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‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Predicts “Terrible Consequences” From Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness

‘Big Short’ Michael Burry Predicts “Terrible Consequences” From Biden’s Student Loan Forgiveness

Investor Michael Burry says “terrible consequences” are in store if student loans are forgiven.

“Let’s not forget that the student debt problem is built on a foundation of terrible major choices,” Burry tweeted on Tuesday.

“Bailing generations out of those bad choices will mean more bad choices, tuition hikes, and terrible consequences for America.”

Burry’s comments come as the US Supreme Court considers Tuesday oral arguments over President Biden’s student loan forgiveness program, which was legally justified based on the pandemic. The program offered up to $20,000 of loan forgiveness per borrower – an initiative which has been put on hold while the high court debates the case, according to Politico.

During more than three hours of oral argument, conservative justices on the court repeatedly questioned whether the Education Department had the legal authority it claimed to discharge federal student loan debt to help borrowers recover economically from the national emergency spurred by Covid-19.

Chief Justice John Roberts emerged as one of the most hostile voices on the court towards the debt relief plan, repeatedly invoking its overall cost and raising questions about its fairness. -Politico

“We’re talking about half a trillion dollars and 43 million Americans,” said Roberts early into the arguments, who also slammed the Biden administration’s claim that the debt cancellation plan wasn’t much different than existing programs that forgive student debts in specific circumstances.

“Because there’s a provision to allow [a] waiver when your school closes…because of that Congress shouldn’t have been surprised when half a trillion dollars is wiped off the books?” asked Roberts, who added that the administration’s decision not to wait for Congress to craft debt-forgiveness legislation may have cut short debates Congress could have had over special treatment vs. people who have paid off their loans.

“Nobody’s telling the person who was trying to set up the lawn service business that he doesn’t have to pay his loan,” said Roberts. “He still does, even though his tax dollars are going to support the forgiveness of a loan for the college graduate who’s not going to make a lot more than him over the course of his lifetime.”

The 51-year-old Burry who rose to fame betting against the housing market before the 2008 crash took on “well into six figures of educational debt” going to UCLA and then Vanderbilt University for his medical degree. He began his residency at Stanford University, but dropped out to focus on investing.

Meanwhile, Justice Samuel Alito hammered the fairness aspect as well.

“Why is it fair? Why is it fair?….Why was it done?” Alito asked Biden administration lawyer, Solicitor General Elizabeth Prelogar.

In all, four of the conservative justices–Roberts, Alito, Clarence Thomas and Neil Gorsuch–seemed most skeptical of the claimed legal basis for the debt relief plan, while all three of the court’s liberals appeared inclined to reject the challenges to the program.

The high court’s two other members–Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett–were less clear in their views. Barrett, notably, questioned some of the GOP states’ arguments that they had standing to bring the lawsuit. -Politico

Prelogar focused her argument on how the Biden administration was acting within the law to avoid borrower distress during national emergencies, and refuted claims by the plaintiffs that they had been harmed in any way by the policy.

When asked by Justice Clarence Thomas how “half a trillion dollars” fits uinder the “normal understanding of ‘modifying'” falls under the scope of the so-called Heroes Act, Preloger countered that the heart of the provision’s purpose was to allow the secretary to ensure that borrowers don’t suffer financially during a crisis.

Justice Elena Kagan agreed.

“This is an emergency provision,” she said, comparing the pandemic to an earthquake. “You don’t think Congress wanted to give … the secretary power to say, ’Oh, my gosh, people have had their homes wiped out, we’re going to discharge their student loans?'”

As Bloomberg notes, in 1970 the average student debt was just $1,070 – which rose to $31,100 in 2021, an increase of more than 2,800%.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 18:00

Watch: Sen. Hawley Exposes Biden Archivist Nominee With Her Own Past Partisan Tweets

Watch: Sen. Hawley Exposes Biden Archivist Nominee With Her Own Past Partisan Tweets

Authored by Steve Watson via Summit News,

In a hearing Tuesday, Senator Josh Hawley completely eviscerated Joe Biden’s National Archivist nominee by presenting her with her own past tweets which are extremely partisan.

During the Senate Homeland Security Committee hearing, Hawley exposed how Dr. Colleen Shogan routinely criticised Republican representatives and their policies, despite the fact that she had locked her Twitter account as soon as she was nominated for the supposedly non-partisan role heading up the National Archives and Records Administration.

As Hawley presented each of her past statements, Shogan refused to comment, prompting the Senator to accuse her of stonewalling.

Hawley noted that in February of 2022 Shogan tweeted complaining about mask mandates being lifted.

“I asked you to provide the public posts that had previously been available on Twitter because the ones that we have were pretty disturbing,” Hawley noted, adding “You responded as follows, and I quote, ‘My personal Twitter account is comprised of posts about my mystery novels, events at the White House Historical Association, Pittsburgh sports teams, travels and my dog.’ Is this an accurate statement?”

“My social media is in my personal capacity,” Shogan responded.

Hawley shot back, “Answer my question, please, because you’ve testified under oath that you only posted about your dog, and sports teams and novels, and you also said you wouldn’t give this committee any of your public posts.”

Shogan still refused to answer, prompting Hawley to remind her “You are under oath before this committee, and I have to say, you have placed this issue squarely in record by repeatedly refusing to answer.”

The deluge continued for over 7 straight minutes, as Hawley presented anti-Trump tweets, anti-second amendment tweets and anti-religion tweets, proving once again that the Biden administration is only interested in filling the government with people who will follow its agenda in lockstep.

Hawley noted “I have never seen a witness stonewall like this before. Never. And I’ve seen a lot. This is extraordinary. … I mean, this is unbelievable, and you want to be the archivist of the United States. You lied to us under oath, you lied to us in your [Questions for the Record], you just lied to me a second ago under oath, and now you’re sitting here stonewalling, not answering questions about public posts that you’ve made.”

The Senator continued, “I have never seen a witness blatantly lie under oath like Dr. Shogan has just done to this committee, stonewalled this committee, and just repeatedly refused to answer my questions about her own posts that are in public.”

“For these reasons, I will oppose your nomination and I strongly, strongly urge this committee to take action on this and force this witness to own up to the fact that she is misleading us right now before our eyes,” Hawley asserted.

Watch:

Despite all of this, Shogan will likely be confirmed, given the Democratic majority in the Senate. 

Elsewhere during the hearing, Senator Rand Paul noted that last month the National Archives had forced visiting students, in Washington for the March for Life, to remove clothing with pro-life messages on it.

“It’s hard to imagine a more offensive way to violate their freedom of speech,” Paul noted, adding “Nothing like this can ever happen again. We must understand who ordered it.”

Paul also further told the nominee, “The difference in how Archives appear to have handled disputes over documents held by former President Trump and Vice President Pence, and President Biden on the other hand, raised questions about the impartiality of the agency.”

“Specifically, the agency seems to have aggressively publicized the search for documents at President Trump and Vice President Pence’s residences, but tried to keep quiet about the documents President Biden kept at, at least three locations,” Paul added.

*  *  *

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Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 17:40

Brazil Flouts Biden Pressure, Welcomes Iranian Warships To Rio Port

Brazil Flouts Biden Pressure, Welcomes Iranian Warships To Rio Port

In defiance of US pressure, Brazilian authorities have allowed a pair of Iranian warships to dock in Rio de Janeiro this week. This ships were welcomed despite specific warnings from Biden administration officials. 

The IRIS Makran and IRIS Dena warships pulled into port on Sunday morning, Rio’s port authority confirmed at the start of the week. Initially, just after his historic defeat of incumbent Blair Bolsonaro, far-Left President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva had vowed to deny Tehran’s request for the ships to stop in Brazil.

IRINS Makran. FARS Photo

But that decision which was meant to appease the Biden administration just after Lula’s election win was clearly reversed, with Brazilian Navy Vice Admiral Carlos Eduardo Horta Arentz having given his approval for the ships to dock between February 26 and March 4.

In mid-February US Ambassador Elizabeth Bagley ramped up the pressure on the Brazilian government in the following appeal: 

“In the past, those ships facilitated illegal trade and terrorist activities, and have also been sanctioned by the United States. Brazil is a sovereign nation, but we firmly believe those ships should not dock anywhere,” she said.

Additionally, Under Secretary of the Treasury for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence Brian Nelson in a statement had earlier said “The United States will continue to aggressively target all elements of Iran’s UAV program.”

Photos confirmed the presence of the two Iranian ships at Rio’s port…

It’s likely the Iranian ships have military drones aboard, and that they could be launched with ease. In early February, the threat of sanctions was invoked for any third party caught coordinating and cooperating with banned Iranian entities. 

“[P]ersons that engage in certain transactions with the individuals or entities designated today may themselves be exposed to sanctions. Furthermore, any foreign financial institution that knowingly facilitates a significant transaction or provides significant financial services for any of the individuals or entities … could be subject to U.S. sanctions,” reads the statement.

Currently, Washington policy-makers in their thinking still adhere to the Monroe Doctrine in some form or fashion. They’ve long accused both Iran and its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah of making inroads into Latin America, also with charges of drug and weapons trafficking. 

Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 17:20

DC Officer Who Struck Protesters With Flagpole On Jan. 6 Bragged ‘That Was My Best Weapon’

DC Officer Who Struck Protesters With Flagpole On Jan. 6 Bragged ‘That Was My Best Weapon’

Authored by Joseph M. Hanneman via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

A Metropolitan Police Department officer wielding a wooden flagpole like a medieval lance inside the U.S. Capitol tunnel on Jan. 6, 2021, later bragged to fellow officers that the long wooden dowel was “my best weapon,” newly released bodycam video shows.

Metropolitan Police Department Officer Michael Dowling uses a flagpole to jab at a protester in the Lower West Terrace tunnel at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. (Metropolitan Police Department/Screenshot via The Epoch Times)

Video recorded by Officer Michael Dowling’s bodycam shows him climbing onto a narrow ledge in the Lower West Terrace tunnel and attacking a woman in a white coat standing near the entrance.

As Dowling jabbed at the woman—including two contacts to the head—she hurried to get off the ledge and escape the tunnel.

“I’m trying!” she cried out.

Someone at the front of the tunnel shouted at her, “Get the [expletive] out of here!”

Dowling picked up the flagpole from the floor of the tunnel entrance at 3:19 p.m. and moved into the tunnel.

After dislodging the woman in white, Dowling jabbed at a number of men at the front line who faced inward toward the police. That drew the ire of protest leader Anthony Alexander Antonio of Wilmington, Delaware, who had been addressing the crowd with a bullhorn.

“Quit that [expletive],” Antonio shouted at Dowling. “Quit that [expletive].”

Two hours later, after the crowds were pushed from the Lower West Terrace, Dowling met up with MPD Officer Jeffrey Leslie.

“I lost my flagpole,” Dowling lamented. “That was my best weapon.”

Metropolitan Police Department Officer Michael Dowling uses a flagpole to jab at protesters at the Lower West Terrace tunnel entrance of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. (Metropolitan Police Department/Screenshot via The Epoch Times)

“You did well with that, sir,” Leslie replied. When another officer approached, Leslie told him, “This guy’s the man with the flagpole.”

Dowling explained, “I started jabbing people with the flagpole.”

A fourth officer joined the conversation. “You got a few people with it?” he asked.

“Oh yeah,” Dowling replied.

“Good!”

“It snapped, and then they took it back,” Dowling said.

After that conversation, Dowling went back into the Capitol and spoke with another MPD officer at the top of a staircase.

“Listen, I would have never thought I’d have the occasion to hit a man with the American flag in the Rotunda of the U.S. Capitol Building,” the officer told Dowling. “And I got to today.”

The Epoch Times asked the Metropolitan Police Department for comment on Dowling’s use of force, but did not receive a reply.

The tone for the afternoon was set at 2:41 p.m., when an officer in the staging area just inside the Capitol shouted instructions.

‘We need an old-school CDU [civil-disturbance unit] for these doors, you hear me? Old-school CDU,” the officer said. “Nightstick out. We are not losing the U.S. Capitol today! Do you hear me? We are not losing the U.S. Capitol!”

At 2:49 p.m., someone discharged a fire extinguisher into the tunnel, causing the interior Capitol hallways to fill with a dry airborne chemical.

‘Sordid Record’

Brad Geyer, the Jan. 6 defense attorney who posted the Dowling bodycam on Twitter, said the videos are peeling back the court-enforced veneer that, in many cases, hid the truth.

Read more here…

Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 17:00

These Were The Best And Worst Performing Assets In February And YTD

These Were The Best And Worst Performing Assets In February And YTD

After a very strong start to the year for financial markets, February saw much of the early momentum go into reverse, with losses across equities, credit, sovereign bonds and commodities. That, as DB’s Henry Allen explains in his monthly performance review note, came “amidst growing concern about the persistence of inflation, which in turn led investors to ramp up their expectations for central bank rate hikes.” When all was said and done, it was an awful month for bonds, with Bloomberg’s global aggregate bond index experiencing its worst February performance since its inception in 1990 just one month after its best ever January. At the same time, February also marked a recovery for the US Dollar, while European equities proved resilient amidst the broader losses elsewhere. Furthermore, the YTD performance of financial assets is still generally positive, with most of those tracked by Deutsche Bank still higher over 2023 so far.

Below we excerpt from DB’s Month in Review, starting with the high-level macro overview

Having just experienced a strong rally in January, the initial mood in markets was pretty positive as February began. However, that all changed on the third day of the month, when the US jobs report for January was released. It showed that nonfarm payrolls had risen by credibility-busting 517k in January, marking the strongest job growth in six months. Furthermore, the unemployment rate fell to a 53-year low of 3.4%. The data raised fears that inflation would prove more persistent than previously thought. This led to a sharp re-appraisal on how fast the Fed would be hiking rates, with futures pricing for the December 2023 meeting up by +22.2bps on the day of the jobs report, and then a further +20.5bps on the following Monday. As of today, the terminal rate has shot up by 60bps in the past month, as more than two additional rate have been priced in.

This positive news on the employment side was then followed by upward revisions to inflation data from late-2022. These showed that CPI had fallen less rapidly than thought over Q4, with the 3-month annualized rate of core CPI in December being revised up from 3.14% to 4.25%. Then we had the January CPI data, where headline and core CPI remained hot, as did the PCE measure closely watched by the Fed.

With stronger data on the labor market and inflation, there was growing speculation that the economy could be in for a “no landing” scenario, rather than a hard or a soft landing. Unlike the hard or soft landing, which both see inflation coming down, the “no landing” would involve inflation remaining high, with growth remaining strong, and the Fed needing to hike rates even further in order to bear down on inflation. By the end of the  month, this meant that expectations of the Fed’s terminal rate had risen from 4.92% to 5.42%. And if you look at the rate priced by the December 2023 meeting, it went up from 4.48% to 5.28%, an increase of +80.5bps over the month. Investors’ expectations of inflation also saw a sharp move higher, with the 2yr breakeven up from 2.33% to 3.18% over the month.

This trend wasn’t confined in the United States: In the Euro Area, core inflation rose to a new record of +5.3% in January, and initial country releases for February from France, Spain and Germany are still showing high inflation. Similarly, the latest data shows Euro Area unemployment remaining at a joint record low of 6.6% in December, and there was further support on the growth side as natural gas prices declined a further -18.6%. Meanwhile in Japan, headline and core CPI for January reached their highest level since 1981.

The result of all this was a dramatic slide in global bonds. US Treasuries (-2.4%) suffered their worst monthly performance since September, and Bloomberg’s Global Aggregate Bond Index (-3.3%) saw its worst February performance since its inception back in 1990. Equities also struggled, with the S&P 500 peaking for the month on the day before the jobs report came out, before closing -2.4% lower. However, one of the few assets that benefited from this shift in Fed pricing was the US Dollar, with the dollar index (+2.7%) ending a run of 4 consecutive monthly declines.

Which assets saw the biggest gains in February?

  • European Equities: The outperformance of European equities continued into February, with further gains for the STOXX 600 (+1.9%), the FTSE 100 (+1.8%) and the DAX (+1.6%). That leaves European equities as some of the best YTD performers in our sample, particularly in southern Europe. For instance on a YTD basis, there are now double-digit gains for Spain’s IBEX 35 (+14.7%), Italy’s FTSE MIB (+16.4%) and Greece’s ASE General Index (+21.5%).
  • US Dollar: After a run of 4 consecutive monthly losses, the dollar index strengthened +2.7% in February. Indeed, it strengthened against every other G10 currency. The Swedish Krona was the next best performer among the G10, only weakening -0.04% against the US Dollar, which followed the Riksbank’s announcement that QT would be starting from April and they expected to raise the policy rate further in the spring.

Which assets saw the biggest losses in February?

  • US Equities: Unlike their counterparts in Europe, US equities fell back amidst the prospect of further rate hikes. For instance, the S&P 500 fell -2.4%, the NASDAQ fell -1.0%, and the Dow Jones fell -3.9%. For the S&P 500, that brought its YTD gains back down to +3.7%.
  • Sovereign Bonds: The prospect of higher inflation and more rate hikes was bad news for sovereign bonds. US Treasuries (-2.4%) and Euro Sovereigns (-2.3%) gave up most of their January gains, whilst gilts (-3.3%) are now in negative territory on a YTD basis.
  • Credit: As with sovereign bonds, it was a rough month for credit. USD credit saw the worst performance on a relative basis, with US IG non-fin down -3.5%. However, EUR IG non-fin was still down -1.6%, and GBP IG non-fin was down -2.8%. HY also outperformed IG, with USD HY only down -1.6%, whilst EUR HY (-0.1%) was only just in negative territory. In terms of spreads, EUR IG (-22bps) and EUR HY (-4bps) tightened over February, as did US HY (-8bps). But US IG (+7bps) saw spreads widen for the first time since September.
  • EM Assets: After a very strong performance in January, it was a bad month for EM assets. For equities, the MSCI EM index was down -6.5%. EM bonds fell back too, with a -2.7% decline. And for EM FX, there was a -1.7% decline.
  • Commodities: All the major commodity groups lost ground in February. For energy, there were significant declines in European natural gas (-18.6%) along with smaller losses for Brent crude (-0.7%) and WTI (-2.3%) oil prices. Metals struggled too, with copper (-3.0%) and gold (-5.3%) both falling after three consecutive monthly gains. And agricultural goods lost ground as well, with corn (-7.4%) and wheat (-9.2%) posting noticeable declines.

Finally, here is a visual breakdown of the best and worst performing assets in February…

… and YTD.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 15:28

Woody Harrelson Doubles Down, Slams COVID Mandates: US Is “Not A Free Country”

Woody Harrelson Doubles Down, Slams COVID Mandates: US Is “Not A Free Country”

Authored by Steve Watson via Summit News,

Following a 30 second bit on SNL where he branded big pharma as a ‘cartel’ forcing it’s drugs on people with government consent, actor Woody Harrelson has further spoken out against COVID mandates.

In an interview with the New York Times, Harrelson warned that America is no longer a free country, branding COVID protocols as “rather absurd.”

When asked what was “absurd about the COVID protocols,” Harrelson replied, “The fact that they’re still going on!”

“I don’t think that anybody should have the right to demand that you’re forced to do the testing, forced to wear the mask and forced to get vaccinated three years on,” the Zombieland star asserted.

“I’m just like, let’s be done with this nonsense,” Harrelson continued, adding “It’s not fair to the crews. I don’t have to wear the mask. Why should they? Why should they have to be vaccinated? How’s that not up to the individual? I shouldn’t be talking about this [expletive].”

“It makes me angry for the crew. The anarchist part of me, I don’t feel that we should have forced testing, forced masking and forced vaccination,” he continued.

“That’s not a free country,” he further warned, adding

“Really I’m talking about the crew. Because I can get out of wearing a mask. I can test less. I’m not in the same position they’re in, but it’s wrong. It’s three years. Stop.”

Cue the normie backlash…

*  * *

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Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 15:00

CCP Mouthpiece Threatens Elon Musk Over COVID Lab-Leak Comments

CCP Mouthpiece Threatens Elon Musk Over COVID Lab-Leak Comments

Authored by Gary Bai via The Epoch Times,

Elon Musk, CEO of Twitter and Tesla, stood in the crosshairs of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) when he chipped in on the discussion on the origin of COVID-19 and brought attention to the theory that the virus leaked from a Chinese laboratory.

The world’s richest person joined in comments about a Wall Street Journal article on Sunday, Feb. 26, which reported that a classified intelligence report by the Energy Department said the virus likely leaked from the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV). The Chinese regime denies the lab leak theory and has accused its proponents of being conspiracy theorists.

Musk’s Comments

The billionaire hopped on discussions on Twitter following the news, with some users accusing Dr. Anthony Fauci, former head of the National Institutes of Health (NIH), of funding gain-of-function research at the WIV before the virus began spreading in early 2020.

“Dr. Anthony Fauci funded gain-of-function research at the Wuhan lab, lied to Congress about it, and now both the FBI & the Department of Energy have concluded that the coronavirus originated at the Wuhan lab,” wrote a Twitter user with the handle @KanekoaTheGreat. “Does that mean Dr. Anthony Fauci funded the development of COVID-19?”

“[Fauci] did it via a pass-through organization (EcoHealth),” Musk wrote in a reply, referring to Dr. Anthony Fauci, former head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) and former White House Chief Medical Advisor. Fauci’s NIAID sent $3.4 million in research grants via non-profit EcoHealth Alliance to the Wuhan laboratory.

Though that comment from Musk came as the latest of a series of jabs at Fauci, it stepped on a few nerves across the Pacific.

“Anti-China political forces in America have yet again hyped up the rumor that COVID-19 leaked from the Wuhan Institute of Virology,” reads a Feb. 28 article published in the Global Times, the CCP’s mouthpiece publication, titled “‘Elon Musk, are you smashing China’s pot?” which translates into the western euphemism “don’t bite the hand that feeds you.”

“Even the famous Tesla boss Elon Musk has joined in,” the article reads. 

“Some may think [Musk] made those remarks only to attack Fauci, but the posts he reposted almost all linked the origins of COVID-19 to China. And the argument is repeatedly used by the hostile-to-China U.S. right-wing and anti-China media to frame China.”

The Global Times piece then said the collaboration between the Wuhan laboratory worked and EcoHealth Alliance had “no relation” to researching the coronavirus or gain-of-function research (research that makes the virus more potent or more transmissible, or both), calling anyone who suggests otherwise “internet conspiracy theorists” and “anti-China forces.”

‘Smashing China’s Wok’

The comments from the state-owned media are a signal that the Chinese regime is discontent with the billionaire’s remarks.

The authoritarian regime keeps a close tab on Western businesses that operate in China and often has drastic reactions when it deems any entities to have stepped out of line. These reactions have included exerting pressure on companies to stick to the regime’s narrative or boycotting the companies altogether.

In 2019, in response to an undated statement from retail company H&M that said it is “deeply concerned by … accusations of forced labor” in Xinjiang, the Communist Youth League, following the calling of China’s state television, initiated a boycott campaign. It came amid reports of the detention of more than 1 million Muslim Uyghurs, along with forced sterilization, forced labor, and torture.

Notably, part of the comment by the Youth League is in almost identical wording to that posted by the Global Times on Tuesday, namely: “don’t expect to get fed by the Chinese and smash the Chinese wok at the same time.”

Following the boycott campaign, H&M was removed from online platforms such as Tmall and Alibaba and has seen significant drops in sales in the country.

In Musk’s case, the Chinese regime’s Tuesday signal had a significant shift in tone from the last time Musk waded into Chinese politics.

In an interview with the Financial Times in October 2022, Musk said that he recommends a “special administrative zone for Taiwan that is reasonably palatable” and that such an “arrangement” between Taiwan and the Chinese regime could probably be “more lenient than Hong Kong.” That comment won support from Chinese propagandists who saw Musk’s remarks as supportive of the regime’s clear intentions to claim Taiwan, a self-ruled democracy, as its own territory.

China is Tesla’s second-largest market, with a year-to-date average sales of 1,016 daily in 2023, according to Reuters. But the automaker currently faces strong headwinds from competitors in China such as BYD, who have been introducing new models and interior designs in its electric car products.

The Epoch Times contacted Tesla for comment.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 14:25

Corporate Insider-Buyers’ Strike Accelerates In February

Corporate Insider-Buyers’ Strike Accelerates In February

In early January we noted that while the average investor continues to pour money into the equity markets like there’s no tomorrow (aka, a reckoning for the everything bubble), corporate insiders are notably doing just the opposite.

“The thing that stands out right now is the lack of buying even though prices have come down so much. That’s kind of a warning,” Nejat Seyhun told the Wall Street Journal at the time.

In the six weeks or more since, the apparent buyers’ strike by corporate insiders has continued.

Bloomberg’s Elena Popina reports that as US stocks slid last month, only about 450 corporate executives scooped up shares of their own firms and more than four times as many insiders sold, data compiled by the Washington Service show.

That’s the highest ratio of sellers versus buyers since April 2021.

“The selling is around where it has been, but buying has yet to pick up this year,” the Washington Service’s analysts said by email.

“It seems like they are sort of in a wait-and-see mode, or perhaps selling portions of their holdings for increased liquidity.”

As Popina noted, insider transactions may seem like an unlikely market-timing indicator, but they have a track record of providing an early read on market direction over the years.

The insider buy-sell ratio jumped in August 2015 and late 2018, with the former preceding a market bottom and the latter coinciding with one. In March 2020, corporate insiders’ purchases correctly signaled the bottom of a bear-market rout.

Furthermore, despite all the Fed Pivot chatter (that is now dead), there really was no sign of insider enthusiasm in aggregate whatsoever, and while investors are increasingly focused on ever-shrinking timeframes (0DTE options traders running the show), just like 2016 and 2020, insiders are sending a very clear message that this time is different.

Oddly, with the sellers dominating the buyers, C-suites are far from pessimistic. On a scale from 1 to 10, a gauge of CEO confidence in prospects for business over the coming year rose to 6.3 in February, the third monthly advance and the highest level since March 2022.

What’s more, announced buybacks stood at more than $163 billion in February, a decrease from the same time a year ago but still the third-highest reading for February ever, according to data compiled by Birinyi Associates.

Maybe, as always, it’s better to watch what execs ‘do’ rather than what they ‘say’.

Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 14:05

House Wants Companies To Tell Consumers About Cameras, Microphones In Devices

House Wants Companies To Tell Consumers About Cameras, Microphones In Devices

Authored by Nathan Worcester via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The House of Representatives on Feb. 27 overwhelmingly voted to make manufacturers tell consumers if an Internet-connected device comes with a camera or microphone, with enforcement left to the Federal Trade Commission.

Smart home service devices is displayed at CES 2017 at the Sands Expo and Convention Center in Las Vegas, Nev., on Jan. 5, 2017. (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

That requirement does not cover certain devices, such as “a telephone (including a mobile phone), a laptop, tablet, or any device that a consumer would reasonably expect to have a microphone or camera.”

A motion to suspend the rules and pass H.R. 538 flew through the chamber with 406 yeas and 12 nays: 201 Democrats and 205 Republicans voted for it, while 12 Republicans voted against it. 15 representatives didn’t vote.

The motion’s opponents include a number of well-known conservative and libertarian lawmakers.

Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), Rep. Dan Bishop (R-N.C.), Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.), and Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas) all voted against it.

Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.) in Washington on March 8, 2022. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

The Epoch Times has reached out to those lawmakers to learn why they opposed the motion.

This is a relatively straightforward bill,” said Rep. Gus Bilirakis (R-Fla.), a supporter of H.R. 538.

“Internet-connected devices are becoming increasingly present in our lives, and it’s important for people to understand what they’re buying.”

Rep. Frank Pallone (D-N.J.), another supporter of the measure, told his colleagues about the rapid speed and massive scale of the Internet of Things (IoT) revolution in consumer products.

“Today, the average American home has 11 Internet of Things, or IoT, devices,” Pallone said.

Yet, Pallone’s numbers appear to be out of date.

A recent Deloitte survey suggests the number of Internet-connected items is even higher, at 22 smart devices per home as of 2022.

Read more here…

Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 13:45

Girls Basketball Team Withdraws From State Tournament In Protest Against Transgender Player Who Dominates Games

Girls Basketball Team Withdraws From State Tournament In Protest Against Transgender Player Who Dominates Games

Authored by Paul Joseph Watson via Summit News,

A girls basketball team has withdrawn from the Vermont Division IV state tournament in protest against a transgender player who has routinely been dominating games.

After finding out that their opponents the Long Trail School Mountain Lions (LTS) had a biological male on their team, the Mid Vermont Christian School Eagles (MVCS) forfeited their playoff game.

“We believe playing against an opponent with a biological male jeopardizes the fairness of the game and the safety of our players,” said MVCS head of school Vicky Fogg.

“Allowing biological males to participate in women’s sports sets a bad precedent for the future of women’s sports in general.”

In a previous interview, Mountain Lions coach Courtney Stasny boasted about Rose Johnson, who at 6’1 is the tallest member of their team, and his ability to block shots.

“Rose brings such a great energy to the floor. We nicknamed her Rose ‘not in my house’ Johnson because she just does not let anything come through the lane,” Stasny said.

After being beaten 47-43 by LTS, Proctor High School player Aubrey Lanning lamented about how, “Rose guards the whole post.”

Professional coach and fitness expert Aaron Warner told the Vermont Daily Chronicle that Johnson clearly had an unfair physical advantage on the other players.

“In one game [Johnson] had seven blocked shots. That means seven shots, typically closer to the basket so much more likely to go in, were blocked by the guy who is taller than every other girl on the floor, can jump higher and likely is significantly stronger. In what world is this even remotely fair to other Vermont Division IV girls?” he asked.

Warner also sounded the alarm bell on potential injuries that female players could sustain as a result of Johnson’s dominance.

“Bone mass, lean mass, cardiac output, strength capacity, work capacity and kinesiological potential all heavily advantage males. This is why men’s competition records (i.e. sprinting, jumping, weight lifting) dwarf women’s…Add to this fact that men are larger, faster and stronger than women and the potential for males injuring girls increases dramatically in competition.”

“In October, a North Carolina school district voted to forfeit all girls volleyball games against a rival school that featured a trans-identifying male player over safety concerns after he injured a girl on an opposing team with a forcefully-spiked ball to the face,” reports Reduxx. “Video that went viral showed the girl collapsing to the ground after being hit with the ball. She reportedly suffered head and neck injuries and long-term concussion symptoms.”

As we highlighted yesterday, a transgender athlete who now identifies as a woman has won four different female running competitions so far this year alone after smashing a women’s 5000 meter record last year.

Studies have consistently shown that biological male competitors retain significant advantages over female competitors even after undergoing ‘transition’ and starting hormone therapy.

poll conducted last summer found that only 28 per cent of Americans support transgender athletes being allowed to compete in female sports tournaments.

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Tyler Durden
Wed, 03/01/2023 – 12:25