smear campaign against these conservative influencers, many known for their pro-Trump content.

Notably, while the investigation remains open, the DOJ has not accused any of these figures of any wrongdoing.

Along with the indictment, the DOJ seized 32 internet domains allegedly used by Russia to impersonate American media outlets in a bid to influence voters in elections, including the 2024 presidential contest between Vice President Kamala Harris and President Donald Trump. 

“Both of the schemes I have just discussed make clear the ends to which the Russian government — including at its highest levels — is willing to go to undermine our democratic process,” Garland claimed at a round-table on Wednesday.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 10:30

In Pivotal Senate Race, Republican Takes Significant Lead Over Incumbent Democrat

0
In Pivotal Senate Race, Republican Takes Significant Lead Over Incumbent Democrat

Democrats hoping to maintain control of the United States Senate in 2025 have been jolted by a new poll that shows Montana’s incumbent Democratic senator trailing his Republican challenger by 8 points with under two months to go until Election Day.

The AARP poll found 49% of Montana voters back Republican Tim Sheehy and 41% support incumbent Jon Tester, while the Libertarian candidate takes 4% and the Green Party, 1%. Sheehy appears to be the beneficiary of Donald Trump’s popularity in the state: The former president has a commanding 56% to 41% lead. He won the state by 16 points in 2020 and 21 in 2016. 

The Democrats are defending 23 Senate seats in 2024, compared to just 11 for the Republicans. The GOP needs to flip only two seats to wrest control of the upper chamber back from the Democrats. 

A former Navy SEAL, 37-year-old Sheehy is the founder and CEO of aerial firefighting company Bridger Aerospace. 

Sheehy’s support is strongest among voters over age 49 years, who favored him by 16 points. That block is also the most likely to vote, with a whopping 92% describing themselves as “extremely motivated” to cast a ballot, compared to 77% of voters 18 to 49. The results come despite a Democratic spending advantage in the race, with the leftist party spending $128 million compared to the GOP’s $109 million.  

Republicans strategists are buoyed by the polling, and suggest Sheehy may well outperform them. “Even in the 2020 Senate race, which Steve [Daines] won by double digits, we never saw numbers as strong as we are seeing now from Tim Sheehy,” NRSC Executive Director Jason Thielman tells Axios.

The new Montana poll prompted the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics to move the status of the contest from “toss-up” to “leans Republican,” noting that…

“History and recent trends are just not on Tester’s side, as we have mentioned previously. He is one of a relatively small number of partisan outliers in either chamber of Congress, holding a Senate seat that the other party won by 16 points in the most recent presidential election.

The race is seen as essential for Democratic ambitions to retain their hold on the Senate in 2025. “If Tester does lose…Democrats will have no path to win the Senate majority unless they can somehow put a currently Republican-held seat in play,” writes the Center for Politics’ Kyle Kondik, noting that Democrats are considering a stronger, long-shot push to dislodge Texas Sen. Ted Cruz or Florida Sen. Rick Scott, whose races are both rated as “Likely Republican.” 

“The upshot of this [Montana] rating change is that there are now 51 Senate seats rated as Safe, Likely, or Leaning Republican, so this move solidifies the Republicans as clear favorites to flip control of the Senate this November,” writes Kondik.

The switch in Montana’s status leaves Ohio as the only race still considered a toss-up by the Center. That race also has Democrats on the defensive, with incumbent Sherrod Brown facing Trump-backed candidate Bernie Moreno. The RealClearPolitics poll average has Moreno down 3.6%. In March, he handily won a bitter, three-way primary battle that saw him defeat the establishment favorite who’d been endorsed by Gov. Mike DeWine and former Sen. Rob Portman, and who outspent Moreno. 

Against their two-flipped-seat goal, the Republicans seemingly have one firmly in their pocket already, as 73-year-old West Virginia Democrat-turned-Republican Governor Jim Justice has a 34-point lead in the race for the seat of retiring Democrat-turned-independent Sen. Joe Manchin.  

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 09:55

Social Security Facing $63 Trillion In Unfunded Liabilities

0
Social Security Facing $63 Trillion In Unfunded Liabilities

Authored by Andrew Moran via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Social Security is facing $63 trillion in long-term unfunded liabilities, according to the 2024 Old-Age, Survivors, Disability Insurance (OASDI) trustees report.

A person wearing a mask stands outside a Social Security Administration building in Burbank, Calif., on Nov. 5, 2020. VALERIE MACON/AFP via Getty Images

The report looked at two things: how much money will be missing indefinitely and how much will be missing in the next 75 years. The report determined that there will be a permanent $62.8 trillion deficit and about a $23 trillion shortage for the next 75 years.

Officials explained that these numbers show how much less money they will have after the money saved up in trust funds runs out.

“The annual shortfalls after trust fund reserve depletion rise slowly and reflect increases in life expectancy,” the report reads.

“The summarized shortfalls over the infinite horizon, as percentages of taxable payroll and GDP, are larger than the shortfalls for the 75-year period.”

OASDI trustees noted that the shortfall could be eliminated if the combined payroll tax rate was raised to “about 17.0 percent” or if there was a “permanent reduction in benefits for all current and future beneficiaries by about 26.5 percent.”

Laurence Kotlikoff, professor of economics at Boston University, told The Epoch Times that assessing the current infinite unfunded liability is imperative.

“There’s nothing in economics that says you should just look at 75 years and assume everybody’s going to be dead the day after,” Kotlikoff said.

“It’s like operating on half of the cancer, removing half a cancer, and telling your patient to come back in 10 years, and when they do, it’s twice as big, and you’re operating out on half.

“[That’s] the practice here in our country dealing with Social Security.”

This is not the first report to spotlight the deteriorating fiscal state of the retirement scheme and other federal programs.

In February, the Treasury Department released the “Financial Report of the United States Government.”

It concluded that U.S. taxpayers face more than $78 trillion in long-term unfunded obligations for Social Security and Medicare.

The problem, according to Mark Warshawsky, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, is that these outlooks are based on rosy scenarios, meaning that the United States will not grapple with a financial crisis, a major military conflict, or another pandemic.

“To make matters worse, the [Financial Report] is based on optimistic, indeed unrealistic, assumptions,” he wrote, adding that the report suggests that the Trump-era tax cuts will completely lapse, income tax revenues will rise over time, and defense spending will not increase.

Still, it is valuable to disseminate these numbers to the public, according to Warshawsky.

“Despite its faults, the undoubtedly large effort needed to produce the [Financial Report] annually is worthwhile and it should get more attention from policymakers, the media, and the public,” he said.

People shop at a supermarket in Glendale, Calif., on Jan. 12, 2022. Robyn Beck/AFP via Getty Images

Last week, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) projected that an essential Social Security trust fund—the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund—will be exhausted by 2033.

Additionally, the Disability Insurance Trust Fund balance could run dry by 2064.

According to CBO Director Phillip Swagel, if Social Security is left intact over the next decade, recipients would receive a 21 percent cut to their benefits.

Over the years, lawmakers on both sides of the aisle have presented a series of solutions to rescue Social Security.

In March, the Republican Study Committee, a group of more than 170 House GOP representatives, published its fiscal year 2025 budget proposal, championing raising the eligibility age to 67 from 65.

President Joe Biden and other Democrats have said that ensuring that the “highest-income Americans pay their fair share” is a feasible response to the looming funding shortage for the top retirement programs.

“No benefit cuts,” the White House said in a March 11 statement. “The president opposes any proposal to cut benefits, as well as proposals to privatize Social Security.”

Calls to Embrace Reform

But many economists and financial experts say that public policymakers need to embrace reform.

“What we need is not just a smart Social Security fix, but we need to have a radical reform of our fiscal system,” Kotlikoff said. “It’s not doodling around the current system.”

Indeed, he has proposed several different measures that Washington could institute to keep the Social Security system intact through what he calls a “Personal Security System.”

Kotlikoff has recommended phasing out the existing Social Security system while paying off all accrued obligations to current retirees and workers and “replacing it with a fully funded, progressive retirement account system.”

As for immediate solutions, Doug Carey, a chartered financial analyst, said a change to the payroll tax would be appropriate, although it would be hard to pass in Congress.

“Currently, the payroll tax for both employees and employers is 6.2 percent for Social Security,” Carey told The Epoch Times.

“Increasing this rate would help with the solvency of the trust fund but would be difficult to pass in Congress since it would raise taxes on most people.”

Another policy adjustment, according to Carey, is increasing the payroll tax cap.

“This is the most popular idea,” he said.

“Currently, only earnings up to $168,600 are subject to Social Security taxes. Raising or completely eliminating this limit would go a long way toward increasing the solvency of the trust fund.

“It is also more likely to pass Congress since it only hits a small percentage of workers.”

Revisions to methodology could also serve as a prescription to help keep Social Security afloat, according to Tyler Meyer, a certified financial planner and the owner of QED Wealth Solutions.

“Another approach is to modify the benefit formula to slow the growth of benefits for higher earners while protecting lower-income beneficiaries,” Meyer told The Epoch Times.

“Policymakers might also consider introducing a means-testing system, where benefits are reduced or eliminated for individuals with substantial retirement income from other sources.”

Are Benefits Enough?

Estimates suggest that the Social Security cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2025 will be close to 2.6 percent.

In today’s inflationary environment, are benefits enough?

According to a study by The Senior Citizens League, the value of seniors’ benefits has decreased by 20 percent since 2010.

Researchers found that, on average, retirees would need to receive a $4,440 annual boost—or $370 per month—“to rebuild their lost value.”

“The reality is that COLAs have become less and less likely to match inflation over time,” the report reads.

“In the 1990s and 2000s, 60 percent of COLAs beat inflation. In the 2010s, only 40 percent did. Through the 2020s so far, only one COLA out of five [2023; 8.7 percent] has done so.”

This might be a concerning trend for future retirees after the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) discovered in April that 88 percent of workers anticipate Social Security to be a top source of actual or expected income in retirement.

“Social Security is normally an important part of the guaranteed income portion of the plan as a means to cover essential expenses,” Stephen Kates, principal financial analyst for Retire Guide, told The Epoch Times.

“In the absence of Social Security, retirees will need to replace it with other sources of guaranteed income like pensions or annuities.

“A key consideration for retirees is the ability to cover all essential expenses with guaranteed income.”

For workers engaged in planning their retirements, it is vital to work with a financial adviser for guidance on how to turn savings into an income plan.

“With less Social Security income, your retirement plan may need adjusting, and burying your head in the sand will not help,” Kates said.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 09:20

US-Iraq Deal: Near Quarter-Century Long Pentagon Occupation To Finally End

0
US-Iraq Deal: Near Quarter-Century Long Pentagon Occupation To Finally End

On Friday the governments of Iraq and the United States reached a landmark agreement for the final exit of all US-coalition troops from the territory of Iraq.

Several sources confirmed to Reuters that hundreds of still remaining American and Western allied troops will pull out of the country by September 2025, with the remainder to exit by the close of 2026.

AFP

It will bring to an end an almost quarter-century occupation which began with the 2003 ‘shock and awe’ bombing of Baghdad and full-scale invasion under the Bush-Cheney administration. The US overthrew Saddam Hussein and the country suffered many years of chaos, an anti-US insurgency, and the rise of terror groups like AQI and ISIS. Hundreds of thousands of Iraqi civilians died, and by some estimates one million perished. Several thousands of US and coalition troops died.

Further, the government that replace Saddam has been, ironically enough, allied with Tehran and dominated by Shia politicians and their interests.

A senior US official told Reuters Friday, “We have an agreement, its now just a question of when to announce it.” In recent years, the Pentagon has sought to justify its remaining in Iraq as necessary to combat ISIS.

But for years there have been widespread efforts in Iraqi parliament and among the population to force the foreign troops out. Political leaders in Iraqi Kurdistan (in the north), however, have been the most friendly to the US presence.

More recently, US bases and even the embassy have come under attack by Iran-aligned Shia paramilitary groups. The Iraqi Army has long been accused of giving these paramilitary groups free reign, and even cooperates with them in many cases.

The US withdrawal was supposed to happen earlier this summer but was put on hold amid escalation between Israel and Iran. Reuters reports the following statement of the Iraqi government:

Farhad Alaaldin, foreign affairs adviser to the Iraqi prime minister, said technical talks with Washington on the coalition drawdown had concluded.

“We are now on the brink of transitioning the relationship between Iraq and members of the international coalition to a new level, focusing on bilateral relations in military, security, economic, and cultural areas,” he said.

The Pentagon has long been worried that a full pullout from Iraq would leave American troops in Syria more exposed. US troops in Syria have been supported logistically from the Iraq side of the border. However, the Syrian government and its allied groups in Iraq have long charged American forces with looting Syrian oil, ferrying it across the border into Iraq.

Friday’s announcement follows Biden’s controversial rapid troop exit from Afghanistan in Aug.2021, which left many deaths, including among Marines and other service members, along with hundreds of Afghan civilians…

Currently the US is believed to have some 2,500 US troops still in Iraq, many of them Army intelligence and special forces advisors, and 900 in neighboring Syria. However, the number of contractors and intelligence officers is likely much greater. Even after the final US troops depart Iraq, an entire army of private contractors is expected to remain.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 08:45

US Wants To Deploy New Missiles To Japan Banned By INF Treaty

0
US Wants To Deploy New Missiles To Japan Banned By INF Treaty

Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com,

The US wants to deploy a previously banned missile system to Japan for military drills, Nikkei Asia has reported. The Typhon missile launcher is a ground-based system that can fire nuclear-capable Tomahawk missiles, which have a range of more than 1,000 miles.

Ground-based missiles with a range between 310 and 3,400 miles were banned by the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, which the US withdrew from in 2019. The Typhon also fires SM-6 missiles, which can hit targets up to 290 miles away.

The US deployed a Typhon system to the Philippines for military drills, a move that China viewed as a major provocation. The missile system was sent to the Philippines for several months. It was first deployed for the drills that started in April, and Manila said it would be pulled out in September, meaning it could still be there.

The Philippines said China expressed “very dramatic” alarm over the deployment of the Typhon system. Chinese Defense Ministry spokesman Wu Qian said the deployment “put the entire region under the fire of the United States (and) brought huge risks of war into the region.”

US Army Secretary Christine Wormuth said on Wednesday that she told Japanese officials the US wanted to deploy the Typhon to Japan next. “We’ve made our interest in this clear with the Japanese Self-Defense Forces,” she said at a Defense News conference in Virginia.

Wormuth said the US would also look to keep it in Japan for several months. “Our goal…in the Army has been to really try to have as much combat-credible capability forward” in the Indo-Pacific west of the international dateline,” she said, according to Nikkei.

Wormuth claimed the deployment “strengthens deterrence” in the region and said the missile system has “gotten the attention of China.” She said there is “a lot of potential” for moving US troops and equipment around Japan’s southwestern islands, which are near Taiwan.

US officials say the US is building up its military presence near China in the name of deterrence, but the steps have only escalated tensions in the region, making a conflict more likely. Wormuth and other US officials are also openly planning for a direct confrontation with China despite the obvious risk of nuclear war.

Wormuth said last year that the US was preparing to fight and win a war with China. “I personally am not of the view that an amphibious invasion of Taiwan is imminent,” she said. “But we obviously have to prepare, to be prepared to fight and win that war.”

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 08:10

“Due To Popular Demand”: Tesla Announces Full Self-Driving Coming To China, Europe In Early 2025

0
“Due To Popular Demand”: Tesla Announces Full Self-Driving Coming To China, Europe In Early 2025

Tesla shares outperformed this week after Tesla AI, an affiliate of Tesla, wrote on X that its Full Self-Driving (FSD) advanced driver assistance software will be rolled out across China and Europe in the first quarter of 2025. 

Tesla AI said pending FSD rollouts in China and Europe are “due to popular demand,” adding that regulatory approval will first be needed to push the over-the-air update in both regions. The update would enable drivers to activate the advanced driver assistance software.

In July, CEO Elon Musk said FSD regulatory approval for both regions was likely achievable by the end of the year. He said on Thursday that FSD could be launched in right-hand drive markets sometime in the first half of next year.

In April, Beijing gave Tesla the ‘green light‘ to roll out FSD and partner with Chinese tech giant Baidu for mapping and navigation software. Tesla has satisfied multiple data security and privacy requirements to operate in the world’s largest EV market.

The approval in April came just days after Musk unexpectedly visited Beijing and met with Premier Li Qiang, who was previously the Communist Party chief in Shanghai when Tesla was setting up its automobile manufacturing plant there. 

Also in April, Wedbush Securities senior analyst Dan Ives told Bloomberg TV that Musk’s visit to China was a major “watershed moment.” 

“This could open up FSD in China, which I view as unlocking what really could be the golden opportunity for them,” Ives said. 

At the time, Bloomberg reported that Musk’s move to seek FSD approval in China was to stem Tesla’s revenue slump.

Tesla AI also provided a roadmap for near-term rollouts:

September 2024

  • v12.5.2 with ~3x improved miles between necessary interventions
  • v12.5.2 on AI3 computer (unified models for AI3 and AI4)
  • Actually Smart Summon – Cybertruck Autopark 📐
  • Eye-tracking with sunglasses 🕶️
  • End-to-End network on highway 🛣️
  • Cybertruck FSD 📐

October 2024

  • Unpark, Park and Reverse in FSD
  • v13 with ~6x improved miles between necessary interventions

Looking ahead, the long-awaited Tesla robotaxi is set to be unveiled on October 10 at the Warner Bros. Discovery movie studio in Burbank, California. 

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 07:35

Poland’s Official Story About An Alleged Airspace Violation Doesn’t Add Up

0
Poland’s Official Story About An Alleged Airspace Violation Doesn’t Add Up

Authored by Andrew Korybko via Substack,

The authorities’ story doesn’t add up since they still maintain that at least three radiolocation stations recorded a violation, but they also claim at the same time that no such violation ever occurred.

Major General Maciej Klisz announced that Poland’s ten-day search for physical evidence of last month’s recorded airspace violation came up empty-handed. According to him,

“As a result of this process and the undertaken analysis, I can say that with high likelihood the air space of the Republic of Poland was not breached on August 26…(but the) data has not changed, what changed is our assessment of the situation.”

For comparison’s sake, here’s what he said on that same day late last month:

“We are probably dealing with the entry of an object on Polish territory. The object was confirmed by at least three radiolocation stations. It is clear from its characteristics that the object is not a missile, it is not a hypersonic, ballistic or guided missile.”

Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski then started talking tough about Poland possibly shooting down Russian missiles over Ukraine, the subject of which was analyzed here.

Returning to Klisz’s remarks, it’s notable that he insisted that the “data has not changed”, thus meaning that Poland still maintains that at least three radiolocation stations recorded an airspace violation on 26 August, but they couldn’t discover any physical evidence inside of country. Nevertheless, he also flip-flopped by now concluding that Polish airspace wasn’t breached in the first place, which is contradictory. Notice that he’s not even speculating that a drone might have crossed in and out of Polish airspace.

If what he’s saying is true, then this means that Poland’s radiolocation stations are either malfunctioning or that Russia is somehow able to manipulate their signals, both scenarios of which are very concerning from the perspective of Polish national security. Another possibility is that debris from a Ukrainian air defense missile fell inside of Poland, but the authorities want to cover it up in order to not worsen bilateral relations and/or create a situation where more citizens sour on Polish aid to Ukraine.

The media should hold Klisz’s feet to the fire by pressing him and other officials to elaborate on his contradiction. They’re unlikely to get an answer, or whatever they receive might not directly address this, but it’s important that it’s not swept under the rug given the national security stakes involved. Poles and their NATO allies deserve to know whether Poland’s radiolocation stations are malfunctioning or being manipulated, or if a wayward Ukrainian air defense missile or its debris once again fell inside of Poland.

As it stands, this incident is already hugely embarrassing. Coming up empty-handed despite a ten-day search that covered 3,200 square kilometers from the air, 250 square kilometers on the ground, and analyzed satellite images of an area of 310 square kilometers where the object was likely to fall according to reports suggests that the full truth isn’t being shared. It also needlessly provoked panic among people who were duped into thinking that a Russian object supposedly violated Polish airspace.

Sikorski’s tough talk about possibly shooting down Russian missiles over Ukraine is also revealed to have been political opportunism that was advanced on what’s now officially considered to be a false pretext. The authorities’ story doesn’t add up though since they still maintain that at least three radiolocation stations recorded a violation, but they also claim at the same time that no such violation occurred. It’s therefore incumbent on truly independent members of the press to get down to the bottom of this.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 09/07/2024 – 07:00

Children Of Big Brother: What It Means To Go Back-To-School In The American Police State

0
Children Of Big Brother: What It Means To Go Back-To-School In The American Police State

Authored by John & Nisha Whitehead via The Rutherford Institute,

“Every day in communities across the United States, children and adolescents spend the majority of their waking hours in schools that have increasingly come to resemble places of detention more than places of learning.”

– Investigative journalist Annette Fuentes

It’s not easy being a child in the American police state.

Danger lurks around every corner and comes at you from every direction, especially when Big Brother is involved.

Out on the streets, you’ve got the menace posed by police officers who shoot first and ask questions later. In your neighborhoods, you’ve got to worry about the Nanny State and its network of busybodies turning parents in for allowing their children to walk to school alone, walk to the park alone, play at the beach alone, or even play in their own yard alone.

The tentacles of the police state even intrude on the sanctity of one’s home, with the government believing it knows better than you—the parent—what is best for your child. This criminalization of parenthood has run the gamut in recent years from parents being arrested for attempting to walk their kids home from school to parents being fined and threatened with jail time for their kids’ bad behavior or tardiness at school.

This doesn’t even touch on what happens to your kids when they’re at school—especially the public schools—where parents have little to no control over what their kids are taught, how they are taught, how and why they are disciplined, and the extent to which they are being indoctrinated into marching in lockstep with the government’s authoritarian playbook.

The message is chillingly clear: your children are not your own but are, in fact, wards of the state who have been temporarily entrusted to your care. Should you fail to carry out your duties to the government’s satisfaction, the children in your care will be re-assigned elsewhere.

This is what it means to go back-to-school in America today: where parents have to worry about school resource officers who taser teenagers and handcuff kindergartners, school officials who have criminalized childhood behavior, school lockdowns and terror drills that teach your children to fear and comply, and a police state mindset that has transformed the schools into quasi-prisons.

Instead of being taught the three R’s of education (reading, writing and arithmetic), young people are being drilled in the three I’s of life in the American police state: indoctrination, intimidation and intolerance.

Indeed, while young people today are learning first-hand what it means to be at the epicenter of politically charged culture wars, test scores indicate that students are not learning how to succeed in social studies, math and reading. Rather, government officials are churning out compliant drones who know little to nothing about their history or their freedoms.

In turn, these young people are being brainwashed into adopting a worldview in which rights are negotiable rather than inalienable; free speech is dangerous; the virtual world is preferable to the real world; and history can be extinguished when inconvenient or offensive.

What does it mean for the future of freedom at large when these young people, trained to be mindless automatons, are someday running the government?

Under the direction of government officials focused on making the schools more authoritarian (sold to parents as a bid to make the schools safer), young people in America are now first in line to be searched, surveilled, spied on, threatened, tied up, locked down, treated like criminals for non-criminal behavior, tasered and in some cases shot.

From the moment a child enters one of the nation’s 98,000 public schools to the moment he or she graduates, they will be exposed to a steady diet of:

  • draconian zero tolerance policies that criminalize childish behavior,

  • overreaching anti-bullying statutes that criminalize speech,

  • school resource officers (police) tasked with disciplining and/or arresting so-called “disorderly” students,

  • standardized testing that emphasizes rote answers over critical thinking,

  • politically correct mindsets that teach young people to censor themselves and those around them,

  • and extensive biometric and surveillance systems that, coupled with the rest, acclimate young people to a world in which they have no freedom of thought, speech or movement.

This is how you groom young people to march in lockstep with a police state.

As Deborah Cadbury writes for The Washington Post, “Authoritarian rulers have long tried to assert control over the classroom as part of their totalitarian governments.”

In Nazi Germany, the schools became indoctrination centers, breeding grounds for intolerance and compliance.

In the American police state, the schools have become increasingly hostile to those who dare to question or challenge the status quo.

America’s young people have become casualties of a post-9/11 mindset that has transformed the country into a locked-down, militarized, crisis-fueled mockery of a representative government.

Roped into the government’s profit-driven campaign to keep the nation “safe” from drugs, disease, and weapons, America’s schools have transformed themselves into quasi-prisons, complete with surveillance cameras, metal detectors, police patrols, zero tolerance policies, lock downs, drug sniffing dogs, strip searches and active shooter drills.

Students are not only punished for minor transgressions such as playing cops and robbers on the playground, bringing LEGOs to school, or having a food fight, but the punishments have become far more severe, shifting from detention and visits to the principal’s office into misdemeanor tickets, juvenile court, handcuffs, tasers and even prison terms.

Students have been suspended under school zero tolerance policies for bringing to school “look alike substances” such as oregano, breath mints, birth control pills and powdered sugar.

Look-alike weapons (toy guns—even Lego-sized ones, hand-drawn pictures of guns, pencils twirled in a “threatening” manner, imaginary bows and arrows, fingers positioned like guns) can also land a student in hot water, in some cases getting them expelled from school or charged with a crime.

Not even good deeds go unpunished.

One 13-year-old was given detention for exposing the school to “liability” by sharing his lunch with a hungry friend. A third grader was suspended for shaving her head in sympathy for a friend who had lost her hair to chemotherapy. And then there was the high school senior who was suspended for saying “bless you” after a fellow classmate sneezed.

Having police in the schools only adds to the danger.

Thanks to a combination of media hype, political pandering and financial incentives, the use of armed police officers (a.k.a. school resource officers) to patrol school hallways has risen dramatically in the years since the Columbine school shooting.

Indeed, the growing presence of police in the nation’s schools is resulting in greater police “involvement in routine discipline matters that principals and parents used to address without involvement from law enforcement officers.”

Funded by the U.S. Department of Justice, these school resource officers have become de facto wardens in elementary, middle and high schools, doling out their own brand of justice to the so-called “criminals” in their midst with the help of tasers, pepper spray, batons and brute force.

In the absence of school-appropriate guidelines, police are more and more “stepping in to deal with minor rulebreaking: sagging pants, disrespectful comments, brief physical skirmishes. What previously might have resulted in a detention or a visit to the principal’s office was replaced with excruciating pain and temporary blindness, often followed by a trip to the courthouse.”

Not even the younger, elementary school-aged kids are being spared these “hardening” tactics.

On any given day when school is in session, kids who “act up” in class are pinned facedown on the floor, locked in dark closets, tied up with straps, bungee cords and duct tape, handcuffed, leg shackled, tasered or otherwise restrained, immobilized or placed in solitary confinement in order to bring them under “control.”

In almost every case, these undeniably harsh methods are used to punish kids—some as young as 4 and 5 years old—for simply failing to follow directions or throwing tantrums.

Very rarely do the kids pose any credible danger to themselves or others.

Unbelievably, these tactics are all legal, at least when employed by school officials or school resource officers in the nation’s public schools.

This is what happens when you introduce police and police tactics into the schools.

Paradoxically, by the time you add in the lockdowns and active shooter drills, instead of making the schools safer, school officials have succeeded in creating an environment in which children are so traumatized that they suffer from post-traumatic stress disorder, nightmares, anxiety, mistrust of adults in authority, as well as feelings of anger, depression, humiliation, despair and delusion.

For example, a middle school in Washington State went on lockdown after a student brought a toy gun to class. A Boston high school went into lockdown for four hours after a bullet was discovered in a classroom. A North Carolina elementary school locked down and called in police after a fifth grader reported seeing an unfamiliar man in the school (it turned out to be a parent).

Police officers at a Florida middle school carried out an active shooter drill in an effort to educate students about how to respond in the event of an actual shooting crisis. Two armed officers, guns loaded and drawn, burst into classrooms, terrorizing the students and placing the school into lockdown mode.

These police state tactics have not made the schools any safer.

The fallout has been what you’d expect, with the nation’s young people treated like hardened criminals: handcuffed, arrested, tasered, tackled and taught the painful lesson that the Constitution (especially the Fourth Amendment) doesn’t mean much in the American police state.

Likewise, the harm caused by attitudes and policies that treat America’s young people as government property is not merely a short-term deprivation of individual rights. It is also a long-term effort to brainwash our young people into believing that civil liberties are luxuries that can and will be discarded at the whim and caprice of government officials if they deem doing so is for the so-called “greater good” (in other words, that which perpetuates the aims and goals of the police state).

What we’re dealing with is a draconian mindset that sees young people as wards of the state—and the source of potential income—to do with as they will in defiance of the children’s constitutional rights and those of their parents. However, this is in keeping with the government’s approach towards individual freedoms in general.

Surveillance cameras, government agents listening in on your phone calls, reading your emails and text messages and monitoring your spending, mandatory health care, sugary soda bans, anti-bullying laws, zero tolerance policies, political correctness: these are all outward signs of a government—i.e., a monied elite—that believes it knows what is best for you and can do a better job of managing your life than you can.

This is tyranny disguised as “the better good.”

Indeed, this is the tyranny of the Nanny State: marketed as benevolence, enforced with armed police, and inflicted on all those who do not belong to the elite ruling class that gets to call the shots.

This is what the world looks like when bureaucrats not only think they know better than the average citizen but are empowered to inflict their viewpoints on the rest of the populace on penalty of fines, arrest or death.

So, what’s the answer, not only for the here-and-now but for the future of this country, when these same young people are someday in charge?

How do you convince someone who has been routinely handcuffed, shackled, tied down, locked up, and immobilized by government officials—all before he reaches the age of adulthood—that he has any rights at all, let alone the right to challenge wrongdoing, resist oppression and defend himself against injustice?

Most of all, how do you persuade a fellow American that the government works for him when, for most of his young life, he has been incarcerated in an institution that teaches young people to be obedient and compliant citizens who don’t talk back, don’t question and don’t challenge authority?

As I make clear in my book Battlefield America: The War on the American People and in its fictional counterpart The Erik Blair Diaries, if we want to raise up a generation of freedom fighters who will actually operate with justice, fairness, accountability and equality towards each other and their government, we must start by running the schools like freedom forums.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 09/06/2024 – 23:25