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Trump Says US Intel Assessment Of Iran’s Nuclear Program “Was Wrong”, Tulsi Responds

Trump Says US Intel Assessment Of Iran’s Nuclear Program “Was Wrong”, Tulsi Responds

Authored by Jacob Burg via The Epoch Times,

President Donald Trump said on June 20 that his director of national intelligence’s assessment in March that Iran had yet to decide on building a nuclear weapon was wrong.

Trump made the remarks to reporters on Friday while standing next to Air Force One at the Morristown Municipal Airport in New Jersey.

The president was asked about the U.S. intelligence community’s assessment that it had no evidence that Iran was building a nuclear warhead before Israel’s strikes on its military and nuclear sites last week.

“Well, then my intelligence community is wrong,” Trump said. “Who in the intelligence community said that?”

When he was told that it was his director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, who gave those remarks to lawmakers in March, Trump replied, “She was wrong.”

After Trump’s comments, Gabbard took to social media to share a clip of her March testimony to lawmakers on Capitol Hill, and accused the media of twisting her words.

“The dishonest media is intentionally taking my testimony out of context and spreading fake news as a way to manufacture division,” Gabbard wrote. “America has intelligence that Iran is at the point that it can produce a nuclear weapon within weeks to months, if they decide to finalize the assembly. President Trump has been clear that can’t happen, and I agree.”

Gabbard said in her testimony at the time that the intelligence community had determined that Iran was not currently building a nuclear weapon. However, as part of that assessment, she said there were alarming signals that warranted continuous monitoring for any change.

The signs Gabbard mentioned included indications that Iranian decision-makers who wanted the country to have nuclear arms were becoming increasingly emboldened in their pursuit, and that Iran’s enriched uranium stockpiles were at “unprecedented” levels for a state without nuclear weapons.

In remarks to reporters, Trump reiterated that he believes, based on the quantity of enriched uranium that Iran currently possesses, that the regime could develop a nuclear bomb “within a matter of months.”

“We can’t let that happen,” Trump said, adding that he believes his current military intelligence is more accurate than what then-President George W. Bush used as a pretext to invade Iraq in 2003, which Trump opposed.

He was asked what makes the current situation different than the one 22 years ago, and Trump said: “Well, there were no weapons of mass destruction [in Iraq]. I never thought there were.”

“There was a nuclear age [in 2003], but nothing like it is today. And it looked like I’m right about the material that they’ve gathered already,” he said.

The United Nations’ nuclear watch group said early last month that Iran had more than 900 pounds of 60 percent enriched uranium at the time. To make a nuclear bomb, 90 percent enriched uranium is required.

The group said that if Iran chooses, it could enrich enough stockpiled uranium to make a bomb in a matter of days, but building and testing a warhead could take much longer.

In response to comments from Iran’s foreign minister earlier on Friday, who said if the United States is serious about negotiations, it must first call Israel to order a stop to the airstrikes, Trump said it’s difficult to make that request now.

“If somebody is winning, it’s a little bit harder to do than if somebody’s losing,” he said. “But we’re ready, willing, and able, and we’ve been speaking to Iran, and we’ll see what happens.”

Trump said he is giving Iran two weeks to “see whether or not people come to their senses” before he makes a final decision on whether to involve the U.S. military in the conflict after Israel’s surprise airstrikes on Iranian military and nuclear sites last week.

“I’m giving them a period of time, and I would say two weeks would be the maximum,” he said.

The president said he believes that Europe is not going to be able to help in negotiations with Iran to end the conflict.

“I will say this, it’s very hard to stop when you look at it. Israel’s doing well in terms of war, and I think you would say that Iran is doing less well. It’s a little bit hard to get somebody to stop,” Trump said.

As to whether Iran should be allowed to continue enriching uranium up to 3.76 percent for electricity production, which was one of the conditions of the Iran nuclear deal that Trump exited in 2018, the president suggested that Iran doesn’t need that energy source due to its large oil reserves.

“I just don’t know why they need that for civilian work,” Trump said. “When you’re sitting on one of the largest oil piles anywhere in the world, it’s a little bit hard to see why you’d need that.”

When asked whether an aerial campaign in Iran would be enough, or if he would send in ground forces, Trump said: “I’m not going to talk about ground forces.

“The last thing you want to do is ground forces.”

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 17:30

Container Ship Sinks In Arabian Sea Near Oman As Regional Conflict Worsens

Container Ship Sinks In Arabian Sea Near Oman As Regional Conflict Worsens

Oman’s Maritime Security Centre (MSC)—a 24/7 national operations hub overseen by the Royal Navy of Oman and coordinated by the Ministry of Defense—reported early Saturday on X that a container ship had sunk in the Arabian Sea off the country’s coast.

MSC reported that MV’ Phoenix 15′, a 118-meter container ship registered under the Comoros flag, “sank approximately 20 NM southeast of Salalah,” adding, “All 20 crew members were rescued by the nearby commercial MV’ Gulf Barakah.”

Ship tracking website Marine Traffic showed the last position of Phoenix 15 was off the coast of Salalah, near Yemen, in the highly contested waters of the Arabian Sea. 

While MSC or any other officials in the region have not yet disclosed the cause of the Phoenix 15’s sinking—whether due to mechanical failure, human error, or a possible attack—the incident raises suspicion given its timing, occurring as the Israel–Iran conflict enters its ninth day and heightening concerns over potential threats to regional shipping lanes, such as the critical maritime chokepoints across the region. 

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 16:55

US-Based Monitor Assesses Rising Iranian Deaths From Israeli Strikes

US-Based Monitor Assesses Rising Iranian Deaths From Israeli Strikes

Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com,

Human Rights Activists in Iran (HRAI), a US-based organization that’s critical of Iran’s Islamic government, said on Thursday that since Israel began its attacks on June 13, at least 639 Iranians have been killed and 1,329 have been wounded.

The Iranian government hasn’t released official numbers since Sunday, when it said 224 people had been killed and claimed 90% were civilians.

Via Associated Press

According to the HRAI’s new agency, HRANA, at least 263 civilians and 154 military personnel have been killed, and 222 deaths remain unclassified.

The HRANA said that Israeli attacks have struck targets across 21 out of 31 of Iran’s provinces. It said that it recorded a series of Israeli attacks on civilian areas and infrastructure on Wednesday, including scientific research centers, nuclear facilities, airports, and fuel storage facilities.

Other civilian targets Israel has hit in recent days include Iran’s national TV broadcaster and a hospital, and at least three Red Crescent workers were killed during rescue operations.

Israeli missiles have also struck residential buildings, attacks that have killed many women and children.

The HRANA also recorded attacks on multiple military targets, including a missile ammunition depot, an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) barracks, a university affiliated with the IRGC, a police station, and other military installations.

When Israel launched its first wave of airstrikes, it took out multiple senior military officials, including the commander of the IRGC and the chief of staff of the Iranian Armed Forces.

Destruction in Israel from Iranian ballistic missiles, which have also at times targeted civilian neighborhoods, via Al Jazeera.

According to the latest reports, Iranian retaliatory attacks on Israel have killed at least 24 people and have wounded hundreds. An Iranian missile struck a hospital in southern Israel on Thursday, wounding dozens.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 16:20

Obama Demands A Ministry Of Truth

Obama Demands A Ministry Of Truth

Former President Barack Obama is doubling down on his push to curb free speech in America, urging the federal government to tighten its grip on what citizens can say online. 

“We want diversity of opinion. We don’t want diversity of facts,” claimed during an interview this week with historian and author Heather Cox Richardson. “That, I think, is one of the big tasks of social media.”

Obama then flat out called for government regulation of social media platforms to curb the amplification of of what he described as “hateful” and “polarizing” public figures, while respecting First Amendment rights, claiming that censorship is essential to addressing business models that purportedly erode public trust.

“By the way, it will require some government, I believe, some government regulatory constraints around some of these business models in a way that’s consistent with the First Amendment, but that also says, look, there is a difference between these platforms letting all voices be heard versus a business model that elevates the most hateful voices or the most polarizing voices or the most dangerous, in the sense of inciting violence, voices,” the president said. “And that, I think, is going to be a big challenge for all of us that we’re going to have to undertake.”

Obama then went on to bizarrely compare Russian President Vladimir Putin to former Trump White House aide Steve Bannon, claiming that there common goal is not to convince people of a specific truth but to overwhelm them with so much misinformation—”flood the zone with poop”—that they become cynical and stop believing in anything.

“You have to flood the zone with so much untruth, constantly, that at some point people don’t believe anything,” Obama said. “So it doesn’t matter if a candidate running for office just is constantly, just hypothetically, saying untrue things, or if an elected president claims that he won when he lost and that the system was rigged, but then when he wins, then it isn’t rigged, because he won. It doesn’t matter if everybody believes it. It just matters if everybody starts kind of throwing up their hands and saying, well, I guess it doesn’t matter.”

“That’s what’s happened in one of our major political parties. You have a whole bunch of people who know that’s not true, but we will pretend like it is,” the president added.
Obama first called for censorship during a high-profile speech at Stanford University in 2022—where the now-defunct Stanford Internet Observatory’s Election Integrity Partnership operated—arguing that misinformation poses a threat to democracy. Obama called for a reassessment of Section 230, a 1996 provision within the Communications Decency Act that generally protects online platforms from liability for user-posted content.

Obama told attendees, “These platforms are not like the old phone company.” The president further noted, “In some cases, industry standards may replace or substitute for regulation, but regulation has to be part of the answer.”

President Donald Trump has taken the opposite approach to Obama by emphasizing free speech in his second term, issuing a January executive order to safeguard Americans’ right to express themselves.

In April, Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the closure of the Global Engagement Center, a State Department unit infamous for its role in suppressing Americans’ free speech.

In a Federalist op-ed, Rubio referenced a 2020 GEC report that labeled speculation about COVID-19’s origins, including a Wuhan lab theory, as part of a “Russian disinformation” campaign.

Rubio wrote, “Finally, as we recommit this country to its core constitutional free speech principles at home, we will remain vigilant abroad — not just against threats from adversaries such as Communist China but also from less expected countries where authoritarian censorship is gradually strangling true freedom of speech. We are not afraid. At her birth, America was a lone beacon of freedom to the world. If necessary, we will happily be that lone beacon once again.”

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 15:45

Fed Groupthink Is A Bureaucratic Disease

Fed Groupthink Is A Bureaucratic Disease

Authored by Larry Kudlow via RealClearPolitics.com,

The super big story is the Israel-Iran war, as we await President Trump’s decision on additional American assistance to Israel.

There’s another war, though.

As Breitbart’s John Carney put it, the Federal Reserve has gone to war against tariffs.

Unlike the Middle East, this is a phony war.

The Fed stubbornly refuses to lower its target rate, because it has decided that Mr. Trump’s tariffs will increase inflation.

So I ask, what exactly is your model of tariff inflation? Because so far, with a 10 percent baseline tariff in recent months, inflation rates have come down, not gone up.

Since January, the Consumer Price Index has eased down to only 1.4 percent annually, below the Fed’s 2 percent target.

So tariff inflation has been missing in action. Yet the Fed chairman, Jay Powell, does not refer to this.

Mr. Powell himself is not an economist. He’s essentially a bureaucrat being driven by several hundred economists on the Federal Reserve Board staff.

Again, though, we don’t know what their model is.

The whole Fed right now is guilty of groupthink.

And Mr. Trump has homed in on that problem by saying that the Fed board is complicit with the mistakes of Mr. Powell.

Groupthink is a bureaucratic disease.

All these Fed announcements have 12 to nothing votes.

So where are the Trump appointees? Where is the new vice chairwoman for supervision, Michelle Bowman? Where is the former Notre Dame economics professor, Christopher Waller?

Where is some diversity of thought and why aren’t these board members questioning Mr. Powell’s slippery and uninformed anecdotes of his new tariff war on inflation?

Fed policy is completely opaque and non-transparent.

We have no idea how they arrive at their conclusions.

So, here’s a thought: During Mr. Trump’s first term, he put on a number of tariffs. During the China trade talks, he implemented  a 25 percent tariff on China.  

Additionally, he put 25 percent tariffs on steel and aluminum, 30 percent tariffs on solar panels, and 20 percent on washing machines.

And yet the inflation rate during those years was basically 2 percent or even less. You can’t generate an economic model based simply on one variable.

The Trump tax cuts in the first term increased incentives on business investment and production, creating more goods on the supply-side, more productivity as well, and all of that helped keep inflation down while the economy was growing.

In fact, five-year productivity for nonfinancial companies is increasing at a 2.6 percent rate — which is spawning growth without inflation.

The Republican Congress is about to pass a tax cut bill that will include permanent immediate cash expensing for machinery, equipment, and factories.

That kind of long-lived capital deepening will spur much more growth without any inflation, according to a recent academic study published by the National Bureau of Economic Research.

Now, I ask, has the Fed included that in its economic models?

We don’t know. It’s not saying.

It’s just clinging to this idea that Trump tariffs, which are actually aimed at lowering trade barriers and leveling the trade playing field, and opening up market access for American companies — all of which could actually reduce inflationary pressures by spurring even more supply-side growth.

And of course, Mr. Trump’s ambitious deregulation policy, another counter-inflationary move.

Yet Mr. Powell never talks about any of these tax and regulatory reforms.

Instead at his press conference this week, he blathered on saying “increases in tariffs this year are likely to push up prices and weigh on economic activity” and then he adds that “everyone I know is forecasting a meaningful increase on prices from tariffs because someone has to pay.” Huh?

I know a bunch of people who think exporters will pay.

I know other people who think our companies will pay.

In fact I know a whole bunch of people who don’t think tariffs can be inflationary because the money supply has dropped to only 4 percent growth from 30 percent.

Or even if a consumer has to pay more for one item, they’ll pay less for another item, leaving the price index flat.

So, I go back to Mr. Powell and the whole Fed groupthink. Somebody should tell him that he’s in charge of monetary policy, not trade policy. He has no idea about future trade deals or for that matter tariff rates. 

And somebody should tell him to please explain to the American public what the heck he’s doing to their mortgage rates and their credit cards and their car loans.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 14:00

Israel Strikes Iran’s Isfahan Nuclear Facility Amid Escalating Air War

Israel Strikes Iran’s Isfahan Nuclear Facility Amid Escalating Air War

A primary nuclear facility in Iran’s Isfahan province was targeted by an Israeli airstrike, though local authorities have reported no radiation leaks.

Smoke was visible early Saturday morning near a mountainous area in Isfahan city following overnight Israeli strikes on the site, which activated the country’s air defense systems, amid continued tit-for-tat strikes between the Islamic Republic and Israel.

Aftermath of Israeli strikes on Iran’s Isfahan nuclear facility. Source: Israel Defense Forces (IDF)

This is the second Israeli aerial attack on Isfahan, and as the Trump White House has vowed to not let Iran get a nuclear weapon.

“Within the compound, a centrifuge production facility was also targeted, along with additional military targets of the Iranian regime in the Isfahan area,” the IDF said Saturday morning.

“This is what the nuclear facility in Isfahan looks like, which is used to convert uranium, which is the stage that follows the enrichment stage on the way to producing nuclear weapons,” said Israeli Army spokesman Avichay Adraee in an online post.

“The air force struck the central facility along with buildings used to produce centrifuges. We continue to strike the Iranian nuclear project,” the statement said.

According to more: 

Iran’s Fars news agency reported that there was no leakage of hazardous materials from the Isfahan site following the latest strikes.

Meanwhile, four primed ballistic missile launchers were “neutralized” in strikes before a salvo was launched at Israel, the military said.

One UN-affiliated war monitor has alleged the following:

Below is The Wall Street Journal on the significance of the Isfahan site:

The Israeli military has now hit several of Iran’s centrifuge production sites, including at Isfahan, Tehran and Karaj. While this represents a blow to Iran’s centrifuge production, questions remain over its uranium stockpile.

Iran’s large stockpile of enriched uranium was held in or around Isfahan. Safeguarding that stockpile, which has enough highly enriched uranium for around 10 nuclear weapons, would be crucial for any Iranian attempt to rush toward building a bomb. Tehran hinted last month it might disperse that material, which is held in barrels sealed by the International Atomic Energy Agency and regularly inspected. It isn’t known if Iran did so.

And here is Financial Times on Saturday after the Isfahan strike:

The Israeli military said on Saturday that it had launched an overnight assault involving 50 warplanes, with some targeting two centrifuge production facilities at Isfahan.

However, the crown jewel of the Islamic Republic’s nuclear program, a sprawling uranium enrichment facility built deep under a mountain in Fordow, remains out of reach of Israel’s conventional weapons.

There are also emerging Saturday reports that Iran has killed another Iranian nuclear scientist:

As Israeli jets struck military targets, high-ranking officers and nuclear-related facilities in Iran during the opening salvo of Operation Rising Lion, there was another extremely high-stakes clandestine mission taking place. Code-named Operation Narnia, Israeli operatives reportedly used a “secret weapon” to simultaneously kill nine of Iran’s top nuclear scientists as they slept in their beds, according to Israel’s N12 news outlet. It was the latest move in Israel’s long-time effort to blunt Iranian nuclear ambitions by killing off the people capable of advancing the program.

Officials declined to say what this special weapon, “which remains under censorship and has not been disclosed publicly,” was, the Times of Israel explained. The War Zone cannot verify these claims. However, as we have previously reported, Israel hit residences of high-value individuals with smaller munitions and Mossad used drones and anti-tank guided missiles inside Iran (more on those later) on the first night of its attack. These targeted assassinations continue today, although not in the same volume seen during the opening acts of the war. It remains possible that some of these systems were used in the assassination of the scientists.

After testifying before the Senate weeks ago that Iran is not actively pursuing a nuclear bomb, Gabbard has since said US intelligence showed Iran is “at the point that it can produce a nuclear weapon within weeks to months.”

Meanwhile, the head of the leading intergovernmental watchdog for nuclear energy and atomic weapons, IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi, has said that it is possible that there are operations being kept secret from nuclear monitors.

But at the same time, the United States’ own intelligence community has indicated the Islamic Republic is not seeking a nuke. The BBC reports in response to some of DNI Tulsi Gabbard’s latest comments:

Disagreement has been building within Trump’s “America First” movement over whether the US should enter the conflict.

On Saturday morning, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said his country was “absolutely ready for a negotiated solution” on their nuclear programme but that Iran “cannot go through negotiations with the US when our people are under bombardment.”

“President Trump has been clear that can’t happen, and I agree,” she added in a new public statement. Trump has said he will make a decision on striking Iran within ‘two weeks’ – but there remain many variables, no the least of which has been a perceived public rift between DNI Gabbard and the White House.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 13:25

Alleged Minn. Assassin Says Gov. Tim Walz Wanted Him To Kill Sen. Amy Klobuchar

Alleged Minn. Assassin Says Gov. Tim Walz Wanted Him To Kill Sen. Amy Klobuchar

Authored by Ken Silva vi Headline USA,

The man accused of shooting two Minnesota lawmakers and their spouses reportedly wrote in a letter to the FBI that Gov. Tim Walz also wanted him to assassinate Sen. Amy Klobuchar, according to a bombshell report from the Minnesota Star Tribune. A Walz did not deny the allegation when commenting on the report.

Tim Walz / IMAGE: @townhallcom via Twitter

Citing two people familiar with letter’s contents, the Star Tribune reported Friday that Boelter claimed “Gov. Tim Walz instructed him to kill U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar so that Walz could run for the U.S. Senate.”

Boelter does have a loose link to Walz, who ran for Vice President last year on Kamala Harris’s ticket. Boelter was appointed to the workforce development board by then-Minnesota Gov. Mark Dayton in 2016 and then reappointed in 2019 by Walz to a four-year term that expired in 2023.

However, the Star Tribune reported that Boelter’s letter reflected the ramblings of a mentally ill man, downplaying the likelihood that what he says about Walz is true.

“The letter is the clearest evidence yet of Boelter’s mindset after the targeted violence against Minnesota politicians last week. It is incoherent, one and a half pages long, confusing and hard to read, according to two people familiar with the letter’s contents,” the newspaper reported. “It includes Boelter alleging he had been trained by the U.S. military off the books, and that Walz, who is not running for Senate, had asked him to kill Klobuchar and others.”

Hennepin County Attorney spokesperson Daniel Borgertpoepping reportedly responded to the letter, saying that “due to the seriousness of the allegations it contains, we will state only that we have seen no evidence that the allegations regarding Governor Walz are based in fact.”

Instead of denying the allegation, a Walz spokesman reportedly gave a rambling non-answer.

“This tragedy continues to be deeply disturbing for all Minnesotans,” said the spokesperson, Teddy Tschann

“Governor Walz is grateful to law enforcement who apprehended the shooter, and he’s grateful to the prosecutors who will ensure justice is swiftly served,” Tschann said.

However, the Star Tribune reported that Boelter’s letter reflected the ramblings of a mentally ill man, downplaying the likelihood that what he says about Walz is true.

“The letter is the clearest evidence yet of Boelter’s mindset after the targeted violence against Minnesota politicians last week. It is incoherent, one and a half pages long, confusing and hard to read, according to two people familiar with the letter’s contents,” the newspaper reported. “It includes Boelter alleging he had been trained by the U.S. military off the books, and that Walz, who is not running for Senate, had asked him to kill Klobuchar and others.”

Hennepin County Attorney spokesperson Daniel Borgertpoepping reportedly responded to the letter, saying that “due to the seriousness of the allegations it contains, we will state only that we have seen no evidence that the allegations regarding Governor Walz are based in fact.”

Instead of denying the allegation, a Walz spokesman reportedly gave a rambling non-answer.

“This tragedy continues to be deeply disturbing for all Minnesotans,” said the spokesperson, Teddy Tschann

“Governor Walz is grateful to law enforcement who apprehended the shooter, and he’s grateful to the prosecutors who will ensure justice is swiftly served,” Tschann said.

Boelter is accused of killing former House Speaker Melissa Hortman and her husband, Mark, in their Brooklyn Park home last Saturday, before travelling to also shoot and injure Sen. John Hoffman, also a Democrat, and his wife, Yvette, at their Champlin address about nine miles away. Police responded to reports of gunfire at the Hoffmans’ home shortly after 2 a.m., Champlin police said, and found the lawmaker and his wife, Yvette, with multiple gunshot wounds.

Boelter remained on the lam for over the next 24 hours before he crawled to officers in surrender Sunday after they located him in the woods near his home.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Ken Silva is the editor of Headline USA. Follow him at x.com/jd_cashless.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 12:50

Force Posturing: Six B-2 Stealth Bombers En Route To Indo-Pacific Ahead Of Trump’s Intel Meeting

Force Posturing: Six B-2 Stealth Bombers En Route To Indo-Pacific Ahead Of Trump’s Intel Meeting

As the Israel–Iran conflict enters Day 9, President Trump has publicly stated he will wait two weeks before deciding whether to authorize U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear infrastructure. In parallel, U.S. Air Force B-2 Spirit stealth bombers are being repositioned to forward operating bases in the Indo-Pacific—possibly Andersen Air Force Base in Guam or Diego Garcia in the Chagos Archipelago—indicating a deliberate show of force and strategic signaling of U.S. readiness for multi-theater operations.

Fox News confirmed six B-2 stealth bombers have taken off from Whiteman AFB in Missouri and are likely to be staged at Andersen AFB in Guam.

Plus air tankers. 

There is no official confirmation regarding the current force posture or final destination of the stealth bombers. For months, the USAF has staged these nuclear-capable bombers at Diego Garcia (in range of Iran)—often referred to as America’s “unsinkable aircraft carrier“—located between Africa and Indonesia, approximately 1,000 miles south of India.

“President Donald Trump, who has said he will make a decision on U.S. involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, is expected to return to the White House on Saturday afternoon. The president is expected to receive intelligence briefings with the National Security Council on Saturday and Sunday as he considers possible actions against Iran,” Fox News noted. 

The island provides strategic access for stealth bombers to the Middle East, Central and South Asia, and across the Indian Ocean.

Via Fox News

Previous staging of B-2s at Diego Garcia:

Staging B-2s at Guam or Diego Garcia is a clear signal of deterrence to adversaries, whether that’s Iran in the Middle East or China and North Korea in Asia. The mere presence of these stealth bombers can be both preemptive and psychological. 

More force posture: This week, the USAF has repositioned additional fighter aircraft and aerial refueling tankers across key regional bases in Europe, coinciding with Israel’s Operation Rising Lion targeting Iranian assets. The moves come amid growing speculation that President Trump may authorize direct U.S. military involvement within the next two weeks unless Tehran makes a deal with the U.S.

 

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 12:15

The Supreme Court Vs. The Experts

The Supreme Court Vs. The Experts

Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Epoch Times,

When the transgender issue presented itself decades ago, most people felt a sense of politeness and deference to the preferences of another person, however surprising or odd. It all seemed rather harmless, the habits of eccentrics for whom Western society offers remarkable tolerance.

Sure, people might have felt private revulsion and even disgust, viewing this as a strange form of playing dress-up—maybe like Corporal Max Klinger on M*A*S*H—but publicly hardly anyone would have defended cruelty or invidious discrimination.

All of this is true as regards adults.

But of course the movement did not stop there. It sought to force everyone to go along with affirmative approval and full credulity.

Everyone was expected to suppress all doubts. When it became a quasi-crime to “misgender” someone, we really reached the point of absurdity.

The application of the civil-right paradigm to the denial of core biological realities, ones that relate directly to the survival of the species, became too much.

Then the movement went straight for the kids and young adults. This strongly suggested to many, including me, that there was more roiling beneath the surface. Our tolerance was being abused.

Beneath the cross-dressing exterior, there was an agenda, a political one, maybe worse, likely to be forced on people against all tradition and biological evidence of the existence of embedded differences between the sexes that extend far beyond genitalia. (This speaks to the weirdest feature of the trans ideology: its single-minded focus on gender cosmetics to the exclusion of every other pervasive difference.)

Here is where the debate became contentious. It has forced people to go into corners and come out fighting. It’s not a fight that any nonpolitical person particularly wanted but when the trans movement started denying biology and forcing men into women’s sports, even attempting to blot out the intrinsic core of such things as women and men, it really became too much. You have to draw the line.

Thus have states weighed in with legislation.

Tennessee passed a law against “gender-affirming care” for children, including pharmaceuticals and surgeries, following the crazed fashion for pretending to change the sexual identity of underage kids. The law is sadly necessary given the way things are unfolding in our time but some people objected. They took the case to the courts, claiming that transgender people of any age deserve special protection under the 14th Amendment.

It’s hard to imagine what kind of world would have been born had they prevailed. Kids could have been medicated in unimaginable ways and contrary to parents’ wishes, all blessed by the Constitution and forced on the voters of every state.

Fortunately, the plaintiffs did not prevail.

In the important decision United States v. Skrmetti, the majority opinion is a brilliant defense of common sense and Constitutional law. The dissenting opinion by the three usual suspects on the court (Sonia Sotomayor, Elena Kagan, and Ketanji Brown Jackson) included preposterous citations of the American Academy of Pediatrics, American Medical Association, American Psychiatric Association, American Psychological Association, and American Academy of Child Adolescent Psychiatry, all of which are trying to normalize the unscientific and preposterous idea that a person can change one’s sex with hormones and operations.

Ah yes, the experts speak again! We’ve been there and done that.

The experts told us that climate change is an existential threat.

They told us that we all had to hide under our sofas from a virus and let the peasants deliver groceries to us.

And now the experts are telling us that the best way to deal with adolescent gender dysphoria is with drugs and surgery.

Just a few days ago, I heard an interview with a famous “expert” on vaccines repeatedly refer to “pregnant people” as if getting pregnant had nothing to do with biological sex. This is a guy who seeks the mantle of science in creating and recommending shots for the kids!

Sadly, the courts have been overly deferential to the experts inhabiting the realm of science, as if science has a firm, fixed, and universal point of view on all matters. That is emphatically untrue. People can squawk about “settled scientific consensus” all they want but science is a process of discovery, always subject to falsification and hence the necessity of debate. Law deals with something different: settled principles on how we must treat each other and what the state should do about it.

This is where Justice Clarence Thomas offers a much-needed corrective in his opinion concurring with the majority.

“There are several problems with appealing and deferring to the authority of the expert class. First, so-called experts have no license to countermand the ‘wisdom, fairness, or logic of legislative choices.’

“Second, contrary to the representations of the United States and the private plaintiffs, there is no medical consensus on how best to treat gender dysphoria in children.

“Third, notwithstanding the alleged experts’ view that young children can provide informed consent to irreversible sex-transition treatments, whether such consent is possible is a question of medical ethics that States must decide for themselves.

“Fourth, there are particularly good reasons to question the expert class here, as recent revelations suggest that leading voices in this area have relied on questionable evidence, and have allowed ideology to influence their medical guidance.

“Taken together, this case serves as a useful reminder that the American people and their representatives are entitled to disagree with those who hold themselves out as experts, and that courts may not ‘sit as a super-legislature to weigh the wisdom of legislation.’ By correctly concluding that SB1 warrants the ‘paradigm of judicial restraint,’ the Court reserves to the people of Tennessee the right to decide for themselves. The views of self-proclaimed experts do not ‘shed light on the meaning of the Constitution.’ Thus, whether ‘major medical organizations’ agree with the result of Tennessee’s democratic process is irrelevant.”

Finally: “This case carries a simple lesson: In politically contentious debates over matters shrouded in scientific uncertainty, courts should not assume that self-described experts are correct.”

There we go: The opinion of major medical organizations in this case is irrelevant.

This opinion is a breath of fresh air, and one can only hope that such thinking pervades all of American jurisprudence. It will solve so much. We could get away from the intimidation of the judiciary by science, real or fake. Vaccine mandates, for example, rely entirely on the pushes of compromised medical experts who work directly with industry. That is no basis of law.

It’s the same in the area of climate change or transgender issues. No expert should be permitted to override the reality of biological sex.

This decision comes as a major relief to many Americans who have had it up to here with the claims of this movement, which have tested the patience, liberality, and tolerance of the American people. At some point, it all became too much. When men in costume are beating up women in boxing or winning top awards in track and field and clobbering women in volleyball, or crashing the restrooms in public spaces, a civilized people has to speak up.

Fortunately in this case, the law has been decided correctly. There will be no abolition of eccentricity and some people will forever be confused about issues of identity and so on. This is no argument for cruelty and invidious attacks. What we need is simple common sense and deference to reality. It’s the least we can ask from the law governing a free and civilized people.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 11:40

Early Signs The Iran War Is Triggering Another Mideast Refugee Crisis

Early Signs The Iran War Is Triggering Another Mideast Refugee Crisis

The United Nations has warned that the Iran-Israel war could trigger a new refugee crisis in the Middle East, saying that if things keep escalating and people flea, there is no quick way back to their home countries.

UNHCR, the UN’s refugee agency, says ratcheting tit-for-tat attacks are already triggering population movements in both countries, and that this could easily slide into a worse crisis.

Traffic jab as people attempt to get out of Iranian capital area, AFP.

Iran has already seen many of its citizens cross into other countries, at a moment much of Tehran’s streets have remained largely empty on fear of Israeli warplanes, which have control of skies over Western Iran.

And Iranian ballistic and hypersonic missile attacks on Israel have caused people to seek a way out of the country, whether air, sea, or land borders.

“This region has already endured more than its share of war, loss and displacement. We cannot allow another refugee crisis to take root,” says Filippo Grandi, the UN high commissioner for refugees, in a statement issued Saturday.

“The time to de-escalate is right now. Once people are forced to flee, there’s no quick way back — and all too often, the consequences last for generations,” Grandi added.

According to more from the newly published UN statement:

As highlighted in our Global Trends 2024 Report last week, Iran is the largest refugee-hosting country in the world with some 3.5 million refugees, mainly from Afghanistan. If the conflict persists, existing refugee populations would also face renewed uncertainty and yet more hardship.

UNHCR is present in Iran, Israel and many neighboring countries, and is arranging emergency humanitarian relief supplies in different locations, readying a response in case needed.

This fact of such a large Afghan refugee population inside Iran is cause for deep concern, amid fears that the 2015 European crisis could be repeated.

At that time, the Syria proxy war was at its height of death and destruction, and the Libyan government had a few years prior been overthrown. Still, US and European officials don’t tend to do much self-reflecting on how their regime change policies in the Middle East have largely created wave after wave of refugees inbound for Europe.

Images showing bumper-to-bumper traffic out of Tehran has widely circulated this week:

The Economist says that to some extent, it’s already happening:

Thousands of terrified people are fleeing Tehran and other cities that are under attack, turning them into ghost towns. With airports closed, the only exits are by road. Social-media posts show vast traffic jams. Neighboring countries are considering how they might respond if the outflow of people spills across Iran’s borders. Many remember the crisis caused by Syria’s civil war, which saw 6m refugees leave. So far the exodus from Iran has been tiny, but that could change.

Large movements of people are currently focused on seeking at Iran’s northern border:

Many of those fleeing Tehran are heading north, to the less urbanized areas near the Caspian Sea, some 100km away. Even that journey is arduous. The roads are clogged and petrol is scarce, reflecting panic buying and, perhaps, Israeli strikes on oil facilities. Mobile signals are no longer reliable. One person outside the country says it has taken his family inside it more than 12 hours, instead of the normal four, to get to the mountainous Gilian area by the coast. He says that as they drove they saw “artillery in the sky and fires in the background”. Their plan is to stay in the country. “They do not want to leave Iran, it is home for them.”

Should the Israel-Iran conflict worsen, the war could spread to Iraq – where militias aligned to Tehran are predominate. They’ve warned that if the US gets involved, American forces at regional bases could come under retaliatory attack.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 06/21/2025 – 11:05