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Von Greyerz & Macleod: Insights On The Rotten State Of The Banking System

Von Greyerz & Macleod: Insights On The Rotten State Of The Banking System

In this discussion between Egon von Greyerz and Alasdair Macleod, on the state of the current banking system and the importance of gold, the speakers express concerns about the system’s eventual collapse due to the excessive creation of “funny money.”

They suggest that gold is the only currency to have survived throughout history and is thus essential for long-term wealth preservation.

Egon and Alasdair also discuss the role of gold in the currency crisis and predict an eventual panic into gold.

Moreover, they stress that the value of gold should not be measured in worthless, fiat money and that higher gold prices are necessary to meet future demand.

Finally, they caution against wishing for the gold price to go up, as it would decrease the quality of life.

Watch the full interview below:

Timestamps:

  • 0:00 Introductions

  • 0:42 This weeks news – Banking collapse

  • 2:32 Derivatives

  • 3:07 What’s keeping the gold price high?

  • 12:10 Property rights

  • 13:30 What role does gold play

  • 19:57 Gold price

  • 22:44 Influx of wealth preservation

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 20:25

IEA Lift Global Oil Growth Forecast On Record Chinese Demand

IEA Lift Global Oil Growth Forecast On Record Chinese Demand

By Tsvetana Paraskova of OilPrice.com

The world’s oil demand is set to rise by 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) this year to a record 102 million bpd, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday, revising up its forecast by 200,000 bpd as China’s demand hit a record.

The Chinese recovery continues to exceed expectations, the agency said in its Oil Market Report today, noting that China set an all-time record for its oil consumption in March 2023 at 16 million bpd.  

In last month’s report, the IEA also expected the world to see record demand for oil this year but pegged the growth at 2 million bpd in 2023 compared to last year.

Demand in the developed economies in the OECD, which was weak in the first quarter of this year, is expected to return to growth this quarter, and demand growth in OECD is set to average 350,000 bpd this year. But this small increase “pales in comparison” with an expected growth of 1.9 million bpd in non-OECD oil demand, the IEA said.

The current pessimistic mood on the market, due to macroeconomic concerns, clashes with expectations of a tight market later this year, when demand is set to outstrip supply by almost 2 million bpd, the agency added.

Global observed oil inventories declined in March, also setting the stage for a tighter market later in 2023. Per IEA estimates, those inventories fell by 7.9 million barrels in March as a surge in oil on water and a slight increase in non-OECD stocks failed to offset a massive decline of 56 million barrels in the OECD.

“Led by a sharp draw in products, OECD industry stocks fell to a six-month low of 2 753 mb to 89 mb below their five-year average,” the IEA said.

Supply issues have compounded in recent weeks, with the halt of oil exports from Kurdistan, outages in Nigeria, and wildfires shutting in part of Canadian output. These would add to the new OPEC+ oil production cuts, which began this month and will continue until December.  

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 18:45

Wagner Chief Says American Killed Fighting In Bakhmut

Wagner Chief Says American Killed Fighting In Bakhmut

The controversial founder and head of Russia’s Wagner mercenary firm, Yevgeny Prigozhin, has on Tuesday announced the death of an American citizen who allegedly was killed fighting in the embattled city of Bakhmut, in Donetsk oblast. 

He made the claim in a video posted on the Wagner Telegram group. The video is introduced with another narrator saying, “we are advancing to the advanced positions of the PMC Wagner in the western regions of Artyomovsk [Bakhmut]”.

Image source: The Christian Science Monitor

The video continues with an apparent mortar attack, and with men shouting: “Into the shelter. Mortar attacks from the western side.” Prigozhin is then seen inspecting a body, looking at what are purported to be US identification documents.

So we will hand him over to the United States of America, we’ll put him in a coffin, cover him with the American flag with respect because he did not die in his bed as a grandpa but he died at war and most likely a worthy [death], right?” Prigozhin says in the video.

The video presents the man as having died while returning fire against Russian forces. “He was shooting back; he died in the battle, so we will hand over his documents tomorrow morning and pack everything, right?” Prigozhin poses.

The State Department hours after the Wagner claims hit global headlines weighed in by saying it is “aware” of the reports and is looking into the matter:

“We are aware of the reports of the death of a U.S. citizen in Bakhmut and are seeking additional information,” said a US State Dept. spokesperson. “Our ability to verify reports of deaths of U.S. citizens in Ukraine is extremely limited.”

So far at least 12 Americans have been verified killed while fighting in Ukraine. In January the death of Daniel Swift was widely reported, given he was a former US Navy SEAL. And more recently, “Earlier this month, a former Marine was killed in Bakhmut after he was hit with a mortar round on a route used to resupply Ukrainian troops and evacuate civilians,” The Hill has noted.

There are unconfirmed reports that the man was former US Army…

While the US has never actively encouraged US citizens to go to Ukraine to join the country’s foreign legion and other volunteer forces, it did nothing to block or prevent what was an early, robust social media campaign to attract American volunteers to join the fight. Early in the conflict, UK leadership actually seemed to actively encourage it. 

But volunteers going to Ukraine have greatly slowed compared to the opening months of the war, and at a moment of initial waves of enthusiasm in support of Ukraine coming generally from Western populations. 

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 18:25

Escobar: US Empire Of Debt Headed For Collapse

Escobar: US Empire Of Debt Headed For Collapse

Authored by Pepe Escobar,

Prof. Michael Hudson’s new book, The Collapse of Antiquity: Greece and Rome as Civilization’s Oligarchic Turning Point” is a seminal event in this Year of Living Dangerously when, to paraphrase Gramsci, the old geopolitical and geoeconomic order is dying and the new one is being born at breakneck speed.

Prof. Hudson’s main thesis is absolutely devastating: he sets out to prove that economic/financial practices in Ancient Greece and Rome – the pillars of Western Civilization – set the stage for what is happening today right in front of our eyes: an empire reduced to a rentier economy, collapsing from within.

And that brings us to the common denominator in every single Western financial system: it’s all about debt, inevitably growing by compound interest.

Ay, there’s the rub: before Greece and Rome, we had nearly 3,000 years of civilizations across West Asia doing exactly the opposite.

These kingdoms all knew about the importance of canceling debts. Otherwise their subjects would fall into bondage; lose their land to a bunch of foreclosing creditors; and these would usually try to overthrow the ruling power.

Aristotle succinctly framed it: “Under democracy, creditors begin to make loans and the debtors can’t pay and the creditors get more and more money, and they end up turning a democracy into an oligarchy, and then the oligarchy makes itself hereditary, and you have an aristocracy.”

Prof. Hudson sharply explains what happens when creditors take over and “reduce all the rest of the economy to bondage”: it’s what’s called today “austerity” or “debt deflation”.

So “what’s happening in the banking crisis today is that debts grow faster than the economy can pay. And so when the interest rates finally began to be raised by the Federal Reserve, this caused a crisis for the banks.”

Prof. Hudson also proposes an expanded formulation: “The emergence of financial and landholding oligarchies made debt peonage and bondage permanent, supported by a pro-creditor legal and social philosophy that distinguishes Western civilization from what went before. Today it would be called neoliberalism.”

Then he sets out to explain, in excruciating detail, how this state of affairs was solidified in Antiquity in the course of over 5 centuries. One can hear the contemporary echoes of “violent suppression of popular revolts” and “targeted assassination of leaders” seeking to cancel debts and “redistribute land to smallholders who have lost it to large landowners”.

The verdict is merciless: “What impoverished the population of the Roman Empire” bequeathed a “creditor-based body of legal principles to the modern world”.

Predatory oligarchies and “Oriental Despotism”

Prof Hudson develops a devastating critique of the “social darwinist philosophy of economic determinism”: a “self-congratulatory perspective” has led to “today’s institutions of individualism and security of credit and property contracts (favoring creditor claims over debtors, and landlord rights over those of tenants) being traced back to classical antiquity as “positive evolutionary developments, moving civilization away from ‘Oriental Despotism’”.

All that is a myth. Reality was a completely different story, with Rome’s extremely predatory oligarchies waging “five centuries of war to deprive populations of liberty, blocking popular opposition to harsh pro-creditor laws and the monopolization of the land into latifundia estates”.

So Rome in fact behaved very much like a “failed state”, with “generals, governors, tax collectors, moneylenders and carpet beggars” squeezing out silver and gold “in the form of military loot, tribute and usury from Asia Minor, Greece and Egypt.” And yet this Roman wasteland approach has been lavishly depicted in the modern West as bringing a French-style mission civilisatrice to the barbarians – while carrying the proverbial white man’s burden.

Prof. Hudson shows how Greek and Roman economies actually “ended in austerity and collapsed after having privatized credit and land in the hands of rentier oligarchies”. Does that ring a – contemporary – bell?

Arguably the central nexus of his argument is here:

“Rome’s law of contracts established the fundamental principle of Western legal philosophy giving creditor claims priority over the property of debtors – euphemized today as ‘security of property rights’. Public expenditure on social welfare was minimized – what today’s political ideology calls leaving matters to ‘the market’. It was a market that kept citizens of Rome and its Empire dependent for basic needs on wealthy patrons and moneylenders – and for bread and circuses, on the public dole and on games paid for by political candidates, who often themselves borrowed from wealthy oligarchs to finance their campaigns.”

Any similarity with the current system led by the Hegemon is not mere coincidence. Hudson: “These pro-rentier ideas, policies and principles are those that today’s Westernized world is following. That is what makes Roman history so relevant to today’s economies suffering similar economic and political strains.”

Prof. Hudson reminds us that Rome’s own historians – Livy, Sallust, Appian, Plutarch, Dionysius of Halicarnassus, among others – “emphasized the subjugation of citizens to debt bondage”. Even the Delphic Oracle in Greece, as well as poets and philosophers, warned against creditor greed. Socrates and the Stoics warned that “wealth addiction and its money-love was the major threat to social harmony and hence to society.”

And that brings us to how this criticism was completely expunged from Western historiography. “Very few classicists”, Hudson notes, follow Rome’s own historians describing how these debt struggles and land grabs were “mainly responsible for the Republic’s Decline and Fall.”

Hudson also reminds us that the barbarians were always at the gate of the Empire: Rome, in fact, was “weakened from within”, by “century after century of oligarchic excess.”

So this is the lesson we should all draw from Greece and Rome: creditor oligarchies “seek to monopolize income and land in predatory ways and bring prosperity and growth to a halt.” Plutarch was already into it: “The greed of creditors brings neither enjoyment nor profit to them, and ruins those whom they wrong. They do not till the fields which they take from their debtors, nor do they live in their houses after evicting them.”

Beware of pleonexia

It would be impossible to fully examine so many precious as jade offerings constantly enriching the main narrative. Here are just a few nuggets (And there will be more: Prof. Hudson told me, “I’m working on the sequel now, picking up with the Crusades.”)

Prof. Hudson reminds us how money matters, debt and interest came to the Aegean and Mediterranean from West Asia, by traders from Syria and the Levant, around 8th century B.C. But “with no tradition of debt cancellation and land redistribution to restrain personal wealth seeking, Greek and Italian chieftains, warlords and what some classicists have called mafiosi [ by the way, Northern European scholars, not Italians) imposed absentee land ownership over dependent labor.”

This economic polarization kept constantly worsening. Solon did cancel debts in Athens in the late 6th century – but there was no land redistribution. Athens’ monetary reserves came mainly from silver mines – which built the navy that defeated the Persians at Salamis. Pericles may have boosted democracy, but the eventful defeat facing Sparta in the Peloponnesian War (431-404 B.C.) opened the gates to a heavy debt-addicted oligarchy.

All of us who studied Plato and Aristotle in college may remember how they framed the whole problem in the context of pleonexia (“wealth addiction”) – which inevitably leads to predatory and “socially injurious” practices. In Plato’s Republic, Socrates proposes that only non-wealthy managers should be appointed to govern society – so they would not be hostages of hubris and greed.

The problem with Rome is that no written narratives survived. The standard stories were written only after the Republic had collapsed. The Second Punic War against Carthage (218-201 B.C.) is particularly intriguing, considering its contemporary Pentagon overtones: Prof. Hudson reminds us how military contractors engaged in large-scale fraud and fiercely blocked the Senate from prosecuting them.

Prof. Hudson shows how that “also became an occasion for endowing the wealthiest families with public land when the Rome state treated their ostensibly patriotic donations of jewelry and money to aid the war effort as retroactive public debts subject to repayment”.

After Rome defeated Carthage, the glitzy set wanted their money back. But the only asset left to the state was land in Campania, south of Rome. The wealthy families lobbied the Senate and gobbled up the whole lot.

With Caesar, that was the last chance for the working classes to get a fair deal. In the first half of the 1st century B.C. he did sponsor a bankruptcy law, writing down debts. But there was no widespread debt cancellation. Caesar being so moderate did not prevent the Senate oligarchs from whacking him, “fearing that he might use his popularity to ‘seek kingship’” and go for way more popular reforms.

After Octavian’s triumph and his designation by the Senate as Princeps and Augustus in 27 B.C., the Senate became just a ceremonial elite. Prof Hudson summarizes it in one sentence: “The Western Empire fell apart when there was no more land for the taking and no more monetary bullion to loot.” Once again, one should feel free to draw parallels with the current plight of the Hegemon.

Time to “uplift all labor”

In one of our immensely engaging email exchanges, Prof. Hudson remarked how he “immediately had a thought” on a parallel to 1848. I wrote in the Russian business paper Vedomosti: “After all, that turned out to be a limited bourgeois revolution. It was against the rentier landlord class and bankers – but was as yet a far cry from being pro-labor. The great revolutionary act of industrial capitalism was indeed to free economies from the feudal legacy of absentee landlordship and predatory banking — but it too fell back as the rentier classes made a comeback under finance capitalism.”

And that brings us to what he considers “the great test for today’s split”: “Whether it is merely for countries to free themselves from US/NATO control of their natural resources and infrastructure — which can be done by taxing natural-resource rent (thereby taxing away the capital flight by foreign investors who have privatized their natural resources). The great test will be whether countries in the new Global Majority will seek to uplift all labor, as China’s socialism is aiming to do.”

It’s no wonder “socialism with Chinese characteristics” spooks the Hegemon creditor oligarchy to the point they are even risking a Hot War. What’s certain is that the road to Sovereignty, across the Global South, will have to be revolutionary: “Independence from U.S. control is the Westphalian reforms of 1648 — the doctrine of non-interference in the affairs of other states. A rent tax is a key element of independence — the 1848 tax reforms. How soon will the modern 1917 take place?”

Let Plato and Aristotle weigh in: as soon as humanly possible.

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 18:05

Murdered Cash-App Founder Was Attending Underground Sex, Drug Parties With Sister Of Alleged Killer

Murdered Cash-App Founder Was Attending Underground Sex, Drug Parties With Sister Of Alleged Killer

Murdered Cash App founder Bob Lee – who was found staggering around a San Francisco neighborhood at 2:30 a.m. April 4th after being stabbed – allegedly frequented underground sex and drug parties with the sister of his accused killer.

While initial reports suggested that Lee was a random victim, his friends say it was the result of his wild lifestyle among the upper echelon of Bay Area elites in which cocaine and swinging are common, the Wall Street Journal reports.

In certain wealthy tech circles it is known as “The Lifestyle,” an underground party scene featuring recreational drug use and casual sex.

A successful tech executive named Bob Lee liked to hang out with that crowd, according to people who also participated. So, too, did Khazar Momeni, the wife of a prominent plastic surgeon, these people said.

On the afternoon of April 3, a Monday, the partying took a dark turn. According to San Francisco prosecutors, Ms. Momeni’s older brother confronted Mr. Lee about her. Was she taking drugs or doing anything inappropriate, he wanted to know. Hours later the brother, Nima Momeni, stabbed Mr. Lee with a kitchen knife and left him to bleed out in the street, prosecutors alleged. Mr. Momeni, who was arrested on suspicion of murder, is being held without bail. He plans to plead not guilty, his attorney said. -WSJ

According to an autopsy report from the San Francisco Office of the Chief Medical Examiner, Lee had cocaine and ketamine in his system when he died. According to court documents, Khazar texted Lee around the time of his murder to check oh him.

Results of Bob Lee’s toxicology report from the office of the chief medical examiner in San Francisco. Photo: Photo illustration: WSJ; Photos: San Francisco Chief Medical Examiner, istock (2)

“Just wanted to make sure you’re doing ok Cause I know Nima came wayyyyyy down hard on you,” she wrote. “And thank you for being such a class manhandling it with class. Love you Selfish pricks.”

Nima Momeni, the accused killer, wasn’t seen as part of the elite crowd, but he did use drugs according to the report. According to investigators, Lee and Ms. Momeni were casually sleeping together. Three years prior, Lee had been sleeping with a different woman that his accused killer had been dating, friends say. 

Nima Momeni, the man charged in the fatal stabbing of Bob Lee, makes his way into the courtroom. Photo: Gabrielle Lurie/Pool San Francisco Chronicle/Associated Press

“There are many rumors circulating around this case, many of them untrue,” said Ms. Momeni’s attorneys. “Ms. Momeni loves and supports her brother. What happened here is a tragedy, and Ms. Momeni is deeply saddened at the suffering of the Lee family as they deal with their terrible loss.”

Khazar Momeni and her husband, Dr. Dino Elyassnia, attend a court appearance by her brother Nima Momeni in San Francisco on April 14. Photo: Justin Katigbak

According to Dana Wagner, a friend of Lee’s and former general counsel of Square, said that Lee was hung out with many different crowds, and that he “saw the best in everyone.”

“He was also hanging out with people who weren’t great people, and that was part of what happened in the end,” she said, who says he didn’t know the Momenis, adding “There are a lot of swingers, cheaters and liars in that crowd.”

On top of the casual drug use, Lee allegedly slept with multiple women at the parties, including Kazar.

Friends say Lee was passionate about the tech industry and extremely generous – buying his friends meals, Ubers, trips to Mexico, and even bought a girlfriend a Tesla.

Mr. Lee with Gift Kerati in Mexico and with Dana Wagner at a stadium in California. Gift Kerati; Dana Wagner

To some, “The Lifestyle” is narrowly focused to describe people who might engage in various sexual activities with different partners. In San Francisco, it is used more loosely to describe an underground party scene that has evolved since the city’s early days as an incubator of the countercultural movement. 

It started with the hippies, who were not sober people, trying to expand their brains and the tech people came in and gentrified it like they did everything else,” said Mr. Reed of General Galactic. -WSJ

According to Lee’s friend, Dana Wagner, “Bob was the dumbest smart person I knew.”

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 17:45

Debt Ceiling Brinksmanship And The Necessity For Spending Reforms

Debt Ceiling Brinksmanship And The Necessity For Spending Reforms

By Adam Andrzejewski, author of Open the Books substack,

Testimony by: Adam Andrzejewski
CEO & founder, OpenTheBooks.com
United States Senate Committee On Small Business & Entrepreneurship
Tuesday, May 16, 2023

NOTE: The United States Senate Committee On Small Business & Entrepreneurship hearing was canceled. However, our prepared remarks are published here to educate the American people and inform the debate.

Mr. Chairman. Madame Ranking Member. Distinguished Committee Members & Guests.

Transparency is transformational. It revolutionizes public policy. We are a non-partisan, non-profit organization. Last year, we filed 55,000 FOIA requests. We successfully captured $8 trillion – nearly every dime spent by Federal, State and local governments.

We do this so the American people can follow the money and root out waste, fraud, corruption and taxpayer abuse. Here’s why that effort is important:

In 1997, my brother and I started a publishing business from scratch. Over 10 years it grew into a $20M company with 150 employees. However, in year three, we hit $1 million in sales – and ran out of cash. But for another dime’s worth of extra taxes, regulations, and fees, we would have gone out of business.

Twenty-three years later that company employs over 300 people across 23 states.

When you hike taxes or increase red tape, you crush small businesses – and the American Dream. 

All of us know the U.S. cannot default. So, The Big Question today is whether the debt ceiling will be raised – without instituting Meaningful Spending Reforms.

Giving Congress another blank check would be yet another mistake.

Here are The Three Keys To Understanding Federal Spending:

1. Government Is Distressingly Incompetent;

2. Insiders Routinely Rig The System And Then Game It; and

3. Criminals Have Gone Wild.

Did you know… 17 large federal agencies just admitted to $247 billion in Improper and Mistaken Payments. They paid the wrong person, the wrong amount, or under the wrong set of rules: That’s a quarter trillion dollars last year and distressing incompetence.

That misfeasance within the 17 largest federal agencies cost every man, woman, and child $818 last year. Therefore, it cost a family of four $3,200 – equivalent to two average mortgage payments!

You might not believe that Insiders Rig And Then Game The System, but consider just two quick examples:

  1. Last week, we published an audit showing the top 20 U.S. non-profit hospitals racked up $124 billion in pandemic profits while pocketing $23 billion in congressional Covid-aid. Their net assets soared from $200 billion (2018) to $324 billion (2021).

  2. Last December, we published an audit showing that BigLaw and Big Accounting firms took up to $10M each in forgiven PPP loans: In fact, 126 of the top 300 largest law firms and 236 of the largest 300 accounting firms pocketed $1.4 billion!

And The Criminals Have Gone Wild.

We have estimates that criminals, con-artists, and crime syndicates from around the world stole up to $400 billion – half of all unemployment aid. It’s the largest public fraud in American history.

So, we’ve just come through a period where nearly every federal program was either LEGALLY or ILLEGALLY looted.

THEREFORE, it ought to be a heavy lift to ask the hard-working American people to pay even more taxes; and then intimidate the American people by staffing up and arming up the tax collection agency.

YET, that’s what is happening.

In 2022, the Internal Revenue Service disclosed 85,000 employees. Now, Congress has allowed the Biden Administration to add 87,000 more employees – doubling the workforce.

Currently, there are 2,100 IRS Special Agents with arrest and firearm authority who must be willing to “use deadly force.”

In April, we published an audit showing, just since the pandemic, the IRS has purchased $10 million of guns, ammunition and military-style equipment for its special agents including nearly $1 million on AR-15 Smith & Wesson rifles and Beretta shotguns. These purchases add to the IRS existing gun locker of 4,500 weapons. 

The IRS is not going to war. So, just who is the enemy? Who is the IRS preparing to battle?

Summary: 

President Obama’s Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Michael Mullen stated “the most significant threat to national security is our debt.” We are losing that war.

Tax revenues are at an all-time high, but spending is even greater.

In 2001, our national debt was $5.8 trillion. Today it’s pushing $32 trillion. Bush, Obama, Trump, and Biden. 22 years. 6X increase.

Both parties.

Ultimately someone has to pay the bills. It’s us.

That’s why it’s time to cap spending.

We must end the incompetence, the gaming and the criminality that accompany the reckless use of other people’s money.

Thank you.

ADDITIONAL READING

$350 Billion Bailed Out States And Local Government In American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) — Here Are The Details | By Adam Andrzejewski | Forbes | March 03, 2021

Los Angeles County, CA received $1.9 billion in ARPA funds. It’s so much money they pay their lifeguards up to $510,000! | By Adam Andrzejewski | OpenTheBooks.Substack.com | May 31, 2022

U.S. Sen. Tom Coburn’s Legacy — $552 Billion In Savings By Eliminating 1,299 Duplicative Federal Programs | Government Accountability Office (GOA) | May 11, 2022

Stop The Use It Or Lose It Year-end Spending Spree (Sen. Joni Ernst bill) | By Adam Andrzejewski | Forbes | October 30, 2021

End Improper Payments in the Largest Federal Programs — The 20 Largest Federal Agencies Admitted $2.3 Trillion In Improper Payments Since 2004 | By Adam Andrzejewski | Forbes | December 03, 2020

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 17:25

Russia Says It Took Out US-Supplied Patriot Missile In Hypersonic Strike On Kiev

Russia Says It Took Out US-Supplied Patriot Missile In Hypersonic Strike On Kiev

Russia’s military may have taken out a US-supplied Patriot anti-air battery in Ukraine, which if true would be a very significant first since the advanced Raytheon-made defense weapon was deployed there.

This came as Ukrainian officials have cited an exceptionally dense attack on Kyiv overnight, which included cruise missiles and drones, and even allegedly Kinzhal hypersonic missiles. Ukraine was hit by at least 18 missiles and nine drones were sent, with media reports saying some six ballistic missiles (including Kinzhal) were launched. But the Ukrainians are claiming that most or all of them were intercepted.

Overnight major attack on Ukrainian capital, via Reuters.

Serhiy Popko, the head of the Kyiv city military administration, described the barrage as “exceptional in its density, with the maximum number of missiles in the shortest time possible,” but that “the vast majority of enemy targets in Kyiv’s airspace were detected and destroyed.” Ukraine is now saying it successfully intercepted multiple hypersonic missiles. A previous claim to have intercepted a hypersonic from days ago was met with widespread skepticism among independent pundits. 

The Russian Defense Ministry (MoD) has previously dismissed the Ukrainian claims of hypersonic intercepts as “wishful thinking.”

But the Russian side is celebrating a big victory of its own on Tuesday, saying it landed a precision strike a Patriot air defense system in the Ukrainian capital. The US-supplied systems only arrived last month, and just recently entered operation.

The MoD said in its latest press briefing that its attacks destroyed “Ukrainian troops positions and places of storage of munitions, weapons and military hardware delivered from Western nations.”

Russia’s RT followed by stating the following

A precision strike by a Russian hypersonic Kinzhal missile has destroyed a Patriot air defense system in Kiev, the Defense Ministry in Moscow reported on Tuesday. The Ukrainian government previously claimed that Kinzhal missiles had been intercepted by the US-made weapons platform.

The Russian military did not provide further details about the strike, which was the first time Moscow claimed to have hit the long-range system supplied to Ukraine by its Western backers.

Currently there’s speculation over whether a widely circulating video confirms the destruction of a Patriot battery amid the conflicting Russian and Ukrainian claims.

Geopolitical analysis blog Moon of Alabama says the reports of a destroyed Patriot system are accurate:

This is factual:

Patriot Missiles Won’t Save Ukraine – National Interest – May 9, 2023

Patriot systems are limited to pinpoint defense of major assets and are designed to operate in tandem with air defenses engaging targets at higher and lower altitudes. Without these additions, Patriot will have too many threats to engage and the result will either be porous coverage that doesn’t protect its defended assets, or coverage that quickly subsides when Patriot runs out of interceptors.

Moreover, Patriot systems are themselves vulnerable. Operating a Patriot radar system gives away its location, making it an open target for Russian attacks. This means that Patriot is not a one-stop-shop for defending Ukraine’s military assets or its people.

Those facts were proven last night

Commenting on the video of the purported Russian direct hit on the Patriot battery, Kim Dotcom wrote on Twitter, “30 US Patriot PAC-3 MSE launch at a cost of $5 million per missile. That’s $150 million gone within 2 mins. At the end the Patriot launch platforms were destroyed by Russian missiles. Why would any military still want to buy Patriot after this failure?” 

For these reasons, the Pentagon is unlikely to confirm the event even if true, given it consistently and almost exclusively backs the narrative advanced by Ukraine’s defense ministry. For example, last Thursday US defense officials announced confirmation of Ukraine’s claims that its military intercepted an inbound Russian hypersonic missile utilizing the Patriot system. That was the first time of the war that the Ukrainian side claimed to have accomplished the feat. The Kremlin has rejected this narrative, saying its hypersonic missiles have yet to be defeated.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainians are still claiming they shot down six entire Kinzhal hypersonic missiles in a single night, which seems dubious given the projectiles travel at multiple times to the speed of sound and have been touted since their development as “impossible” to defend against.

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 14:55

FBI Responds To Durham Report, Acknowledges ‘Missteps’

FBI Responds To Durham Report, Acknowledges ‘Missteps’

Authored by Gary Bai via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) responded to Special Counsel John Durham’s report on Monday by acknowledging mistakes in its 2016-2017 investigation of the Trump campaign and noting that the agency had rolled out reforms in response to the mistakes.

FBI Director Christopher Wray speaks during a press conference to announce an international ransomware enforcement action, at the Justice Department in Washington, on Jan. 26, 2023. (Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)

The conduct in 2016 and 2017 that Special Counsel Durham examined was the reason that current FBI leadership already implemented dozens of corrective actions, which have now been in place for some time,” the FBI wrote in a statement published hours after the Department of Justice (DOJ) published the Durham report (pdf) on its website on Monday.

Had those reforms been in place in 2016, the missteps identified in the report could have been prevented.

“This report reinforces the importance of ensuring the FBI continues to do its work with the rigor, objectivity, and professionalism the American people deserve and rightly expect,” the FBI wrote in acknowledging the findings of Durham’s report.

In his report, the special counsel found flaws in the FBI’s decision to surveil the Trump campaign ahead of the 2016 presidential election, from July 2016 to May 2017, in an investigation codenamed Crossfire Hurricane over alleged collusion between the Trump campaign and Russian entities.

Durham indicated that what caused the FBI to break its own rules in pursuing this unjustified surveillance included agency personnel’s confirmation bias against then-Republican candidate Donald Trump, over-reliance on information provided by Trump’s political opponents, and a lack of attention to accuracy and completeness in pursuing surveillance measures.

Durham recommended that the FBI can take potential reforms to improve sourcing practices, and put checks and balances on potential bias in agency personnel.

Special counsel John Durham arrives at federal court in Washington on May 18, 2022. (Teng Chen/The Epoch Times)

In response to a press inquiry, the FBI sent to The Epoch Times a letter (pdf) that it wrote to Durham in response to the special counsel’s report.

In that letter, the FBI agreed with the flaws identified in Durham’s report and detailed the steps the agency has taken, under Director Christopher Wray, to “identify shortcomings” and prevent similar incidences going forward.

These include reforms recommended by the Office of the Inspector General (OIG), an oversight body for the Department of Justice (DOJ), in following a probe into Crossfire Hurricane in 2019 (pdf). Both the Durham Report and the FBI’s response acknowledged that the FBI had taken steps to address the concerns in the OIG report.

According to the FBI’s letter, these improvements included: installing more rigorous requirements for applying for surveillance, requiring personnel training for surveillance applications, updating agency guidelines on vetting confidential human resources, requiring additional approval for opening “sensitive” investigative measures, and expanding its internal oversight and auditing programs.

The FBI added that the questionable conduct uncovered in Durham’s report occurred under the previous leadership and that “all senior executives overseeing the Crossfire Hurricane investigation have left the FBI as a result of termination, resignation, retirement.”

(L–R) Former FBI agent Peter Strzok; former FBI Director James Comey; and former FBI Deputy Director Andrew McCabe. (Getty Images/Illustration by Epoch Times)

Durham was tasked in 2019 with reviewing the 2016–17 FBI investigation of alleged nefarious ties between candidate and later President Donald Trump and Russia. In October 2020, then-Attorney General William Barr appointed Durham as a special counsel on the investigation, which, after three years, led to Monday’s report.

Read more here…

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 14:25

Ukraine Officially Joins NATO Cyber Defense Center, Inching Toward Full Membership

Ukraine Officially Joins NATO Cyber Defense Center, Inching Toward Full Membership

Ukraine has formally become a member of NATO Cyber Defense, as but the latest example of member nations seeking to bring the country along toward eventual full NATO membership.

The flag of Ukraine has been officially raised at the headquarters of the Joint Center for Advanced Technologies for NATO Cyber Defense in Tallinn (Estonia), the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine reports,” Interfax reports Tuesday.

Ukraine’s flag raised at NATO Cyber Center

A message posted by Ukraine’s ministry of foreign affairs said, “Today the National Flag of Ukraine is officially raised at the Headquarters of the NATO Cooperative Cyber Defense Centre of Excellence in Tallinn, marking official accession of Ukraine to the CCDCOE.”

It went on to thank the Western nation which sponsored Ukraine’s track to membership in the organization, as well as the government of Estonia which hosts the CCDCOE headquarters.

It was over a year ago that 27 NATO member states first agreed to bestow member status on Ukraine, after its membership was previously blocked by Hungary.

Starting last summer, the US military began admitting that it has been conducting offensive cyber operations in support of Ukraine. A statement last June marked the first ever such acknowledgement, which revealed at the time a deeper Pentagon and US intelligence role in Ukraine against the Russian military than previously thought.

National Security Agency (NSA) and US Cyber Command Director Gen. Paul Nakasone told the UK’s Sky News at that time, “We’ve conducted a series of operations across the full spectrum: offensive, defensive, [and] information operations.” This includes “offensive hacking operations” he said. 

All of this suggests that NATO too on an organizational level is involved in such cyber operations targeting Russia. For this reason, the Kremlin is likely to see Ukraine’s membership in the CCDCOE as another example of the Western military alliance building up its infrastructure inside the country.

Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 14:05

Trump Vows To Release Remaining JFK Assassination Files If Re-Elected

Trump Vows To Release Remaining JFK Assassination Files If Re-Elected

Authored by Steve Watson via Summit News,

Bettmann / Getty Images

Donald Trump has promised to release all outstanding files on the assassination of John F. Kennedy should he be re-elected as President next year.

Trump made the announcement in a Monday interview with The Messenger, vowing that every single remaining file on the JFK assassination would be made public.

“I released a lot, as you know. And I will release everything else,” Trump said.

It would mean that some 4300 files that are still redacted would become available.

In 2018, Trump delayed the full release of the remaining JFK documents until October 2021, with Joe Biden later postponing that until December 2022, citing the COVID-19 pandemic.

Biden did release more documents, but thousands still remain hidden.

Trump refused to be drawn on what is in the files, noting “Well, I don’t want to comment on that. But I will tell you that I have released a lot. I will release the remaining portion very early in my term.”

During his first term, Trump reportedly told Judge Andrew Napolitano “If you saw what I saw [in the files] you wouldn’t want to release it either,” with an official statement noting “certain information should continue to be redacted because of identifiable national security, law enforcement, and foreign affairs concerns.”

As we highlighted earlier this month, Democratic Presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Junior declared that he believes the CIA was “involved in the murder” of his uncle and has presided over a “60-year cover-up”.

RFK JR.: CIA “Definitely Involved In The Murder” Of JFK

RFK Jr. doubled down on the assertion, adding that “There were multiple people involved… they were all working together in cahoots with the CIA.”

Video: RFK Jr. Repeats Assertion That CIA Killed JFK

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Tyler Durden
Tue, 05/16/2023 – 13:45