77.3 F
Chicago
Sunday, September 6, 2026
Home Blog Page 3235

“Children Are Not Social Experiments”: Oklahoma Ban On Sex Changes For Minors Upheld By Federal District Court

0
“Children Are Not Social Experiments”: Oklahoma Ban On Sex Changes For Minors Upheld By Federal District Court

Authored by Steven Kovac via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

U.S. District Court Judge John F. Heil has ruled that an Oklahoma state law banning sex-change procedures on children was constitutional and therefore could be enforced.

Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt, a Republican, speaks during a roundtable at the State Dining Room of the White House in Washington, on June 18, 2020. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

The ruling on Oct. 5, 2023, came as a result of a motion for injunctive relief to restrain the state from implementing the law.

Five young people identifying as transgender and in some degree of transition, their parents or legal guardians, and a health care provider are the plaintiffs in the case.

The defendant is Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond, a Republican.

In an email to The Epoch Times, Mr. Gentner’s press secretary, Leslie Berger, stated: “The Attorney General’s Office continues to fulfill its duty to defend Senate Bill 613, and has won a ruling that results in full enforcement of that law.”

The lawsuit was filed on May 2, 2023, the day after the Republican-controlled Oklahoma State Legislature resoundingly passed Senate Bill 613 enacting the ban.

Governor Kevin Stitt, a Republican, signed the bill into law just hours after it passed. Then, the state agreed to hold off on implementation until the court ruled on the motion.

The court decided that a child’s parents do not have the right to obtain medical services to change the sex of their minor son or daughter, as the plaintiffs contended.

However, in the ruling, there is a recognition of the longstanding legal acknowledgment that Americans have the right to refuse medical treatment.

The statute does not keep Oklahomans who are 18 years old and over from obtaining such procedures.

Judge Heil, a Trump appointee, wrote that there is a distinction between adults who are ready to make life-altering decisions and “minors, who, at least in the eyes of the legislature, are not.

“Indeed, courts have upheld restrictions designed to protect and prevent minors from engaging in behaviors that are far less risky than the procedures banned in SB 613,” he wrote.

Judge Heil cited precedent that recognized a balance between “the truth that parents generally know what is best for their children,” and the reality that state governments have an abiding interest in protecting public health, preserving and promoting the welfare of children, and keeping the medical profession ethical and honest.

In the case before this court, plaintiffs have not demonstrated a fundamental right for parents to choose for their children to use puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, and surgeries for the purpose of effectuating a gender transition,” wrote the judge.

He quoted from a supporting case, which reads in part: “Absent a fundamental right, the state may regulate an interest pursuant to a validly enacted state law or regulation rationally related to a legitimate state interest.”

A Sincere Disagreement

The ruling acknowledged that some people believe that obtaining a sex change operation is a demonstration of compassion for a child, while other people believe that saving a minor child from undergoing a sex change procedure is an act of compassion.

Judge Heil wrote that, because the entire concept is relatively new to society, and that definitive medical evidence is still being acquired, it would not be wise for the judiciary to enjoin the democratically elected legislature from enforcing a duly passed law addressing the subject “without a clear warrant in the Constitution.”

The ruling also stated that the plaintiffs failed to meet the necessary standards to prove any discrimination on account of sex and could prove no 14th Amendment due process violations.

“It is well to remember that the most deeply rooted tradition in this country is that we look to democracy to answer pioneering public policy questions, meaning that federal courts must resist the temptation to invoke unenumerated guarantees to ‘substitute’ their views for those of legislatures,” reads one of the supporting precedents cited by Judge Heil.

Under the new law, a health care provider “shall not knowingly provide gender transition procedures to any child,” under possible penalty of license revocation and felony prosecution.

According to the statute, gender transition procedures are medical or surgical services performed for the purpose of “attempting to affirm the minor’s perception of his or her gender or biological sex, if that perception is inconsistent with the minor’s biological sex.”

The outlawed gender transition procedures include surgeries that alter or remove physical or anatomical characteristics or features that are typical for the individual’s biological sex, as well as the prescribing of puberty blockers, cross-sex hormones, “or other drugs to suppress or delay normal puberty or to promote the development of feminizing or masculinizing features consistent with the opposite biological sex.”

Exceptions to the ban allow a minor currently taking cross-sex hormones to be gradually weaned off the drugs.

It also exempts children in need of treatment for the onset of puberty before the rest of the body is ready, along with those suffering from other physical problems related to genitalia.

According to a study by Liberty Counsel, a national, non-profit, religious liberty law firm that advocates for Christian values, 22 states have passed legislation protecting children from sex change practices.

In a recent press release, Liberty Counsel founder and chairman Mat Staver said of the Oklahoma decision: “The District Court has justly decided that Oklahoma is free to protect children from these harmful procedures that have devastated many young lives.

Children are not social experiments and state legislatures have considerable discretion to protect them.”

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 18:25

Wealthy House Dem Signals He’ll Challenge Biden For 2024 Nomination

0
Wealthy House Dem Signals He’ll Challenge Biden For 2024 Nomination

While the hour is getting late for would-be pursuers of the presidency in 2024, a moderate Democratic House representative is signaling he’s about to announce a challenge to President Biden for the party nomination. 

First elected to Congress in 2018, 54-year-old Rep. Dean Phillips represents Minnesota’s third district, which primarily comprises the western suburbs of Minneapolis, along with some rural areas. For a Democratic Party obsessed with identity politics, Phillips would be the first Jewish US president.  

Phillips is quietly signaling to House peers that he’ll launch a campaign shortly, Politico reports. He’s previously pointed to Biden’s age as a liability and said “the country is begging for alternatives.” In an August appearance on Meet the Press, Phillips called on Biden to “pass the torch…I believe a majority wants to move on…people want to turn the page.” 

Don’t expect Phillips to draw any sharp policy contrasts with Biden. A January analysis by FiveThirtyEight found that Phillips voted in accordance with Biden’s position 100% of the time. 

He’ll need a big war chest to take on an incumbent president and a Democratic Party that’s rigged the nominating process to an extent it prompted Robert F. Kennedy, Jr to abandon it in favor of an independent run. Politico notes that Biden already has $91 million in cash.

Then again, Phillips has the potential to self-fund a campaign, at least to some extent. An heir to Minnesota’s Phillips Distilling Company and co-founder of Talenti Gelato, he’s one of the richest members of Congress. In 2019, Fortune estimated his net worth at $77 million.  

Over the summer, Phillips held meetings with Democratic donors. Earlier this month, Phillips called New Hampshire Democratic Party Chairman Ray Buckley. “I called Chairman Buckley…to introduce myself as I contemplate entering the Democratic primary,” Phillips told Politico

New Hampshire presents an unusual momentum opportunity for any challenger to Biden. The Democratic Party stripped the Granite State of its first-in-the-nation primary slot and gave it to South Carolina, the state where Biden’s fortunes turned in the 2020 race. However, New Hampshire plans to go rogue, and hold an unsanctioned primary on Jan. 23, a few weeks before South Carolina’s Feb 3 contest. As a result of the intrigue, Biden’s name probably won’t be on the ballot.  

Phillips is already too late to appear on the Nevada ballot, and he only has until Nov. 10 to make South Carolina’s cut-off. 

Given the formidable challenge of taking on the Democratic Party machine, perhaps a Phillips campaign isn’t a drive to defeat Joe Biden but rather a call option on a scenario in which the clearly-declining Biden is finally deemed physically and/or mentally capable of running for re-election. That already appears to be the case, but at some point it may become so painfully evident that Biden’s family and party puppetmasters wake up to that reality.   

Meanwhile, Phillips’ candor about Biden’s unattractiveness as a candidate seems to have had its own consequences for Phillips: He’s facing a primary challenge of his own, as Ron Harris, an executive member of the Democratic National Committee, has announced he’s seeking to wrest Phillips’ House seat away from him.   

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 18:00

Russia Will “Pay The Price” For Supporting Gaza: Israeli Official

0
Russia Will “Pay The Price” For Supporting Gaza: Israeli Official

The Cradle,

During a live interview on Russia’s state-run broadcaster RT, Israeli lawmaker Amir Weitmann threatened to make Moscow “pay the price” for allegedly supporting the Palestinian resistance in Gaza.

“We’re going to finish this war. We’re going to win because we’re stronger. After this, Russia will pay the price. Believe me, Russia will pay the price,” Weitmann, the head of the libertarian caucus in Israel’s ruling Likud Party, told the RT news anchor.

Via FP

“Russia is supporting the enemies of Israel, Russia is supporting Nazi people who want to commit genocide on us, and Russia will pay the price […]. We are going to finish with these Nazis, we’re going to win this war […] we’re not forgetting what you are doing […] we will come, we will make sure that Ukraine wins, we will make sure that you pay the price for what you have done,” the close ally of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continued.

Since the start of the Gaza-Israel war, the Russian government has continuously called for a peaceful resolution. This week, the nation drafted a UN Security Council resolution calling for an immediate ceasefire. However, Israel’s western allies struck it down.

As the Israeli bombing campaign against millions of Palestinian civilians escalates, Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that the siege of Gaza is reminiscent of the Leningrad siege by Nazi Germany.

Weitmann’s unhinged accusations follow in the footsteps of other wild claims made by current and former Israeli officials. When asked last week during a TV interview about the suffering faced by Palestinians in Gaza, former prime minister Naftali Bennett lashed out at the interviewer and repeated the claim that Palestinian fighters are “Nazis.”

“Are you seriously going to keep asking me about Palestinian civilians? What is wrong with you? Have you not seen what’s happened? We’re fighting Nazis,” the former premier shouted. “Shame on you,” Bennett continued, interrupting and accusing the anchor of “spinning a narrative” in favor of the Palestinians.

A  few days after Bennett’s tirade, Israeli President Isaac Herzog claimed during a news conference that “there are no innocent civilians in Gaza.”

“It is an entire nation out there that is responsible […] It is not true this rhetoric about civilians not being aware, not involved. It’s absolutely not true. They could have risen up. They could have fought against that evil regime which took over Gaza in a coup d’etat,” Herzog claimed about the 2.3 million Palestinians – half of whom are children – who live under a brutal military blockade and are the constant targets of Israeli air raids.

While international law is clear that belligerents who fail to distinguish between combatants and civilians are guilty of war crimes, Israeli officials have been working overtime to spin the narrative that the entire population of Gaza are “terrorists” or “Nazis.”

Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant last week went even further, saying Gazans are “human animals” who must be eradicated, while National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir said that Gaza doesn’t need humanitarian aid, only “tons of bombs.” Ben Gvir’s comments came a few hours after widespread headlines were issued that said an Israeli jet bombed the Baptist Hospital in Gaza City, killing hundreds of wounded civilians, most of them women and children.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 17:40

“No All Clear” – Bitcoin & Bullion Jump, Stocks Dump On Week As Yield-Curve Un-Inverts

0
“No All Clear” – Bitcoin & Bullion Jump, Stocks Dump On Week As Yield-Curve Un-Inverts

An inverted curve lights the fuse but the un-inversion is ‘the bad part’ signaling imminent recession…

…and today we saw the 2s30s curve go positive once again and closed at its ‘steepest’ since Aug 2022…

Source: Bloomberg

Additionally, the ‘real’ yield curve steepened dramatically, also pushing back up towards un-inverted…

Source: Bloomberg

The steepening is extremely evident in the week’s moves across the curve with 2Y up just 3bps and 30Y up 33bps…

Source: Bloomberg

There was also a notable swing in rate-cut expectations for next year. While we zoomed out for context in the chart below, this week saw rate-cut expectations drop from 84bps to 67bps and then reverse back to 78bps (of cuts) after Powell…

Source: Bloomberg

As we discussed previously, this is a warning sign because inverted yield curves precede recessions, but it’s the re-steepening that signals the downturn is going to hit sooner rather than later.

Source: Bloomberg

Historically it is the 3m30y yield curve that has started steepening first before a recession, beginning to rise about five months before its onset. It began in mid-January, which would put a downturn starting as early as June. The spread between 3-month and 30-year yields is about minus 84 basis points, versus the January low of minus 115 basis points.

And 3m30Y has been steepening dramatically this week…

Source: Bloomberg

And before we leave bond-land, we note that financial conditions are now at their tightest since Nov 2022…. and it looks like its starting to drag on the real economy…

Source: Bloomberg

Equity markets did not like this ‘high for long’ adjustment, especially longer-duration (big tech) as Nasdaq led the week’s weakness, down 3%. Equities went out at their lows…

Under the hood today (a monthly OpEx), 0-DTE traders were fighting the down-trend all day – buying calls early and dumping puts later…

Source: SpotGamma

This week saw the 3rd major shorting wave in October with ‘Most Shorted’ basket dumping…

Source: Bloomberg

Energy and Staples were the week’s only green sectors with Discretionary and Real Estate hammered…

Source: Bloomberg

The S&P broke below its uptrendline from September and reached down to its 200DMA

Source: Bloomberg

Regional banks were clubbed like a bay seal this week, now below SVB spike lows…

Source: Bloomberg

The big banks were very mixed with WFC outperforming since earnings began (and the only one green) and MS the biggest loser…

Source: Bloomberg

Of particular note, the GLP-1s (Anti-Obesity drugs) significantly underperformed this week…

Source: Bloomberg

And AI-related names underperformed the AI-at-risk names (amid an admittedly weak market for tech)…

Source: Bloomberg

VIX is on the rise (finally) back above 20 but as Nomura’s Charlie McElligott warns, make no mistake: there is no “all clear” [to sell ‘high vol’] when “Vol of Vol” VVIX remains parked at 115

Source: Bloomberg

…which tells you that via “demand for Tails” and a broader distribution of market outcomes that we can remain “stressed,” particularly as client hedging is moving away from short-dated “1 day event risk” and now, into the “unknowable” – where you add geopolitics now on top of the “real risk” being the Credit cycle turn.

While VIX was rising, Gold surged this week with spot prices very close to breaking $2000…

Source: Bloomberg

Oil rallied on the week with WTI getting close to $90 intraday before sliding today…

Bitcoin also caught a safe-haven (and ETF-driven) bid…

“Bitcoin is more user-friendly, stable, and global than some local currencies, especially in geopolitical conflicts and sanctions. In other words, the more unrest and uncertainty in the world, the more value bitcoin demonstrates, it’s a sad truth,” BTCM Chief Economist Youwei Yang told The Block.

“Bitcoin’s resilience, especially when juxtaposed with the recent downturns in stock market indices, lends credence to the narrative that the digital asset serves as a potential hedge in tumultuous times, akin to gold,” Sei Labs Co-Founder Jeff Feng added.

Talking of panic and capital ouflows (which also surged in China), the black market price for the Argentine Peso crashed 10% to 1100/USD (the official-ish price has been ‘capped’ at 350/USD for 3 months)…

Finally, this is worth paying attention in the context of surging US interest rates…

Source: Bloomberg

…since the Biden administration came into office, the risk of a US sovereign credit event has risen by 5x and are on the rise again now back to levels last seen during the debt-ceiling debacle. That trend is not Americans’ friend (and is perhaps why gold has been so bid).

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 16:00

G77 Nations, China, Push Back On U.S. “Loss And Damage” Climate Fund In Days Leading Up To UN Summit

0
G77 Nations, China, Push Back On U.S. “Loss And Damage” Climate Fund In Days Leading Up To UN Summit

As was the case in primary school with bringing in presents, make sure you bring enough for the rest of the class, otherwise people get ornery…

This age old rule looks like it could be rearing its head in the days leading up to the UN COP 28 climate summit, set to take place in the United Arab Emirates in about six weeks. 

At the prior UN COP 27, which took place in Egypt last year, the U.S. pushed an idea for a new World Bank “loss and damage” climate slush fund to help poor countries with climate change. But the G77 nations plus China, including many developing countries, are pushing back on the idea, according to a new report from the Financial Times

The goal was to arrange how the fund would operate and where the money would come from for the “particularly vulnerable” nations who would have access to it prior to the upcoming summit in UAE.

But as FT notes, Pedro Luis Pedroso Cuesta, the Cuban chair of the G77 plus China group, has said that talks about these details were instead “deadlocked” over issues of – you guessed it – where the money is going and the governance of the fund.

The U.S.’s proposal for the fund to be governed by the World Bank has been rejected by the G77 after “extensive” discussions, the report says. Cuesta has said that the nations seek to have the fund managed elsewhere, but that the U.S. wasn’t open to such arrangements. 

Cuesta said: “We have been confronted with an elephant in the room, and that elephant is the US. We have been faced with a very closed position that it is [the World Bank] or nothing.”

Christina Chan, a senior adviser to US climate envoy John Kerry, responded: “We have been working diligently at every turn to address concerns, problem-solve, and find landing zones.” She said the U.S. has been “clear and consistent” in their messaging on the need for the fund. 

Cuesta contends that the World Bank, known for lending to less affluent nations, lacks a “climate culture” and often delays decision-making, hindering quick responses to climate emergencies like Pakistan’s recent severe flooding.

The G77 coalition voiced concerns about the World Bank’s legal framework potentially limiting the fund’s ability to accept diverse funding sources like philanthropic donations or to access capital markets.

With just days left before the UN COP 28 summit, the World Bank insists that combating climate change is integral to its mission and vows to collaborate on structuring the fund.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 15:45

“Al Capone Style”: Musk Reveals “We Unloaded Entire Drum of Tommy Gun” Into Cybertuck

0
“Al Capone Style”: Musk Reveals “We Unloaded Entire Drum of Tommy Gun” Into Cybertuck

Elon Musk revealed on X his team of Tesla engineers “emptied the entire drum magazine of a Tommy gun into the driver door” of the new Cybertruck, adding the bulletproof test was like “Al Capone-style.”

Musk was commenting on a video shared by the Tesla Owners Club of Silicon Valley that shows a Cybertruck coasting down the highway with dozens of bullet holes in the vehicle’s driver’s side.

The Cybertruck’s skin is the same stainless steel used in SpaceX’s Starship spacecraft, according to a 2019 Motortrend article. As Musk explained during the unveiling of Cybertruck in the same year, the 301 stainless steel is bulletproof to 9mm rounds and doesn’t need any armor rating certification. 

In 2021, Musk appeared on Jay Leno’s Garage, where he told Leno that the truck had armored glass. 

The Cybertruck’s armor could be attractive to individuals navigating crime-ridden progressive cities where Democrats do not enforce law and order. 

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 15:25

DOJ Says Trump Has No ‘Absolute Immunity’ In Jan. 6 Case

0
DOJ Says Trump Has No ‘Absolute Immunity’ In Jan. 6 Case

Authored by Catherine Yang via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Special counsel Jack Smith’s office opposed former President Donald Trump’s motion to dismiss the Jan. 6-related case against him, filing the motion late Thursday.

The U.S. Department of Justice building in Washington, on June 20, 2023. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Mr. Smith had been appointed special counsel last November to investigate the events of the Jan. 6, 2021, Capitol breach and related crimes, and has already brought cases against more than 1,100 citizens. President Trump has been charged with four felony counts for allegedly interfering with the 2020 elections through his actions to challenge the results.

On Oct. 5, President Trump’s legal team argued he had the absolute immunity conferred to U.S. presidents. U.S. Supreme Court cases have ruled that this immunity covers acts in the “outer perimeter” of official duties.

The Department of Justice (DOJ) responded that President Trump has no such “absolute immunity.”

The defendant is not above the law,” the government argues throughout its response, describing the motion to dismiss as “novel” and “expansive” in its reading of the law.

“In staking his claim, he purports (Mot. 29) to draw a parallel between his fraudulent efforts to overturn the results of an election that he lost and the likes of Abraham Lincoln’s Gettysburg Address and George Washington’s Farewell Address. These things are not alike,” the filing continues.

The government has repeatedly argued that the former president knowingly tried to overturn “legitimate results” in the 2020 elections, and such criminal conspiracy negate the defenses he has raised, while President Trump, who has pleaded not guilty, maintains that he did nothing wrong, and sought to investigate what he believed was fraud in the 2020 elections.

Absolute Immunity?

The DOJ argued that presidential immunity did not extend to former presidents.

“An individual who has served as president of the United States, but is no longer in office, may face investigation, indictment, trial, and, if convicted, punishment for conduct committed during the presidency,” the filing reads.

However, the Supreme Court ruling in the 1982 case Nixon v. Fitzgerald extended the “absolute” immunity of a president to the “outer perimeters” specifically to prevent presidents from being sued personally for the decisions in office. The reasoning was that it would diminish the Office of the President of the United States, if one could serve in office, and leave only to find a barrage of legal action against oneself.

President Trump now faces exactly that: several civil lawsuits, in addition to the four criminal cases against him for actions he took in his last days as president. Further, federal judges in Washington, D.C., have not agreed to dismiss the civil cases on the grounds of presidential immunity.

It remains to be seen whether the criminal case will be dismissed, but seems unlikely as Judge Tanya Chutkan, overseeing the case Mr. Smith is prosecuting, has rejected other motions from President Trump, including a motion requesting her recusal.

“No court has ever alluded to the existence of absolute criminal immunity for former presidents, and legal principles, historical evidence, and policy rationales demonstrate that once out of office, a former president is subject to federal criminal prosecution like other citizens,” the DOJ argued in its opposition.

It pointed to the impeachment proceedings against President Trump as further evidence he was not completely immune to prosecution.

The government also pointed out that immunity to civil lawsuits would not prevent criminal cases from proceeding either, and described a hypothetical example where “a president who orders the National Guard to murder his most prominent critics” and argues he was “discharging his powers as commander-in-chief” as comparable to President Trump’s argument for dismissal.

“No immunity should shield the defendant from federal prosecution for criminal conduct undertaken while he served as president,” the government argued.

Motion to Dismiss

President Trump’s lawyers had argued that the “incumbent” Biden administration was breaking 234 years of tradition in prosecuting the former president in this case. They claimed the actions Mr. Trump is being charged with were not even acts on the “outer perimeter” of his duties, “but at the heart of his official responsibilities as president.”

“The prosecution does not, and cannot, argue that President Trump’s efforts to ensure election integrity, and to advocate for the same, were outside the scope of his duties,” the motion reads.

Much like a similar criminal case against President Trump in Georgia, this case will eventually need to prove President Trump’s state of mind and motivation of his actions in the indictment. Prosecutors argue that President Trump acted with corrupt intention, while President Trump has repeatedly claimed he worked to preserve election integrity. The corrupt intention and conspiracy would negate his standard defenses like the First Amendment.

President Trump has also repeatedly called the prosecutions a “witch hunt” and “election interference” as he is campaigning to run for president again in 2024. Next year promises a busy court schedule, as civil cases will begin in January, and this election case will be tried in March.

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 15:05

Two Chicagoans Confirmed Released By Hamas, US Presses Israel To Delay Ground Invasion

0
Two Chicagoans Confirmed Released By Hamas, US Presses Israel To Delay Ground Invasion

Update(1431ET): Israeli media has confirmed their identities:

A senior Israeli official speaking to The Times of Israel identifies the two hostages released by Hamas as Judith Raanan and her daughter Natalie [18-years old].

The pair, who both have American citizenship, have been transferred to the International Red Cross ahead of their arrival in Israel, the official says.

The two are residents of Evanston, Illinois outside of Chicago and came to Israel this month to celebrate a relative’s 85th birthday and the Jewish holiday season, according to their rabbi.

The Raanan family had been celebrating Simchat Torah in Nahal Oz, a kibbutz in Israel about a mile from the Gaza border when the Hamas onslaught began.

Judith Raanan and her daughter Natalie, via AP/Times of Israel

* * *

Update(1308ET): With Israeli infantry and tank forces states at the border, having been given the green light to enter Gaza by the Netanyahu government, there’s been a potential breakthrough related to American hostages held by Hamas. A Hamas spokesman has announced the release of two US hostages:

The spokesman for Hamas’s military wing, the Al-Qassam Brigades, has said that the group has released two US captives for humanitarian reasons.

“In response to Qatari efforts, Al-Qassam Brigades released two American citizens (a mother and her daughter) for humanitarian reasons,” Abu Obaida said in a statement.

He added that the move aimed “to prove to the American people and the world that the claims made by Biden and his fascist administration are false and baseless”.

The announcement has not received immediate government confirmation from the US side. But Israeli officials appear to be confirming:

The Israeli military earlier in the day announced that it believes the majority of the some 200 hostages in Gaza are still alive. This as the defense minister also told troops massed that the border that they will soon see the Gaza Strip “from the inside”

If the hostage release is confirmed, this could be a move by Hamas to buy more time before the large Israeli ground incursion, which is likely to result in high casualties among both sides. Meanwhile, President Biden has said Friday that the first Gaza aid trucks are likely to cross into Gaza from Egypt in the ‘next 24 to 48 hours’. Washington is also leaning on Israel to see if more hostages can be negotiated for, prior to the ground assault:

US PRESSES ISRAEL TO DELAY GAZA INVASION TO WIN HOSTAGE RELEASE

* * *

Just ahead of President Biden’s Thursday night speech wherein he made the case for the US keeping up funding both for Ukraine and Israel as it launches its war in Gaza, Axios issued a report detailing that Washington is preparing to divert ammunition meant for Kiev to the Israelis

The Pentagon plans to send Israel tens of thousands of 155mm artillery shells that had been destined for Ukraine from U.S. emergency stocks several months ago, three Israeli officials with knowledge of the situation tell Axios,” journalist Barak Ravid wrote.

Image via Kyiv Post

These 155mm artillery shells, which Ukraine has been badly in need of given Russian artillery supplies have been steady and far superior, will be shipped “in the coming weeks” instead to Israel in order to fill the depleted emergency stocks the US keeps there.

Under a long-standing bilateral agreement, the Pentagon stores ammunition on Israeli soil. While it belongs to and is overseen by the US military, part of the agreement is that Israel’s Armed Forces (IDF) can access it under US approval in a war scenario.

Starting at some point in late 2022, these emergency stockpiles of artillery shells held in Israel began being sent to Ukraine. But now, with the Gaza war entering full swing, Israel will get the extra supplies instead

This move without doubt is yet another blow to the Zelensky government, which has retreated from the media spotlight ever since the Hamas terror attack on southern Israel on Oct. 7. International press has focused on 24/7 Israel-Gaza coverage. A key part of Ukraine’s strategy of keeping up constant support, which has included tens of billions in aid flowing in from the West, has been to keep Zelensky and the Ukrainian cause center stage in terms of global awareness. Now those days appear over.

Pentagon spokesman Patrick Ryder sought to defend the move, stressing “we can support both Ukraine and Israel in terms of their defensive needs,” in line with other top US officials.

“We are engaged in comprehensive coordination across the Department of Defense,” an unnamed US defense official had told Axios. “This includes working closely with our combatant commands to ascertain which munitions and equipment from the U.S. inventory can be quickly made available for Israel’s needs.”

Biden’s Thursday night speech sought to continue the theme, which had also been laid out earlier this month by Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. Biden also said that both Putin and Hamas want “annihilation”. According to a summary of Biden’s main points:

Biden said he will ask Congress on Friday to authorize more spending for the Ukraine war and “unprecedented” military aid for Israel. Media reports say the request will be for about $100 billion and will also include aid for Taiwan, which China will view as highly provocative, and funding for border security.

About $60 billion is expected to be for Ukraine as the White House wants to pass a spending package on the war that will last through the 2024 election. Israel is set to receive about $10 billion in military aid, and the rest will go toward the border, Taiwan, and potentially other areas in the Asia Pacific.

In his speech, President Biden attempted to draw comparisons between Hamas and Russian President Vladimir Putin. “Hamas and Putin represent different threats, but they share this in common: they both want to completely annihilate a neighboring democracy, completely annihilate it,” he said.

Via AFP

But no matter Biden’s superficial attempts to draw comparisons between the two conflicts and how it’s somehow America’s ‘duty’ to jump into supporting both wars, Ukraine is clearly no longer the number one priority for US defense planners.

Already, poll after poll has shown the American public to be “war-fatigued” as well. Popular support for funding Kiev has been waning, also in Europe. The Pentagon itself has lately admitted that money to Ukraine will not be “indefinite”

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 14:31

Israel Amassing Fleets Of Tanks On Northern Border Of Gaza – Ground Invasion Appears Imminent

0
Israel Amassing Fleets Of Tanks On Northern Border Of Gaza – Ground Invasion Appears Imminent

Numerous reports from both mainstream and independent sources confirm that Israel has positioned multiple fleets of tanks and other weaponry on the northern border of Gaza in the past 24 hours in what appears to be preparation for an imminent ground offensive.  The tanks are reportedly outfitted with modifications to help counter low-cost but effective rocket and drone attacks.  

The delay of what many thought would be a swift ground invasion by Israel in response to the terror attacks on civilian settlements in the south may have been due to Joe Biden’s recent visit with Benjamin Netanyahu, in which Biden admitted in passing that “Americans are worried.”  Though, in his mumbling he did not accurately convey why. 

With the immense potential for regional escalation the war could very well expand to Lebanon, Iran, Syria and a host of other nations, and draw American troops into a conflict that has nothing to do with the interests of the American public.

The position of the weaponry indicates a north to south sweep of Gaza might be the intended tactic.  A wide cast net using ground units to roll like a wave through the area is what some in the strategic community would call “mowing the grass,”  as it will surely make contact with and kill numerous Hamas fighters, but also could lead to a number of civilian casualties.  The implication being that the problem will only “grow back” in a few years time.

This theory depends on the assumption, though, that the Israeli government intends to allow Palestinian settlements to remain in Gaza.  There is the chance that the goal will be the complete removal of all Palestinian presence, creating a historic refugee crisis (which will probably be dumped in the lap of the American public).  This may be why so many political representatives in the US have been laying the PR groundwork for the possible importation of millions of Palestinians in the past week.  

Some skeptics argue that the positioning of forces in the north is a ploy by Israel and that there will be no ground attack in the near term.  However, more Israeli tanks have also been identified being transported toward the Jordanian border in the past day. 

This may be part of a multiprong offensive, or merely a defensive measure to prevent a response from troops moving though Lebanon or Syria towards the Jordanian border while the attack on Gaza commences.  Mass rallies in favor of Palestinians and Hamas have been common in Jordan ever since Hamas fighters attacked Israel. 

It would seem that a wider war in the Middle East may now be unavoidable. 

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 13:20

Two US Hostages Released For Humanitarian Reasons, Hamas Says, After Israel Tells Troops They’ll See Gaza “From The Inside”

0
Two US Hostages Released For Humanitarian Reasons, Hamas Says, After Israel Tells Troops They’ll See Gaza “From The Inside”

Update(1308ET): With Israeli infantry and tank forces states at the border, having been given the green light to enter Gaza by the Netanyahu government, there’s been a potential breakthrough related to American hostages held by Hamas. A Hamas spokesman has announced the release of two US hostages:

The spokesman for Hamas’s military wing, the Al-Qassam Brigades, has said that the group has released two US captives for humanitarian reasons.

“In response to Qatari efforts, Al-Qassam Brigades released two American citizens (a mother and her daughter) for humanitarian reasons,” Abu Obaida said in a statement.

He added that the move aimed “to prove to the American people and the world that the claims made by Biden and his fascist administration are false and baseless”.

The announcement has not received immediate government confirmation from the US side. But Israeli officials appear to be confirming:

The Israeli military earlier in the day announced that it believes the majority of the some 200 hostages in Gaza are still alive. This as the defense minister also told troops massed that the border that they will soon see the Gaza Strip “from the inside”

If the hostage release is confirmed, this could be a move by Hamas to buy more time before the large Israeli ground incursion, which is likely to result in high casualties among both sides. Meanwhile, President Biden has said Friday that the first Gaza aid trucks are likely to cross into Gaza from Egypt in the ‘next 24 to 48 hours’. Washington is also leaning on Israel to see if more hostages can be negotiated for, prior to the ground assault:

US PRESSES ISRAEL TO DELAY GAZA INVASION TO WIN HOSTAGE RELEASE

* * *

Just ahead of President Biden’s Thursday night speech wherein he made the case for the US keeping up funding both for Ukraine and Israel as it launches its war in Gaza, Axios issued a report detailing that Washington is preparing to divert ammunition meant for Kiev to the Israelis

The Pentagon plans to send Israel tens of thousands of 155mm artillery shells that had been destined for Ukraine from U.S. emergency stocks several months ago, three Israeli officials with knowledge of the situation tell Axios,” journalist Barak Ravid wrote.

Image via Kyiv Post

These 155mm artillery shells, which Ukraine has been badly in need of given Russian artillery supplies have been steady and far superior, will be shipped “in the coming weeks” instead to Israel in order to fill the depleted emergency stocks the US keeps there.

Under a long-standing bilateral agreement, the Pentagon stores ammunition on Israeli soil. While it belongs to and is overseen by the US military, part of the agreement is that Israel’s Armed Forces (IDF) can access it under US approval in a war scenario.

Starting at some point in late 2022, these emergency stockpiles of artillery shells held in Israel began being sent to Ukraine. But now, with the Gaza war entering full swing, Israel will get the extra supplies instead

This move without doubt is yet another blow to the Zelensky government, which has retreated from the media spotlight ever since the Hamas terror attack on southern Israel on Oct. 7. International press has focused on 24/7 Israel-Gaza coverage. A key part of Ukraine’s strategy of keeping up constant support, which has included tens of billions in aid flowing in from the West, has been to keep Zelensky and the Ukrainian cause center stage in terms of global awareness. Now those days appear over.

Pentagon spokesman Patrick Ryder sought to defend the move, stressing “we can support both Ukraine and Israel in terms of their defensive needs,” in line with other top US officials.

“We are engaged in comprehensive coordination across the Department of Defense,” an unnamed US defense official had told Axios. “This includes working closely with our combatant commands to ascertain which munitions and equipment from the U.S. inventory can be quickly made available for Israel’s needs.”

Biden’s Thursday night speech sought to continue the theme, which had also been laid out earlier this month by Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. Biden also said that both Putin and Hamas want “annihilation”. According to a summary of Biden’s main points:

Biden said he will ask Congress on Friday to authorize more spending for the Ukraine war and “unprecedented” military aid for Israel. Media reports say the request will be for about $100 billion and will also include aid for Taiwan, which China will view as highly provocative, and funding for border security.

About $60 billion is expected to be for Ukraine as the White House wants to pass a spending package on the war that will last through the 2024 election. Israel is set to receive about $10 billion in military aid, and the rest will go toward the border, Taiwan, and potentially other areas in the Asia Pacific.

In his speech, President Biden attempted to draw comparisons between Hamas and Russian President Vladimir Putin. “Hamas and Putin represent different threats, but they share this in common: they both want to completely annihilate a neighboring democracy, completely annihilate it,” he said.

Via AFP

But no matter Biden’s superficial attempts to draw comparisons between the two conflicts and how it’s somehow America’s ‘duty’ to jump into supporting both wars, Ukraine is clearly no longer the number one priority for US defense planners.

Already, poll after poll has shown the American public to be “war-fatigued” as well. Popular support for funding Kiev has been waning, also in Europe. The Pentagon itself has lately admitted that money to Ukraine will not be “indefinite”

Tyler Durden
Fri, 10/20/2023 – 13:08