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Mayor Says NYC Being “Undermined”, Has “No More Room” For Illegal Immigrants

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Mayor Says NYC Being “Undermined”, Has “No More Room” For Illegal Immigrants

Authored by Katabella Roberts via The Epoch Times,

New York City mayor Eric Adams has taken aim at the Biden administration for failing to take action and enact immigration reform to stem the illegal immigration crisis at the southern border while declaring there is “no room” in New York City for the “migrants” being sent to the city.

Adams, a Democrat, made the comments during a visit to the Texan border city of El Paso on Jan. 15 where he was joined by El Paso Democratic Mayor Oscar Leeser.

Busloads of illegal immigrants have been shipped to Democratic-run sanctuary cities such as New York, Washington, Chicago, Houston, and Los Angeles in recent months, which has placed a strain on those communities as has been the situation in border towns for many years, and in some cases, has further exacerbated an already existing housing and homeless crisis.

Adams said on Sunday that migrants are being given a “false impression” about what to expect in New York via websites advertising that the city is home to automatic employment opportunities and will house migrants in hotels, as opposed to offering sheltered housing.

“There’s a conversation among those who are asylum seekers and migrants who are given the false impression that if you come to New York City, everything is fine. We have to give people accurate information,” Adams said, according to The New York Post.

A group of migrants from Texas wait in line outside Port Authority Bus Terminal to receive humanitarian assistance in New York on Aug. 10, 2022. (Yuki Iwamura/AFP via Getty Images)

“And that is what some of the centers are doing here. They are truly explaining to people that this is what is happening in New York right now. In New York, you go there, you’re going to be living in congregate settings, and there is no more room in New York. That should be coordinated by our national government,” Adams added.

A National Emergency

The New York mayor also called for a coordinated response to the crisis within cities seeing an increase in arrival of illegal immigrants, which he said should be aided by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).

“This is a national emergency and crisis that must be addressed,” he said, while urging lawmakers in the U.S. Congress and the Biden administration to enact immigration reform.

Adams made similar remarks on Jan. 13, when he said New York City was at “breaking point” and would likely be unable to continue sheltering illegal immigrants arriving at the city without help from the federal government.

Lugging gallon jugs of water, illegal immigrants thread their way along footpaths just north of the Mexico/Arizona border. The numbers of illegal immigrants who have perished trying to cross the southern Arizona desert has reached an historic high this year. (Don Bartletti/Los Angeles Times)

‘We Don’t Deserve This’

“We are now seeing more people arrive than we have ever seen—averaging over 400 people each day this last week, with 835 asylum seekers arriving on one single day alone, the largest single-day arrival we’ve seen to date. All this is pushing New York City to the brink,” Adams said.

The mayor said the city had submitted an emergency mutual aid request to the State of New York, starting the weekend of Jan. 13, which initially asks the state for support in accommodating 500 arriving asylum seekers, although he stressed that the number will “balloon” in time.

Adams has previously said that the influx of migrants into New York could cost the city as much as $2 billion—money that the city will struggle to grant as it deals with a major budget shortfall.

The number of illegal immigrants crossing the border has surged during Biden’s first two years of presidency, with border patrol agents making more than 2.2 million arrests at the U.S.-Mexico border in the 2022 fiscal year, which ended in September.

New York is currently housing around 26,000 illegal aliens, and another 3,100 arrived in the last week-and-a-half, Adams said on Sunday.

“Our cities are being undermined,” Adams said. “And we don’t deserve this. Migrants don’t deserve this and the people who live in the cities don’t deserve this.

“We expect more from our national leaders to address this issue in a real way.”

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 12:10

“Distasteful Masterclass In Hypocrisy”: Elites Swarm Davos In Private Jets To Discuss Climate Crisis

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“Distasteful Masterclass In Hypocrisy”: Elites Swarm Davos In Private Jets To Discuss Climate Crisis

The annual conference of the World Economic Forum begins today in Davos, Switzerland. Global elites landed in luxurious private jets over the last few days in airports around Davos to discuss important global challenges, such as climate change, behind closed doors. 

“The rich and powerful are swarming to Davos to discuss climate and inequality behind closed doors using the most unequal and polluting form of transport: private jets,” Klara Maria Schenk, transport campaigner for Greenpeace’s European mobility campaign, told news website Politics.co.uk

Greenpeace International published a new report that showed 1,040 private jets flew in and out of airports around Davos for last year’s meeting, causing CO2 emissions from private jets to increase four times more versus a weekly average.

“Given that 80% of the world’s population has never even flown, but suffers from the consequences of climate-damaging aviation emissions, and that the WEF claims to be committed to the 1.5°C Paris Climate Target, this annual private jet bonanza is a distasteful masterclass in hypocrisy. Private jets must be consigned to history if we are to have a green, just and safe future for all. So-called world leaders must lead by example and ban private jets and useless short-haul flights,” added Schenk.

WEF hopes to tackle what they believe is a climate crisis plaguing the world despite most attendees arriving by private jets, which are the most polluting mode of transport per passenger

And motorcades of WEF attendees were spotted in gas-guzzling SUVs and high-end sedans. 

Meanwhile, climate protesters spent Monday morning blocking at least one airport used by the super-rich. 

“Davos has a perfectly adequate railway station, still these people can’t even be bothered to take the train for a trip as short as 21 km. Do we really believe that these are the people to solve the problems the world faces?” Schenk said.

And remember, these elites will discuss how to reshape the world while guarded by soldiers and private security forces.

The fact that WEF attendees arrive in droves of private jets only to discuss the climate crisis is hypocrisy at its finest. If there was actually a crisis, wouldn’t these so-called climate warriors take public transportation to save the planet? Maybe the crisis that WEF promotes is just manufactured hype. 

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 11:35

Claims Of A Lower CPI Cannot Inflate Away Reality

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Claims Of A Lower CPI Cannot Inflate Away Reality

Authored by Bruce Wilds via Advancing Time blog,

Yes, we have a problem, and claims of a lower CPI cannot inflate away the reality that inflation hurts consumers. To start with consider the argument inflation is much higher than the government reports. That said, Jay Powell is most likely very serious about ending the Fed put which has been a huge contributor to the wealth effect and inequality. This has also been a big driver of financial and economic growth.

If Powell accomplishes his goal it is expected to result in a more “responsible” and less speculative financial system. As things stand, most Americans are watching their wages falling behind the price of goods. As people are forced to buy less economic growth slows. This would of course extend down to falling prices as the wealth effect slams into reverse. All this brings with it risk and probably a lot of pain. This issue is intensified because the ability to simply roll over debt and refinance has been greatly diminished. Both liquidity and rates reduce this possibility. Trends are not friendly to growth anywhere in the world.

Lower CPI Does Not Signal Growth Ahead

Even if inflation drops like a stone, that does not mean it will not return with a vengeance or signal growth will pick up. Feeding into this is that many people today do not want to work. The five-day service sector office work week became a thing of the past when people were told to stay home during the pandemic. Mediocre production on the part of workers coupled with the potential that Geo-political issues may soon create a slew of new commodity shortages. Supply chain problems and disruptions tend to limit the supply side of growth.

Powell’s decision to risk driving the economy into the dirt to create a more sustainable economic future conflicts with the priority of politicians. Their main goal is to get reelected, and if this means handing out free money to stimulate the economy, so be it. The big question is how big the next wave of checks will be, $2,000 maybe $3,000? An issue we cannot ignore is that each stimulus has less effect than the one before. 

A matter that should overshadow the liquidity/interest rate argument is rooted in the importance of savers being rewarded and not punished over time. Lowering interest rates because inflation drops a tad does not address the need of savers to be able to earn a safe return on their savings. This means allowing them to benefit even after both taxes and inflation. Bogus promises by the government to meet this need by selling Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) fall short. Anyone wishing to protect a substantial nest egg will find the government greatly limits such purchases.

Flipping back to the stock market and the idea people should buy stocks because we are in a bear market and they have had a big pullback could be flawed. If indeed we are in the process of a stock market bubble popping, they could continue down a lot farther. So far we have not seen a total capitulation where investors come to a place where they want nothing to do with stocks. 

Consider the famous John Maynard Keynes quote; “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”

This is true for both the upside and downside. Flawed is thinking stocks will come soaring back. History shows following such a fall it can take several decades before this happens.

Trying to put together all the opposing views being thrown out there into some kind of order, is a mind-boggling task. The notion all currencies are about to be debased may have more to do with governments than central banks. This feeling of distrust in the future value of so-called “paper money” may spur inflation higher as people swap it for real assets. One thing remains certain amongst all this noise and that is protecting our buying power and wealth will continue to tax our ingenuity.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 11:00

“I Would Not Buy A Tesla Again”: U.S. Tesla Owners Fume About Recent Price Cuts

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“I Would Not Buy A Tesla Again”: U.S. Tesla Owners Fume About Recent Price Cuts

It was just a couple of days ago we first noted that Tesla was getting blowback in China, where it has slashed prices in order to try and spur demand for its vehicles. Over the last few days, that anger towards the company appears to be ramping up in the U.S., as well, after Tesla also slashed prices domestically.

Such was the takeaway from a new Bloomberg article that spoke to several Tesla owners and “fans”, who didn’t seem happy about the company’s recent move to slash prices.

One 32 year old Tesla “fan girl” named Marianne Simmons told Bloomberg: “I feel like I got duped. I feel like I got taken advantage of as a consumer. Right off the bat, I’m out $13,306. It’s such a large reduction that it’s going to affect a lot of people who just bought a vehicle.”

She had just shelled out $77,000 for a white Model Y. “I would not buy a Tesla again. That’s saying a lot for me. I was a huge Tesla fan girl. I’d go with a competitor like Lucid or Rivian,” she added.

Ivan Drury, director of insights for research website Edmunds.com told Bloomberg: “For any existing owner it’s a kick to the teeth. Anyone who bought a Tesla recently will feel an immediate impact and wish they leased it.” 

Another new Tesla owner, Andrew Checketts, from Santa Barbara, California, told Bloomberg that Tesla was “hounding” him about discounts at the time he made his purchase – but if he had waited, he could have saved far more money. He said: “I have solar scheduled to be installed soon. Really having a hard time giving Tesla any more of my money and can’t even look at the car this morning.”

Owner Jack Bradham, who purchased a black Model Y long-range edition in December, is irked that the vehicle got a $12,000 discount right after he purchased it. He said customer service from Tesla has been non-existent: “There’s no one to contact. I called and tweeted to them, no response.”

The price drops are hitting the resale value of Teslas also. Austin Flack, another owner, tried to list his 2018 Model 3 with the Full Self-Driving Beta software package for $51,000 last month. He has since reduced the price to $36,000 and fears he’ll have to try and cut it to $30,000. 

As the report notes, the base price of the Model Y is down an astonishing 20% to start the year, with the vehicle now listed at $53,000. The Model S plaid is down 14%. 

The situation in the U.S. echoes that of China, where customers stormed  showrooms to protest price cuts. 

Customers were demanding rebates and credits, claiming that they had overpaid for the same cars that weren’t marked down at the time they were purchased, a new report from Reuters says. Prices of Tesla vehicles in China are now between 13% and 24% lower than they were in September. 

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 10:30

“Survive, Then Thrive”: One River Digital On The Future Of Ethereum

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“Survive, Then Thrive”: One River Digital On The Future Of Ethereum

By Sebatsian Bea of One River Asset Management

It was all about the Fed – or was it? US policy rates rocketed higher last year, dominating broader market dynamics. That’s all you needed to know. But there were quiet outliers. Turkey was the top-performing equity market in US dollar terms – a surprise given the unexpectedly rapid Fed tightening. Stablecoin being stable in both price and assets was probably not on your bingo card under the digital-1929-crash column.  

Financial strains are a stress test for any ecosystem. Heed the things that live on, and respect how others became extinct. This is routine in the natural world. The pine tree adapted to fire by seeding only after a blaze when the soil is rich, and the sun isn’t obstructed by a canopy. After the burn, we see a scorched earth. Yet, seeds protected by pinecones are dispersed by fire, a resilience formed by nature’s trial and error.  

Stablecoin not only survived the digital downturn – it thrived. Settlement of US dollar stablecoin to the blockchain hit a record high last year, at more than $9 trillion. It is especially impressive given that the capitalization of the digital ecosystem fell by more than two-thirds. If investors were going to give up on digital, they would have left for traditional banking. They didn’t. Assets for the top-four stablecoin were stable, averaging $142 billion in 2022.  

The scorched earth of the digital economy brings the focus back to the “boring” basics. Market conditions demand this refocus. After all, Bitcoin and Ethereum are now a 64% share of the non-stablecoin capitalization, leaving the alternative asset universe at a modest $271 billion. And for a digital application like stablecoin to be resilient, so, too, must be the rails it’s built upon. Ethereum is that dominant base rail, running a 75% share of stablecoin supply. 

Ethereum was not only the base layer of choice for the most resilient application, it also successfully executed the migration to proof of stake last year. The number of Ethereum validators crossed 500,000 this week, up nearly 2-times from a year earlier – not bad for a bear market! Both are strong votes of confidence. But staking assets is still a one-way street. You can stake Ethereum and earn yield, but you cannot redeem…yet.  

That’s about to change. The Ethereum Foundation is set to launch its testing network to allow for withdrawals from staking nodes, the next big milestone. For investors, staking ether has been an exercise in patience. The annual ETH yield from staking has averaged roughly 10% since its introduction, a modest reward judged against ether’s 95% realized volatility over the period. Downside volatility has overwhelmed yield – 71% of ether staked is in a loss position.  

Will the unlocking of staked ether be a catalyst for another wave of rapid selling pressure? There is one natural vehicle for forced selling – ETH derivatives, like liquid staking. Liquid staking appeared as a solution for investors to earn some yield reward and stay liquid. These pools account for a substantial 33% of staked ETH. Liquidity is managed by reserves, like a central bank – 59% of reserves in stETH, the largest provider, are staked, and 41% are liquid.  

stETH traded at a significant discount to ether during last year’s stress (Figure 2). Think of this as a liquidity premium. Rapid sales of stETH led to a draining of liquid reserves. As reserves in staked ETH rose, redemptions were less likely to be met with the return of ether. If 100% of stETH reserves were staked, the only way to get liquidity is to sell stETH into the open market. The discount captures the liquidity premium needed to attract a buyer and clear the market.  

Ether selling pressure can build once the staking withdrawal mechanism is live. Trading at a discount, an investor could buy stETH, withdraw staked ether, sell the ether proceeds, and profit from the discount in the process. But with the current discount at a modest 68 basis points, this is unlikely to dominate. Options markets send the same signal – the skew to ETH puts is small with no differentiation around the expected date of the withdrawal mechanism going live.  

Ether staking withdrawals are unlikely to be a bearish event. On the contrary, there are positive impulses to ETH demand.  

For one, shorter lockup periods are associated with a higher rate of staking deposits. Ethereum’s staking rate is currently 13% versus 60% for assets with lockups of less than three days – where ether is headed (Figure 3).  

Further, ETH real yields are running high, at 5%-to-7% adjusted for its inflation (5.1% now). The average real yield for the top 22 assets is currently 3.2%, and even lower for other low-inflation assets (Figure 4).  

Ethereum won’t leap to the norm of other protocols – ETH ownership is less concentrated, and the low inflation rate means the cost of not staking is less. But the direction of traffic is clear – and positive. The bond math tells you that ether is the cheapest on the block(chain).

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 10:00

German Defense Minister Resigns As Criticism Over Ukraine Mounts

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German Defense Minister Resigns As Criticism Over Ukraine Mounts

Germany’s Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht has stepped down on Monday after what’s widely reported as a series of blunders and PR disasters, and amid accusations she’s been too slow and inept in providing Ukraine defense aid.

A member of Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD), she’s been a headache for the Scholz government, and alongside rising criticism over the handling of Ukraine, she’s been accused of bungling Germany’s own defense readiness

German Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht resigned Monday, via DPA

Lambrecht made reference to some recent embarrassing PR moments in her resignation letter, which said in part: “Months of media focus on me doesn’t allow for fact-based reporting and discussion about soldiers, the army and security policy in the interest of German citizens.”

“The valuable work of the soldiers and many motivated people in the defense area needs to be in the foreground,” the letter added.

Criticism grew most fierce over the last two weeks over an awkward New Year’s Eve message and video her office published, as Deutsche Welle (DW) describes

The move comes after German media outlets reported on Friday that the defense chief intended to step down after a much-criticized New Year’s Eve message she posted on social media. 

In her message, Lambrecht mentioned the war in Ukraine with the sound of fireworks in the background. Members of the opposition Christian Democratic Union (CDU) called out the message as tone-deaf and urged her to resign.

According to the same publication, “Her gaffes included taking her adult son on an official trip to a unit in northern Germany in a German Armed Forces helicopter, only to continue with him on vacation in Sylt.” Talk of her imminent resignation began on Sunday.

The New Year video that set off the most recent widespread criticism: 

Perhaps more importantly she’s been seen as emblematic of Berlin’s hesitancy to step up defense aid to Ukraine, amid pressure from other NATO allies. For example, she once came under fire for saying that 5,000 military helmets to Ukraine was “a very clear signal that we stand by your side.”

Currently, the Scholz government is coming under more and more pressure as other European countries like the UK and Poland begin sending heavy tanks to the Ukraine conflict. Already, Berlin agreed to send 40 Marder armored personnel carriers, as well as a Patriot air-defense missile battery to Ukrainian forces.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 09:30

“A New System” – Inside The Davos Summit 2023

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“A New System” – Inside The Davos Summit 2023

Via Off-Guardian.org,

WEF conference looks set to focus on what the globalist elite can learn from the failures of their “pandemic” narrative…

The World Economic Forum’s annual meet-up kicks off today. Politicians, corporate giants, “philanthropists” and all manner of elite monstrosities gather for a weekend of telling each other how smart they are and making the world generally worse.

But what’s on the menu this year?

Well, here are the five main items up for discussion, according to the WEF’s website:

See if you can notice a pattern:

  1. Addressing the Current Energy and Food Crises in the context of a New System for Energy, Climate and Nature

  2. Addressing the Current High Inflation, Low Growth, High Debt Economy in the context of a New System for Investment, Trade and Infrastructure

  3. Addressing the Current Industry Headwinds in the context of a New System for Harnessing Frontier Technologies for Private Sector Innovation and Resilience

  4. Addressing the Current Social Vulnerabilities in the context of a New System for Work, Skills and Care

  5. Addressing the Current Geopolitical Risks in the context of a New System for Dialogue and Cooperation in a Multipolar World

Now, none of this is news. A “new system” for energy is a “green new deal”, a “new system” for international cooperation is some type of global governance, and a “new system” for investment and trade covers a lot of topics, including digital currency.

Like I said, nothing new, but it’s always refreshing to see it in print, with no effort to hide it.

It’s also interesting that they don’t use the phrases “new normal”, “great reset” or “build back better” anywhere on the page, despite the fact it’s obviously what they’re talking about.

A little victory for the alternate media, who have clearly raised enough awareness that those phrases are now considered too tainted to use.

In fact, the WEF brotherhood is clearly concerned about losing control of the narrative, as this article from a few days ago highlights:

The world’s biggest problem solvers need to craft better narratives

It argues:

People are more persuaded by the information presented within a narrative because a good narrative helps to ease information processing. Those trying to solve the world’s most pressing challenges must take notice of this.

The whole article is essentially a very long-winded way of saying “we need to tell better lies”.

We must name the real antagonists: irresponsible politicians, bought scientists and some companies failing to live up to the needs of the transition to net-zero.

We must also stop pretending that there is a debate over the facts of climate change. A false balance is a phenomenon that occurs when a news organization or other media outlet presents an issue as being the subject of a debate, even when there is no actual debate or disagreement among experts on the matter.

The author is talking about climate change, but his points about shifting blame and shutting down debate apply across the board.

Look for a shift of narrative “villains” this year, as well as increased emphasis on positivity and “unity”. Unity likely means attempting to woo back some of the fringe-mainstream elements pushed further to the alternative by the Covid narrative (as they did with Ukraine).

Elsewhere – and on a related note – there is likely to be talk of censorship – or, sorry, “countering misinformation” – as discussed in this WEF article from 6 days ago, headlined:

Digital safety: Applying human rights in the digital world

The article details the “challenges” facing the WEF’s “Global Coalition for Digital Safety” in their efforts to tackle…

the likes of child sexual abuse and exploitation, terrorism and hate speech, misinformation and content related to self-harm and suicide.

Notice how “hate speech” and “misinformation” are thrown in there with the actual crimes? To quote Sesame Street, “one of these things is not like the other”. But that’s no surprise in the age of “legal but harmful”.

To be clear, these people do not care about any of those things. Not at all.

Their businesses exploit children, their state agencies fund terrorism, and their media outlets spit out misinformation at 50 words a minute.

They only really care about control. In this instance that means controlling the internet – more specifically, controlling what you are allowed to say and hear on the internet.

Another potential focus for discussion, highlighted in a couple of places, will be a push for more direct action. What they seem to be calling “tangible solutions”.

The head of Amnesty International – who will be in attendance – has called for Davos attendees to focus on:

tangible solutions that we already know work, rather than opting to protect the existing global economic system at any cost.

Underlining that “now is the time for action” not “empty gestures”, and simultaneously echoing the “new system” messaging.

The “tangible solutions” line is repeated in the “narratives” article mentioned earlier, by financial consultancy giant Mercer on their page about Davos, a WEF “expert panel”, and by Forbes in their article on young leaders at Davos.

Of course “solutions-based thinking” has been corporate talk for decades, and “now is the time for action” is a cliche which does the rounds at every meeting, summit or conference.

Nobody in history has ever said “now is not the time for action, now is the time for gestures”.

So, of course, it could be empty words designed to make the speakers (and their meeting) feel important.

But it could be something else, perhaps a sign that the propaganda stage of the “great reset” is over, and now we transition to the next stage. Signalling a move away from passive manipulation and psychology-driven control mechanisms and toward more direct enforcement.

I guess we’ll just have to wait and see.

Either way, you can broadly define the Davos agenda as four main themes:

  • “A new system”: Reforming the global systems of politics and finance

  • “controlling the narrative”: Telling more believable lies & limiting public debate

  • “countering misinformation”: Censorship, especially of the internet

  • “tangible solutions”: Taking more direct action via enforcement and policy.

The Davos talking points, it seems, will be a retrospective focusing on what they can learn from the shortcomings of their “pandemic” narrative.

One final thought, an (unconfirmed) story doing the rounds is both hilarious and telling…if true:

Apparently, DAVOS attendees are deliberately seeking out unvaccinated pilots. Make of that what you will.

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 09:00

Futures Dip As Dollar Rebounds From 8 Month Low

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Futures Dip As Dollar Rebounds From 8 Month Low

US equity futures dipped ahead of the MLK day holiday, while global equities were little changed after their best start to a year in a generation as investors assessed whether the recent torrid rally has gone too far given the outlook for inflation, growth and earnings. European stocks rose, while Asian stock fell, erasing earlier gains.

As of 8am, US equity futures traded around 4,010, down 0.2% from the Friday close and erasing modest earlier gains. Futures dipped as the dollar snapped a three-day losing streak and reversed an earlier drop that pushed it to an 8 month low, before gaining 0.2% against a basket of currencies, as investors await a slew of US economic data, speeches by ECB President Christine Lagarde and a policy meeting by the Bank of Japan where outgoing head Kuroda may expand the BOJ’s Yield Curve Control from 0.50% to 1.00%.

The MSCI ACWI Index slipped for the first time in seven days after posting the biggest advance for the first two weeks in data going back to 1988.

While inflation in the US appears to have peaked, continued policy tightening by the Federal Reserve “just to make sure” and other central banks risks pushing the global economy into a recession that could hurt corporate profits. The World Bank last week added to the gloomy outlook, warning of “one of the sharpest slowdowns we have seen in the past five decades.”

“The fear of missing out currently represents a key driver for equities,” Credit Agricole CIB strategists led by Jean-François Paren wrote in a note. “The market is getting a bit ahead of itself right now.”

European stocks picked up where they left off last week, adding to their best start to the year on record. Stoxx 600 rises 0.2% with real estate, health care and financial services leading gains while travel and miners fall. Here are some of the biggest European movers on Monday:

  • Temenos shares rise as much as 6.4% as investors greet the Swiss software company’s CEO change as a positive; ZKB says move should help to rebuild investor confidence over time
  • Yspomed shares climb as much as 12% after Credit Suisse raised the Swiss company’s shares to outperform, saying it’s the fastest-growth European mid-cap med-tech company
  • Verbund shares rise as much as 2.8% after being raised to neutral from underperform at Credit Suisse, with the broker saying the Austrian power firm’s shares now look fairly valued
  • Sika shares rise as much as 1.3% after the Swiss construction material manufacturer agreed to sell some concrete additive assets to Ineos to win approval for its acquisition of MBCC Group
  • Covestro shares drop as much as 5.1% after preliminary results that analysts said looked weak and would likely put pressure on the chemicals company’s dividends
  • Just Eat and HelloFresh shares fall in early Monday trading after Exane BNP Paribas downgrades both stocks to neutral, taking a more cautious stance on the online food sector
  • Proximus falls as much as 6.1% after the Belgian telecom operator said it would cut its dividend by half from 2024 to reduce leverage
  • ITM Power slumped as much as 19% after issuing a profit warning, which RBC said shows there are still uncertainties related to the timing of large purchase orders and ramp-up costs
  • Tecan Group shares fall as much as 5.6% after Kepler Cheuvreux analyst Maja Pataki cut the recommendation to hold from buy, citing “limited upside nearer term”
  • AutoStore falls as much as 14% after DNB initiated coverage of the shares with a sell recommendation, calling it an “exciting company with an overly stretched valuation”
  • IQE shares plunge as much as 21% after the semiconductor wafer-products maker said that demand from existing customers could take a hit from industry-wide “some destocking”

Asian stocks edged lower as investors braced for another possible surprise from the Bank of Japan later this week, while Chinese shares continued to rally on hopes for reopening and eased regulation. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gave up gains of as much as 0.6% to fall 0.4%, dragged by consumer discretionary and industrial shares. Japanese stocks faltered as the yen strengthened ahead of the BOJ’s policy decision Wednesday. The onshore Chinese market and the Philippines led gains around the region. China’s CSI 300 Index jumped 1.6% to an almost five-month high as overseas investors stepped up purchases of the nation’s shares amid broader optimism on border reopening. Also boosting sentiment was news that Didi Global Inc. has secured the green light to resume signing up new users, another sign that China’s tech crackdown is over.

Meanwhile, the People’s Bank of China added less cash than expected into the banking system via policy loans while keeping the rate unchanged this month, even with funding demand increasing into Lunar New Year holidays. China’s reopening rally has “more to go” and “there will be a rotation in the region, which is already playing out from India and Australia, which were the leaders in 2022, to North Asia, China, and Korea,” said Sunil Koul, Asia Pacific equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, in a Bloomberg TV interview. While Chinese stocks have been among the region’s best performers this year, Japanese shares have ranked among the worst. Investors have been cautious on Japan equity as the yen climbed with the BOJ expected to continue to move away from its years of ultra-easy monetary policy after lifting a cap on bond yields last month

In FX, the Bloomberg Dollar Index slipped its lowest level since April, before gaining 0.2% as traders weigh the prospects of slowing Fed hikes. Investors await a slew of US economic data, speeches by European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and a policy meeting by the Bank of Japan for more clues into how much further the battered US currency can weaken. The euro edged up to 1.0874, its highest in eight months, before easing in European trade.

Selling in the greenback petered out as macro accounts picked up dollars in thin trade after the London open, two Europe-based traders say, adding that volumes were around around 70% of recent averages as US market are closed for Martin Luther King Day.

Market participants are increasingly expecting more weakness in the dollar, given growing confidence that the Federal Reserve may pause its interest rate rises in the coming months. Short-term US inflation expectations cooled in early January to the lowest level since April 2021, the University of Michigan’s preliminary survey reading showed.

“Positive risk sentiment and rising speculation of an impending Fed pause has driven the US dollar steadily lower in the past week,” Alvin Tan, strategist at RBC Capital Markets, wrote in a note. The dollar could be in for more losses this week if a raft of US economic data, including retail sales, PPI industrial production and the Fed’s Beige Book, suggest price pressures continue to ease. Focus will also be on two speeches by the ECB’s Lagarde later in the week at the World Economic Forum in Davos.

“Markets are set to pay great attention to Lagarde’s remarks following evidence that price pressure is easing in many countries worldwide and given the further EUR/USD appreciation at the start of 2023,” Unicredit analysts wrote in a note. Given its revised forecast for the ECB to raise rates more than the Fed this year, Unicredit has raised its EUR/USD targets to 1.12 for Q4 23 and 1.16 for Q4 24, compared with its previous targets for 1.07 and 1.12, respectively. “A tighter difference between the two policy rates this year and even more in 2024 calls for a higher EUR-USD,” they write.

The Bank of Japan’s rate review on Wednesday will also be a key focus, as investors remain on high alert for further policy tweaks after December’s shock decision to raise the bar on yield movements

In rates, European bonds decline with 10-year borrowing costs in Germany and the UK climbing 4bps and 5bps respectively. Treasury futures are also lower, with no cash trading today due to the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday

In commodities, WTI drifts 0.3% lower to trade near $79.60. Spot gold falls roughly $3 to trade near $1,917/oz.

Bitcoin slipped below $21,000 following a rebound over the weekend, when it surged amid optimism that it may have bottomed.

While US calendar is empty Monday with the US closed for MLK day, earnings will be a key catalyst moving forward as traders assess whether companies were able to navigate headwinds including higher interest rates. The busy week will also be punctuated by corporate earnings, including top banks Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley.

Additionally, a host of Fed officials will be speaking this week, providing more clues for investors. The World Economic Forum’s annual meeting kicks off in Davos, Switzerland, with speakers there including European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and the International Monetary Fund’s Kristalina Georgieva.

Market Snapshot

  • S&P 500 futures down 0.4% to 4,002.25
  • STOXX Europe 600 up 0.2% to 453.40
  • MXAP down 0.3% to 165.60
  • MXAPJ up 0.3% to 545.98
  • Nikkei down 1.1% to 25,822.32
  • Topix down 0.9% to 1,886.31
  • Hang Seng Index little changed at 21,746.72
  • Shanghai Composite up 1.0% to 3,227.59
  • Sensex down 0.3% to 60,087.56
  • Australia S&P/ASX 200 up 0.8% to 7,388.18
  • Kospi up 0.6% to 2,399.86
  • German 10Y yield little changed at 2.20%
  • Euro down 0.1% to $1.0819
  • Brent Futures down 0.5% to $84.87/bbl
  • Brent Futures down 0.5% to $84.87/bbl
  • Gold spot down 0.3% to $1,915.19
  • U.S. Dollar Index up 0.16% to 102.37

Top Overnight News

  • Didi Wins Okay to Relaunch Apps as China Tech Crackdown Ebbs
  • Oil’s Advance Takes Breather as Investors Assess China Reopening
  • Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day
  • FOMO Stirs Again in Bitcoin’s Best Start Since Before Pandemic
  • Citi Names Tibor Pandi as Singapore Country Head
  • Lithium’s Next Big Risk Is Grand Supply Plans Falling Short
  • China Reopening Will Boost Global Economy at Crucial Moment
  • Energy, Chips, Taiwan: Flashpoints for 2023 in a Fractured World
  • Ukraine Latest: Zelenskiy Says Donbas Is Key to Stopping Russia
  • Biden Missteps on Secret Papers Create Self-Inflicted Crisis
  • At Least 68 Dead as Nepal Plane Crashes Seconds Before Landing
  • GOP Lawmaker’s ‘Won’t Budge’ on Debt Limit Softened by McCarthy
  • Stock Buyers Can Finally Catch Their Breath as Volatility Eases

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 08:36

Cargo Ship Carrying Ukraine Peas Refloated After Running Aground In Bosphorus Strait

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Cargo Ship Carrying Ukraine Peas Refloated After Running Aground In Bosphorus Strait

For the second time in weeks, another bulk carrier hauling farm goods from Ukraine has run aground in a critical waterway, causing disruptions to shipping traffic. 

Early Monday morning, MKK 1 (IMO: 8902929), a bulk carrier hauling 13,000 tons of peas from Ukraine, was grounded in Istanbul’s Bosphorus Strait, a strait that connects the Black Sea with global markets. 

Footage on social media shows the bow of the bulk carrier lodged into the ground near the coastline on the Asian side of the Bosphorus. 

The good news is that an army of tugboats managed to refloat the vessel. CNN Turk television said the ship experienced a “steering” failure. 

Reuters quoted the Joint Coordination Centre in Istanbul, which operates the UN-brokered Black Sea grain deal mission, said the MKK 1 was traveling from Pivdennyi, a commercial seaport in the Ukrainian city of Yuzhne near Odesa, to the Turkish Mediterranean port of Mersin.

No damage on MKK 1 has been found. Even though the vessel was refloated, Bloomberg said, “the strait has not yet reopened to shipping traffic.”

Less than a week ago, another bulk carrier hauling Ukrainian farm goods suffered “equipment failure” and went aground in the Suez Canal. The vessel was refloated, and canal traffic was restored before major disruptions plagued the Egyptian waterway.  

Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 07:45

The Best Video On Climate Change That You Will Ever See

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The Best Video On Climate Change That You Will Ever See

Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com,

If you only play one video this year, the video below is the one you should play…

Annual CO2 emissions chart from Data in Our World.

This is an absolutely brilliant speech by British satirist, Konstantine Kisin.

Is Kisin’s Video For You?

  • If you think that you, president Biden, Gretta, Al Gore, or anyone in government will do anything that matters about climate change, the video is for you.

  • If you think that you, president Biden, Gretta, Al Gore, or anyone in government will not do anything that matters about climate change, the video is also for you.

It’s less than seven minutes long. Play it.

Play the video then think about the lead chart and the path of China and India while noting the whole continent of Africa is not even on the scale. 

By the way, the population of India will soon to surpass China. 

Importantly, and on a personal level, the single best thing you can do for the environment is to not have kids

Climate Deniers

I have been accused of being a climate denier. Mercy. Actually, I am a climate realist.

Climate change is real and constant and has been ever since the earth formed. 

The debate is over how much is manmade and even more importantly, what to do about it, whether it’s manmade or not.

Regarding what percentage is manmade, I don’t know, nor does anyone else. But let’s say you disagree. 

Then OK, I agree with you. Let’s assume recent climate change is 100% manmade. So what do we do about it?

That has been my line of questioning for a long time. I just have never been able to express my line of thinking as clearly as Kisin in the above video.

A Big Green Mess in Germany With Coal a Stunning 31 Percent of Electricity

Assume there is a problem, then if there is a solution, it will not be the like of Gretta, AOC, Al Gore, president Biden, or the Green Party hypocrites who will fix it.

Look no further than the Big Green Mess in Germany for what happens when politicians are faced with the decision to heat homes cheaply or cut back on CO2. 

The EU plans to tax other nations for not addressing climate change, while Germany bulldozes a town to increase the size of a coal mine. It’s also lignite coal, the dirtiest kind.

Vice Chancellor Robert Habeck, a Green who is Germany’s economy and climate minister, defended the agreement as “a good decision for climate protection” that fulfills many of the environmentalists’ demands and saves five other villages from demolition.

World’s Largest Tax Scheme

For discussion of the EU’s hypocritical carbon tax scheme, please see EU Imposes the World’s Largest Carbon Tax Scheme.

Meanwhile, the US is marching down an idiotic path towards electric vehicle mandates with no plan on where to get the minerals for the batteries. Nor does president Biden have an reasonable plan for the infrastructure needed. 

Fed Chair Warns President Biden “We will not be a climate policymaker”

Preposterous ideas have gotten so out of hand that Fed Chair Warns President Biden “We will not be a climate policymaker”

Without explicit congressional legislation, it would be inappropriate for us to use our monetary policy or supervisory tools to promote a greener economy or to achieve other climate-based goals. We are not, and will not be, a climate policymaker,” said Jerome Powell.

I am not one who often praises the Fed, but that paragraph deserves a standing ovation. 

Constant Hype

The hype is constant and has been consistently wrong. In 2019 I noted Ocasio-Cortez Says World Will End in 12 Years: Here’s What to Do About It

The world will still be here in 2050.

On October 29, 2022, I noted UN Seeks $4 to 6 Trillion Per Year to Address Climate

Yeah right. Politicians are going to give Africa, India, and third world countries trillions of dollars and tax the hell out of them if they don’t comply.

The Hope of Fusion vs the Pomp of Politicians and Climate Activists

If there is a climate problem, science will find the answer, not politicians or activists.

For discussion, please see The Hope of Fusion vs the Pomp of Politicians and Climate Activists

Nonetheless, there’s A Mad Rush to Build More EV Factories despite the fact we have no idea or plan to secure the minerals needed for the batteries. 

And Germany has turned to bulldozing towns to produce more coal. 

What a hoot.

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Tyler Durden
Mon, 01/16/2023 – 07:00