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Three US Troops Killed, 25 Injured, After Drone Slams Into Base On Jordanian Border

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Three US Troops Killed, 25 Injured, After Drone Slams Into Base On Jordanian Border

An overnight drone attack on a US military outpost in northeast Jordan has killed three American troops and left 25 more injured, according to breaking reports Sunday morning. 

The outpost, called Tower 22, is located very close to the Syrian border, and the casualty rate is so high as soldiers were reportedly sleeping in tents when the drone struck. By all accounts thus far, the drone appears to have come from Syrian territory.

Illustrative file image, DoD

President Joe Biden issued a statement announced the attack on Americans, saying that “radical Iran-backed militant groups” in Syria and Iraq were behind it.

“While we are still gathering the facts of this attack, we know it was carried out by radical Iran-backed militant groups operating in Syria and Iraq,” Biden said. “Have no doubt – we will hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing.”

“Jill and I join the families and friends of our fallen – and Americans across the country – in grieving the loss of these warriors in this despicable and wholly unjust attack,” the statement added.

According to CNN:

US Central Command confirmed in a statement on Sunday that three service members were killed and 25 injured in a one-way drone attack that “impacted at a base in northeast Jordan.”

US officials have said that identities of the slain will not be revealed for 24 hours until their families have been notified.

Tower 22 is also close to the Iraq border, and the US occupation base at Tanf…

Crucially, these are the first known American troop deaths in the Middle East region since Hamas Oct.7 terror attack.

developing…

Tyler Durden
Sun, 01/28/2024 – 12:15

Netanyahu And Sinwar’s Forever War: Perpetual Conflict In Gaza

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Netanyahu And Sinwar’s Forever War: Perpetual Conflict In Gaza

Authored by Joe Buccino via RealClear Wire,

As the Gaza War extends beyond 100 days with no end in sight, a potential months-long respite from fighting comes into focus. The ceasefire will allow the release of another set of Israeli hostages and another set of Palestinian prisoners. Beyond this ongoing series of exchanges, however, there appears no end to the war: The bombing, the raids, and the exchanges will go on for months and months. This perpetual state of conflict is exactly what the two men leading both sides seek.

On one side, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin remains steadfast in emphasizing an unachievable strategic objective for the war: the total eradication of Hamas in Gaza as the war’s strategic objective. The governing body of Gaza since 2007, Hamas has its vile arms in all aspects of Gazan governance and society. Hamas is not only the enclave’s military force, but also the school system, the trash collection, and the police. The group blends so deeply into Gazan society that the complete elimination of Hamas – Netanyahu’s consistently stated goal – would likely require killing virtually every adult male. Further, beyond smashing Gaza to bits, Israel has no transition plan. Netanyahu refuses to turn Gaza over to a reformed Palestinian Authority. He’s ruled out the White House’s proposal for a post-war Palestinian State. Bibi’s left no viable remaining option — even a security handover to Sunni Arab militaries is unpalatable in those countries without a Palestinian State.

On the other side of this gruesome conflict, Yayhya Sinwar, Hamas’ leader, remains elusive, likely underground and mixed with Israeli hostages. Like his counterpart, Sinwar wants the war to continue in perpetuity. Hamas’s goal in such a savage attack on Israel on October 7th was to force an Israeli overreach. The terror group wanted images of a dystopian hellscape, destroyed hospitals, dead children, and wailing babies – precisely what the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are inflicting on Gazans. Hamas, widely unpopular in Gaza before the war, sees its stature, prestige, and acclaim grow dramatically as the fighting continues. Palestinians – and many Muslims in the Middle East – view Hamas’s war as a legitimate form of defiance against Israeli oppression. This is the war Sinwar always wanted – a war of resistance embraced by the Mulsim world. Sinwar now hopes to bleed Israel dry, to keep the IDF tied down in Gaza, and to employ Hamas’s well-honed information operations program to turn the world against Israel.

Sinwar’s strategic approach pivots on the more than 100 hostages remaining in Hamas control. He must ensure his forces keep them alive. He will use them as leverage in a series of staggered pauses during which Hamas’s forces consolidate ammunition, repair defensive positions, and replace troops on the front lines. Keeping such a large group of hostages alive in combat in a devastated landscape is a colossal task of planning and resourcing, but it is vital to preserving conflict.

The return of Palestinian prisoners from Israel at a rate of two to one in exchange for Israeli hostages makes Sinwar a hero in the Muslim world. His stature will continue to grow with each exchange. Sinwar knows his popularity – and the acclaim of his organization – will continue to rise in the months to come.

The Israeli Prime Minister, on the other hand, was a largely reviled figure before the war and grew more despised as the battle continued. Netanyahu’s image was always that of the man who would keep Israelis safe from the rest of the world. In secretly propping up Hamas for almost a decade while pushing settlements into the West Bank, he’s only done the opposite. The war is his mechanism to remain in power; once the fighting stops, Israelis will call for an election and overwhelmingly vote him out.

Once out of office, the 73-year-old Netanyahu will suffer a worse fate than political failure. Bibi is charged with fraud, breach of trust, and accepting bribes in three separate scandals. The longer he remains in power, the longer he can delay facing the consequences of these charges. The trials, repeatedly delayed, have recently resumed but are expected to drag on slowly while he adjudicates the war. Should the war end, however, Bibi will surely face justice.

So, with no viable off-ramp and two leaders keen to keep the blood flowing, the war will persist. The awful suffering it brings will continue- for months and months, through 2024 into 2025. Pursuing peace and resolution takes a backseat to Sinwar’s political agenda and Netanyahu’s self-preservation.

Joe Buccino is a retired U.S. Army colonel with five combat tours in the Middle East. He served as U.S. Central Command communications director from 2021 until September 2023. His views do not necessarily reflect those of the U.S. Department of Defense or any other organization.

Tyler Durden
Sun, 01/28/2024 – 11:40

RFK Jr. Campaign Collects Enough Signatures To Get On New Hampshire Ballot

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RFK Jr. Campaign Collects Enough Signatures To Get On New Hampshire Ballot

Authored by Jeff Louderbeck via The Epoch Times,

As President Joe Biden learned he had won the New Hampshire Democrat primary as a write-in candidate, independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced he had gathered the required number of signatures to appear on that state’s general election ballot in November.

Mr. Kennedy’s team collected more than 3,000 signatures in one day in the Granite State, according to a statement from the campaign.

“I want to thank our dedicated supporters and volunteers who made this great accomplishment possible,” Mr. Kennedy said.

“Democracy is much more than voting. I’m inspired by how enthusiastic people are to collect signatures, create new political parties, and rally for real change,” Mr. Kennedy added.

“This kind of energy is what will get us onto the ballot in every state and fuel our voter registration and GOTV operation as we head toward election day.”

Volunteers from across New Hampshire and every state in New England joined to gather signatures at around 100 precincts from 6 a.m. until 8 p.m., a campaign spokesperson reported.

When he declared his candidacy for president last April, Mr. Kennedy envisioned celebrating a victory in the New Hampshire Democrat primary in January.

Instead, after announcing he would run as an independent and leave the Democrat primary last October, Mr. Kennedy commemorated a different feat as President Joe Biden won the New Hampshire primary as a write-in candidate.

In an interview last August, Mr. Kennedy told The Epoch Times that “I’m a Democrat” and he was running for president to restore the party to the values it represented when his uncle, John F. Kennedy, was president and his father, Sen. Robert F. Kennedy was seeking the Democrat presidential nomination in 1968.

Mr. Kennedy considered New Hampshire a major battleground state in the Democrat primary.

New Hampshire was historically the first primary in the nation, after the Iowa caucus. Early last year, at the urging of President Joe Biden, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) voted to replace New Hampshire with South Carolina as the first primary.

When New Hampshire Democrats refused, citing a state law, the DNC called it an unsanctioned primary and President Biden did not appear on the ballot.

Mr. Kennedy announced on Oct. 9 in Philadelphia that he would run as an independent and leave the Democrat primary, calling it “rigged” by the DNC.

“American democracy should be more than just picking between two candidates anointed by shadowy institutions. Big Oil funds the Republicans. Big Tech funds the Democrats. Big Pharma and the military contractors make sure to donate to both.

“Instead of two parties, we have a uni-party, a monster with two faces loudly bickering with itself as it lumbers over a cliff,” Mr. Kennedy said.

Mr. Kennedy is officially on the ballot in Utah. He believes he will be on the ballot in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks during the World Values Network’s presidential candidate series at the Glasshouse in New York City on July 25, 2023. (Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images)

Earlier in January, Mr. Kennedy said that his campaign had filed paperwork in six states to create its own political party.

The move was made to get his name on the ballot in those states with fewer voter signatures than is required for candidates not affiliated with a party.

In five states—California, Delaware, Hawaii, Mississippi, and North Carolina—Mr. Kennedy’s campaign formed the “We the People” party. The “Texas Independent Party” was also established.

Filing for political party status in the six states reduced the number of signatures required for Mr. Kennedy to gain ballot access by about 330,000, according to a statement by his campaign.

To get on the ballots of all 50 states and the District of Columbia, Mr. Kennedy noted, his campaign must collect about 1 million valid pen-and-paper signatures through petitions across the country.

“Effectively, this means closer to 1.5 million to ensure that enough are valid,” Mr. Kennedy said.

His campaign said in a press release on Jan. 16 that multiple states give independent presidential candidates two methods of achieving ballot access—as an individual candidate or as the nominee of a new party.

The two processes often require different numbers of signatures, the campaign explained.

“In most states, the individual candidate process requires fewer signatures. However, in some states, party ballot access requires fewer signatures and is therefore the most direct path to ballot access in those states,” the campaign noted.

Once the new party gains ballot access, it can nominate a candidate.

American Values 2024, the super PAC supporting Mr. Kennedy, said that it planned to spend more than $10 million to get on the ballot in 10 states, including California and Texas.

Arizona, Colorado, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Nevada, and New York are the others.

The super PAC recently announced it had hired three firms to collect voter signatures in Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan.

After the results of the New Hampshire primary were announced, Mr. Kennedy told Fox News that President Biden “is probably not going to campaign” and “the Democrats are relying on court cases to try to derail the election, to try to keep President Trump off the ballot.”

“I think that’s a very, very bad strategy. I think it’s bad for democracy. I think it’s bad for the Democratic Party. I think it’s bad for everybody,” Mr. Kennedy added.

Mr. Kennedy noted that his favorability ratings were better than President Biden and President Trump, and he is ahead of both candidates among Americans under the age of 45 in six battleground states.

In a Gallup poll conducted from Dec. 1 to Dec. 20, 2023, Mr. Kennedy led all presidential candidates with a 52 percent favorability rating. President Trump followed with 42 percent, President Biden 41 percent, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley 33 percent, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis 32 percent.

Mr. Kennedy and Ms. Haley led in the least favorable category at 34 percent compared to 58 percent for President Biden, 57 percent for President Trump, and 52 percent for Mr. DeSantis.

survey of registered voters conducted by Siena College and The New York Times released in early November 2023 indicated that in six battleground states, Mr. Kennedy would receive 24 percent of the vote in a three-way race, while President Trump would get 35 percent and President Biden would get 33 percent.

The balance said they remained undecided or wouldn’t vote.

The poll included 3,662 likely voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The margin of sampling error varies among the state polls, from plus or minus 4.4 percentage points to plus or minus 4.8 percentage points.

That survey shows Mr. Kennedy leading President Biden and President Trump among voters under 45 in those six states.

Mr. Kennedy registered 34 percent support among voters aged 18 to 29 compared with 30 percent for President Biden and 29 percent for President Trump.

For voters aged 30 to 44, Mr. Kennedy led with 31 percent while President Biden and President Trump each collected 30 percent.

Mr. Kennedy continues to travel the country holding rallies and collecting signatures to get on the ballot in all states. He will be in Charleston, West Virginia, on Jan. 27.

At a voter rally in Atlanta on the eve of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. Day, Mr. Kennedy told a crowd that 2024 marks the first election in American history where there are more independents than Democrats and Republicans.

“I’m gaining about one point a month, and I’ve got nine months,” Mr. Kennedy said. “All I need to do is get to 34 points, and I win the election.

“I am running against the two most unpopular candidates in American history,” Mr. Kennedy said in Atlanta, referencing President Trump and President Biden as the likely nominees of their respective parties.

“Americans don’t want to keep choosing the lesser of two evils.”

Pointing to the polls, the enthusiasm at voter rallies, and the “grassroots army” he says is the largest among any presidential candidate, Mr. Kennedy believes there is a path to victory in November.

“Many Democrats say they are not voting for President Biden, but they are voting against President Trump. Many Republicans say the same thing, that they are voting against President Biden,” Mr. Kennedy said.

“It’s important that we have somebody who can inspire us—someone people like and are excited about voting for.”

Tyler Durden
Sun, 01/28/2024 – 10:30

Biden Blackmail Intensifies: Won’t Shut Border Until Congress Coughs Up Ukraine, Israel Funds

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Biden Blackmail Intensifies: Won’t Shut Border Until Congress Coughs Up Ukraine, Israel Funds

As Republican governors circle the wagon around Texas, President Biden on Saturday doubled down on a reluctant agreement to secure the southern US border – but only if if Congress passes a bipartisan bill that would also allocate funds for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan, and would still allow as many as 150,000 illegal crossings per month.

If that bill were the law today I’d shut down the border right now and fix it quickly and bring a bipartisan bill that would be good for America and help fix our broken immigration system and allow speedy access for those who deserve to be here,” Biden said, according to Fox NewsChad Pergram.

Except, as many have pointed out, Biden doesn’t need Congress, or the bill, to do that right now.

As we noted yesterday, House Speaker Mike Johnson debunked the claim, saying “President Biden falsely claimed yesterday he needs Congress to pass a new law to allow him to close the southern border, but he knows that is untrue.”

“As I explained to him in a letter late last year, and have specifically reiterated to him on multiple occasions since, he can and must take executive action immediately to reverse the catastrophe he has created,” Johnson continued.

Last week, Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) hit back against a Monday ruling by the Supreme Court which allows the Biden administration to cut razor wire that the state had installed along the US-Mexico border, while a broader lawsuit over the wire plays out. In fact, Texas responded by installing more razor wire.

“The Texas National Guard continues to hold the line in Eagle Pass,” Abbott posted on X Tuesday morning, adding “Texas will not back down from our efforts to secure the border in Biden’s absence.”

Congress Hops To

Instead of forcing Biden to simply wave his pen and start securing the border, a bipartisan group of lawmakers simply can’t let a good opportunity for pork go to waste, and are ‘on the verge’ of striking a deal with the Biden administration that would enact ‘sweeping new border controls,’ according to CBS News.

After weeks of closed-door negotiations, the White House and a trio of senators could unveil an agreement as early as this week, the sources said, requesting anonymity due to the private nature of the conversations. The bill is designed to reduce the unprecedented levels of illegal crossings recorded along the southern border in the past three years.

While GOP Sen. James Lankford, Democratic Sen. Chris Murphy and independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema are close to finalizing the compromise with the White House, any bipartisan immigration proposal would face an uphill battle in the House, where Speaker Mike Johnson and other conservative lawmakers have pushed for even stricter changes to the asylum system.

The agreement would give the executive branch new legal authority to effectively suspend asylum between official ports of entry after migrant crossings reach certain levels in Arizona, California, New Mexico and Texas. When this authority is invoked, illegal immigrants would face swift deportation to Mexico or their home country, unless they qualify to stay following screenings for ‘humanitarian refuge.’

There’s a Catch…

The bipartisan rule still allows migrant crossings to hit an average of 5,000 per day, or 8,500 in a single day, before the power would be mandated. So, there would still be up to 150,000 illegal crossings permitted monthly.

No word from CBS whether the Sunday bipartisan package includes Ukraine or Israel funds.

Tyler Durden
Sun, 01/28/2024 – 09:55

Paul Craig Roberts: RIP, The Western World

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Paul Craig Roberts: RIP, The Western World

Authored by Paul Craig Roberts,

I have come to the depressing conclusion that the white ethnicities that constituted the nations of Western Civilization have degenerated into such insouciance and stupidity that they have no possibility of survival.  

They sit mindlessly in front of TV absorbing their brainwashing and indoctrination.  

They can’t pay their rent, mortgage or car payments, but they pay endlessly for care of immigrant-invaders who are overwhelming their communities with material needs.

In the US, North Carolina, once a Southern state, now an immigrant staging ground, has given over its high schools to serve as immigrant-invader “resettlement areas.”  To Hell with the North Carolina taxpayers. Immigrant-invaders’ rights preempt those of North Carolina taxpayers, whose majority white population, according to the narrative,  consists of white supremacist racists exploiters.   

North Carolina has also, at taxpayers’ expense, built a campus for a “head’s start” program for children of immigrant invaders. The program takes over a former school property for NC American citizens.  

Wherever you look, you see the US welcoming at citizens taxpayer expense endless burdens from immigrant-invaders permitted to walk unheeded across the border into the Tower of Babel that the US has become. According to leaks, RINO Republican Senators are preparing an immigration bill that would force America to accept 1.8 million immigrant-invaders each year.  Amazing to watch white people destroy their own country.   

No one in America can do anything about it.  Instead of stopping the invasion and over-running of the country, the US government commits endless American resources to defending the aggressively expansive borders of Israel and Ukraine, while Washington dismantles the barrier put in place to defend America’s borders.  And the fool responsible for this policy is running for reelection as president with the media’s and America’s elites’ support.

In what remains of European ethnic countries, the director of the EU’s “border protection agency, Fronrtex,” Hans Leitjens, said that “nothing can stop immigrants.”  

What he means is that the EU will not stop immigrant-invaders from bringing the Camp of the Saints to all of Europe and perhaps to Russia as well, considering the weakness demonstrated by a government that could be ruling the world.  

The dumbshit Hans Leitjens, obviously a proponent of Western annihilation, says that opposition to being overrun by immigrant-invaders constitutes “xenophobia and prejudice.”

There you have it. 

 If white ethnicities attempt to prevent their overthrow by invaders, they are xenophobic and racist.  

How did so many white ethnicities get converted to a point of view that doesn’t serve them?

The English Suffer While Immigrant-invaders Are Housed in Hotels. 

This is what white people have learned to expect from “their” governments.  

Don’t you think it is strange that the world’s white ethnicities are prepared to commit lives and endless resources to protect the borders of Israel and Ukraine, but nothing to protect their own borders?

How can people this totally stupid continue to exist?

Tyler Durden
Sun, 01/28/2024 – 09:20

European Leaders Are Anxious About A Possible Trump Win

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European Leaders Are Anxious About A Possible Trump Win

Authored by Louis Navellier via The Epoch Times,

In Europe, there is anxiety that former President Donald Trump may be reelected in November.

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde shockingly broke ECB tradition to comment on politics during a France 2 interview. Specifically, she said the return of President Trump could put the United States at odds with Europe in several areas, including trade protectionism, military support for NATO, and the fight against climate change.

Ms. Lagarde doubled down in a session at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, when she said that the best defense against a possible return of “Trump 2.0” to the White House in 2025 is to bolster Europe’s economy and unity.

Ms. Lagarde said,:

“The best defense, if that’s the way we want to look at it, is to attack,” adding that,

“To attack properly, you need to be strong at home. So being strong means having a strong, deep market, having a real single market.”

From these public attacks on a potential U.S. presidential candidate, I think it is safe to conclude that Ms. Lagarde is infected with “Trump derangement syndrome” (TDS), but the irony of her statement is that some of the biggest European economies, like the Netherlands and Germany, are shifting right as farmers protest the green agenda and land seizures, so Europe’s green agenda is currently a bigger threat to the European Union unity than Donald Trump.

Ironically, President Joe Biden maintained President Trump’s trade barriers, so I suspect that some of Ms. Lagarde’s fears are unwarranted, especially U.S. military support for NATO, which was bolstered under President Trump, as long as Europe paid its fair share.

However, Ms. Lagarde is correct about climate change, since President Trump did not embrace the Paris Climate Accord.

However, she should look closer to home, as there are recent protests in Germany and the Netherlands due to their onerous green rules that are hindering GDP growth there.

Germany’s GDP contracted by 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter, so economic fears associated with the green agenda are growing in Europe.

There have been several protests in Germany, which is very odd, since Germany is usually a very orderly, compliant society.

However, German farmers are following the Netherlands farmers and now protesting cuts to diesel subsidiaries and agriculture vehicle tax discounts.

Berlin’s Brandenburg Gate has been blocked by tractors, where a produce farmer said, “I think it’s clear that this protest is about a lot more … Because what’s coming out of Berlin is damaging our county—especially the economy.” German Chancellor Olaf Scholz replied: “We’ve taken the farmers’ arguments to heart and revised our proposals. A good compromise.” But despite this counter-offer by the German chancellor, Germany is clearly shifting to the right, based on recent regional elections.

As for the United States, as political strategist James Carville so famously put it, winning campaigns must focus on “the economy, stupid,” so unless President Biden can shore up his base, a new president will be elected in 2024. President Biden has apparently bought a few Super Bowl ads, but the Biden administration’s on-shoring efforts have clearly failed, since the big Arizona semiconductor plant is not scheduled to open until 2025, plus the Big Three carmakers canceled most of their battery plants with Chinese and South Korean partners.

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) has thoroughly documented that the U.S. manufacturing sector has been in a recession for the past 14 months, but the Commerce Department on Wednesday announced that retail sales rose 0.6 percent in December, which is the strongest monthly gain in the past three months and significantly better than the economists’ consensus expectation of a 0.4 percent increase.

In addition, vehicle sales rose an impressive 1.1 percent in December. Excluding autos, retail sales rose 0.4 percent in December. For all of 2023, retail sales rose 5.6 percent and outpaced inflation, which rose at a 3.4 percent annual pace, based on the Consumer Price Index. Sales at gas stations declined 1.3 percent due to lower fuel prices. Overall, nine of the 13 industries surveyed expanded in December, so fourth-quarter GDP estimates may be revised slightly higher. I should add that after the retail sales report, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta raised its fourth-quarter GDP estimate up to a 2.4 percent annual pace, up from its previous estimate of a 2.2 percent annual pace.

The stronger the economic data becomes in the upcoming months, the slower the world’s central banks will be to cut key interest rates. Over in Europe, Ms. Lagarde said at Davos that rate cuts in the summer were likely, but in her best double-speak, she cautioned that, “I have to be reserved, because we are also saying that we are data dependent, and that there is still a level of uncertainty and some indicators that are not anchored at the level where we would like to see them.”

The Commerce Department on Thursday announced that housing starts declined 4.6 percent, to a 1.46 million annual pace in December. However, building permits rose 1.9 percent, to a 1.5 million annual pace, as single-family home permits rose to the highest level since May 2022. As a result, it appears that the homebuilder industry is gearing up for a spring surge, as soon as the weather improves (and if mortgage rates decline).

The Labor Department on Thursday announced that weekly jobless claims declined to 187,000 in the latest week. That is the lowest level since September 2022. Continuing unemployment claims declined to 1.806 million in the latest week and are now at their lowest level since October. Since the unemployment data are improving, the Federal Reserve will not be under any pressure to cut key interest rates in its policy meeting in March.

The National Association of Realtors on Friday announced that existing home sales declined 6.2 percent in December, to an annual pace of 3.78 million. For all of 2023, there were 4.09 million home sales, the lowest yearly total since 1995. The inventory of existing homes for sale is now at a 3.2-month supply, a fairly narrow market, which means that median home prices will likely rise.

In December, median home prices rose to $382,600, up 4.4 percent from a year ago. The tight supply of existing homes and high median prices bode well for home builders, too, like Toll Brothers.

Finally, The Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that a whopping $8.8 trillion remains in money market investments and certificates of deposits on the sidelines. As interest rates decline, much of this cash is expected to return to the stock market, so there is plenty of fuel to propel many stocks higher.

Naturally, stocks also have to report improving fourth-quarter results as well as positive guidance to get investors excited. I remain especially excited about our growth stocks over the upcoming months, like Super Micro Computer. Specifically, Super Micro Computer raised its quarterly sales guidance from $3.6 billion to $3.65 billion, up from its previous sales guidance of $2.7–2.9 billion. In addition, Super Micro Computer raised its quarterly operating earnings guidance to $4.90–5.05 per share, up from its previous earnings guidance of $3.75–4.24 per share.

A building heavily damaged by a Russian missile strike in central Kharkiv, Ukraine, on Jan. 17, 2024. (Yan Dobronosov/Reuters)

Update on Global Wars and Other Key Indicators

In Davos last week, there was a big Ukrainian delegation, as support for funding Ukraine continues to wane after multiple reports of graft or theft of past funds. Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy surprised many at Davos by pleading for a peace plan that had been rejected by Russia. Interestingly, Mr. Zelenskyy made no direct appeal for weapons or a new military offensive. Ukraine’s “peace formula” is a clear sign that its military is exhausted and is striving to reach a ceasefire with Russia. In fact,  Mr. Zelenskyy said that, “Peace in Ukraine means peace in Europe. It means peace in the world.”

In the other major war zone, the United States and British attacks on the Houthi rebels in Yemen continued and apparently have only degraded the Houthi rebel missile capability by approximately 15 percent. The fact that a U.S. container ship, the Gibraltar Eagle, was hit by a cruise missile last week in the Gulf of Aden is expected to escalate the conflict. The Wall Street Journal reported that the Biden administration is now planning on putting the Houthi rebels back on its terrorist list after removing them in February 2021. The Telegraph reported last week that President Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have not spoken for three weeks, so the fighting in the Middle East is essentially now every country for itself.

Iran launched a missile strike in the Kurdistan region of Iraq on what it said was the “espionage headquarters” of Israel’s Mossad intelligence service. The Financial Times reported that four people were killed and six were injured in the Iranian missile strike. Iran’s Tasnim news agency said that Iran acted “in response to the Israeli assassination of a number of commanders of the Iranian Republican Guard Corps and the resistance front.”

The Middle East is once again a tinderbox. Since the Iranian Republican Guard are in Yemen helping the Houthi rebels launch Iranian drones, Britain and the United States may kill more Iranian Republican Guard Corps with their strikes, so be prepared for further escalation in the Middle East. In the meantime, crude oil prices continue to meander higher on fears of more escalation.

Last Thursday, Pakistan conducted targeted strikes against militant hideouts in Iran that reportedly killed 20 militants. On Wednesday, Iran launched a missile against a separatist group, Jaish al-Adl, based in Pakistan’s Balochistan province. This Iranian strike killed two children and infuriated Pakistan. This response is the latest example of how the tension in the Middle East is spreading to neighboring countries.

The Wall Street Journal reported last week that China’s population declined by 2.08 million, to 1.41 billion in 2023. This is the start of a dramatic population decline that is expected to accelerate in upcoming years as China’s former “one child” policy comes back to haunt them. COVID-19 deaths in 2023 are widely perceived to have also accelerated the death rate in China last year. Although China announced that its GDP grew by 5.2 percent in 2023, its demographic challenges are expected to squelch future growth,

The big news on the climate front is that former senator John Kerry is stepping down as the climate “czar” for the Biden administration. This will put more pressure on former vice president Al Gore to keep the climate agenda in the news. At Davos, Mr. Gore is already mad at some big emerging economies (like Brazil, China, India, and Indonesia) for expanding coal for electricity in the wake of COP 28. Specifically, Mr. Gore said that, “Some of those who signed on to that pledge are now trying to claim it was optional and trying to walk it back a little bit,” and then added, “There are so many loopholes and so many tricky phrases.”

Electric vehicles (EVs) have not been getting the best press during this month’s Arctic blast that cut the range of most EVs and interfered with some of their charging stations. The EV glut at many car dealerships continues to grow, so Tesla on Wednesday announced price cuts of 4.2 percent to 9.1 percent on its Model Y in Germany. Tesla’s plant in Berlin, Germany, is closed due to supplier disruptions from the Rea Sea shipping problems, but clearly an inventory glut caused Tesla to cut prices in both China and Europe. Furthermore, Germany ended EV subsidies on Dec. 17, which caused EV sales to plunge. There is also a battery glut in China, so many EV manufacturers, led by China, are cutting EV prices.

Ford announced on Friday that it is continuing to slash production of the F-150 Lightning for the second time due to weak demand. Effective April 1, the F-150 Lightning production will be reduced to just one shift, so 1,400 employees from the second shift will be reassigned to other plants. Ford is increasing its production of Bronco and Ranger pickups, so the demand for internal combustion vehicles is strong.

The Arctic blast is also curtailing exports of liquefied natural gas, since extremely cold weather in Louisiana and Texas closed ports and reduced natural gas production. Natural gas is extremely sensitive to cold weather, so as spring arrives, natural gas prices are expected to moderate. In the meantime, record-low temperatures in Europe and the United States should keep natural gas prices high, as global cooling is great for natural gas demand!

Tyler Durden
Sun, 01/28/2024 – 08:10

Most Airplane Accidents Happen During Landing

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Most Airplane Accidents Happen During Landing

Most accidents in civil aviation occur during landing.

(we are sure there is a joke in there but it would be highly inappropriate)

Statista’s Martin Armstrong reports that data from the airline umbrella organization IATA shows that 53% of all aviation accidents that occurred between 2005 and 2023 happened during the landing process.

Landing is a complex process during which pilots have to keep a particularly close eye on instruments, radio traffic and environmental influences.

Accidents during takeoff are in second place, although they only account for 8.5 percent of accidents.

This is followed by accidents during the landing approach, during the initial climb or during the cruise flight. The data relates to flights operated by IATA members, which together account for around 94 percent of all international flights.

Infographic: Most Airplane Accidents Happen During Landing | Statista

You will find more infographics at Statista

Despite the increasing volume of headlines, aviation has, overall, become increasingly safer in recent decades.

In 2022, for example, only 43 accidents occurred out of 27.7 million flights, resulting in the deaths of 158 people.

Most air accidents take place in Africa, South America and the Middle East.

After North Asia and North America, Europe is one of the safest regions with the fewest accidents.

Tyler Durden
Sun, 01/28/2024 – 07:35

Escobar: How Yemen’s ‘Asabiyya’ Is Reshaping Geopolitics

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Escobar: How Yemen’s ‘Asabiyya’ Is Reshaping Geopolitics

Authored by Pepe Escobar via The Cradle,

The Arabic word Asabiyya, or ‘social solidarity,’ is a soundbite in the west, but taken very seriously by the globe’s new contenders China, Russia, and Iran. It is Yemen, however, that is mainstreaming the idea, by sacrificing everything for the world’s collective morality in a bid to end the genocide in Gaza.

When there is a general change of conditions,

It is as if the entire creation had changed

and the whole world been altered,

as if it were a new and repeated creation,

a world brought into existence anew.

–  Ibn Khaldun 

Yemen’s Ansarallah resistance forces have made it very clear, right from the start, that they set up a blockade in the Bab el-Mandeb and the southern Red Sea only against Israeli-owned or destined shipping vessels. Their single objective was and remains to stop the Gaza genocide perpetrated by the Israeli biblical psychopathy

As a response to a morally-based call to end a human genocide, the United States, masters of the Global War Of Terror (italics mine), predictably re-designated Yemen’s Houthis as a “terrorist organization,” launched a serial bombardment of underground Ansarallah military installations (assuming US intel know where they are), and cobbled together a mini-coalition of the willing that includes its UK, Canadian, Australian, Dutch, and Bahraini vassals.   

Without missing a beat, Yemen’s Parliament declared the US and UK governments “Global Terrorist Networks.”

Now let’s talk strategy. 

With a single move, the Yemeni resistance seized the strategic advantage by de facto controlling a key geoeconomic bottleneck: the Bab el-Mandeb. Hence, they can inflict serious trouble on sectors of global supply chains, trade, and finance. 

And Ansarallah has the potential to double down — if need be. Persian Gulf traders, off the record, have confirmed insistent chatter that Yemen may consider imposing a so-called Al-Aqsa Triangle — aptly named after the 7 October Palestinian resistance operation aimed at destroying the Israeli military’s Gaza Division and taking captives as leverage in a sweeping prisoner swap deal. 

Such a move would mean selectively blocking not only the Bab el-Mandeb and the Red Sea route to the Suez Canal, but also the Strait of Hormuz, cutting off oil and gas deliveries to Israel from Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE – although the top oil suppliers to Israel are in fact Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan. 

These Yemenis are afraid of nothing. Were they able to impose the triangle – in this case only with direct Iranian involvement — that would represent the US-assassinated Quds Force General Qassem Soleimani’s Grand Design on cosmic steroids. This plan holds the realistic potential of finally bringing down the pyramid of hundreds of trillions of dollars in derivatives — and consequently, the whole western financial system. 

And yet, even as Yemen controls the Red Sea and Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz, Al-Aqsa Triangle remains just a working hypothesis. 

Welcome to the Hegemon’s blockade

With a simple, clear strategy, the Houthis perfectly understood that the deeper they draw the strategy-deprived Americans into the West Asian geopolitical swamp, in a sort of “undeclared war” mode, the more they’re able to inflict serious pain on the global economy, which the Global South will blame on the Hegemon.   

Today, Red Sea shipping traffic has plunged in half, compared to the summer of 2023; supply chains are wobbly; ships carrying food are forced to circumnavigate Africa (and risk delivering cargo after its expiry date); predictably, inflation across the vast EU agricultural sphere (worth €70 billion) is rising fast. 

Yet, never underestimate a cornered Empire. 

Western-based insurance giants perfectly understood the rules of Ansarallah’s limited blockade: Russian and Chinese ships, for instance, have free passage in the Red Sea. Global insurers have only refused to cover US, UK, and Israeli ships — exactly as the Yemenis intended. 

So the US, predictably, changed the narrative into a big, fat lie: ‘Ansarallah is attacking the whole global economy.’ 

Washington turbo-charged sanctions (not a big deal as the Yemeni resistance uses Islamic financing); increased the bombing, and in the name of sacrosanct “freedom of navigation” – always applied selectively — placed its bets on the “international community,” including leaders of the Global South, begging for mercy, as in please keep the shipping lanes open. The goal of the new, reframed American deceit is to elbow the Global South into ditching its support for Ansarallah’s strategy. 

Pay attention to this crucial US sleight of hand: Because, from now on, in a new perverse twist of Operation Genocide Protection, it is Washington that will be blockading the Red Sea for the entire world. Washington itself, mind you, will be spared: US shipping depends on Pacific trade routes, not West Asian ones. This will ratchet up the pain on Asian customers and especially on Europe’s economy – which already took the heavies blows from Ukraine-associated Russian energy sanctions.

As Michael Hudson has interpreted it,  there is a strong possibility that the neocons in charge of US foreign policy actually want (italics mine) to have Yemen and Iran implement the Al-Aqsa Triangle: “It will be the main energy buyers in Asia, China, and other countries that are going to be hurt. And that (…) will give the United States even more power to control the oil supply of the world as a bargaining chip in trying to renegotiate this new international order.”

That, in fact, is the classic Empire of Chaos modus operandi.   

Calling attention to “our people in Gaza”

There is no solid evidence the Pentagon has the slightest clue about what its Tomahawks are hitting in Yemen. Even several hundred missiles won’t change a thing. Ansarallah, which has already endured eight years of nonstop US-UK-Saudi-Emirati firepower — and basically won — will not relent today over a few missile strikes.

Even the proverbial “unnamed officials” informed the New York Times that “locating the Houthi targets has proven more difficult than expected,” essentially because of lousy US intel on Yemeni “air defense, command centers, ammunition depots, and drone and missile storage and production facilities.” 

It’s quite enlightening to listen to how Yemeni Prime Minister Abdulaziz bin Saleh Habtoor frames Ansarallah’s Israel-blockade initiative decision as “based on humanitarian, religious and moral aspects”. He refers, crucially, to “our people in Gaza.” And the overall vision, he reminds us, “stems from the vision of the Axis of Resistance.”

It is a reference smart onlookers will recognize as General Soleimani’s ever-lasting legacy. 

With a keen historical sense — from the creation of Israel to the Suez crisis and the Vietnam war — the Yemeni prime minister recalls how “Alexander the Great reached the shores of Aden and Socotra island but was defeated (…) Invaders tried to occupy the capital of the historical state of Shebah and failed (…) How many countries throughout history have tried to occupy the west coast of Yemen and failed? Including Britain.”

It’s absolutely impossible for the west and even the Global Majority to understand the Yemeni mindset without learning a few facts from the Angel of History. 

So let’s go back to the 14th century universal history master Ibn Khaldun — the author of The Muqaddimah

Ibn Khaldun cracks the Ansarallah Code 

Ibn Khaldun’s family was a contemporary to the rise of the Arab Empire, on the move alongside the first armies of Islam in the 7th century, from the austere beauty of the Hadramawti valleys in what is now southern Yemen all the way to the Euphrates.

Ibn Khaldun, crucially, was a precursor of Kant, who offered the brilliant insight that “geography lies at the basis of history.” And he read the 12th century Andalusian philosophy master Averroes – as well as other writers exposed to Plato’s works and understood how the latter referred to the moral strength of “the first people” in the Timaeus, in 360 B.C.

Yes, this boils down to “moral strength” — for the west, a mere soundbite; for the east, an essential philosophy. Ibn Khaldun grasped how civilization began and was constantly renewed by people with natural goodness and energy; people who understood and respected the natural world, who lived light, united by blood or brought together by a shared revolutionary idea or religious drive.

Ibn Khaldun defined asabiyya as this force that binds people together. 

Like so many words in Arabic, asabiyya exhibits a range of diverse, loosely connected meanings. Arguably, the most relevant is esprit de corps, team spirit, and tribal solidarity – just as Ansarallah exhibits. 

As Ibn Khaldun demonstrates, when the power of asabiyya is fully harnessed, reaching way beyond the tribe, it becomes more powerful than the sum of its individual parts, and can become a catalyst to reshape history; to make or break Empires; to encourage civilizations; or force them to collapse. 

We are definitely living an asabiyya moment, brought about by the Yemeni resistance’s moral strength.   

Solid as a rock

Ansarallah innately understood the threat of eschatological Zionism — which happens to mirror the Christian Crusades a millennium ago. And they are virtually the only ones, in practical terms, trying to stop it. 

Now, as an extra bonus, they are exposing the plutocratic Hegemon, once again, as bombers of Yemen, the poorest Arab nation-state, where at least half the population remains “food-insecure.”    

But Ansarallah is not heavy-weapons-free like the Pashtun mujahideen who humiliated NATO in Afghanistan. 

Their anti-ship cruise missiles include the Sayyad and the Quds Z-O (range up to 800 km) and the Al Mandab 2 (range up to 300 km). 

Their anti-ship ballistic missiles include the Tankil (range of up to 500 km); the Asef (range of up to 450 km); and the Al-Bahr Al-Ahmar (range of up to 200 km). That covers the southern part of the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, but not, for instance, the islands of the Socotra archipelago. 

Accounting for roughly one-third of the country’s population, Yemen’s Houthis, who form the backbone of the Ansarallah resistance, do have their own internal agenda: gaining fair representation in governance (they launched Yemen’s Arab Spring); protecting their Zaydi (neither Shia nor Sunni) faith; fighting for the autonomy of the Saada governorate; and working for the revival of the Zaydi Imamate, which was up and running before the 1962 revolution.

Now, they are making their mark on The Big Picture. It’s no wonder Ansarallah fiercely fights the Hegemon’s vassal Arabs – especially those who signed a deal to normalize relations with Israel under the Trump administration.

The Saudi-Emirati war on Yemen, with the Hegemon “leading from behind,” was a quagmire that cost Riyadh at least $6 billion a month for seven years. It ended with a wobbly 2022 truce in a de facto Ansarallah victory. A signed peace agreement, it should be noted, has been disallowed by the US, despite Saudi efforts to seal a deal.

Now, Ansarallah is turning geopolitics and geoeconomics upside down with not just a few missiles and drones but also oceans of craftiness and strategic acumen. To invoke Chinese wisdom, picture a single rock changing the course of a stream, which then changes the course of a mighty river. 

Epigones of Diogenes can always remark, half in jest, that the Russia-China-Iran strategic partnership may have contributed with their own well-placed rocks in this path to a more equitable order. That’s the beauty of it: we may not be able to see these rocks, only the effects they cause. What we do see, though, is the Yemeni resistance, solid as a rock. 

The record shows the Hegemon, once again, reverting to auto-pilot mode: Bomb, Bomb, Bomb. And in this particular case, to bomb is to redirect the narrative from a genocide committed in real time by Israel, the Empire’s aircraft carrier in West Asia. 

Still, Ansarallah can always increase the pressure by sticking firmly to its narrative and, driven by the power of asabiyya, deliver to the Hegemon a second Afghanistan, compared to which Iraq and Syria will look like a weekend at Disneyland. 

The views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of ZeroHedge

Tyler Durden
Sun, 01/28/2024 – 07:00

We Can’t Ban Our Way To A Better World

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We Can’t Ban Our Way To A Better World

Authored by Charles Krblich via The Brownstone Institute,

Il nous faut de l’audace, encore de l’audace, toujours de l’audace!

(We need audacity, more audacity, always audacity!)

Georges Jacques Danton

Just a short time ago, on a Saturday, before a flake of snow glistened in the air on the following Sunday, an imminent weather emergency caused New York Governor Kathy Hochul to “ban travel” and postpone the Steelers-Bills super Wild Card game until the following Monday.

Certainly, severe weather is a legitimate reason to cancel or postpone events, and to stridently warn against travel during white-out conditions in a blizzard, but a travel ban?

Banning isn’t limited to travel during white-out conditions in blizzards though.

It is truly a bipartisan pastime.

Ban gas stoves; Ban gas-powered generators; Ban books; Ban misinformation; Ban fake news; Ban gender affirming care; Ban parents from being notified of gender transitions; Ban abortions; Ban the banning of abortions; Ban gasoline powered cars and trucks; Ban the unvaccinated; Ban the unmasked; Ban DEI; Ban gas boilers; Ban coal; Ban nuclear; Ban high-capacity magazines; Ban guns; Ban incandescent lightbulbs…

Those bans are just to fix all of society’s important problems, but there are presumably less important things that need banning as well. What would really help is banning honors classes to produce equity, banning youth tackle football, and even banning sledding! In Canada!

If we pass just a few more laws that ban the things we don’t like and banish the people who support them, utopia will arrive and thou-shalt-not do anything.

Maybe you agree with some of these bans and maybe you disagree with others. Certainly if you have any political leanings at all, some of these bans will find your enthusiastic support and others your passionate fury. The most difficult position to hold is that none of these things should be banned, and people should largely be free to do as they please. That position infuriates everyone!

Yet it is clear beyond any doubt that bans simply don’t work. I was a child during the “Just Say No” anti-drug campaign. Drugs were banned, and yet always available. Chicago has banned guns for years and yet has incredibly high gun violence. We banned smiles, playgrounds, and normal personal interaction for years in order to ban Covid and we still catch Covid.

Ironically, it is the rebels who pay no attention to the bans that are often celebrated by history. This is true both in real life and in fictional epics familiar to everyone.

In real life, the Russian Samizdat reproduced, often by hand, great works of literature like Doctor Zhivago and The Gulag Archipelago. Much of their work was producing political texts and personal statements – editorials – that often criticized the Soviet Government and offered alternative solutions to the government’s handling of events. The members of the Samizdat faced severe punishment involving torture and death if they were caught, and we celebrate their courage today.

Fictionally, we celebrate the scrappy rebels in the Star Wars franchise, we root for Neo to win back humanity’s freedom from the scourge of the machines in the Matrix franchise, and we feel the passion and duty of Atticus Finch as he does the unthinkable in his society and defends a black man accused of raping a white woman because it’s the right thing to do.

There are so many more examples, but what is important is that in each example there are laws – either written or unwritten – that are being broken in service of true liberalism. In the Samizdat example, there are often steep personal costs paid, but the delusions of the Soviet state eventually faded and the members of the Samizdat became celebrated heroes rather than vicious criminals spreading misinformation.

In each of the stories there is inevitably a society, culture, or villain that is unbearably cruel and filled with hypocrisy and judgment. Whereas the villain wants complete control, abject anarchy, or the banishment of all non-conformers, the heroes always have the strength to follow their own conscience.

Isn’t this the world we live in? Both sides see themselves as the heroes resisting the unbearable cruelty and hypocrisy of the other. To quote Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau:

They don’t believe in science/progress and are very often misogynistic and racist. It’s a very small group of people, but that doesn’t shy away from the fact that they take up some space.

This leads us, as a leader and as a country, to make a choice: Do we tolerate these people?

What are the means and methods for not tolerating someone? Banishment is, of course, one of them, and thus bank accounts were frozendisabled grandmothers assaulted, and rebel ringleaders jailed. The state does not need Gulags if on one hand they can approve of some riots but use unapproved protests to turn off your ability to bank, transact, work, and live with the flip of a switch.

The last few years have taught us how fast a person can be turned into swine and banished without remorse.

This moral dilemma is highlighted in one of the allegedly “banned” books. “Banned” because it has racist language, yet still freely available in every book store and on Amazon, there is a character who is a strict disciplinarian who often chastises the main character for his recklessness. She is on a mission to ban his audacity and wildness. She desires to “civilize” him.

That is ultimately what banning is trying to bring about: one’s idea of proper civilization.

Yet civilization thrives in the cracks and margins, in the collective behavior of individuals striving to live the lives they desire despite their circumstances. The Samizdat copied the great literature because it was worthwhile, and in our “banned” book, our main character discovers his friend has been betrayed and will be returned to slavery if our character stands by idly.

So Huck Finn, who values his own sense of freedom more than anything, does what we all should do in the face of the “civilizers:” drop our pretenses and say, “All right, then, I’ll go to hell.”

In doing so, he follows his gut instincts and makes one of the most important moral decisions of his life. Maybe, if we follow that example, we wouldn’t be so concerned with fixing society by banning things like sledding, and would in turn find the lost joy that lives in untamed audacity and recklessness.

*  *  *

Republished from the author’s Substack

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/27/2024 – 23:20

Mapping The Median Age In Each US State

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Mapping The Median Age In Each US State

In 2022, the median age for the United States as a whole was 39 years, but the median age by state has a lot more variance.

Some states have more work or school available for younger workforces and families. Others have better work or retirement support for older populations, or are struggling to attract families.

Visual Capitalist’s Nick Routley maps the median age of each U.S. state using the latest 2022 data available from the U.S. Census Bureau as compiled by StatsAmerica.

Ranking The Oldest U.S. States by Median Age

Overall, Maine had the highest median age by state in 2022 at 45 years old. That puts it on the higher end and in line with countries like Italy and Greece.

Here are all states and Washington D.C. ordered from the oldest to youngest by median age:

Rank State Median Age (2022)
1 Maine 45
2 New Hampshire 43
3 Vermont 43
4 West Virginia 43
5 Florida 43
6 Delaware 42
7 Connecticut 41
7 Pennsylvania 41
9 Hawaii 41
10 Rhode Island 41
11 Wisconsin 40
12 New Jersey 40
12 Oregon 40
12 South Carolina 40
15 Michigan 40
15 Montana 40
17 Massachusetts 40
18 New York 40
19 Ohio 40
20 Maryland 40
21 Alabama 39
21 Kentucky 39
23 Illinois 39
23 Missouri 39
23 North Carolina 39
23 Wyoming 39
27 Tennessee 39
28 New Mexico 39
28 Virginia 39
30 Minnesota 39
30 Nevada 39
32 Iowa 39
33 Arizona 39
34 Arkansas 39
35 Mississippi 39
36 Washington 38
37 Indiana 38
38 Louisiana 38
39 South Dakota 38
40 California 38
41 Colorado 38
42 Georgia 38
42 Kansas 38
44 Idaho 37
44 Nebraska 37
46 Oklahoma 37
47 Alaska 36
47 North Dakota 36
49 Texas 36
50 District of Columbia (D.C.) 35
51 Utah 32

Overall we can see that Northeast states have the highest median ages, along with West Virginia and Florida.

On the flip side, Utah (32 years) and Washington D.C. (35 years) were the youngest American states or jurisdictions by median age. Utah’s is closer in line to the global average, which was 31 years of age in 2020 according to UN estimates.

Zooming in, most states see significant differences at the county level, with cities, colleges, and natural resource sites generally lowering the median age in a county.

For example, the energy industry attracted a significant number of younger workers to North Dakota, Texas, and Alaska. Meanwhile, the rapid growth of retirement communities in Florida’s Sumter County gives it the nation’s highest median age at 68 years old.

Tyler Durden
Sat, 01/27/2024 – 22:45